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NFLX

Netflix

$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

09:17
10/12/16
10/12
09:17
10/12/16
09:17

Morgan Stanley sees 'un-grandfathering' peaking for Netflix in Q3

Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes the market expects Netflix (NFLX) to report Q3 domestic net subscriber additions that fall short of the company's 300K forecast. However, he thinks the impact of "un-grandfathering" will peak in Q3 and that the percentage of U.S. members seeing price increases will begin to fade in Q4. While acknowledging that Amazon (AMZN) continues to grow as a competitor for content and time spent, Swinburne notes that local and regional players in many markets continue to struggle. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating and $110 price target on Netflix shares.

NFLX

Netflix

$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

  • 17

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    Nov

NFLX Netflix
$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

10/12/16
UBSW
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Netflix app download showing maturity in U.S., picking up in Europe, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said the firm's Evidence Lab shows Netflix app download data as reflecting maturity in the U.S. and Canada but picking up in Europe. The analyst said his confidence in 10M subscriber addition estimates is increased but he is not prepared to increase his estimates. Mitchelson does not expect Q3 results and Q4 guidance to resolve the bull/bear debate and continues to expect the shares to trade in a range. Mitchelson reiterated his Neutral rating on Netflix shares.
10/10/16
10/10/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) initiated with a Sell at Deutsche Bank. 2. Noble Midstream (NBLX) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, a Hold at Deutsche Bank, an Overweight at JPMorgan, an Outperform at Baird, a Buy at Mizuho, a Buy at Citi, and an Overweight at MUFG. 3. AB InBev (BUD) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman. 4. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. 5. Molson Coors (TAP) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman and resumed with a Buy at BofA/Merrill. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/10/16
RAJA
10/10/16
NO CHANGE
Target $120
RAJA
Outperform
Netflix remains a core holding at Raymond James
Raymond James analyst Justin Patterson said his research suggests US churn peaked in Q2 and he remains comfortable with his 300k US net adds for Q3. Further, Patterson said early International cohorts generate greater than 20% contribution margin and said EBITDA and earnings upside is likely in 2017 and beyond. The analyst recommends owning shares for a profit inflection as investments peaked in 2016 and reiterates his Outperform rating and $120 price target.
10/10/16
DBAB
10/10/16
INITIATION
Target $90
DBAB
Sell
Deutsche sees Netflix takeover as unlikely, starts shares at Sell
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft initiated shares of Netflix (NFLX) with a Sell rating and $90 price target. The stock closed Friday down 25c to $104.82. The risk/reward is unattractive as consensus expectations reflect an "optimistic case," Kraft tells investors in a research note. Market expectations appear too high through 2020, the analyst contends. He also expresses skepticism that Netflix will be acquired. The business is "too fully formed" and valued to be acquired by Disney (DIS) and Apple (AAPL), Kraft writes. He also sees Amazon.com (AMZN) as a competitive risk to Netflix.
AMZN Amazon.com
$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

10/12/16
CANT
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $1000
CANT
Buy
Amazon.com price target raised to $1,000 from $835 at Cantor
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Youssef Squali raised his price target for Amazon.com to $1,000 from $835 citing continued strength in core retail and sustained momentum in Web Services. The stock closed yesterday down $10.71 to $831.00. We're reaching a tipping point in e-commerce, with revenue growth in the U.S. accelerating year-over-year in the first nine months of 2016, Squali tells investors in a research note. This trend is "playing into the hands of market leader Amazon," the analyst contends. He points out that Prime's user base is growing and that Amazon's share of retail searches online is growing. The analyst expects Amazon Web Services' "strong economics" to continue to fund growth initiatives at Amazon. Squali sees the stock as continuing to "grind higher." He keeps a Buy rating on the name.
10/06/16
OPCO
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Microsoft, Amazon well positioned to enable cloud, AI trends, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes that machine learning and artificial intelligence have been use to improve applications and acceleration of infrastructure builds, with "intelligent software" designed to make lives easier and more productive. Further, the analyst sees communications and cloud services continuing to converge, with infrastructure and data as key components to AI. Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) Web Service are well positioned to enable these trends, he contends, adding that he see colocation providers, such as Equinix (EQIX) and Interxion (INXN), and networking companies like Zayo Group (ZAYO) GTT Communications (GTT) as beneficiaries.
10/05/16
MKMP
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
MKMP
Buy
Reported VMware pact with Amazon a positive, says MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Kevin Buttigieg noted the Fortune report claiming that VMware (VMW) will soon announce a cloud partnership with Amazon Web Services (AMZN). Such an agreement with Amazon would be positive for VMware, as it will signal their confidence in their ability to sell software for use on-premise and underscore a belief that public cloud is unlikely to assume all workloads. The firm has a Buy rating on VMware shares.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

VNCE

Vince Holding

$4.55

0.35 (8.33%)

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NWBO

Northwest Biotherapeutics

$0.55

0.0227 (4.33%)

