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EBAY

eBay

$31.64

-0.17 (-0.53%)

, FB

Facebook

$128.57

1.03 (0.81%)

11:45
10/19/16
10/19
11:45
10/19/16
11:45

On The Fly: What to watch in eBay earnings report

eBay (EBAY) is scheduled to report results of its third fiscal quarter after the market close on Wednesday, October 19, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. What to watch for: 1. GROSS MERCHANDISE VOLUME: In the second quarter, eBay reported that its gross merchandise volume, or the amount of sales it helps facilitate, grew 4% on a reported basis, and 6% in constant currency, to $20.9B. This growth rate was an acceleration from the first quarter growth of 1% on a reported basis, and 5% in constant currency, and investors will be anxious to see if the positive GMV trend can continue. 2. GUIDANCE: With its last report, eBay guided to Q3 adjusted earnings of 42c-44c per share. The consensus view stood at 44c when the outlook was provided, where it remains heading into the report. The company pointed toward Q3 revenue of $2.16B-$2.19B. The consensus forecast, which was $2.14B at the time of the company's report, has risen to $2.19B currently. 3. IMPACT FROM FACEBOOK'S MARKETPLACE LAUNCH: On October 3, Facebook (FB) announced that it is introducing "Marketplace," which the company calls a "convenient destination to discover, buy and sell items with people in your community." Facebook said that Marketplace, which will compete with services such as those offered by eBay and Craigslist, makes it "easy to find new things you'll love, and find a new home for the things you're ready part with." At that time, Baird analyst Colin Sebastian said Facebook's launch of its long-anticipated peer-to-peer commerce platform came "much later" than he anticipated, but he still thinks Facebook is well positioned to compete in consumer shopping. Facebook's latest e-commerce effort will create headlines around competitive pressure, but Sebastian thinks Amazon (AMZN) and eBay will be "minimally impacted" in the near term given their scale, brand awareness, and much more advanced e-commerce capabilities. eBay may be most exposed, but the analyst also noted that 80% of its listings are new products, which may have limited overlap with Facebook listings. 4. TAKEOVER TARGET?: In a research note to investors on July 26, Citi analyst Mark May speculated on a potential eBay takeover. Amid an increased M&A environment, May said he sees the e-commerce company as one of the "more likely" targets in his coverage universe, with eBay's business turnaround making the company more appealing to possible suitors. May believes there may be a wide range of companies that could potentially have an interest in acquiring eBay. Among the suitors may be foreign companies wishing to expand their global footprint, such as Alibaba (BABA), along with digital media companies looking to add transactional capabilities to their media properties, like Google's parent Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), the analyst speculated. Furthermore, May sees incumbents in both media and retail seeking to strengthen their digital footprint, like Wal-Mart (WMT), and private equity companies as potential suitors in a possible takeover of the e-commerce company.

EBAY

eBay

$31.64

-0.17 (-0.53%)

FB

Facebook

$128.57

1.03 (0.81%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$817.65

4.7 (0.58%)

BABA

Alibaba

$103.86

0.52 (0.50%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$795.26

15.3 (1.96%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$821.49

14.65 (1.82%)

WMT

Wal-Mart

$69.19

0.32 (0.46%)

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EBAY eBay
$31.64

-0.17 (-0.53%)

