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NFLX

Netflix

$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

09:17
10/12/16
10/12
09:17
10/12/16
09:17

Morgan Stanley sees 'un-grandfathering' peaking for Netflix in Q3

Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes the market expects Netflix (NFLX) to report Q3 domestic net subscriber additions that fall short of the company's 300K forecast. However, he thinks the impact of "un-grandfathering" will peak in Q3 and that the percentage of U.S. members seeing price increases will begin to fade in Q4. While acknowledging that Amazon (AMZN) continues to grow as a competitor for content and time spent, Swinburne notes that local and regional players in many markets continue to struggle. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating and $110 price target on Netflix shares.

NFLX

Netflix

$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

  • 17

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    Oct

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    Nov

NFLX Netflix
$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

10/10/16
DBAB
10/10/16
INITIATION
Target $90
DBAB
Sell
Deutsche sees Netflix takeover as unlikely, starts shares at Sell
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft initiated shares of Netflix (NFLX) with a Sell rating and $90 price target. The stock closed Friday down 25c to $104.82. The risk/reward is unattractive as consensus expectations reflect an "optimistic case," Kraft tells investors in a research note. Market expectations appear too high through 2020, the analyst contends. He also expresses skepticism that Netflix will be acquired. The business is "too fully formed" and valued to be acquired by Disney (DIS) and Apple (AAPL), Kraft writes. He also sees Amazon.com (AMZN) as a competitive risk to Netflix.
10/10/16
RAJA
10/10/16
NO CHANGE
Target $120
RAJA
Outperform
Netflix remains a core holding at Raymond James
Raymond James analyst Justin Patterson said his research suggests US churn peaked in Q2 and he remains comfortable with his 300k US net adds for Q3. Further, Patterson said early International cohorts generate greater than 20% contribution margin and said EBITDA and earnings upside is likely in 2017 and beyond. The analyst recommends owning shares for a profit inflection as investments peaked in 2016 and reiterates his Outperform rating and $120 price target.
10/10/16
10/10/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) initiated with a Sell at Deutsche Bank. 2. Noble Midstream (NBLX) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, a Hold at Deutsche Bank, an Overweight at JPMorgan, an Outperform at Baird, a Buy at Mizuho, a Buy at Citi, and an Overweight at MUFG. 3. AB InBev (BUD) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman. 4. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. 5. Molson Coors (TAP) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman and resumed with a Buy at BofA/Merrill. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/12/16
UBSW
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Netflix app download showing maturity in U.S., picking up in Europe, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said the firm's Evidence Lab shows Netflix app download data as reflecting maturity in the U.S. and Canada but picking up in Europe. The analyst said his confidence in 10M subscriber addition estimates is increased but he is not prepared to increase his estimates. Mitchelson does not expect Q3 results and Q4 guidance to resolve the bull/bear debate and continues to expect the shares to trade in a range. Mitchelson reiterated his Neutral rating on Netflix shares.
AMZN Amazon.com
$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

10/05/16
MKMP
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
MKMP
Buy
Reported VMware pact with Amazon a positive, says MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Kevin Buttigieg noted the Fortune report claiming that VMware (VMW) will soon announce a cloud partnership with Amazon Web Services (AMZN). Such an agreement with Amazon would be positive for VMware, as it will signal their confidence in their ability to sell software for use on-premise and underscore a belief that public cloud is unlikely to assume all workloads. The firm has a Buy rating on VMware shares.
10/06/16
OPCO
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Microsoft, Amazon well positioned to enable cloud, AI trends, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes that machine learning and artificial intelligence have been use to improve applications and acceleration of infrastructure builds, with "intelligent software" designed to make lives easier and more productive. Further, the analyst sees communications and cloud services continuing to converge, with infrastructure and data as key components to AI. Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) Web Service are well positioned to enable these trends, he contends, adding that he see colocation providers, such as Equinix (EQIX) and Interxion (INXN), and networking companies like Zayo Group (ZAYO) GTT Communications (GTT) as beneficiaries.
10/12/16
CANT
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $1000
CANT
Buy
Amazon.com price target raised to $1,000 from $835 at Cantor
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Youssef Squali raised his price target for Amazon.com to $1,000 from $835 citing continued strength in core retail and sustained momentum in Web Services. The stock closed yesterday down $10.71 to $831.00. We're reaching a tipping point in e-commerce, with revenue growth in the U.S. accelerating year-over-year in the first nine months of 2016, Squali tells investors in a research note. This trend is "playing into the hands of market leader Amazon," the analyst contends. He points out that Prime's user base is growing and that Amazon's share of retail searches online is growing. The analyst expects Amazon Web Services' "strong economics" to continue to fund growth initiatives at Amazon. Squali sees the stock as continuing to "grind higher." He keeps a Buy rating on the name.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

RYAAY

Ryanair

$109.06

-0.22 (-0.20%)

11:41
06/26/17
06/26
11:41
06/26/17
11:41
Initiation
Ryanair initiated  »

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BIIB

Biogen

$280.32

-0.25 (-0.09%)

11:38
06/26/17
06/26
11:38
06/26/17
11:38
Conference/Events
Biogen management to meet with Evercore ISI »

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CNS

Cohen & Steers

$40.58

0.12 (0.30%)

11:33
06/26/17
06/26
11:33
06/26/17
11:33
Conference/Events
Cohen & Steers management to meet with Evercore ISI »

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ORCL

Oracle

$51.11

0.16 (0.31%)

, BAC

Bank of America

$22.79

-0.035 (-0.15%)

11:32
06/26/17
06/26
11:32
06/26/17
11:32
Hot Stocks
Oracle confirms Bank of America as ERP customer »

Oracle (ORCL) announced…

ORCL

Oracle

$51.11

0.16 (0.31%)

