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NFLX

Netflix

$104.82

-0.25 (-0.24%)

, AAPL

Apple

$114.06

0.17 (0.15%)

06:05
10/10/16
10/10
06:05
10/10/16
06:05

Deutsche sees Netflix takeover as unlikely, starts shares at Sell

Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft initiated shares of Netflix (NFLX) with a Sell rating and $90 price target. The stock closed Friday down 25c to $104.82. The risk/reward is unattractive as consensus expectations reflect an "optimistic case," Kraft tells investors in a research note. Market expectations appear too high through 2020, the analyst contends. He also expresses skepticism that Netflix will be acquired. The business is "too fully formed" and valued to be acquired by Disney (DIS) and Apple (AAPL), Kraft writes. He also sees Amazon.com (AMZN) as a competitive risk to Netflix.

NFLX

Netflix

$104.82

-0.25 (-0.24%)

AAPL

Apple

$114.06

0.17 (0.15%)

DIS

Disney

$92.49

-0.34 (-0.37%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$839.43

-2.23 (-0.26%)

  • 17

    Oct

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    Nov

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    Mar

NFLX Netflix
$104.82

-0.25 (-0.24%)

10/10/16
DBAB
10/10/16
INITIATION
Target $90
DBAB
Sell
Netflix initiated with a Sell at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft started shares of Netflix with a Sell rating and $90 price target.
10/05/16
10/05/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) initiated with a Buy at Loop Capital. 2. AB InBev (BUD) coverage resumed with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley. 3. Flowers Foods (FLO) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson. 4. Blue Buffalo Pet Products (BUFF) initiated with a Buy at DA Davidson. 5. 58.com (WUBA) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/05/16
10/05/16
NO CHANGE

Bernstein sees no 'compelling rationale' for Apple buying Netflix
Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi says he does not see a "compelling rationale" for Apple (AAPL) acquiring Netflix (NFLX). The steaming service has recently been the subject of takeover speculation, with Disney (DIS) mentioned as a possible suitor. Buying Netflix to run exclusively on Apple's operating service and AppleTV is "not a value-creating thesis and could not possibly justify a $50B price tag," Sacconaghi tells investors in a research note. Apple could buy Netflix and continue to run it as it does today, but that "would be highly out of character" for the iPhone maker, the analyst contends. Sacconaghi believes Apple could get much of the benefit of a services offering with much less upfront risk by partnering with Netflix, rather than acquiring it. He sees a partnership as more likely than a takeover. Further, Sacconaghi thinks a potential a partnership or acquisition by Apple does not justify owning Netflix since a deal is very hard to predict. The analyst has an Outperform rating on Apple and an Underpeform rating on Netflix. He has a $62 price target for Netflix shares. The streaming service closed yesterday down 29c to $102.34.
10/04/16
LOOP
10/04/16
INITIATION
LOOP
Buy
Netflix initiated with a Buy at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst David Miller initiated Netflix with a Buy and a $125 price target.
AAPL Apple
$114.06

0.17 (0.15%)