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AAPL

Apple

$111.03

1.08 (0.98%)

, MSFT

Microsoft

$61.37

1.42 (2.37%)

20:07
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Periodicals
NHL in negotiations to bring Apple devices to team benches, TSN says »

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AAPL

Apple

$111.03

1.08 (0.98%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$61.37

1.42 (2.37%)

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ATKR

Atkore

$19.71

-0.11 (-0.55%)

19:59
12/07/16
12/07
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19:59
Syndicate
Atkore 8M share Secondary priced at $19.00 »

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  • 08

    Dec

BPMC

Blueprint Medicines

$26.20

-2.23 (-7.84%)

19:58
12/07/16
12/07
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19:58
Syndicate
Blueprint Medicines 5M share Secondary priced at $25.00 »

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  • 08

    Dec

LULU

lululemon

$59.84

2.6 (4.54%)

19:50
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Hot Stocks
lululemon CFO says early Q4 trends strengthened into December »

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LULU

lululemon

$59.84

2.6 (4.54%)

19:50
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Hot Stocks
lululemon CEO highlights Q3 gross margin, reports 11% comp growth in pants »

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CVX

Chevron

$114.44

1.68 (1.49%)

19:20
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Hot Stocks
Chevron announces $19.8B capital, exploratory budget for 2017 »

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X

U.S. Steel

$37.49

1.54 (4.28%)

18:49
12/07/16
12/07
18:49
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18:49
Periodicals
U.S. Steel CEO: Company may bring back 10,000 U.S. jobs, CNBC says »

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VNDA

Vanda

$15.40

-0.6 (-3.75%)

18:47
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12/07
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Hot Stocks
Vanda settles Fanapt patent litigation with Apotex »

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AE

Adams Resources

$42.31

-0.68 (-1.58%)

, SWN

Southwestern Energy

$12.37

-0.08 (-0.64%)

18:46
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12/07
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18:46
Hot Stocks
Adams Resources appoints Josh Anders as CFO »

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AE

Adams Resources

$42.31

-0.68 (-1.58%)

SWN

Southwestern Energy

$12.37

-0.08 (-0.64%)

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EZPW

EZCORP

$11.80

0.05 (0.43%)

18:42
12/07/16
12/07
18:42
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18:42
Earnings
EZCORP reports Q4 EPS with items (31c), may not compare to consensus 6c »

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  • 08

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RICE

Rice Energy

$24.59

-0.16 (-0.65%)

18:33
12/07/16
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18:33
Initiation
Rice Energy initiated  »

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AMZN

Amazon.com

$770.42

5.7 (0.75%)

18:30
12/07/16
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18:30
Periodicals
Amazon spokesperson denies 2,000 grocery stores report, CNET says »

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ICON

Iconix Brand

$9.26

0.14 (1.54%)

18:23
12/07/16
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Hot Stocks
Iconix Brand reports employment termination of Chief Strategy Officer Blumberg »

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PBYI

Puma Biotechnology

$39.80

-2 (-4.78%)

18:23
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Puma Biotechnology 'pleased' to complete biomarker analysis of neratinib »

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FTK

Flotek

$11.10

-2.01 (-15.33%)

18:17
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Hot Stocks
Flotek: Reviewing FourWorld Capital short report, remain confident in product »

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PBYI

Puma Biotechnology

$39.80

-2 (-4.78%)

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PNM

PNM Resources

$32.05

0.45 (1.42%)

18:09
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PNM Resources requests an electric rate increase of $99M in New Mexico »

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BK

BNY Mellon

$48.55

0.56 (1.17%)

18:03
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Periodicals
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TLRD

Tailored Brands

$18.93

0.62 (3.39%)

17:52
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Hot Stocks
Tailored Brands up 22% to $23.20 after Q3 results beat estimates »

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  • 08

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FLXS

Flexsteel Industries

$59.12

2.92 (5.20%)

, UNH

UnitedHealth

$159.40

2.08 (1.32%)

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Flexsteel names Eric Rangen chair of the board »

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FLXS

Flexsteel Industries

$59.12

2.92 (5.20%)

UNH

UnitedHealth

$159.40

2.08 (1.32%)

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NKE

Nike

$52.10

1.53 (3.03%)

, UA

Under Armour

$27.03

1.62 (6.38%)

17:49
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Periodicals
Nike losing market share to faster-growing rivals, Barron's reports »

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NKE

Nike

$52.10

1.53 (3.03%)

UA

Under Armour

$27.03

1.62 (6.38%)

ADDYY

adidas

$76.96

1.225 (1.62%)

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  • 20

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T

AT&T

$40.45

1.1 (2.80%)

17:45
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Conference/Events
AT&T management to meet with Jefferies »

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EFC

Ellington Financial

$16.30

0.2 (1.24%)

17:41
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Ellington Financial reports estimated book value per share $19.80 as of Nov 30 »

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