BAC

Bank of America

$22.79

-0.035 (-0.15%)

03/08/13
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FINL

Finish Line

$13.65

0.92 (7.23%)

11:30
06/26/17
06/26
11:30
06/26/17
11:30
Options
Vote of confidence in Finish Line »

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ORCL

Oracle

$51.11

0.156 (0.31%)

11:28
06/26/17
06/26
11:28
06/26/17
11:28
Conference/Events
Oracle management to meet with Evercore ISI »

Meetings to be held in…

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  • 26

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OXY

Occidental Petroleum

$59.84

-0.28 (-0.47%)

11:25
06/26/17
06/26
11:25
06/26/17
11:25
Conference/Events
Occidental Petroleum management to meet with Evercore ISI »

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  • 28

    Jun

HTZ

Hertz

$10.34

0.8046 (8.43%)

11:25
06/26/17
06/26
11:25
06/26/17
11:25
Options
Hertz call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

Bullish option flow…

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BABA

Alibaba

$141.72

-1.31 (-0.92%)

11:24
06/26/17
06/26
11:24
06/26/17
11:24
Periodicals
Alibaba-backed Best Inc aiming to raise up to $750M in IPO, WWD reports »

Best Inc., a logistics…

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  • 28

    Jun

NFG

National Fuel

$56.53

0.16 (0.28%)

11:22
06/26/17
06/26
11:22
06/26/17
11:22
Conference/Events
National Fuel management to meet with Jefferies »

Meeting to be held in…

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  • 27

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NFG

National Fuel

$56.53

0.16 (0.28%)

11:22
06/26/17
06/26
11:22
06/26/17
11:22
Conference/Events
National Fuel management to meet with Evercore ISI »

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  • 27

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FN

Fabrinet

$42.84

2.82 (7.05%)

, AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics

$65.87

2.29 (3.60%)

11:18
06/26/17
06/26
11:18
06/26/17
11:18
Hot Stocks
Fabrinet rises, Applied Optoelectronics sinks after Needham uncovers AWS deal »

Fabrinet (FN) has won a…

FN

Fabrinet

$42.84

2.82 (7.05%)

AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics

$65.87

2.29 (3.60%)

MTSI

MACOM

$58.26

1.76 (3.12%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,003.74

2.44 (0.24%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
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03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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ADNT

Adient

$64.75

0.62 (0.97%)

11:17
06/26/17
06/26
11:17
06/26/17
11:17
Conference/Events
Adient to hold a meeting »

EVP & CFO Stafeil,…

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ORCL

Oracle

$51.32

0.37 (0.73%)

, BAC

Bank of America

$22.83

0.0134 (0.06%)

11:17
06/26/17
06/26
11:17
06/26/17
11:17
Periodicals
Oracle signs BofA as customer for ERP, financial planning software, CNBC says »

Oracle (ORCL) signed Bank…

ORCL

Oracle

$51.32

0.37 (0.73%)

BAC

Bank of America

$22.83

0.0134 (0.06%)

SAP

SAP

$107.12

-0.36 (-0.33%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,003.74

2.44 (0.24%)

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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 26

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$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

11:17
06/26/17
06/26
11:17
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11:17
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ market internals summary »

Volume is above average…

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

11:16
06/26/17
06/26
11:16
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11:16
Technical Analysis
NYSE market internals summary »

Volume is average for…

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11:15
06/26/17
06/26
11:15
06/26/17
11:15
General news
Treasury announced a $40 4-week bill sale for Tuesday »

Treasury announced a $40…

11:15
06/26/17
06/26
11:15
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11:15
General news
Breaking General news story  »

6-Month Bill Auction to…

11:15
06/26/17
06/26
11:15
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11:15
General news
Breaking General news story  »

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ARNC

Arconic

$23.86

-1.68 (-6.58%)

11:12
06/26/17
06/26
11:12
06/26/17
11:12
Periodicals
Arconic discontinuing global Reynobond PE sales for high-rise uses »

CNBC tweets that Arconic…

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ARNC

Arconic

$23.99

-1.55 (-6.07%)

11:10
06/26/17
06/26
11:10
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11:10
Periodicals
Breaking Periodicals news story on Arconic »

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RAD

Rite Aid

$3.11

-0.005 (-0.16%)

, WBA

Walgreens Boots Alliance

$76.34

-0.03 (-0.04%)

11:10
06/26/17
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11:10
06/26/17
11:10
Hot Stocks
Rite Aid jumps after CTFN publishes report »

Shares of Rite Aid (RAD)…

RAD

Rite Aid

$3.11

-0.005 (-0.16%)

WBA

Walgreens Boots Alliance

$76.34

-0.03 (-0.04%)

03/08/13
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  • 29

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CAR

Avis Budget

$24.24

1.23 (5.35%)

11:10
06/26/17
06/26
11:10
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11:10
Options
Higher volume in Avis fueled by talk about a deal with Google (GOOG) »

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PODD

Insulet

$49.38

0.58 (1.19%)

11:05
06/26/17
06/26
11:05
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11:05
Conference/Events
Insulet participates in a conference call with Leerink »

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BA

Boeing

$202.32

0.09 (0.04%)

, RYAAY

Ryanair

$109.06

-0.22 (-0.20%)

11:04
06/26/17
06/26
11:04
06/26/17
11:04
Hot Stocks
Boeing reports 153 new orders since last update »

Boeing (BA) on its…

BA

Boeing

$202.32

0.09 (0.04%)

RYAAY

Ryanair

$109.06

-0.22 (-0.20%)

UAL

United Continental

$77.13

0.34 (0.44%)

AER

AerCap

$45.81

0.17 (0.37%)

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