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TWTR

Twitter

$20.06

-4.8075 (-19.33%)

, GOOG

Alphabet

$776.47

0.04 (0.01%)

10:40
10/06/16
10/06
10:40
10/06/16
10:40

Twitter plunges as suitor list thins, Citi questions price Salesforce could pay

Shares of Twitter (TWTR) are sliding after Recode reported that three major companies would likely not purchase the microblog service operator, namely Walt Disney (DIS), Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL) and Apple (AAPL). Salesforce (CRM) is said to continue to be interested in the company, and CNBC's David Faber says other suitors are considering bids as well. DISNEY, GOOGLE NOT INTERESTED: According to a news report by Recode, Disney has decided not to move forward with a takeover bid for Twitter. Additionally, the website said that Google is not going to bid for the social media company, while Apple is also unlikely to pursue a deal. SALESFORCE NOT THE ONLY BIDDER: Following Recode's report, CNBC's David Faber said companies other than Salesforce remain interested in exploring a takeover bid for Twitter. However, he was unable to name the companies interested, while reiterating his belief that Microsoft (MSFT) is not one of them. Further, he added that there is no timeline for Twitter bids, as other reports have suggested. CNBC's Jim Cramer also pointed out that he believes a price of $29 per share is what it will take to acquire Twitter. SIGNIFICANT CONSTRAINTS: While Citi analyst Walter Pritchard believes there is "very little reason" for Salesforce to own Twitter, he acknowledged a deal would be possible. However, he noted that such an acquisition would put "significant constraints" on the former for the next three-plus years and would pose a difficult decision for CEO Marc Benioff and the board. In order for Salesforce to avoid a shareholder vote, it would have to borrow $7.5B to fund the transaction if Twitter were valued at $20B, or $27.50-$28 per share, Pritchard told investors. This is a level that likely constrains Salesforce with little additional borrowing capacity for other deals, the analyst contended. Furthermore, he believes that if bidding goes higher than that amount, the deal would become "nearly impossible" to do. Nonetheless, Pritchard maintained his initial view that the earnings per share impact of Twitter is minimal, although deal structure, cost cuts and tax impact are unknown. The analyst reiterated a Buy rating and $89 price target on Salesforce's shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, shares of Twitter have dropped nearly 19% to $20.18. Since September 23, when CNBC's Faber first said that the microblog service operator was closer to selling itself, the company's stock has gained about 8% when accounting for today's decline. Meanwhile, Salesforce's shares have advanced more than 4% this morning, gaining back part of yesterday's losses.

TWTR

Twitter

$20.06

-4.8075 (-19.33%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$776.47

0.04 (0.01%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$801.23

-1.56 (-0.19%)

DIS

Disney

$93.39

0.94 (1.02%)

CRM

Salesforce

$71.30

2.88 (4.21%)

AAPL

Apple

$113.05

0.05 (0.04%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$57.64

0.4 (0.70%)

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TWTR Twitter
$20.06

-4.8075 (-19.33%)

10/06/16
BMOC
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
BMOC
Twitter acquisition would hurt Salesforce, says BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Keith Bachman says that an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) by Salesforce (CRM) would " offer little strategic fit, would slow revenue growth and would be dilutive to (free cash flow) margins." Bachman thinks that the deal would cause Salesforce's stock to drop significantly,. and he says that the company's stock would be worth $65 if it pulls the trigger on Twitter. The analyst says that Salesforce's current valuation is attractive if it does not buy Twitter. He keeps an $86 price target and Outperform rating on Salesforce.
10/06/16
COWN
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $100
COWN
Outperform
Salesforce shares should rebound with no Twitter deal, says Cowen
Cowen analyst J.Derrick Wood expects shares of Salesforce (CRM) to rebound if the company does not buy Twitter (TWTR), which he believes will not happen. The analyst believes investors will return to fundamentals and the analyst believes upside momentum in Salesforce's core business will return in Q3. Wood reiterated his Outperform rating and $100 price target on Salesforce shares.
10/06/16
BARD
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $90
BARD
Outperform
Salesforce shares should be bought, says Baird
Baird analyst Steven Ashley noted that Salesforce (CRM) CEO Mark Benioff said his company has all the customer data it needs, which he reads as meaning it would not need to make an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) purely for data. The analyst also said the company's board is acutely aware of their responsibility to shareholders when it comes to Salesforce's stock and the potential negative impact on shares that a Twitter deal could pose. Ashley reiterated his Outperform rating and $90 price target on Salesforce shares.
10/06/16
ROTH
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $103
ROTH
Buy
Salesforce should be bought on pullback, says Roth Capital
Roth Capital analyst Richard Baldry says Salesforce's (CRM) shares are down roughly 20% from their recent highs, pressured by rumors of a potential bid for Twitter (TWTR) and a recent revenue guidance increase for the second half of 2017 that was back-end loaded enough to leave his Q3 forecast lowered. However, the analyst believes the pullback offers investors an attractive entry point and advocates buying on weakness. Baldry reiterates a Buy rating and $103 price target on Salesforce's shares given the company's strong fundamentals and sector dominance.
GOOG Alphabet
$776.47

