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NFLX

Netflix

$101.47

1.24 (1.24%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$822.96

-6.32 (-0.76%)

08:17
10/17/16
10/17
08:17
10/17/16
08:17

IHS Markit: Netflix, Amazon outspend CBS, HBO on TV programming

Online platforms Netflix (NFLX) and Amazon (AMZN) have ramped up their investment in programming, spending $7.5B last year-more than CBS (CBS), HBO (TWX), Turner and most countries, including South Korea and Australia. Between 2013 and 2015, Netflix and Amazon more than doubled their annual expenditure on programming. In 2013, Amazon spent $1.22B; that jumped to $2.67B in 2015. In the same timeframe, Netflix spending rose from $2.38B to $4.91B. The findings from World TV Production Report 2016, a forthcoming report by IHS Markit. Other online platforms like Hulu in the US and China's Youku Toudu (YOKU), iQifyi and Tencent (TCEHY) have also increased their investment in original programming and acquisitions.

NFLX

Netflix

$101.47

1.24 (1.24%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$822.96

-6.32 (-0.76%)

TWX

Time Warner

$79.55

0.15 (0.19%)

CBS

CBS

$55.11

-0.13 (-0.24%)

CBS.A

$56.07

0.125 (0.22%)

YOKU

Youku Tudou

TCEHY

Tencent

$27.03

0.18 (0.67%)

  • 17

    Oct

  • 23

    Oct

  • 27

    Oct

  • 27

    Oct

  • 02

    Nov

  • 02

    Nov

  • 29

    Nov

NFLX Netflix
$101.47

1.24 (1.24%)

10/14/16
JPMS
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
Target $134
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan tweaks Alibaba, Netflix targets lower ahead of Q3 results
JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth lowered his price target for Alibaba (BABA) to $134 from $135 and his target for Netflix (NFLX) to $122 from $125 ahead of the Q3 reporting season. Both stocks remain Overweight rated. The analyst slightly lowered his estimates for Alibaba to reflect tougher inventory comps and increased investment spending. He remains positive on the company's overall monetization trends. On Netflix, Anmuth tweaked his 2017 average selling price forecast lower while increasing his investment spend estimate modestly. Within the Internet space, the analyst's top large-cap picks into the quarter are Alphabet (GOOGL), Facebook (FB) and Amazon.com (AMZN). Among small-caps, his top picks into earnings are Yelp (YELP), Pandora (P) and Match Group (MTCH).
10/13/16
PACS
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
PACS
Netflix subscription growth to reaccelerate in Q4, into 2017, says Pacific Crest
Pacific Crest analyst Andy Hargreaves expects Netflix's Q3 results to be hurt by "excess churn" caused by its price increase. However, he predicts that the company's subscription growth will reaccelerate in Q4 and into 2017, driving the stock higher. The analyst keeps a $125 price target on Netflix and recommends buying the shares.
10/12/16
MSCO
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $110
MSCO
Morgan Stanley sees 'un-grandfathering' peaking for Netflix in Q3
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes the market expects Netflix (NFLX) to report Q3 domestic net subscriber additions that fall short of the company's 300K forecast. However, he thinks the impact of "un-grandfathering" will peak in Q3 and that the percentage of U.S. members seeing price increases will begin to fade in Q4. While acknowledging that Amazon (AMZN) continues to grow as a competitor for content and time spent, Swinburne notes that local and regional players in many markets continue to struggle. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating and $110 price target on Netflix shares.
10/12/16
UBSW
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Netflix app download showing maturity in U.S., picking up in Europe, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said the firm's Evidence Lab shows Netflix app download data as reflecting maturity in the U.S. and Canada but picking up in Europe. The analyst said his confidence in 10M subscriber addition estimates is increased but he is not prepared to increase his estimates. Mitchelson does not expect Q3 results and Q4 guidance to resolve the bull/bear debate and continues to expect the shares to trade in a range. Mitchelson reiterated his Neutral rating on Netflix shares.
AMZN Amazon.com
$822.96

-6.32 (-0.76%)