10/13/16
SBSH
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
Target $83.5
SBSH
Sell
eBay stake sale creates 'large overhang' for MercadoLibre, says Citi
Citi analyst Lucio Aldworth sees several reasons why eBay's (EBAY) sale of a majority of its stake in MercadoLibre (MELI) creates a "large overhang" on the latter's shares. Namely, he believes the market has always seen eBay as a plausible candidate to take over MercadoLibre, but he thinks this action should remove any M&A premium currently priced into the stock. Additionally, Aldworth notes that eBay said its commitment to Latin America e-commerce remains unchanged, which could mean it will eventually enter the market directly, intensifying competition for MercadoLibre. Aldworth keeps a Sell rating on MercadoLibre shares, which are down 8% in early trading to $168.40.
10/13/16
10/13/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Aaron's (AAN) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies. 2. eBay (EBAY) and Etsy (ETSY) coverage assumed with a Neutral at Wedbush. 3. Five Below (FIVE) and Dollar Tree (DLTR) were initiated with an Overweight at KeyBanc while the firm initiated Dollar General (DG) with a Sector Weight. 4. Baxter (BAX) initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo. 5. Symantec (SYMC) initiated with an Outperform at FBN Securities. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/13/16
BARD
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
Target $35
BARD
Outperform
eBay sale of MercadoLibre stake adds financial flexibility, says Baird
Baird analyst Colin Sebastian said eBay's (EBAY) sale of a majority of its investment stake in MercadoLibre (MELI) will provide eBay with both financial and strategic flexibility. The analyst believes the capital will allow eBay to increase share buybacks, make strategic acquisitions, or expand more aggressively in Latin America under a new strategic agreement with MercadoLibre. Sebastian maintained his Outperform rating and $35 price target on eBay shares.
10/13/16
WEDB
10/13/16
INITIATION
WEDB
Neutral
eBay coverage assumed with a Neutral at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Aaron Turner says that eBay's e-commerce initiatives should help slow its market share erosion. However, the analyst prefers to keep a Neutral rating on the shares until the company shows that its "recent growth is sustainable and/or accelerating." Target to $34 from $29.
FB Facebook
$128.57

1.03 (0.81%)

10/14/16
PIPR
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
Target $185
PIPR
Overweight
Piper's teen survey shows declining Facebook engagement
Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster says his firm's latest survey of over 10,000 teens shows Facebook engagement is decreasing. Engagement in the Fall survey is 52% versus 60% in Spring. Factoring out shifts in the population surveyed, core Facebook usage likely declined by three basis points, which indicates Facebook is gradually becoming less relevant versus Instagram and Snapchat, Munster tells investors in a research note. He points out, however, that teens indicating they use Instagram increased five points in the Fall 2016 survey, slightly faster than Snapchat's four points. Desire for engagement from brands on Instagram will drive long-term monetization above core Facebook levels, Munster contends, while noting that declining Facebook usage is a negative. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating on the shares with a $185 price target.
10/13/16
LOOP
10/13/16
NO CHANGE
Target $165
LOOP
Buy
Facebook keeps expanding addressable market, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Blake Harper noted that Facebook has launched several new products over the past week as the company keeps working to expand its addressable market. Among the new offerings, Harper sees "Events" as a natural extension of what people already use Facebook for, views "Workplace by Facebook" as the largest strategic leap and said "Marketplace" should be helpful for users but more difficult to scale as a business considering Facebook's prior challenges in making inroads in e-commerce. While he does not expect near term revenues from any of these products, Harper said Facebook's innovation gives him confidence in his longer-term estimates and keeps a Buy rating and $165 price target on the stock.
10/17/16
FBCO
10/17/16
NO CHANGE
Target $170
FBCO
Outperform
Facebook price target raised to $170 from $154 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Ju raised Facebook's price target to $170 from $154 on a roll forward to the end of 2017 estimates. Ju's Outperform rating and investment thesis remain unchanged and continues to expect Facebook will be able to drive long term revenue growth without a material lift in ad loads, street models continue to underestimate the long-term monetization potential of upcoming new products, and upward bias to estimates, which do not contemplate contributions from multiple other products including WhatsApp, Messenger, and Offers/Local.
10/14/16
JPMS
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
Target $134
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan tweaks Alibaba, Netflix targets lower ahead of Q3 results
JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth lowered his price target for Alibaba (BABA) to $134 from $135 and his target for Netflix (NFLX) to $122 from $125 ahead of the Q3 reporting season. Both stocks remain Overweight rated. The analyst slightly lowered his estimates for Alibaba to reflect tougher inventory comps and increased investment spending. He remains positive on the company's overall monetization trends. On Netflix, Anmuth tweaked his 2017 average selling price forecast lower while increasing his investment spend estimate modestly. Within the Internet space, the analyst's top large-cap picks into the quarter are Alphabet (GOOGL), Facebook (FB) and Amazon.com (AMZN). Among small-caps, his top picks into earnings are Yelp (YELP), Pandora (P) and Match Group (MTCH).
AMZN Amazon.com
$817.65