0.04 (0.01%)

09/28/16
MZHO
09/28/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $15
MZHO
Underperform
Mizuho cuts Twitter to Underperform with $15 price target
Mizuho analyst Neil Doshi downgraded Twitter to Underperform from Neutral based on valuation. The shares are up 45% since the company reported Q2 results, primarily driven by potential buyout comments in media reports, Doshi tells investors in a research note. The stock at current levels is overvalued as Twitter's business fundamentals "have deteriorated significantly" over the past 12 months, the analyst contends. Doshi believes many of the M&A scenarios are unlikely to play out. He puts potential acquirers Salesforce (CRM) and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) in the "maybe" camp, but he still has some reservations about these deals happening. The analyst believes investors of both companies would view a buyout of Twitter as negative. Doshi keeps a $15 price target for Twitter shares. The stock closed yesterday up 35c to $23.72. Loop Capital this morning also downgraded Twitter to Sell.
10/06/16
SBSH
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $89
SBSH
Buy
Citi says Salesforce buying Twitter 'nearly impossible' above $28/share
Citi analyst Walter Pritchard believes a Salesforce (CRM) acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) is possible financially but that such a deal would put "significant constraints" on the company for the next three-plus years. The analyst sees "very little reason" for Salesforce to own Twitter and feels the acquisition "would pose a difficult decision" for CEO Marc Benioff and the board. Salesforce closed yesterday down 6%, or $4.21, to $68.42. Recode reported last night that the company is likely the only bidder left for Twitter after Disney (DIS) and Alphabet (GOOG) opted not to pursue a deal while Apple (AAPL) is unlikely. Twitter in pre-market trading is down 14% to $21.50. In order for Salesforce to avoid a shareholder vote, it would have to borrow $7.5B to fund the transaction if Twitter were valued at $20B, or $27.50-$28 per share, Pritchard tells investors in a research note. This is a level that likely constrains the company with little additional borrowing capacity for other deals, the analyst contends. He thinks the deal is "nearly impossible to do" for Salesforce should the bidding for Twitter go above $20B or $28 per share. Pritchard has a Buy rating on Salesforce with an $89 price target.
09/27/16
WEDB
09/27/16
DOWNGRADE
WEDB
Underperform
Alphabet downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst James Dix downgraded Alphabet to Underperform and lowered his price target on shares to $700 on concerns the "Four Horsemen of the Search Apocalypse" -- self-identified consumers, consumer control of IP-delivered ads, payments innovation, and attention markets -- might arrive.
09/28/16
09/28/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Wedbush with analyst James Dix citing concerns that the "Four Horsemen of the Search Apocalypse" -- self-identified consumers, consumer control of IP-delivered ads, payments innovation, and attention markets -- might arrive. 2. AT&T (T) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS with analyst John Hodulik citing expectations for lower earnings growth. 3. Macy's (M) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse with analyst Michael Exstein saying the retailer, after outlining in August its operations and merchandising strategies, is now in an execution phase. 4. Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Mizuho and to Sell from Hold at Loop Capital. 5. Galectin Therapeutics (GALT) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Roth Capital with analyst Sa'ar Yaniv citing the company's announcement that NASH-FX, GR-MD-02's Phase 2a study in NASH fibrosis, failed both primary and secondary endpoints. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
GOOGL Alphabet Class A
$801.23