10/14/16
RBCM
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
VMware partnership with Amazon positive, says RBC Capital
After VMware (VMW) and Amazon Web Services (AMZN) announced a strategic alliance, RBC Capital analyst Matthew Hedberg says that the deal could enable enterprises to more easily combine Amazon Web Services with VMware software. Hedberg says that the deal gives VMware another sales channel and enables it to be considered more of a player in the hybrid cloud arena. The analyst keeps an Outperform rating on VMware.
10/17/16
GSCO
10/17/16
NO CHANGE
GSCO
Buy
Goldman suggests Apple 'go big' in content with launch of Prime-like service
Goldman Sachs analysts Simona Jankowski and Drew Borst made the case in a new note to investors that Apple (AAPL) should launch a subscription bundle, in the model of Amazon's (AMZN) "Prime" service, in order to reignite growth and avoid commoditization as smartphone sales plateau. Apple has the power to "turn the razor/blade model upside down," argue the analysts, who note that the iPhone giant can afford to be very aggressive in content, by paying premiums for must-have material or pricing services below competitors. An "Apple Prime" subscription bundle priced at $50 month - which would include the iPhone, Apple Music, Apple TV, Apple original content, and potentially live sports - implies EPS generated by "Prime" customers would be over 10% accretive by 2021, the analysts contend. Goldman keeps a Buy rating on Apple shares.
10/13/16
JPMS
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan says buy GoPro on today's weakness
JPMorgan analyst Paul Coster views today's weakness in shares of GoPro (GPRO) as a buying opportunity. While GoPro is not shipping Hero 5 via the Amazon (AMZN) channel today, Amazon has been consistently a top five channel partner for the action camera maker, Coster tells investors in a research note. He expects Amazon shipments to resume by month end and points out the hiatus does not apply to international Amazon sales. The one month impact would be 30,000 Hero 5 units through this channel, or less than $10M in GoPro sales, Coster estimates. He calls the decision to halt shipments to Amazon voluntary and believes the company has alternative distribution channels for the new product. Coster has an Overweight rating on GoPro. The shares are down 22c to $14.08 after Piper Jaffray this morning highlighted that Hero shipments to Amazon have stopped.
10/13/16
PIPR
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
Target $9
PIPR
Underweight
GoPro currently not shipping to Amazon, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Erinn Murphy says she uncovered that GoPro (GPRO) is not currently selling to Amazon (AMZN), at least domestically, in a change that occurred over the last three weeks. In a follow-up research note after speaking to management, Murphy clarified that the pause in shipping to Amazon is planned to be temporary. GoPro plans to resume shipping to Amazon at the end of October, Murphy adds. The action camera maker has been shipping to Best Buy (BBY), other partners and its own GoPro.com channel in the meantime, she points out. Nonetheless, the analyst believes the disruption at Amazon was not contemplated in guidance. Murphy is "incrementally concerned" on GoPro's ability to reach its second half of 2016 guidance. The analyst reiterates an Underweight rating on the shares with a $9 price target. The stock closed yesterday down 72c to $14.30.
TWX Time Warner
$79.55

0.15 (0.19%)

10/17/16
WEDB
10/17/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $90
WEDB
Neutral
Time Warner downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst James Dix downgraded Time Warner (TWX) to Neutral citing valuation with the stock up 23% year-to-date. The analyst keeps a $90 price target for the shares. He coupled the downgrade with an upgrade this morning of Viacom (VIAB) to Outperform.
08/04/16
WDLK
08/04/16
NO CHANGE
Target $106
WDLK
Time Warner price target raised to $106 from $95 at Wunderlich
07/26/16
07/26/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Disney (DIS) and Time Warner (TWX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital with analyst Barton Crocket saying Disney's stock "will struggle to deliver much upside" from current levels. The analyst lowered his price target for the shares to $108 from $111. The analyst downgraded Time Warner citing valuation. 2. Chipotle (CMG) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel with analyst Paul Westra citing the firm's belief that the U.S. economy will probably enter a recession within nine months. 3. Whole Foods (WFM) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman with analyst Stephen Tanal saying Whole Foods is losing share in its core natural and organic business to a variety of competitors that have raised the bar and driven a consistent deceleration in Whole Foods' same-store-sales and its first negative comps in the fourth quarter of 2016 since 2009. 4. BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Stifel with analyst Paul Westra citing the firm's belief that the U.S. economy will probably enter a recession within nine months. 5. Yahoo (YHOO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley with analysts led by Brian Nowak saying shares going forward will solely be viewed as a trading vehicle for its 15% Alibaba (BABA) stake with the investment thesis related to shares closing the estimated 39% liquidity discount to fair market value. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
09/26/16
UBSW
09/26/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Consumer satisfaction with competitors has caught up to Netflix, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said that the firm's Evidence Lab survey indicated that U.S. consumer satisfaction with Amazon Prime Video (AMZN) and Hulu - the joint venture owned by Time Warner (TWX), Comcast (CMCSA), 21st Century Fox (FOXA), and Disney (DIS) - has now caught up to Netflix (NFLX), advising that investors should "continue to monitor competitive threats closely" as Netflix leads the category but demand for consumer media time, attention and wallet has intensified. The analyst, who added that Netflix's "pricing power remains unclear" based on the firm's survey work, keeps a Neutral rating and $92 price target on Netflix shares.
CBS CBS
$55.11