4.7 (0.58%)

10/19/16
PACS
10/19/16
NO CHANGE
PACS
Amazon.com price target raised to $905 from $847 at Pacific Crest
Pacific Crest analyst Edward Yruma raised his estimates for Amazon's cloud business, citing "strong underlying fundamentals" for the unit. The analyst thinks that the unit could grow 53% or more this quarter and 42% in 2017. The analyst keeps an Outperform rating on the stock.
10/17/16
FBCO
10/17/16
NO CHANGE
Target $1050
FBCO
Outperform
Amazon.com price target raised to $1,050 from $920 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Ju raised Amazon.com's price target to $1,050 from $920 based on a rollout to end of 2017 estimates. Ju thesis and Outperform rating remains unchanged and continues to expect free cash flow should reset higher as capital intensity to run AWS is starting to level off as usage growth drops below 100% and e-commerce segment operating margin expansion due to continued shipping loss moderation.
10/17/16
GSCO
10/17/16
NO CHANGE
GSCO
Buy
Goldman suggests Apple 'go big' in content with launch of Prime-like service
Goldman Sachs analysts Simona Jankowski and Drew Borst made the case in a new note to investors that Apple (AAPL) should launch a subscription bundle, in the model of Amazon's (AMZN) "Prime" service, in order to reignite growth and avoid commoditization as smartphone sales plateau. Apple has the power to "turn the razor/blade model upside down," argue the analysts, who note that the iPhone giant can afford to be very aggressive in content, by paying premiums for must-have material or pricing services below competitors. An "Apple Prime" subscription bundle priced at $50 month - which would include the iPhone, Apple Music, Apple TV, Apple original content, and potentially live sports - implies EPS generated by "Prime" customers would be over 10% accretive by 2021, the analysts contend. Goldman keeps a Buy rating on Apple shares.
10/14/16
RBCM
10/14/16
NO CHANGE
RBCM
VMware partnership with Amazon positive, says RBC Capital
After VMware (VMW) and Amazon Web Services (AMZN) announced a strategic alliance, RBC Capital analyst Matthew Hedberg says that the deal could enable enterprises to more easily combine Amazon Web Services with VMware software. Hedberg says that the deal gives VMware another sales channel and enables it to be considered more of a player in the hybrid cloud arena. The analyst keeps an Outperform rating on VMware.
BABA Alibaba
$103.86

0.52 (0.50%)

10/11/16
EVER
10/11/16
NO CHANGE
Target $125
EVER
Buy
Alibaba price target raised to $125 from $115 at Evercore ISI
Evercore ISI analyst Ken Sena raised Alibaba's price target to $125 due to favorable near-term macro data and steps the company has is taking into audience and logistics as fueling long-term continued growth. The analyst rates Alibaba a Buy.
09/29/16
MKMP
09/29/16
NO CHANGE
Target $130
MKMP
Buy
Alibaba soft third party tracking data a buying opportunity, says MKM Partners
MKM Partners said the 2% pullback in Alibaba shares this morning is being attributed to soft third party tracking data. The firm's analyst notes tracking data would not would not capture monetization improvement which has been the upside driver for revenue growth acceleration. MKM Partners rates Alibaba a Buy with a $130 price target.
09/29/16
DBAB
09/29/16
NO CHANGE
Target $138
DBAB
Buy
Alibaba price target raised to $138 from $109 at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Alan Hellawell raised his price target for Alibaba to $138 saying his firm's recent payments survey in China reveals Alipay ranks as the "clear #1" online payment method. Alipay has an "unrivalled" 40.8% of all online transactions, and 37.4% of O2O consumption, Hellawell tells investors in a research note. The survey respondents also revealed greater intentions to expand use of Alipay over other alternatives, the analyst adds. He keeps a Buy rating on shares of Alibaba.
GOOG Alphabet
$795.26