10/06/16
ADAM
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $140
ADAM
Buy
Apple iPhone 7 demand remains healthy, says Canaccord
Canaccord analyst T. Michael Walkley said channel checks show demand for iPhone 7 remains healthy with an ongoing strong mix leading to higher selling prices. The analyst believes the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6s products enabled Apple to materially increase its market share and installed base of the premium tier smartphone market. Walkley reiterate his Buy rating and $140 price target on Apple shares.
10/06/16
RBCM
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Apple has positive read through from Dialog results, says RBC Capital
After Dialog issued a positive preannouncement due to higher than expected Mobile Services revenue, RBC Capital analyst Amit Daryanani thinks that the Dialog results should comfort Apple investors heading into that company's September quarter results. The analyst notes that Apple accounts for 75%-80% of Dialog's revenue. He keeps a $125 price target and Outperform rating on Apple.
10/07/16
RBCM
10/07/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Apple average selling prices could beat expectations, says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Amit Daryanani says that his analysis indicates that the average selling prices of Apple's iPhone 7 could significantly exceed Street expectations. Stronger demand for the "plus" model versus the last two years, along with the fact that Apple is charging a $120 premium for the "plus" model versus a $100 premium historically, should boost average selling prices, the analyst stated. He thinks that Apple's September quarter revenue could beat expectations by a "modest" amount, while the company's December quarter guidance could be "materially ahead of Street expectations." He keeps a $125 price target and Outperform rating on the stock.
10/06/16
SBSH
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $89
SBSH
Buy
Citi says Salesforce buying Twitter 'nearly impossible' above $28/share
Citi analyst Walter Pritchard believes a Salesforce (CRM) acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) is possible financially but that such a deal would put "significant constraints" on the company for the next three-plus years. The analyst sees "very little reason" for Salesforce to own Twitter and feels the acquisition "would pose a difficult decision" for CEO Marc Benioff and the board. Salesforce closed yesterday down 6%, or $4.21, to $68.42. Recode reported last night that the company is likely the only bidder left for Twitter after Disney (DIS) and Alphabet (GOOG) opted not to pursue a deal while Apple (AAPL) is unlikely. Twitter in pre-market trading is down 14% to $21.50. In order for Salesforce to avoid a shareholder vote, it would have to borrow $7.5B to fund the transaction if Twitter were valued at $20B, or $27.50-$28 per share, Pritchard tells investors in a research note. This is a level that likely constrains the company with little additional borrowing capacity for other deals, the analyst contends. He thinks the deal is "nearly impossible to do" for Salesforce should the bidding for Twitter go above $20B or $28 per share. Pritchard has a Buy rating on Salesforce with an $89 price target.
DIS Disney
$92.49

-0.34 (-0.37%)

09/28/16
SBSH
09/28/16
NO CHANGE
SBSH
Buy
Citi hopes Disney does not acquire Twitter
Citi analyst Jason Bazinet lays out four reasons for why he doesn't like Disney (DIS) pursuing an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR). Going back 15 years, the analyst can't think of a single web-based property that was successfully acquired by a traditional media firm. Two, he calls Twitter trends "troubling." Three, Bazinet estimates a cash offer would lower Disney's stock by $5 per share while an equity offer would drop its stock by $9. Four, the analyst feels it is unclear how Disney's content will help Twitter. Bazinet thinks both Yahoo (YHOO) and Twitter lost "significant money" when they streamed NFL content over the web. The analyst hopes Twitter is acquired by somebody other than Disney. He keeps a Buy rating on Disney shares. Both Loop Capital and Mizuho this morning downgraded Twitter to sell ratings.
09/26/16
09/26/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Disney (DIS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Drexel Hamilton with analyst Tony Wible saying he believes a large step up in NBA costs, incremental subscribers losses, difficult studio comps, a riskier studio slate, and Shanghai cost pressures will weigh on fiscal 2017. 2. Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Underperform from Perform at Oppenheimer with analyst Jason Helfstein saying a media company is the most likely acquirer of Twitter and would not pay meaningfully more than the valuation implied by our price target. 3. RetailMeNot (SALE) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel with analyst Scott Devitt saying third party data indicates that the company's traffic trends have deteriorated recently. 4. Finish Line (FINL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Buckingham with the firm's analyst believing shares will be range bound in medium term due to high comp expectations, cost savings will be offset by incentive compensation and other investments, and less compelling valuation. 5. NetApp (NTAP) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Sherri Scribner saying secular challenges in the storage market are not reflected in NetApp's current valuation. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
09/27/16
SBSH
09/27/16
NO CHANGE
Target $16
SBSH
Neutral
Citi sees 40% downside in Twitter with no takeover bid
Citi analyst Mark May believes Twitter's (TWTR) risk/reward skews to the downside following the recent rally in the shares. A buyout of the company carries "strategic rationale for certain companies," but Twitter's "struggles and steep valuation" make a deal at a meaningful premium less likely, May tells investors in a research note. A takeover at $26 per share looks aggressive, May contends. He believes the stock could retest the lows of late May, representing 40% downside from current levels, should an acquisition offer not materialize. The analyst keeps a Neutral rating on Twitter with a $16 price target. The shares closed yesterday up 75c to $23.37 following reports that Disney (DIS) may be joining the list of potential acquires that already includes Alphabet (GOOG) and Salesforce (CRM).
AMZN Amazon.com
$839.43