-0.13 (-0.24%)

10/04/16
10/04/16
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. CBS (CBS) upgraded to Buy from Sell at UBS with analyst Doug Mitchelson saying he sees any deal with Viacom (VIA) as priced into CBS shares already. He also has increased confidence in consensus estimates for CBS and sees further upside if the national TV ad market and CBS' ratings remain strong. 2. Pandora (P) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman with analyst Heath Terry saying he sees significant upside to out-year estimates from premium radio and on-demand subscriptions. He expects competition to ease as new entrants slow and existing providers focus on profitability and limit "free" models. 3. Las Vegas Sands (LVS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill with analyst Shaun Kelley saying shares remain fairly under-owned and thinks estimate revisions will move higher due to market momentum, better ROI for Parisian, Cotai infrastructure additions, and optionality from Japan and real estate. 4. KBR (KBR) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Chad Dillard saying yesterday's 10% post-guidance cut selloff is overdone and backward-looking. 5. West Marine (WMAR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/13/16
WELS
10/13/16
UPGRADE
WELS
Market Perform
Viacom upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Marci Ryvicker upgraded Viacom (VIAB) to Market Perform saying she believes shares are close to a floor. A merger with CBS (CBS) does not appear imminent, but if/when it does happen, CBS is unlikely to pay less than $32-$33 per Viacom share in a take-under, Ryvicker tells investors in a research note. The analyst has a $33-$35 price target range for Viacom shares. Ryvicker says that she still "REALLY" likes CBS and is cautious on CBS and Disney (DIS) into the Q3 earnings season.
10/14/16
RBCM
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
CBS outlook positive says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Steven Cahall expects CBS (CBS) to report "squeaky clean" Q3 results that includes a 1c EPS beat. The analyst is upbeat on a potential acquisition of Viacom (VIAB) by CBS, saying that the recent decline in Viacom's stock would improve accretion to CBS shareholders.
10/17/16
WEDB
10/17/16
UPGRADE
Target $46
WEDB
Outperform
Viacom upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst James Dix upgraded Viacom (VIAB) to Outperform citing increasing likelihood of a merger with CBS (CBS). The analyst assigns a 75% probability on a merger, which he assumes would be an all-stock transaction. He raised his price target for Viacom shares to $46 from $40.
CBS.A
$56.07

0.125 (0.22%)

03/09/16
03/09/16
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Casey's General Stores (CASY) upgraded to Outperform and Strong Buy at RBC Capital and Feltl, respectively, with analysts citing valuation and long-terms earnings growth. RBC Capital analyst Irene Nattel expects a re-acceleration of FY17 unit growth driven by new store construction and strategic initiatives to result in a recovery in the multiple, consistent with peers. 2. CBS (CBS) upgraded to Outperform at Wells Fargo by analyst Marci Ryvicker, who said there is a lot more clarity on the company's core business than when she originally downgraded the shares last August. The analyst also cites strong ad trends, Nielsen's more accurate measurement system, the company's NFL deal and better monetization of Showtime. 3. Bitauto (BITA) upgraded to Outperform at Credit Suisse with analyst Evan Zhou saying that the company is making progress in auto transaction services with an improving margin profile. 4. FireEye (FEYE) upgraded to Overweight at Piper Jaffray by analyst Andrew Nowinski, who said the company's transition to an as-a-service model will be successful. Nowinski adds that FireEye is expected to reach profitability in the second half of 2017. 5. CRH (CRH) upgraded to Buy at Jefferies citing an improving outlook for most of the company's key markets. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
YOKU Youku Tudou