15.3 (1.96%)

10/12/16
WELS
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
WELS
Market Perform
Wells doesn't see Apple as biggest beneficiary from Samsung issues
Wells Fargo analyst Maynard Um attributes the recent rally in shares of Apple (AAPL), at least in part, to Samsung's (SSNLF) issues with its Note 7 phones. Apple gained an incremental $14B in market capitalization at its intraday peak, which the analyst believes embeds more than 3M of incremental iPhone 7 Plus units. Samsung's production halt will help Apple, but other Android vendors with 5.7 inch phones could see a bigger benefit if Android users prefer to stick with Android, Um tells investors in a research note. He points out that LG, Kyocera, and Microsoft (MFST) have 5.7 inch Android phones at U.S. carriers. Um thinks expectations for Apple into earnings "have risen materially." He keeps a Market Perform rating on the iPhone maker. Apple closed yesterday up 25c to $116.30.
10/10/16
WELS
10/10/16
NO CHANGE
WELS
Alphabet, Facebook can meet Street estimates, says Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo says that investors are concerned about the ability of Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOG,GOOGL) to meet Street estimates because forecasts continue to indicate that TV's ad share will be relatively stable over the next two years. But Wells says that Facebook and Google will continue to gain share from "non-TV media" and could see increased revenue from "non-advertising marketing services" such as sponsorships and public relations. Wells keeps Outperform ratings on both stocks.
10/19/16
ROTH
10/19/16
NO CHANGE
Target $10
ROTH
Buy
LivePerson new market opportunity emerging, says Roth Capital
Roth Capital analyst Richard Baldry notes that LivePerson (LPSN) has announced support for a new Google (GOOGL; GOOG) AdWords technology extension that enables consumers to message companies directly from "pay-per-click" ads, which he views as a positive incremental growth opportunity. Given this is a dominant form of mass-market digital advertising, the analyst believes this should open up new growth opportunities in 2017 as recognition of its availability grows. Baldry reiterates a Buy rating and $10 price target on LivePerson's shares.
GOOGL Alphabet Class A
$821.49

14.65 (1.82%)

WMT Wal-Mart
$69.19

0.32 (0.46%)

09/29/16
KEYB
09/29/16
INITIATION
Target $90
KEYB
Overweight
Wal-Mart initiated with an Overweight, momentum building, says KeyBanc
As previously reported, KeyBanc initiated Wal-Mart with an Overweight and a $90 price target. Analyst Edward Yruma believes Wal-Mart's investments in e-commerce and technology will drive sustainable market share gains and return the company to both consistent revenue and EBITDA growth in 2017.
09/30/16
GUGG
09/30/16
INITIATION
Target $82
GUGG
Buy
Wal-Mart initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim
Guggenheim analyst Robert Drbul initiated Wal-Mart with a Buy and a $82 price target saying it is successfully adapting to the rapidly changing consumer environment and remains laser focused on improving its critical U.S. supercenter business.
09/30/16
09/30/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Amazon.com (AMZN) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim. 2. Wal-Mart (WMT) initiated with an Overweight at KeyBanc and a Buy at Guggenheim. 3. Harley-Davidson (HOG) initiated with a Hold at Jefferies. 4. Coach (COH) was initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim while the firm initiated Michael Kors (KORS) with a Neutral. 5. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Buy at Williams Capital. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/07/16
BARD
10/07/16
NO CHANGE
Target $80
BARD
Outperform
Wal-Mart moving into next phase of transformation, says Baird
Baird analyst Peter Benedict said the Wal-Mart analyst meeting highlighted the next phase of the company's transformation. The analyst believes the convergence of initiatives will help sustain the company's current momentum, which is seeing traction across many aspects of its business. Benedict believes the strategy is the right one for the business and investors over the long-term. Benedict maintained his Outperform rating and $80 price target on Wal-Mart shares.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