-1.56 (-0.19%)

09/30/16
RBCM
09/30/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Street underestimating Google growth outlook, says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Mark Mahaney expects Google to end 2016 with "up to 20% growth," versus the Street's outlook of mid teen percentage level growth. Mahaney says that Google's growth should be boosted by "ongoing Search innovations, rising Mobile CPCs, and the growing impact of YouTube, Play & Cloud." He thinks that YouTube's revenue is growing at a 30%-40% clip. Mahaney raised his price target on the stock to $1,025 from $1,000 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
DIS Disney
$93.39

0.94 (1.02%)

09/27/16
SBSH
09/27/16
NO CHANGE
Target $16
SBSH
Neutral
Citi sees 40% downside in Twitter with no takeover bid
Citi analyst Mark May believes Twitter's (TWTR) risk/reward skews to the downside following the recent rally in the shares. A buyout of the company carries "strategic rationale for certain companies," but Twitter's "struggles and steep valuation" make a deal at a meaningful premium less likely, May tells investors in a research note. A takeover at $26 per share looks aggressive, May contends. He believes the stock could retest the lows of late May, representing 40% downside from current levels, should an acquisition offer not materialize. The analyst keeps a Neutral rating on Twitter with a $16 price target. The shares closed yesterday up 75c to $23.37 following reports that Disney (DIS) may be joining the list of potential acquires that already includes Alphabet (GOOG) and Salesforce (CRM).
09/26/16
09/26/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Disney (DIS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Drexel Hamilton with analyst Tony Wible saying he believes a large step up in NBA costs, incremental subscribers losses, difficult studio comps, a riskier studio slate, and Shanghai cost pressures will weigh on fiscal 2017. 2. Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Underperform from Perform at Oppenheimer with analyst Jason Helfstein saying a media company is the most likely acquirer of Twitter and would not pay meaningfully more than the valuation implied by our price target. 3. RetailMeNot (SALE) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel with analyst Scott Devitt saying third party data indicates that the company's traffic trends have deteriorated recently. 4. Finish Line (FINL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Buckingham with the firm's analyst believing shares will be range bound in medium term due to high comp expectations, cost savings will be offset by incentive compensation and other investments, and less compelling valuation. 5. NetApp (NTAP) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Sherri Scribner saying secular challenges in the storage market are not reflected in NetApp's current valuation. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
09/28/16
SBSH
09/28/16
NO CHANGE
SBSH
Buy
Citi hopes Disney does not acquire Twitter
Citi analyst Jason Bazinet lays out four reasons for why he doesn't like Disney (DIS) pursuing an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR). Going back 15 years, the analyst can't think of a single web-based property that was successfully acquired by a traditional media firm. Two, he calls Twitter trends "troubling." Three, Bazinet estimates a cash offer would lower Disney's stock by $5 per share while an equity offer would drop its stock by $9. Four, the analyst feels it is unclear how Disney's content will help Twitter. Bazinet thinks both Yahoo (YHOO) and Twitter lost "significant money" when they streamed NFL content over the web. The analyst hopes Twitter is acquired by somebody other than Disney. He keeps a Buy rating on Disney shares. Both Loop Capital and Mizuho this morning downgraded Twitter to sell ratings.
CRM Salesforce
$71.30

2.88 (4.21%)

AAPL Apple
$113.05

0.05 (0.04%)

10/05/16
UBSW
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
Target $127
UBSW
Buy
Apple preparing for next era of personal technology, says UBS
UBS analyst Steve Milunovich notes his residual income model for Apple shows only small growth beyond three years. He believes the current share price reflects the slight annual declines but he thinks the cautious view would be incorrect because Apple is preparing for the next era of personal technology. Milunovich calls the next phase the Ambient Paradigm, which will require hardware, software, and orchestration to provide a seamless experience across all consumer devices. The Apple Watch, AirPods, and possibly other wearables will eventually impact industries such as healthcare and education and could be the next scarcity, said Milunovich, who reiterated his Buy rating and $127 price target on Apple shares.
10/06/16
RBCM
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Apple has positive read through from Dialog results, says RBC Capital
After Dialog issued a positive preannouncement due to higher than expected Mobile Services revenue, RBC Capital analyst Amit Daryanani thinks that the Dialog results should comfort Apple investors heading into that company's September quarter results. The analyst notes that Apple accounts for 75%-80% of Dialog's revenue. He keeps a $125 price target and Outperform rating on Apple.
10/06/16
ADAM
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $140
ADAM
Buy
Apple iPhone 7 demand remains healthy, says Canaccord
Canaccord analyst T. Michael Walkley said channel checks show demand for iPhone 7 remains healthy with an ongoing strong mix leading to higher selling prices. The analyst believes the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6s products enabled Apple to materially increase its market share and installed base of the premium tier smartphone market. Walkley reiterate his Buy rating and $140 price target on Apple shares.
MSFT Microsoft
$57.64