10/29/15
10/29/15
INITIATION

On The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
Today's noteworthy initiations include: Albany International (AIN) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie... Autohome (ATHM) initiated with a Buy at Citi... Bitauto (BITA) initiated with a Buy at Citi... Gap (GPS) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays... Kadant (KAI) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... L Brands (LB) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays... Parsley Energy (PE) initiated with an Overweight at Capital One... Youku Tudou (YOKU) initiated with a Neutral at Citi.
10/29/15
SBSH
10/29/15
INITIATION
Target $27.1
SBSH
Neutral
Youku Tudou initiated with a Neutral at Citi
Target $27.10.
TCEHY Tencent
$27.03

0.18 (0.67%)

08/31/16
JPMS
08/31/16
INITIATION
JPMS
Overweight
Tencent assumed with an Overweight at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao assumed coverage of Tencent with an Overweight rating and HK$260 price target.
12/17/15
MSCO
12/17/15
UPGRADE
MSCO
Overweight
JD.com upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Robert Lin and his team upgraded JD.com (JD) to Overweight from Equal Weight, stating that advertising revenue growth could accelerate and that it can continue to benefi from its partnership with Tencent (TCEHY). The firm also upgraded Weibo (WB) to Overweight and downgraded Vipshop (VIPS) as part of a larger note on the Chinese Internet industry.
06/13/16
SBSH
06/13/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $180
SBSH
Neutral
Baidu downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi
Citi analyst Alicia Yap downgraded Baidu (BIDU) to Neutral citing concerns about near-term revenue. Baidu may not meet its Q2 revenue guidance and could guide Q3 below expectations, Yap tells investors in a research note. She lowered her price target for the shares to $180 from $238. The analyst's top pick in the China Internet space is Tencent (TCEHY), followed by JD.com (JD) and Alibaba (BABA). Yap raised her price target for the latter to $98 from $95.60.
02/23/16
JPMS
02/23/16
INITIATION
JPMS
Overweight
Tencent assumed with an Overweight at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Vivian Hao assumed coverage of Tencent with an Overweight rating and HK$179 price target.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

UNCFF

UniCredit

$2.47

0.28 (12.79%)

09:25
12/07/16
12/07
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09:25
Periodicals
Pioneer suspends a pair of senior Dublin execs, Irish Times reports »

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ARIA

ARIAD

$13.69

0.41 (3.09%)

09:25
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09:25
Conference/Events
ARIAD to hold a conference call »

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OCLR

Oclaro

$8.35

-0.05 (-0.60%)

09:25
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09:25
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Oclaro participates in a conference call with Jefferies »

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SBUX

Starbucks

$57.44

-0.06 (-0.10%)

09:24
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12/07
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09:24
Hot Stocks
Starbucks says sees at-home coffee sales growth slowing »

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WDC

Western Digital

$63.85

1.76 (2.83%)

, SQ

Square

09:23
12/07/16
12/07
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09:23
Hot Stocks
On The Fly: Pre-market Movers »

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WDC

Western Digital

$63.85

1.76 (2.83%)

SQ

Square

AAPL

Apple

$109.95

0.84 (0.77%)

PLAY

Dave & Buster's

$48.00

-0.83 (-1.70%)

VRA

Vera Bradley

$14.67

-0.07 (-0.47%)

ANTH

Anthera

$1.47

-0.03 (-2.00%)

SIGM

Sigma Designs

$7.75

0.1 (1.31%)

SSNLF

Samsung

AVAV

AeroVironment

$29.34

0.76 (2.66%)

OXM

Oxford Industries

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    Jan

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WDAY

Workday

09:23
12/07/16
12/07
09:23
12/07/16
09:23
Downgrade
Workday rating change  »

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  • 07

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AAPL

Apple

$109.95

0.84 (0.77%)

, GOOG

Alphabet

$759.11

-3.41 (-0.45%)

09:21
12/07/16
12/07
09:21
12/07/16
09:21
Hot Stocks
Kantar says Apple iOS share gains driven by iPhone 7 sales »