ATH

Athene Holding

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PSTG

Pure Storage

$12.26

-0.075 (-0.61%)

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0.28 (5.40%)

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DATA

Tableau

$45.85

0.2 (0.44%)

10:24
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Rumors
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ATH

Athene Holding

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ICHR

Ichor Holdings

10:23
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Ichor Holdings indicated to open at $9.75, IPO priced at $9.00 »

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  • 09

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CPB

Campbell Soup

$59.00

0.72 (1.24%)

10:21
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10:21
Options
Campbell Soup calls are stirring »

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RH

Restoration Hardware

$32.75

-6.24 (-16.00%)

10:20
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Restoration Hardware options active as shares fall on earnings »

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CPK

Chesapeake Utilities

$68.55

0.55 (0.81%)

, CNX

CONSOL

$21.16

-0.62 (-2.85%)

10:19
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On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations »

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CPK

Chesapeake Utilities

$68.55

0.55 (0.81%)

CNX

CONSOL

$21.16

-0.62 (-2.85%)

JCI

Johnson Controls

$43.68

0.03 (0.07%)

AMID

American Midstream Partners

$16.95

-0.05 (-0.29%)

BIP

Brookfield Infrastructure

$32.93

0.2499 (0.76%)

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ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch

$15.96

-0.28 (-1.72%)

, DLTH

Duluth Holdings

$37.04

3.09 (9.10%)

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ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch

$15.96

-0.28 (-1.72%)

DLTH

Duluth Holdings

$37.04

3.09 (9.10%)

DTEA

DAVIDsTEA

$9.30

0.15 (1.64%)

HLT

Hilton

$26.54

0.295 (1.12%)

HZNP

Horizon Pharma

$15.03

-4.36 (-22.49%)

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  • 09

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AZN

AstraZeneca

$27.11

0.84 (3.20%)

, ADSK

Autodesk

$81.74

1.4 (1.74%)

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AZN

AstraZeneca

$27.11

0.84 (3.20%)

ADSK

Autodesk

$81.74

1.4 (1.74%)

ETN

Eaton

$69.45

0.47 (0.68%)

FLR

Fluor

$56.77

0.77 (1.38%)

SYY

Sysco

$54.46

0.13 (0.24%)

03/08/13
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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

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$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

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ATH

Athene Holding

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  • 09

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SDRL

Seadrill

$3.72

0.315 (9.26%)

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VirnetX

$3.35

0.05 (1.52%)

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ATH

Athene Holding

10:10
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Breaking Syndicate news story on Athene Holding »

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  • 09

    Dec

XLF

Financial Select Sector

$23.63

-0.07 (-0.30%)

10:10
12/09/16
12/09
10:10
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10:10
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$15.9M premium block in SPDR Financials »

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10:10
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10:10
General news
U.S. December consumer sentiment surged 4.2 points to 98.0 in preliminary »

U.S. December consumer…

TEX

Terex

$32.28

-0.06 (-0.19%)

10:09
12/09/16
12/09
10:09
12/09/16
10:09
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Terex rating change  »

Terex upgraded to Mixed…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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  • 13

    Dec

AZN

AstraZeneca

$27.09

0.82 (3.12%)

10:08
12/09/16
12/09
10:08
12/09/16
10:08
Hot Stocks
FDA accepts BLA for AstraZeneca's durvalumab for bladder cancer »

AstraZeneca and its…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
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03/06/13
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  • 16

    Feb

KO

Coca-Cola

$41.82

0.835 (2.04%)

10:04
12/09/16
12/09
10:04
12/09/16
10:04
Technical Analysis
Coca-Cola tests downtrend resistance »

The stock was last at…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 09

    Dec

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