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ANR

Alpha Natural

$0.8063

-0.05 (-5.85%)

, ACI

Arch Coal

$0.8199

-0.02 (-2.32%)

12:05
03/17/15
03/17
12:05
03/17/15
12:05

U.S. coal sector predicted to see 'wave of bankruptcies'

The outlook for U.S. coal producers is "increasingly bleak," and the sector is likely to undergo "a wave of bankruptcies," Macquarie Research warned in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: After Macquarie's commodity team lowered its forecast for met coal prices by $5 per ton for 2015 and 2016, analyst Anthony Young warned that U.S. coal prices will no longer move in conjunction with international coal prices. This decoupling, which will feature declines in U.S. coal prices, "will be a painful, but necessary, step to force rationalization on U.S. producers," and will continue until supply drops to levels that are balanced with demand, Young believes. The price decreases that occur during the process are likely to result in production cuts and bankruptcies over the near-to-medium term, the analyst predicted. Noting that one of the more prominent companies in the sector, Peabody Energy (BTU), recently had to pay a 10% interest rate on bonds it issued, Young wrote that the high interest rate bodes badly for other coal producers. The high interest rate will make it harder for other names in the sector to refinance their debt, leading to cuts and liquidity squeezes, he warned. Young reduced his price target on Alpha Natural (ANR) to 60c from $1.15, on Arch Coal (ACI) to 90c from $1.25, on Peabody to $5.30 from $6.40, and on CONSOL (CNX) to $29.50 from $31.50. He reiterated an Underperform rating on Alpha Natural, and Neutral ratings on Arch Coal, Peabody, and CONSOL. He kept an $8 price target and Neutral rating on Cloud Peak (CLD). PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Alpha Natural fell 5.9%, Arch Coal dropped 2.4%, Peabody rose 2%, CONSOL fell 0.7%, and Cloud Peak added 0.5%.

ANR

Alpha Natural

$0.8063

-0.05 (-5.85%)

ACI

Arch Coal

$0.8199

-0.02 (-2.32%)

BTU

Peabody Energy

$5.595

+0.12 (+2.10%)

CNX

CONSOL

$26.82

-0.20 (-0.74%)

CLD

Cloud Peak

$5.89

+0.02 (+0.34%)

  • 17

    Mar

ANR Alpha Natural
$0.8063

-0.05 (-5.85%)

01/29/15
01/29/15
INITIATION

On The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
Today's noteworthy initiations include: Alpha Natural (ANR) initiated with an Underperform at Macquarie... Arch Coal (ACI) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... BioMarin (BMRN) initiated with a Buy at Evercore ISI... CONSOL (CNX) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... Clearwater Paper (CLW) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie... Cloud Peak (CLD) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... L Brands (LB) initiated with a Neutral at Wedbush... Mercer (MERC) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... Metaldyne Performance (MPG) initiated with a Buy at KeyBanc... PMC-Sierra (PMCS) initiated with an Outperform at Imperial Capital... Peabody (BTU) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... Vitae Pharmaceuticals (VTAE) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray... Wausau Paper (WPP) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... Xerium Technologies (XRM) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie... comScore (SCOR) initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush.
01/28/15
MACQ
01/28/15
INITIATION
Target $1
MACQ
Underperform
Alpha Natural initiated with an Underperform at Macquarie
Target $1.
01/29/15
MACQ
01/29/15
INITIATION
Target $1
MACQ
Underperform
Alpha Natural initiated with an Underperform at Macquarie
Macquarie initiated Alpha Natural with an Underperform rating and $1 price target. The firm has concerns about high debt levels and its ability to service it and expects further production cuts due to the strengthening U.S. dollar.
01/20/15
MSCO
01/20/15
DOWNGRADE
MSCO
Underweight
Alpha Natural downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
ACI Arch Coal
$0.8199

-0.02 (-2.32%)

01/29/15
MACQ
01/29/15
INITIATION
Target $1.25
MACQ
Neutral
Arch Coal initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie
Target $1.25.
02/23/15
02/23/15
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Antofagasta (ANFGY) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Arch Coal (ACI) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Argus... BHP Billiton (BHP) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Beazer Homes (BZH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Compass Point... Boeing (BA) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Century Communities (CCS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... CyberArk (CYBR) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... DirecTV (DTV) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Brean Capital... Enerplus (ERF) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Desjardins... Fiserv (FISV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Monness Crespi... GP Strategies (GPX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley... Interactive Brokers (IBKR) downgraded to Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette... MRC Global (MRC) downgraded at BB&T... Precision Castparts (PCP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Quest Diagnostics (DGX) downgraded at BofA/Merrill... Rio Tinto (RIO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Roth Capital downgraded Spectrum (SPPI) on court case loss... Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at Howard Weil... Ryland Group (RYL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Compass Point... Salix (SLXP) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink... Standard Pacific (SPF) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Compass Point... Superior Energy (SPN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Transocean (RIG) downgraded to Negative from Neutral at Susquehanna... Vale (VALE) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley.
02/23/15
ARGS
02/23/15
DOWNGRADE
ARGS
Sell
Arch Coal downgraded to Sell from Buy at Argus
Argus downgraded Arch Coal to Sell and dropped coverage of shares.
BTU Peabody Energy
$5.595