0.4 (0.70%)

10/06/16
OPCO
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Microsoft, Amazon well positioned to enable cloud, AI trends, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes that machine learning and artificial intelligence have been use to improve applications and acceleration of infrastructure builds, with "intelligent software" designed to make lives easier and more productive. Further, the analyst sees communications and cloud services continuing to converge, with infrastructure and data as key components to AI. Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) Web Service are well positioned to enable these trends, he contends, adding that he see colocation providers, such as Equinix (EQIX) and Interxion (INXN), and networking companies like Zayo Group (ZAYO) GTT Communications (GTT) as beneficiaries.
09/13/16
PACS
09/13/16
NO CHANGE
PACS
Microsoft cloud revenue could triple in four years, says Pacific Crest
Pacific Crest analyst Brent Bracelin says that Microsoft's cloud revenue "has the potential to triple in four years to $40B plus." The analyst thinks that the company could use artificial technology to create new "smart applications." He says the shares could exceed their all-time high of $58.72 and keeps a $65 price target and Overweight rating on the stock.
09/23/16
RHCO
09/23/16
NO CHANGE
RHCO
Buy
SunTrust says Twitter would help Salesforce deal with Microsoft
SunTrust analyst John Rizzuto believes a potential acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) could give Salesforce (CRM) a "strong external social platform" that can enhance its ecosystem while addressing the longer-term threat from Microsoft (MSFT). With less than $2B of cash on hand, Salesforce would need to raise much of the required capital as equity with a smaller debt component, Rizzuto tells investors in a research note. The analyst remains positive on Salesforce shares with a Buy rating. CNBC's David Faber reported earlier today that Twitter is getting closer to a sale and he named Salesforce as one of the potential suitors. Salesforce is down 5% to $70.69 while Twitter is up 19% to $22.12 in afternoon trading.
09/26/16
CANT
09/26/16
NO CHANGE
Target $42
CANT
Buy
Yelp takeout chances increased with share conversion, says Cantor
Yelp's (YELP) conversion of Class B super-voting shares into regular Class A shares late last week increases the company's takeout potential, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Youssef Squali tells investors in a research note. Yelp, especially following recent improvements in the underlying growth fundamentals of the business, has become "an easier, and more likely" acquisition target, the analyst contends. The analyst views Facebook (FB), Priceline (PCLN), TripAdvisor (TRIP) and Microsoft (MSFT) as potential acquirers of Yelp. Squali estimates Yelp could be worth $53 per share in a takeout. He keeps a Buy rating on the stock with a $42 price target. The stock is up 2% to $40.35 in early trading.

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MGP

MGM Growth

$24.60

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Gaming and Leisure Properties

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$24.60

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Gaming and Leisure Properties

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Boyd Gaming

$19.63

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$70.14

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Western Digital

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Micron

$19.06

0.45 (2.42%)

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03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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ZURVY

Zurich Insurance

$26.82

0.365 (1.38%)

05:01
12/07/16
12/07
05:01
12/07/16
05:01
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Zurich Insurance rating change  »

Zurich Insurance upgraded…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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AV

Aviva

$11.86

0.36 (3.13%)

05:00
12/07/16
12/07
05:00
12/07/16
05:00
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Aviva rating change  »

Aviva upgraded to…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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BHP

BHP Billiton

$38.34

-0.4 (-1.03%)

04:58
12/07/16
12/07
04:58
12/07/16
04:58
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BHP Billiton rating change  »

BHP Billiton downgraded…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 07

    Dec

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