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TWTR

Twitter

$17.89

0.3345 (1.90%)

, CRM

Salesforce

$72.36

-2.74 (-3.65%)

10:32
10/11/16
10/11
10:32
10/11/16
10:32

Twitter rises as reports say Salesforce still considering deal

Shares of Twitter (TWTR) are moving higher after news reports emerged saying that Salesforce (CRM) remains in talks to possibly buy the company. Additionally, Evercore ISI analyst Ken Sena upgraded the stock to Hold this morning, citing valuation and third quarter guidance that may prove conservative. SALESFORCE, TWITTER STILL IN TALKS: CNBC's David Faber said today that Twitter and Salesforce remain in talks about a potential takeover deal. His report agrees with a previous one issued yesterday by Reuters, saying that Salesforce is still considering whether it should make a bid for the microblog service operator and is deliberating whether it is worth making a "lowball offer" in the coming days. Furthermore, there may be other companies contemplating offers for Twitter, the publication noted, citing sources. This comes just days after Bloomberg said the company's sale process was "almost dead" as the major suitors for the company were said to have lost interest amid investor pressure. Multiple reports indicate that Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Google unit and Disney (DIS) had weighed, but passed on, bidding for Twitter. ANALYST UPS RATING: Evercore ISI's Sena upgraded Twitter to Hold from Sell, citing the recent fallout in share price from a "stalled sale process," which now places shares more in line with his $17 price target. Furthermore, the analyst said he suspects that the company's third quarter guidance may prove sufficiently conservative given the first Presidential debate, the Olympics, and NFL Thursday Night games, even though he concedes that the recent M&A speculation may further hinder performance. GUIDANCE COULD EXCEED EXPECTATIONS: Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Sandler remains bullish on the microblog service operator and told investors that for the first time in a year, Twitter's guidance could meet or exceed consensus expectations. The analyst noted that his channel checks point to a "high-end of the range" revenue with "slightly up" monthly active users for the third quarter. Twitter's NFL live video project "has been by all accounts a smashing success," Sandler added, with Amplify ad commitments well above initial expectation and audience in the first couple of games also above what Twitter envisioned. Moreover, as the shares approach pre-M&A speculation levels around $15, he believes the risk/reward is favorable, especially as fundamentals stabilize. Sandler reiterates a Buy rating and a $22 price target on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, shares of Twitter have gained about 1% to $17.74, while Salesforce shares have slipped 3% to $72.65.

TWTR

Twitter

$17.89

0.3345 (1.90%)

CRM

Salesforce

$72.36

-2.74 (-3.65%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$785.94

10.86 (1.40%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$814.17

13.46 (1.68%)

DIS

Disney

$92.17

-0.32 (-0.35%)

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TWTR Twitter
$17.89

0.3345 (1.90%)

10/11/16
DBAB
10/11/16
NO CHANGE
Target $22
DBAB
Buy
Twitter guidance could meet, exceed estimates, says Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Sandler says that for the first time in a year, Twitter's guidance could meet or exceed consensus expectations. The analyst sees a good risk/reward profile for shares into the company's Q3 results. He notes that his channel checks point to a "high-end of the range" revenue with "slightly up" monthly active users for Q3. Twitter's NFL live video project "has been by all accounts a smashing success," Sandler tells investors in a research note. He keep a Buy rating on Twitter with a $22 price target.
10/11/16
EVER
10/11/16
UPGRADE
Target $17
EVER
Hold
Twitter upgraded to Hold from Sell at Evercore ISI
Evercore ISI analyst Ken Sena upgraded Twitter (TWTR) to Neutral citing the recent pullback in the shares. The analyst notes that the selloff "from a stalled sale process" has put the stock more in-line with his unchanged price target of $17. Sena thinks Twitter's guidance for Q3 "may prove sufficiently conservative."
10/10/16
JPMS
10/10/16
NO CHANGE
Target $95
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan sees 'opportune entry point' for Salesforce
JPMorgan analyst Mark Murphy believes shares of Salesforce (CRM) are at an "'opportune entry point" following the recent selloff. The pullback has been driven by a "slightly soft" Q2 and concerns about a potentially expensive acquisition of Twitter (TWTR), Murphy tells investors in a research note. After speaking to industry contacts at Dreamforce, the analyst sees a path for the "overhangs to fade" with a "better pace of business in Q3/Q4" as well as the eventual fading of the Twitter discussion. Murphy reiterates an Overweight rating on Salesforce with a $95 price target in a research note titled "The Most Valuable Cloud Asset Is Undeservedly Undervalued."
10/07/16
ADAM
10/07/16
NO CHANGE
Target $95
ADAM
Buy
Salesforce worthy of investor consideration at current levels, says Canaccord
Canaccord analyst Richard Davis came away from the Salesforce (CRM) Dreamforce week more enthused about the company's outlook. The analyst noted the company is growing its revenues 3.5 times faster than it legacy peers. Davis noted the company's CEO said they are very disciplined on price when it comes to acquisitions and believes that they would not be interested in Twitter (TWTR) at its rumored asking price of $28 per share. Davis reiterated his Buy rating and $95 price target on Salesforce shares.
CRM Salesforce
$72.36

