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CMCSK

Comcast

, VIA

Viacom

$41.37

-1.34 (-3.14%)

12:36
10/07/16
10/07
12:36
10/07/16
12:36

Box Office Battle: 'Girl on the Train' expected to run away with weekend

Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) subsidiary Universal Pictures and DreamWorks Pictures' "The Girl on the Train," based on the best selling mystery thriller novel, is opening at 3,135 screens this weekend, and is expected to domestically gross between $26.5M-$28.5M. Fox's (FOX, FOXA) "Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children," based on the novel by Ransom Riggs and starring Eva Green and Asa Butterfield, is expected to earn in the range of $14M-$15M in its second weekend at theaters. Lionsgate's (LGF) disaster movie "Deepwater Horizon," starring Mark Wahlberg, Kurt Russell, and Kate Hudson, is expected to earn in the range of $11M-$11.5M in its second weekend at theaters. Also opening this weekend is Fox Searchlight's "The Birth of a Nation," which is playing at 2,100 theaters and expected to earn $8M-$9M. Time Warner's (TWX) Warner Bros. Animation's animated family film "Storks," from the studio that made "The LEGO Movie," is expected to earn an additional $7M-$8M in its third weekend of release. Other publicly traded companies in film making include Disney (DIS), Sony (SNE), and Viacom (VIA, VIAB).

CMCSK

Comcast

VIA

Viacom

$41.37

-1.34 (-3.14%)

VIAB

Viacom

$36.62

-1.12 (-2.97%)

CMCSA

Comcast

$65.41

-0.39 (-0.59%)

SNE

Sony

$32.33

-0.39 (-1.19%)

FOXA

21st Century Fox

$24.53

-0.13 (-0.53%)

FOX

21st Century Fox

$24.91

-0.105 (-0.42%)

DIS

Disney

$92.32

-0.51 (-0.55%)

TWX

Time Warner

$78.90

-0.76 (-0.95%)

LGF

Lionsgate

$20.98

-0.22 (-1.04%)

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CMCSK Comcast

08/22/16
PIPR
08/22/16
NO CHANGE
Target $27
PIPR
Overweight
Piper Jaffray confident in Comcast signing with Rovi
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson notes that Rovi (ROVI) announced a 10-year renewal with DISH (DISH) and while the terms were not disclosed, economics should be similar to recent deals, likely in the range of 21c-22c per subscriber per month. With DISH in the fold, nine of the ten major U.S. TV service providers now license Rovi guide patents, the analyst said, with Comcast (CMCSA; CMCSK) remaining the lone holdout. Olson believes discussions with Comcast are at the economic level, and is confident in Comcast signing, potentially in the first half of 2017. He reiterates an Overweight rating and $27 price target on Rovi's shares.
08/22/16
JPMS
08/22/16
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Overweight
DISH renewal a major positive for Rovi, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Sterling Auty said he views Rovi's (ROVI) newly-announced 10-year contract renewal with DISH Networks (DISH) as a "major positive" that should help Rovi's position to complete its renewal with Comcast (CMCSA), which is the only top 10 pay-TV provider not currently under contract with the company. The announcement language suggests pricing "somewhere just above" that given to AT&T (T) and the duration of the deal validates the longevity of the patent portfolio, said Auty, who keeps an Overweight rating on Rovi shares.
07/11/16
OPCO
07/11/16
NO CHANGE
Target $70
OPCO
Outperform
Comcast remains 'most attractive' large-cap, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan says Comcast remains the "most attractive" large-cap for remainder of the year, with its shares offering attractive upside despite the "strong performance" year to date. The company's unsurpassed broadband and public Wi-Fi networks indicate "strong sub trends" in 2016-2017, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Furthermore, he points out that its advertising revenues are "strong" helped by Olympics and political advertising as well as Cable. Oppenheimer has an Outperform rating and $70 price target on the shares.
09/26/16
UBSW
09/26/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Consumer satisfaction with competitors has caught up to Netflix, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said that the firm's Evidence Lab survey indicated that U.S. consumer satisfaction with Amazon Prime Video (AMZN) and Hulu - the joint venture owned by Time Warner (TWX), Comcast (CMCSA), 21st Century Fox (FOXA), and Disney (DIS) - has now caught up to Netflix (NFLX), advising that investors should "continue to monitor competitive threats closely" as Netflix leads the category but demand for consumer media time, attention and wallet has intensified. The analyst, who added that Netflix's "pricing power remains unclear" based on the firm's survey work, keeps a Neutral rating and $92 price target on Netflix shares.
VIA Viacom
$41.37