+0.12 (+2.10%)

03/12/15
03/12/15
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Alkermes (ALKS) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley... CONSOL (CNX) downgraded at BofA/Merrill... Continental AG (CTTAY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Garmin (GRMN) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... HP (HPQ) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Infineon (IFNNY) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein... Ingram Micro (IM) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Logitech (LOGI) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... McCormick (MKC) downgraded at Bernstein... Meritage Homes (MTH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup... Motorola Solutions (MSI) downgraded to Underperform at Raymond James... Netgear (NTGR) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Peabody (BTU) downgraded on lower thermal coal forecast at BofA/Merrill... Pernix Therapeutics (PTX) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Cantor... Plantronics (PLT) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Santander Consumer (SC) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank... Schlumberger (SLB) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie... Sterling Bancorp (STL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Vale (VALE) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill... Vera Bradley (VRA) downgraded to Underperform at Cowen... WuXi PharmaTech (WX) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse.
03/12/15
03/12/15
DOWNGRADE
Target $5

Underperform
Peabody downgraded on lower thermal coal forecast at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA/Merrill downgraded Peabody to Underperform from Neutral. The firm lowered its thermal coal forecast due to weak China fundamentals and lower-cost producers passing on currency savings. Price target cut to $5 from $7.
03/10/15
03/10/15
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: AcelRx (ACRX) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies... Bitauto (BITA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Brean Capital... BreitBurn Energy (BBEP) downgraded to Underperform from Perform at Oppenheimer... Electronic Arts (EA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham... Galaxy Entertainment (GXYEY) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Deutsche Bank... Intrexon (XON) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho... Lincoln Electric (LECO) downgraded at BB&T... MGM China (MCHVF) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Melco Crown (MPEL) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Deutsche Bank... Mitcham Industries (MIND) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sidoti... Peabody (BTU) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies... S.Y. Bancorp (SYBT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Fig Partners... Sands China (SCHYY) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Trinity Industries (TRN) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens... Wynn Macau (WYNMF) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Ziopharm (ZIOP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho.
03/12/15
BOFA
03/12/15
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Underperform
Peabody downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill
CNX CONSOL
$26.82

-0.20 (-0.74%)

03/16/15
BMUR
03/16/15
NO CHANGE
Target $36
BMUR
Buy
CONSOL lower guidance due to lower capex, says Brean Capital
Brean Capital noted CONSOL lowered its growth guidance due to a reduction in its E&P capital expenditures. The firm believes any weakness could be a buying opportunity, as the shift in guidance shows discipline and prudence. Brean Capital lowered its price target to $36 from $37 on CONSOL shares.
03/12/15
03/12/15
DOWNGRADE
Target $26

Underperform
CONSOL downgraded at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA/Merrill downgraded CONSOL to Underperform from Neutral. The firm lowered its thermal coal forecast due to weak China fundamentals and lower-cost producers passing on currency savings. Price target is $26.
03/12/15
BOFA
03/12/15
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Underperform
CONSOL downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill
CLD Cloud Peak
$5.89

+0.02 (+0.34%)