-2.74 (-3.65%)

10/06/16
BMOC
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
BMOC
Twitter acquisition would hurt Salesforce, says BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Keith Bachman says that an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) by Salesforce (CRM) would " offer little strategic fit, would slow revenue growth and would be dilutive to (free cash flow) margins." Bachman thinks that the deal would cause Salesforce's stock to drop significantly,. and he says that the company's stock would be worth $65 if it pulls the trigger on Twitter. The analyst says that Salesforce's current valuation is attractive if it does not buy Twitter. He keeps an $86 price target and Outperform rating on Salesforce.
10/07/16
PIPR
10/07/16
NO CHANGE
Target $100
PIPR
Overweight
Piper sees 'clouds parting' on Salesforce valuation
Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff mostly calmed nerves over a potential Twitter (TWTR) acquisition by saying at the company's analyst day, "While we look at everything, we pass on almost everything," Piper Jaffray analyst Alex Zukin tells investors in a research note. The comment does not completely take a deal for Twitter off the table, but the probability of a transformational acquisition is now "dramatically lower," Zukin contends. As such, the analyst feels the "clouds are parting" on Salesforce's valuation "with sunshine ahead." Zukin believes the company has a "clear line of sight" to $10B in revenue in FY17. He keeps an Overweight rating on the shares with a $100 price target. Salesforce closed yesterday up $2.84, or 4%, to $71.26.
GOOG Alphabet
$785.94

10.86 (1.40%)

09/28/16
MZHO
09/28/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $15
MZHO
Underperform
Mizuho cuts Twitter to Underperform with $15 price target
Mizuho analyst Neil Doshi downgraded Twitter to Underperform from Neutral based on valuation. The shares are up 45% since the company reported Q2 results, primarily driven by potential buyout comments in media reports, Doshi tells investors in a research note. The stock at current levels is overvalued as Twitter's business fundamentals "have deteriorated significantly" over the past 12 months, the analyst contends. Doshi believes many of the M&A scenarios are unlikely to play out. He puts potential acquirers Salesforce (CRM) and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) in the "maybe" camp, but he still has some reservations about these deals happening. The analyst believes investors of both companies would view a buyout of Twitter as negative. Doshi keeps a $15 price target for Twitter shares. The stock closed yesterday up 35c to $23.72. Loop Capital this morning also downgraded Twitter to Sell.
09/28/16
09/28/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Wedbush with analyst James Dix citing concerns that the "Four Horsemen of the Search Apocalypse" -- self-identified consumers, consumer control of IP-delivered ads, payments innovation, and attention markets -- might arrive. 2. AT&T (T) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS with analyst John Hodulik citing expectations for lower earnings growth. 3. Macy's (M) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse with analyst Michael Exstein saying the retailer, after outlining in August its operations and merchandising strategies, is now in an execution phase. 4. Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Mizuho and to Sell from Hold at Loop Capital. 5. Galectin Therapeutics (GALT) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Roth Capital with analyst Sa'ar Yaniv citing the company's announcement that NASH-FX, GR-MD-02's Phase 2a study in NASH fibrosis, failed both primary and secondary endpoints. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/06/16
SBSH
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
Target $89
SBSH
Buy
Citi says Salesforce buying Twitter 'nearly impossible' above $28/share
Citi analyst Walter Pritchard believes a Salesforce (CRM) acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) is possible financially but that such a deal would put "significant constraints" on the company for the next three-plus years. The analyst sees "very little reason" for Salesforce to own Twitter and feels the acquisition "would pose a difficult decision" for CEO Marc Benioff and the board. Salesforce closed yesterday down 6%, or $4.21, to $68.42. Recode reported last night that the company is likely the only bidder left for Twitter after Disney (DIS) and Alphabet (GOOG) opted not to pursue a deal while Apple (AAPL) is unlikely. Twitter in pre-market trading is down 14% to $21.50. In order for Salesforce to avoid a shareholder vote, it would have to borrow $7.5B to fund the transaction if Twitter were valued at $20B, or $27.50-$28 per share, Pritchard tells investors in a research note. This is a level that likely constrains the company with little additional borrowing capacity for other deals, the analyst contends. He thinks the deal is "nearly impossible to do" for Salesforce should the bidding for Twitter go above $20B or $28 per share. Pritchard has a Buy rating on Salesforce with an $89 price target.
10/10/16
WELS
10/10/16
NO CHANGE
WELS
Alphabet, Facebook can meet Street estimates, says Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo says that investors are concerned about the ability of Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOG,GOOGL) to meet Street estimates because forecasts continue to indicate that TV's ad share will be relatively stable over the next two years. But Wells says that Facebook and Google will continue to gain share from "non-TV media" and could see increased revenue from "non-advertising marketing services" such as sponsorships and public relations. Wells keeps Outperform ratings on both stocks.
GOOGL Alphabet Class A
$814.17

