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NUE

Nucor

$61.32

-0.65 (-1.05%)

, X

U.S. Steel

$30.55

-1.6201 (-5.04%)

10:37
11/29/16
11/29
10:37
11/29/16
10:37

Macquarie says steel stocks came too far, too fast

The shares of a number of steel stocks are falling after research firm Macquarie downgraded several names in the space. The stocks look expensive in the wake of their recent rally, the firm warned. Macquarie downgraded Nucor (NUE), TimkenSteel (TMST) and Worthington (WOR) to Underperform, the firm's equivalent of a sell rating. It cut Steel Dynamics (STLD), AK Steel (AKS), and Reliance Steel (RS) to Neutral from Outperform. POSITIVE CATALYSTS: U.S. steel prices have risen to $550-$560 per ton, driven partly by "tight domestic supply and a lack of imports," wrote Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro. Meanwhile, scrap prices have risen in the wake of tight U.S. supplies and strong overseas demand, the analyst reported. LIMITS, RISKS: Steel prices probably won't exceed $550-$560 per ton, Mazzaferro believes. The strong U.S. dollar looks set to keep a lid on prices, while slowing growth in China could derail the steel price rally, the analyst stated. VALUATION: At current levels, steel stocks reflect steel prices of $600+ per ton, increasing the risk posed by the shares, according to Mazzaferro. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Research firm Argus today downgraded U.S. Steel (X) to Hold from Buy, saying that the shares appear to be "overbought." Moreover, the company probably won't see a positive impact from President-elect Trump's infrastructure plan until mid-2017, the firm stated. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Nucor fell about 1% to $61.49, Timkensteel dropped over 3% to $14.58, Worthington retreated 3% to $58.52, Steel Dynamics lost 0.5% to $35.29, Reliance Steel was flat at $82.15 and AK Steel gave back 1.5% to about $9 per share.

NUE

Nucor

$61.32

-0.65 (-1.05%)

X

U.S. Steel

$30.55

-1.6201 (-5.04%)

STLD

Steel Dynamics

$35.48

-0.3 (-0.84%)

AKS

AK Steel

$8.93

-0.17 (-1.87%)

RS

Reliance Steel

$81.90

-0.16 (-0.19%)

TMST

TimkenSteel

$14.72

-0.37 (-2.45%)

WOR

Worthington

$58.46

-1.85 (-3.07%)

NUE Nucor
$61.32

-0.65 (-1.05%)

11/09/16
BOFA
11/09/16
UPGRADE
BOFA
Buy
Nucor upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill
11/09/16
11/09/16
UPGRADE
Target $57

Buy
Nucor upgraded to Buy following Trump victory at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA/Merrill upgraded Nucor to Buy from Neutral and raised its price target to $57 from $50. The firm's conviction for stronger 2017 steel prices has been growing and the Trump victory has increased its positive view on U.S. steel stocks.
11/14/16
BREN
11/14/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $61
BREN
Hold
Nucor downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg
Berenberg analyst Alessandro Abate downgraded Nucor to Hold with an increased price target of $61.
11/29/16
MACQ
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $53
MACQ
Underperform
Nucor downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro downgraded Nucor to Underperform and raised its price target to $53 from $50 due to valuation.
X U.S. Steel
$30.55

-1.6201 (-5.04%)

11/29/16
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades: 1. Wendy's (WEN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman with analyst Karen Holthouse citing valuation with the stock up 23% over the past month. 2. SAIC (SAIC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi with analyst Jonathan Raviv citing the recent rally in the shares and some overhang from the pending contract transition. 3. BioMarin (BMRN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and Vertex (VRTX) were downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays. 4. Nivalis Therapeutics (NVLS) downgraded to Market Perform Raymond James, to Hold from Buy at Stifel, to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen, and to Neutral from Outperform at Baird. 5. U.S. Steel (X) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/29/16
ARGS
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
ARGS
Hold
U.S. Steel downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
11/21/16
11/21/16
DOWNGRADE

Neutral
Follow-up: U.S. Steel downgraded on valuation, slowing auto growth at Rosenblatt
As previously reported, Rosenblatt downgraded U.S. Steel to Neutral from Buy. Analyst Chris Olin said shares appear fairly valued given recent share strength and reduced demand visibility and decelerating automotive growth.
11/21/16
RSBL
11/21/16
DOWNGRADE
RSBL
Neutral
U.S. Steel downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Rosenblatt
STLD Steel Dynamics
$35.48

-0.3 (-0.84%)

