| 2016-10-19 16:17:37|
LSTR 16:17 10/19 10/19/16
Landstar System sees Q4 EPS 85c-90c, consensus 82c
Sees Q4 revenue $800M-$850M, consensus $802.46M. Commenting on Landstar's 2016 fourth quarter, CEO Gattoni stated, "I expect the slow growth environment we have experienced during the first three quarters of 2016 to continue through the 2016 fourth quarter. As was the case in our 2016 second and third quarters, fourth quarter 2016 over fourth quarter 2015 revenue comparisons will include the effects of revenue derived from the automotive project previously referenced. The Company's 2015 fourth quarter included approximately $38 million in revenue from approximately 19,000 loads hauled via truck related to that project. Through the first few weeks of October, we have experienced the normal seasonal pattern for revenue per load on loads hauled via truck and, therefore, I anticipate revenue per load on loads hauled via truck to be below prior year's fourth quarter in a mid-single digit range, consistent with the 2016 third quarter compared to the 2015 third quarter. Landstar's fiscal year ends on the last Saturday of the calendar year, which this year is December 31, 2016, resulting in fiscal year 2016 representing a 53 week period. As such, the Company's 2016 fourth quarter includes an extra week of operations. The number of loads hauled via truck during the first few weeks of October is trending slightly ahead of the historical third quarter to fourth quarter trend. Assuming that trend continues, and given the extra week in the 2016 fourth quarter, I would expect the number of loads hauled via truck in the 2016 fourth quarter to exceed the 2015 fourth quarter in a low-single digit range. As such, I expect 2016 fourth quarter revenue to be in a range of $800 million to $850 million. Assuming insurance and claims costs in the 2016 fourth quarter are approximately 3.2 percent of BCO revenue, representing average insurance and claims costs as a percent of BCO revenue over the past 5 years, I would expect diluted earnings per share to be in a range of $0.85 to $0.90 in the 2016 fourth quarter."