-2.23 (-0.26%)

10/06/16
OPCO
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Microsoft, Amazon well positioned to enable cloud, AI trends, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes that machine learning and artificial intelligence have been use to improve applications and acceleration of infrastructure builds, with "intelligent software" designed to make lives easier and more productive. Further, the analyst sees communications and cloud services continuing to converge, with infrastructure and data as key components to AI. Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) Web Service are well positioned to enable these trends, he contends, adding that he see colocation providers, such as Equinix (EQIX) and Interxion (INXN), and networking companies like Zayo Group (ZAYO) GTT Communications (GTT) as beneficiaries.
10/05/16
RHCO
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
Target $850
RHCO
Neutral
Amazon.com price target raised to $850 from $800 at SunTrust
SunTrust analyst Robert Peck continues to think Amazon will benefit from the Prime flywheel, higher third-party adoption, and secular Web Services growth, but he keeps a Neutral rating on the stock, citing the positive assumptions already "baked into" Street expectations, rising competition, its high capital intensity and tough comps. The analyst raised his price target on Amazon shares to $850 from $800.
10/05/16
MKMP
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
MKMP
Buy
Reported VMware pact with Amazon a positive, says MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Kevin Buttigieg noted the Fortune report claiming that VMware (VMW) will soon announce a cloud partnership with Amazon Web Services (AMZN). Such an agreement with Amazon would be positive for VMware, as it will signal their confidence in their ability to sell software for use on-premise and underscore a belief that public cloud is unlikely to assume all workloads. The firm has a Buy rating on VMware shares.
10/05/16
MSCO
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
Target $950
MSCO
Overweight
Amazon.com price target raised to $950 from $800 at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak raised Amazon.com's price target to $950 from $800 to reflect the continued ramp in Prime subscribers. The analyst said Amazon's Prime subscribers are now at 60M members and he expects Prime subscriber spending to be approximately 4.5X that of non-Prime users. Nowak raised his 2017 CSOI estimate by 4% to $530M to reflect a larger gross profit pool that more than offsets higher streaming content costs and a large expected fulfillment build in 2017. The analyst recommends buying Amazon on any investor sentiment swings due to potential below Street Q1 2017 guidance in January and maintains his Overweight rating.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

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Comcast

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LGF.B

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DIS

Disney

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FOX

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FOXA

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VIA

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WAT

Waters

$156.40

1.51 (0.97%)

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CR

Crane

$73.21

1.18 (1.64%)

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DBOEY

Deutsche Boerse

$8.60

-0.045 (-0.52%)

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BCO

Brink's

$52.00

0.7 (1.36%)

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XOM

Exxon Mobil

$81.08

-0.7 (-0.86%)

16:28
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TXMD

TherapeuticsMD

$5.84

0.2 (3.55%)

16:22
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MYL

Mylan

$42.16

-0.17 (-0.40%)

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MCD

McDonald's

$128.65

0.38 (0.30%)

16:16
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HSY

Hershey

$108.90

0.25 (0.23%)

16:13
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SSNLF

Samsung

, FB

Facebook

$135.44

0.08 (0.06%)

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SSNLF

Samsung

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SSNLF

Samsung

, HAR

Harman

$111.44

0.34 (0.31%)

16:06
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EFX

Equifax

$129.38

0.16 (0.12%)

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MRK

Merck

$66.16

0.31 (0.47%)

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EFX

Equifax

$129.38

0.16 (0.12%)

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  • 28

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NOK

Nokia

$5.14

-0.01 (-0.19%)

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TGT

Target

$66.51

1.53 (2.35%)

15:45
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GPRO

GoPro

$9.43

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  • 28

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LGND

Ligand

$100.38

-2.46 (-2.39%)

15:40
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HURN

Huron

$44.30

-0.8 (-1.77%)

15:39
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  • 28

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ENS

EnerSys

$75.98

-0.77 (-1.00%)

15:36
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ERIC

Ericsson

$6.45

-0.08 (-1.23%)

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QCOM

Qualcomm

$57.22

0.08 (0.14%)

15:33
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