-1.34 (-3.14%)

10/04/16
UBSW
10/04/16
UPGRADE
Target $66
UBSW
Buy
CBS upgraded to Buy at UBS
As reported previously, UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson upgraded CBS (CBS) to Buy from Sell. The analyst sees any deal with Viacom (VIA) as priced into CBS shares already. He also has increased confidence in consensus estimates for CBS and sees further upside if the national TV ad market and CBS' ratings remain strong. Mitchelson raised his price target to $66 from $52 on CBS shares.
09/22/16
TLSY
09/22/16
DOWNGRADE
TLSY
Market Perform
CBS downgraded on likely Viacom merger at Telsey Advisory
As noted earlier, Telsey downgraded CBS (CBS) to Market Perform from Outperform. Analyst Tom Eagan says that CBS will probably merge with Viacom (VIA, VIAB). The analyst believes that it will take "years" for Viacom to be turned around, and he says that Viacom's fiscal 2017 EBITDA will come in 18% below its fiscal 2015 level. The analyst expects the company's credit rating to be downgraded by S&P. CBS target to $57 from $67.
09/20/16
WELS
09/20/16
NO CHANGE
WELS
Viacom dividend likely to be eliminated, says Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo says that the market is expecting Viacom (VIA,VIAB) to cut its dividend by 50%. However, Wells Fargo says that the company will eliminate its entire dividend within tow months from now. The firm says that a 50% cut would enable Viacom to barely make its debt payments for the next year but still leave it "with limited financial visibility running at break-even with no cushion." The firm thinks that the company needs at least some cash cushion. It does not expect the company to merge with CBS (CBS) and keeps an Underperform rating on Viacom.
09/20/16
BMUR
09/20/16
NO CHANGE
Target $65
BMUR
Buy
Brean Capital says merger between Viacom and CBS is quite possible
Brean Capital analyst Alan Gould believes a merger between Viacom (VIA) and CBS (CBS) is quite possible. In such a scenario, the analyst sees Viacom buying CBS, which would allow for a greater premium to CBS shareholders, but he added there is also the possibility of CBS doing the buying. Gould believes a merger would be the best way to maximize returns for both shareholders. He also believes such a merger could already be discounted in the shares. Gould rates CBS a Buy with a $65 price target.
VIAB Viacom
$36.62

-1.12 (-2.97%)

09/22/16
FBCO
09/22/16
NO CHANGE
Target $42
FBCO
Outperform
Viacom price target lowered to $42 from $53 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analsyt Omar Sheikh lowered Viacom estimates driven by lower forecasts for Paramount and reduced its price target to $42 from $53. The analyst believes management changes make the long-term earnings recovery from a potential restructuring of Cable Networks and a return of Paramount profitability more likely and maintains his Outperform rating.
09/21/16
WDLK
09/21/16
NO CHANGE
Target $65
WDLK
Viacom price target lowered to $65 from $82 at Wunderlich
CMCSA Comcast
$65.41

-0.39 (-0.59%)

09/27/16
PIVT
09/27/16
NO CHANGE
PIVT
Comcast should report 'strong' Q3 results, says Pivotal Research
Pivotal Research analyst Jeffrey Wlodarczak expects Comcast to report "strong" Q3 results, with flat video subscriber additions, a 330,000 increase in data subscribers, an Olympics-driven 17% increase in NBC revenue ,and a total, slightly below consensus EBITDA gain of 7%. The analyst says that the stock's valuation is "very attractive." He raised his price target on the name to $90 from $81 to reflect a transition to year-end 2017 estimates and reiterates a Buy rating.
SNE Sony
$32.33

-0.39 (-1.19%)

