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NFLX

Netflix

$101.47

1.24 (1.24%)

13:29
10/17/16
10/17
13:29
10/17/16
13:29

Netflix technical commentary ahead of earnings

The shares have been trading in a range since April of this year that is largely defined by a low at $90 and a high at $100 with notable breaks that were quickly bought or sold. If the news is strongly positive, a breakout back above the $100 area would be bullish for future price. Next resistance levels above $100 to watch as potential upside objectives would be at $105.79, $111.51, and $117.78. If the news is a negative disappointment, the low of the range at $90 is first important support. A breakdown below $90 would resolve the trading range bearishly for future price. Additional support levels to watch as potential downside objectives would be at $87.21 and $80.57. The 52-week low is at $79.95.

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NFLX Netflix
$101.47

1.24 (1.24%)

10/12/16
UBSW
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Netflix app download showing maturity in U.S., picking up in Europe, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said the firm's Evidence Lab shows Netflix app download data as reflecting maturity in the U.S. and Canada but picking up in Europe. The analyst said his confidence in 10M subscriber addition estimates is increased but he is not prepared to increase his estimates. Mitchelson does not expect Q3 results and Q4 guidance to resolve the bull/bear debate and continues to expect the shares to trade in a range. Mitchelson reiterated his Neutral rating on Netflix shares.
10/12/16
MSCO
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $110
MSCO
Morgan Stanley sees 'un-grandfathering' peaking for Netflix in Q3
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes the market expects Netflix (NFLX) to report Q3 domestic net subscriber additions that fall short of the company's 300K forecast. However, he thinks the impact of "un-grandfathering" will peak in Q3 and that the percentage of U.S. members seeing price increases will begin to fade in Q4. While acknowledging that Amazon (AMZN) continues to grow as a competitor for content and time spent, Swinburne notes that local and regional players in many markets continue to struggle. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating and $110 price target on Netflix shares.
10/13/16
PACS
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
PACS
Netflix subscription growth to reaccelerate in Q4, into 2017, says Pacific Crest
Pacific Crest analyst Andy Hargreaves expects Netflix's Q3 results to be hurt by "excess churn" caused by its price increase. However, he predicts that the company's subscription growth will reaccelerate in Q4 and into 2017, driving the stock higher. The analyst keeps a $125 price target on Netflix and recommends buying the shares.
10/14/16
JPMS
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
Target $134
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan tweaks Alibaba, Netflix targets lower ahead of Q3 results
JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth lowered his price target for Alibaba (BABA) to $134 from $135 and his target for Netflix (NFLX) to $122 from $125 ahead of the Q3 reporting season. Both stocks remain Overweight rated. The analyst slightly lowered his estimates for Alibaba to reflect tougher inventory comps and increased investment spending. He remains positive on the company's overall monetization trends. On Netflix, Anmuth tweaked his 2017 average selling price forecast lower while increasing his investment spend estimate modestly. Within the Internet space, the analyst's top large-cap picks into the quarter are Alphabet (GOOGL), Facebook (FB) and Amazon.com (AMZN). Among small-caps, his top picks into earnings are Yelp (YELP), Pandora (P) and Match Group (MTCH).

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