Kantar Worldpanel ComTech…

AAPL

Apple

$109.95

0.84 (0.77%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$759.11

-3.41 (-0.45%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$776.18

-2.04 (-0.26%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$59.95

-0.27 (-0.45%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 15

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AZO

AutoZone

09:20
12/07/16
12/07
09:20
12/07/16
09:20
Recommendations
AutoZone analyst commentary  »

AutoZone price target…

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  • 14

    Dec

AAPL

Apple

$109.95

0.84 (0.77%)

09:18
12/07/16
12/07
09:18
12/07/16
09:18
Downgrade
Apple rating change  »

Apple downgraded to Mixed…

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 13

    Mar

SBUX

Starbucks

$57.44

-0.06 (-0.10%)

09:18
12/07/16
12/07
09:18
12/07/16
09:18
Hot Stocks
Starbucks says five-year goal is to 'elevate the brand' »

Also says goal is to…

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03/06/13
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  • 07

    Dec

NBR

Nabors Industries

09:16
12/07/16
12/07
09:16
12/07/16
09:16
Downgrade
Nabors Industries rating change  »

Nabors Industries…

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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FIT

Fitbit

09:16
12/07/16
12/07
09:16
12/07/16
09:16
Hot Stocks
Fitbit acquires certain assets from Pebble, deal excludes hardware products »

Fitbit announced that it…

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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 08

    Dec

AVAV

AeroVironment

$29.34

0.76 (2.66%)

09:15
12/07/16
12/07
09:15
12/07/16
09:15
Hot Stocks
AeroVironment, Cal State Fresno to research water stress in almond trees »

AeroVironment announced…

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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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09:15
12/07/16
12/07
09:15
12/07/16
09:15
General news
Energy Action: NYMEX crude »

Energy Action: NYMEX…

CLB

Core Laboratories

09:13
12/07/16
12/07
09:13
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09:13
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Core Laboratories rating change  »

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  • 07

    Dec

ETFC

E-Trade

$35.52

0.31 (0.88%)

09:11
12/07/16
12/07
09:11
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09:11
Hot Stocks
E-Trade CEO says running to grow company, not sell it »

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  • 07

    Dec

SBUX

Starbucks

$57.44

-0.06 (-0.10%)

09:09
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12/07
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09:09
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Starbucks »

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  • 07

    Dec

S

Sprint

$8.17

0.12 (1.49%)

09:08
12/07/16
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09:08
Hot Stocks
Sprint becomes first U.S. Pokemon GO partner »

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  • 07

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RES

RPC, Inc.

$21.39

-0.24 (-1.11%)

09:08
12/07/16
12/07
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09:08
Downgrade
RPC, Inc. rating change  »

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Citigroup
03/06/13
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09:07
12/07/16
12/07
09:07
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09:07
Conference/Events
Cowen analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call »

Analysts hold an…

HBAN

Huntington Bancshares

$13.22

0.19 (1.46%)

09:07
12/07/16
12/07
09:07
12/07/16
09:07
Hot Stocks
Huntington Bancshares sees FY17 revenue growth of 20%+ »

Says implementation of…

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  • 07

    Dec

OCRX

Ocera Therapeutics

$2.35

0.1 (4.44%)

09:05
12/07/16
12/07
09:05
12/07/16
09:05
Hot Stocks
Ocera Therapeutics completes enrollment in STOP-HE Phase 2b study »

Ocera Therapeutics…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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SIGM

Sigma Designs

$7.75

0.1 (1.31%)

09:05
12/07/16
12/07
09:05
12/07/16
09:05
Downgrade
Sigma Designs rating change  »

Sigma Designs downgraded…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 14

    Dec

SLM

Sallie Mae

$10.78

0.23 (2.18%)

09:05
12/07/16
12/07
09:05
12/07/16
09:05
Recommendations
Sallie Mae analyst commentary  »

Sallie Mae price target…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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RGC

Regal Entertainment

$22.13

0.17 (0.77%)

09:05
12/07/16
12/07
09:05
12/07/16
09:05
Hot Stocks
Regal Entertainment partners with myLINGO for non-English movie audio »

Regal Entertainment…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 18

    Jan

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