09/09/16
PIPR
09/09/16
NO CHANGE
PIPR
August NPD video game software sales rose 1%, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says August NPD video game software sales were up 1% year-over-year, driven by Sony (SNE) publishing No Man's Sky and Electronic Arts' (EA) Madden NFL 17. The data are most positive for Activision Blizzard (ATVI), which continued to benefit from sell-through of incremental title Overwatch, Olson tells investors in a research note. He believes the monthly numbers are largely irrelevant for Take-Two (TTWO), since NBA 2K17 is due out in September, and GameStop (GME), since the company announced October quarter guidance at the end of August.
08/24/16
STFL
08/24/16
NO CHANGE
STFL
Ambarella Q2 revenue guidance could beat expectations, says Stifel
Stifel analyst Kevin Cassidy says he is "cautiously optimistic" that Ambarella's (AMBA) Q2 revenue guidance will come in above expectations. The company was worried about whether Sony (SNE) would be able to meet demand for its sensors used in high end surveillance cameras, but recent checks show that it was able to do so, the analyst stated. Additionally, Ambarella's Q3 guidance should project year-over-year growth, given GoPro's (GPRO) initial Hero 5 builds, according to Cassidy. He keeps an $86 price target and Buy rating on Ambarella.
08/18/16
PIPR
08/18/16
NO CHANGE
Target $41
PIPR
Overweight
Piper Jaffray bullish on GameStop ahead of quarterly results
With GameStop (GME) scheduled to report results next week, Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson sees potential for slight July quarter upside driven by May launches of Sony's (SNE) Uncharted 4 and Activision's (ATVI) Overwatch. Further, the analyst expects largely unchanged fiscal year guide, and anticipates improving software growth in the second half of the year, driven by easier comps and a next-generation console footprint that he believes is over 60M units. Olson reiterates an Overweight rating and $41 price target on GameStop's shares.
07/06/16
07/06/16
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. TASER (TASR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at CL King with analyst George Godfrey citing strong organic growth, a leading position in body cameras, low international market exposure, accelerating earnings growth and margin expansion, and weapons segment opportunity growth. 2. Sony (SNE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Hiroshi Taguchi saying the company's shipment growth will likely exceed expectations. 3. U.S. Steel (X) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank with analyst Jorge Beristain citing his firm's improved steel price outlook as well as the company's' balance sheet refinancing. 4. SunPower (SPWR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS with Julien Dumoulin-Smith citing valuation, a strong technology track record and product development, early indications that utility scale margins are proving more intact versus expectations, and a solid balance sheet. 5. Royal Gold (RGLD) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James and to Buy from Neutral at Dundee. Raymond James analyst Phil Russo upgraded Royal Gold to Outperform and increased his price target to $85 from $72 following amended terms at Mt Milligan with new operator Centerra Gold. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
FOXA 21st Century Fox
$24.53

-0.13 (-0.53%)

09/16/16
BERN
09/16/16
DOWNGRADE
BERN
Market Perform
21st Century Fox downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein
09/16/16
BERN
09/16/16
DOWNGRADE
BERN
Market Perform
21st Century Fox downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein
As noted earlier, Bernstein downgraded 21st Century Fox to Market Perform from Outperform. Analyst Jason Park based the downgrade on a reduction in his estimates for the company's Star India business. However, he thinks the company faces many other risks, including lower domestic affiliate fees, lower overseas advertising revenue, and higher cable network expenses. Additionally, he thinks that investors will remain skeptical about the stock even if the company beats his estimates. Target $26.
09/16/16
09/16/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. 21st Century Fox (FOX, FOXA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein with analyst Jason Park citing a reduction in his estimates for the company's Star India business. 2. Wells Fargo (WFC) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities. 3. Citi (C) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman with analyst Richard Ramsden saying Citi's expected earnings inflection has failed to materialize and ROEs are at 7.7%, well below management's 10% target. 4. McCormick (MKC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein with analyst Alexia Howard citing valuation. 5. Novavax (NVAX) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray, to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg, to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush, and to Neutral from Buy at Citi. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
FOX 21st Century Fox
$24.91

-0.105 (-0.42%)