13.46 (1.68%)

09/30/16
RBCM
09/30/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Street underestimating Google growth outlook, says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Mark Mahaney expects Google to end 2016 with "up to 20% growth," versus the Street's outlook of mid teen percentage level growth. Mahaney says that Google's growth should be boosted by "ongoing Search innovations, rising Mobile CPCs, and the growing impact of YouTube, Play & Cloud." He thinks that YouTube's revenue is growing at a 30%-40% clip. Mahaney raised his price target on the stock to $1,025 from $1,000 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
DIS Disney
$92.17

-0.32 (-0.35%)

10/10/16
DBAB
10/10/16
INITIATION
Target $90
DBAB
Sell
Deutsche sees Netflix takeover as unlikely, starts shares at Sell
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft initiated shares of Netflix (NFLX) with a Sell rating and $90 price target. The stock closed Friday down 25c to $104.82. The risk/reward is unattractive as consensus expectations reflect an "optimistic case," Kraft tells investors in a research note. Market expectations appear too high through 2020, the analyst contends. He also expresses skepticism that Netflix will be acquired. The business is "too fully formed" and valued to be acquired by Disney (DIS) and Apple (AAPL), Kraft writes. He also sees Amazon.com (AMZN) as a competitive risk to Netflix.
09/28/16
SBSH
09/28/16
NO CHANGE
SBSH
Buy
Citi hopes Disney does not acquire Twitter
Citi analyst Jason Bazinet lays out four reasons for why he doesn't like Disney (DIS) pursuing an acquisition of Twitter (TWTR). Going back 15 years, the analyst can't think of a single web-based property that was successfully acquired by a traditional media firm. Two, he calls Twitter trends "troubling." Three, Bazinet estimates a cash offer would lower Disney's stock by $5 per share while an equity offer would drop its stock by $9. Four, the analyst feels it is unclear how Disney's content will help Twitter. Bazinet thinks both Yahoo (YHOO) and Twitter lost "significant money" when they streamed NFL content over the web. The analyst hopes Twitter is acquired by somebody other than Disney. He keeps a Buy rating on Disney shares. Both Loop Capital and Mizuho this morning downgraded Twitter to sell ratings.
09/27/16
SBSH
09/27/16
NO CHANGE
Target $16
SBSH
Neutral
Citi sees 40% downside in Twitter with no takeover bid
Citi analyst Mark May believes Twitter's (TWTR) risk/reward skews to the downside following the recent rally in the shares. A buyout of the company carries "strategic rationale for certain companies," but Twitter's "struggles and steep valuation" make a deal at a meaningful premium less likely, May tells investors in a research note. A takeover at $26 per share looks aggressive, May contends. He believes the stock could retest the lows of late May, representing 40% downside from current levels, should an acquisition offer not materialize. The analyst keeps a Neutral rating on Twitter with a $16 price target. The shares closed yesterday up 75c to $23.37 following reports that Disney (DIS) may be joining the list of potential acquires that already includes Alphabet (GOOG) and Salesforce (CRM).

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lululemon

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CVX

Chevron

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1.68 (1.49%)

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$37.49

1.54 (4.28%)

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VNDA

Vanda

$15.40

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Vanda settles Fanapt patent litigation with Apotex »

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AE

Adams Resources

$42.31

-0.68 (-1.58%)

, SWN

Southwestern Energy

$12.37

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$42.31

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EZPW

EZCORP

$11.80

0.05 (0.43%)

18:42
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RICE

Rice Energy

$24.59

-0.16 (-0.65%)

18:33
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AMZN

Amazon.com

$770.42

5.7 (0.75%)

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Iconix Brand

$9.26

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-2.01 (-15.33%)

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PNM Resources

$32.05

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BNY Mellon

$48.55

0.56 (1.17%)

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Tailored Brands

$18.93

0.62 (3.39%)

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FLXS

Flexsteel Industries

$59.12

2.92 (5.20%)

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$159.40

2.08 (1.32%)

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Nike

$52.10

1.53 (3.03%)

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Under Armour

$27.03

1.62 (6.38%)

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T

AT&T

$40.45

1.1 (2.80%)

17:45
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AT&T management to meet with Jefferies »

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