03/02/15
03/02/15
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: AEGON (AEG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at ING Group... Achaogen (AKAO) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Ashford Hospitality (AHT) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Atwood Oceanics (ATW) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Bank of Ireland (IRE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank... BlackRock (BLK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup... CONE Midstream (CNNX) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... CaixaBank (CAIXY) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Cloud Peak (CLD) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Brean Capital... Cnova (CNV) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas... Core Laboratories (CLB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Cracker Barrel (CBRL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Miller Tabak... Crane (CR) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA/Merrill... DDR Corp. (DDR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Ensco (ESV) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... FARO Technologies (FARO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens... Forum Energy (FET) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Gaylord Entertainment (GET) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Home Bancshares (HOMB) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Sandler O'Neill... IBM (IBM) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities... InterXion (INXN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel... Isis Pharmaceuticals (ISIS) downgraded at Stifel... Joy Global (JOY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill... Lumber Liquidators (LL) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... MarkWest Energy (MWE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Wunderlich... Michaels (MIK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Nationstar (NSM) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital... Navient (NAVI) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Noble Corp. (NE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at SunTrust... Oasis Petroleum (OAS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Oshkosh (OSK) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... SBA Communications (SBAC) downgraded to Outperform from Top Pick at RBC Capital... Safe Bulkers (SB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup... Salesforce.com (CRM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus... Spirit Airlines (SAVE) downgraded at Stifel... Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Stonegate Mortgage (SGM) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Sucampo (SCMP) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... Synageva (GEVA) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... TCP International (TCPI) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray... Time Warner Cable (TWC) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Needham... UIL Holdings (UIL) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at RW Baird... Vivendi (VIVHY) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Walter Investment (WAC) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital... Wayfair (W) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup... Weight Watchers (WTW) downgraded at Morgan Stanley.
03/02/15
BMUR
03/02/15
DOWNGRADE
BMUR
Hold
Cloud Peak downgraded to Hold from Buy at Brean Capital
Brean Capital downgraded Cloud Peak Energy to Hold with a $7.50 fair value estimate citing its more cautious outlook on Powder River Basin pricing in 2015. Brean says Powder River Basin inventories are "quickly elevating."
01/29/15
MACQ
01/29/15
INITIATION
Target $8
MACQ
Neutral
Cloud Peak initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie
Target $8.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

KMX

CarMax

$68.84

0.17 (0.25%)

, FINL

Finish Line

$9.22

-0.21 (-2.23%)

20:25
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HPE

HP Enterprise

$13.79

0.16 (1.17%)

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RP

RealPage

$39.35

-0.1 (-0.25%)

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HPE

HP Enterprise

$13.79

0.16 (1.17%)

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YUM

Yum! Brands

$76.48

0.11 (0.14%)

18:37
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Conference/Events
Yum! Brands management to meet with JPMorgan »

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MAR

Marriott

$107.57

-0.12 (-0.11%)

18:32
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  • 27

    Sep

ESPGY

Esprit Holdings

$1.21

0.018 (1.51%)

18:29
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Conference/Events
Esprit Holdings management to meet with JPMorgan »

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  • 27

    Sep

BA

Boeing

$256.04

0.58 (0.23%)

18:18
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  • 23

    Sep

M

Macy's

$21.16

-0.32 (-1.49%)

18:18
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Conference/Events
Macy's management to meet with JPMorgan »

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  • 26

    Sep

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TAHO

Tahoe Resources

$5.60

0.02 (0.36%)

18:12
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ATKR

Atkore

$18.42

0.02 (0.11%)

18:11
09/21/17
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18:11
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Conference/Events
Atkore management to meet with JPMorgan »

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  • 26

    Sep

YOGA

YogaWorks

$4.00

-0.04 (-0.99%)

, TXN

Texas Instruments

$86.05

0.22 (0.26%)

18:11
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Hot Stocks
On The Fly: After Hours Movers »

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YOGA

YogaWorks

$4.00

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TXN

Texas Instruments

$86.05

0.22 (0.26%)

PSDO

Presidio

$13.95

-0.06 (-0.43%)

VSAR

Versartis

$21.60

-0.25 (-1.14%)

ASND

Ascendis Pharma

$27.74

-1.55 (-5.29%)

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  • 21

    Sep

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    Sep

FTR

Frontier Communications

$11.69

-0.31 (-2.58%)

18:10
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Frontier Communications operations in Florida return to near-normal levels »

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PLYA

Playa Hotels & Resorts

$10.66

-0.06 (-0.56%)

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  • 08

    Nov

ASND

Ascendis Pharma

$27.74

-1.55 (-5.29%)

, VSAR

Versartis

$21.60

-0.25 (-1.14%)

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$21.60

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CE

Celanese

$103.90

-0.04 (-0.04%)

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DNOW

NOW Inc.

$12.98

0.1 (0.78%)

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  • 25

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  • 01

    Nov

JOBS

51job

$58.50

0.01 (0.02%)

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HES

Hess Corp.

$43.63

0.17 (0.39%)

17:53
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Conference/Events
Hess Corp. management to meet with JPMorgan »

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  • 25

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    Sep

APC

Anadarko

$48.49

3.68 (8.21%)

17:43
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09/21
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17:43
Recommendations
Anadarko analyst commentary at MUFG »

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  • 27

    Sep

HCC

Warrior Met Coal

$23.28

-1.05 (-4.32%)

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MAA

MAA

$107.27

-0.03 (-0.03%)

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NOC

Northrop Grumman

$280.42

0.38 (0.14%)

17:31
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GD

General Dynamics

$205.72

1.45 (0.71%)

17:29
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AAN

Aaron's

$38.83

-0.39 (-0.99%)

17:19
09/21/17
09/21
17:19
09/21/17
17:19
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