09/15/16
BERN
09/15/16
DOWNGRADE
BERN
Market Perform
21st Century Fox downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein
09/06/16
RHCO
09/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $18
RHCO
Neutral
SunTrust sees 'limited' list of Twitter suitors, says activist action unlikely
SunTrust analyst Robert Peck reiterated his belief that Twitter (TWTR) is unlikely to sell itself in 2016 in a new note to investors, but noted that investors have asked him who would be interested if Twitter were open to a sale. While giving his opinion on potential acquirers - which he sees possibly including Google (GOOG), Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), AT&T (T), Verizon (VZ), Disney (DIS), Fox (FOXA), and Alibaba (BABA) - Peck said the company's high price and "unique" asset limit the potential buyers and gave his view that a PE buyer is highly unlikely given the company's lack of free cash flow. Additionally, Peck thinks activist action at Twitter seems "extremely unlikely" despite "unsubstantiated investor conjecture" and media reports. The analyst keeps Neutral rating and $18 price target on Twitter shares.
DIS Disney
$92.32

-0.51 (-0.55%)

09/28/16
SBSH
09/28/16
NO CHANGE
SBSH
Buy
Citi hopes Disney does not acquire Twitter
Citi analyst Jason Bazinet lays out four reasons for why he doesn't like Disney (DIS) pursuing an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR). Going back 15 years, the analyst can't think of a single web-based property that was successfully acquired by a traditional media firm. Two, he calls Twitter trends "troubling." Three, Bazinet estimates a cash offer would lower Disney's stock by $5 per share while an equity offer would drop its stock by $9. Four, the analyst feels it is unclear how Disney's content will help Twitter. Bazinet thinks both Yahoo (YHOO) and Twitter lost "significant money" when they streamed NFL content over the web. The analyst hopes Twitter is acquired by somebody other than Disney. He keeps a Buy rating on Disney shares. Both Loop Capital and Mizuho this morning downgraded Twitter to sell ratings.
09/27/16
SBSH
09/27/16
NO CHANGE
Target $16
SBSH
Neutral
Citi sees 40% downside in Twitter with no takeover bid
Citi analyst Mark May believes Twitter's (TWTR) risk/reward skews to the downside following the recent rally in the shares. A buyout of the company carries "strategic rationale for certain companies," but Twitter's "struggles and steep valuation" make a deal at a meaningful premium less likely, May tells investors in a research note. A takeover at $26 per share looks aggressive, May contends. He believes the stock could retest the lows of late May, representing 40% downside from current levels, should an acquisition offer not materialize. The analyst keeps a Neutral rating on Twitter with a $16 price target. The shares closed yesterday up 75c to $23.37 following reports that Disney (DIS) may be joining the list of potential acquires that already includes Alphabet (GOOG) and Salesforce (CRM).
09/26/16
09/26/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Disney (DIS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Drexel Hamilton with analyst Tony Wible saying he believes a large step up in NBA costs, incremental subscribers losses, difficult studio comps, a riskier studio slate, and Shanghai cost pressures will weigh on fiscal 2017. 2. Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Underperform from Perform at Oppenheimer with analyst Jason Helfstein saying a media company is the most likely acquirer of Twitter and would not pay meaningfully more than the valuation implied by our price target. 3. RetailMeNot (SALE) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel with analyst Scott Devitt saying third party data indicates that the company's traffic trends have deteriorated recently. 4. Finish Line (FINL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Buckingham with the firm's analyst believing shares will be range bound in medium term due to high comp expectations, cost savings will be offset by incentive compensation and other investments, and less compelling valuation. 5. NetApp (NTAP) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Sherri Scribner saying secular challenges in the storage market are not reflected in NetApp's current valuation. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/06/16
SBSH
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $89
SBSH
Buy
Citi says Salesforce buying Twitter 'nearly impossible' above $28/share
Citi analyst Walter Pritchard believes a Salesforce (CRM) acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) is possible financially but that such a deal would put "significant constraints" on the company for the next three-plus years. The analyst sees "very little reason" for Salesforce to own Twitter and feels the acquisition "would pose a difficult decision" for CEO Marc Benioff and the board. Salesforce closed yesterday down 6%, or $4.21, to $68.42. Recode reported last night that the company is likely the only bidder left for Twitter after Disney (DIS) and Alphabet (GOOG) opted not to pursue a deal while Apple (AAPL) is unlikely. Twitter in pre-market trading is down 14% to $21.50. In order for Salesforce to avoid a shareholder vote, it would have to borrow $7.5B to fund the transaction if Twitter were valued at $20B, or $27.50-$28 per share, Pritchard tells investors in a research note. This is a level that likely constrains the company with little additional borrowing capacity for other deals, the analyst contends. He thinks the deal is "nearly impossible to do" for Salesforce should the bidding for Twitter go above $20B or $28 per share. Pritchard has a Buy rating on Salesforce with an $89 price target.
TWX Time Warner
$78.90

-0.76 (-0.95%)

07/26/16
07/26/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Disney (DIS) and Time Warner (TWX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital with analyst Barton Crocket saying Disney's stock "will struggle to deliver much upside" from current levels. The analyst lowered his price target for the shares to $108 from $111. The analyst downgraded Time Warner citing valuation. 2. Chipotle (CMG) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel with analyst Paul Westra citing the firm's belief that the U.S. economy will probably enter a recession within nine months. 3. Whole Foods (WFM) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman with analyst Stephen Tanal saying Whole Foods is losing share in its core natural and organic business to a variety of competitors that have raised the bar and driven a consistent deceleration in Whole Foods' same-store-sales and its first negative comps in the fourth quarter of 2016 since 2009. 4. BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Stifel with analyst Paul Westra citing the firm's belief that the U.S. economy will probably enter a recession within nine months. 5. Yahoo (YHOO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley with analysts led by Brian Nowak saying shares going forward will solely be viewed as a trading vehicle for its 15% Alibaba (BABA) stake with the investment thesis related to shares closing the estimated 39% liquidity discount to fair market value. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
07/26/16
FBRC
07/26/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $81
FBRC
Market Perform
Time Warner downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital
FBR Capital analyst Barton Crockett downgraded Time Warner to Market Perform citing valuation with the stock within 3% of his unchanged $81 price target. The analyst is also skeptical that the recent election-driven ratings strength at CNN can persist into next year.
08/04/16
WDLK
08/04/16
NO CHANGE
Target $106
WDLK
Time Warner price target raised to $106 from $95 at Wunderlich
LGF Lionsgate
$20.98

-0.22 (-1.04%)

10/06/16
FBNS
10/06/16
INITIATION
Target $69.24
FBNS
Outperform
AMC Networks initiated with an Outperform at FBN Securities
FBN Securities analyst Robert Routh initiated AMC Networks (AMCX) with an Outperform rating and a fair value estimate of $69.24. Routh calls AMC Networks "very attractive" as a possible takeover target, as he believes it could fit well with either the soon-to-be-combined Lionsgate (LGF)-Starz (STRZA) or with AT&T's (T) DTV division. Routh added that reports have indicated that AT&T is looking to grow its portfolio of TV content through deals.
09/30/16
PIPR
09/30/16
NO CHANGE
Target $30
PIPR
Overweight
Lionsgate's Deepwater Horizon tracking for soft opening weekend
Piper Jaffray analyst Stan Meyers says Lionsgate's Deepwater Horizon film is tracking to open lighter than expected. Deepwater was expected to be one of top three films for Lionsgate in FY17 with initial domestic box office expectations in $80M-plus territory, but consensus expectations over the past few months have come down to the $60M level, Meyers tells investors in a research note. He notes the film is tracking to open in the $16M-$20M range this weekend, slightly below the $20M expectations. Meyers expects "some near-term headwinds" for Lionsgate shares, but he sees an attractive entry point ahead of the Starz integration. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating on Lionsgate with a $30 price target.
09/23/16
PACS
09/23/16
NO CHANGE
PACS
Lionsgate Starz renewal 'better than feared but not great,' says Pacific Crest
After Liongate's (LGF) Starz announced a multi-year renewal of its deal with AT&T/DirectTV (T), Pacific Crest analysts Evan Wingren and Andy Hargreaves estimate that the agreement implies a roughly 20% decline in annual revenue compared with the previous deal. The analyst warns investors to expect similar pricing declines going forward unless Lionsgate can improve Starz's programming and integrate the asset.
09/19/16
BMUR
09/19/16
NO CHANGE
Target $27
BMUR
Buy
Lionsgate weakness would be buying opportunity, says Brean Capital
Brean Capital analyst Alan Gould said Lionsgate shares could be weak following the disappointing opening weekend for "Blair Witch" in theaters. The analyst believes any weakness is a buying opportunity. Gould cited his respect for management and its ability to execute on acquisitions. He also sees the company becoming a roll-up up vehicle for John Malone and entertainment companies. Gould reiterated his Buy rating and $27 price target on Lionsgate shares.

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