10/26/16
10/26/16
UPGRADE
Target $30

Buy
Steel Dynamics upgraded to Buy on spot sheet leverage at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA/Merrill upgraded Steel Dynamics (STLD) to Buy from Neutral and raised its price target to $30 from $28. Analyst Timna Tanners' checks indicate US scrap steel prices are likely to rise $30-$40/ton in November due to increased global demand and higher metallurgical coal prices, which could be a catalyst for higher domestic steel prices. The analyst said Steel Dynamics is more exposure to sheet price hikes than peers and expects its strong cash flows and diversified mix to drive its valuation multiple toward Nucor's (NUE).
11/14/16
BREN
11/14/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $36.5
BREN
Hold
Steel Dynamics downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg
Berenberg analyst Alessandro Abate downgraded Steel Dynamics to Hold with an increased price target of $36.50.
11/29/16
MACQ
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $35
MACQ
Neutral
Steel Dynamics downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro downgraded Steel Dynamics to Neutral and raised its price target to $35 from $33 due to valuation.
11/14/16
RSBL
11/14/16
DOWNGRADE
RSBL
Neutral
Steel Dynamics downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Rosenblatt
Rosenblatt analyst Chris Olin downgraded Steel Dynamics to Neutral saying shares have surpassed his $32 price target and valuation reflects near-term strength and early 2017 upside.
AKS AK Steel
$8.93

-0.17 (-1.87%)

11/14/16
11/14/16
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Lockheed Martin (LMT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel with analyst Joseph DeNardi saying he is pleased with the company's comments regarding its 2018 free cash flow outlook, and he thinks that it could benefit from increased defense spending in the wake of the election results. 2. Philip Morris (PM) upgraded to Buy from Outperform at CLSA with analyst Michael Levy citing the recent pullback for his rating change and said he sees the company adding to its buyback. 3. Citi (C) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley with analysts led by Betsy Graseck saying the Republican sweep is positive for all financial stocks due to increased growth, higher rates, lower taxes, and less regulation. 4. U.S. Steel (X) and AK Steel (AKS) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley. 5. L Brands (LB), Kohl's (KSS), and Chico's(CHS) were upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi, while Chico's was also upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/29/16
MACQ
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $9
MACQ
Neutral
AK Steel downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro downgraded AK Steel to Neutral and raised its price target to $9 from $6.80 saying valuation more than discounts what he is expecting for earnings.
11/14/16
MSCO
11/14/16
UPGRADE
MSCO
Overweight
AK Steel upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
11/14/16
MSCO
11/14/16
UPGRADE
Target $11
MSCO
Overweight
AK Steel upgraded on upside to infrastructure cycle at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Evan Kurtz upgraded AK Steel to Overweight from Equal Weight and raised its price target to $11 from $5. The analyst believes the Trump victory has led to the first "credible long-term investment case" for steel equities for the first time in a decade and expects Trump's proposals for infrastructure spending and trade protection to add to demand and curb import supply. Kurtz expects AK Steel to benefit from increased flat-rolled steel demand, ongoing cost savings, and leverage to an infrastructure upcycle.
RS Reliance Steel
$81.90

-0.16 (-0.19%)

10/18/16
CLKS
10/18/16
UPGRADE
CLKS
Buy
Reliance Steel upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Clarksons Platou
11/29/16
MACQ
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $80
MACQ
Neutral
Reliance Steel downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro downgraded Reliance Steel to Neutral and raised its price target to $80 from $75 due to valuation.
11/09/16
DBAB
11/09/16
UPGRADE
DBAB
Buy
Reliance Steel upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank
11/09/16
DBAB
11/09/16
UPGRADE
DBAB
Buy
Deutsche upgrades four Metals & Mining names after Trump win
Deutsche Bank analyst Jorge Beristain believes Metals & Mining companies with exposure to precious metals and steel and aluminum will benefit from trade protectionism under President-elect Donald Trump. The analyst upgraded to Buy from Hold Franco-Nevada (FNV), Reliance Steel (RS), Ryerson (RYI) and U.S. Steel (X). Higher import duties and/or regulations for aluminum and steel products are likely, which should "provide a tailwind" for domestic steel and aluminum prices, Beristain tells investors in a research note. The analyst has a $74 price target for Franco-Nevada, a $78 target for Reliance, a $14 target for Ryerson and a $24 target for U.S. Steel.
TMST TimkenSteel
$14.72

-0.37 (-2.45%)

11/29/16
MACQ
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $8
MACQ
Underperform
TimkenSteel downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro downgraded TimkenSteel to Underperform and raised its price target to $8 from $7. The analyst said shares have risen sharply against only modestly improved earnings and the strong dollar and soft energy markets cloud the outlook.
01/13/16
JEFF
01/13/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $4.5
JEFF
Hold
TimkenSteel downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Seth Rosenfeld downgraded TimkenSteel to Hold saying Chinese exports put the global steel industry at risk. The analyst prefers U.S. steel to Euro and cut his price target for TimkenSteel shares to $4.50.
01/13/16
01/13/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: American Express (AXP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Ameriprise (AMP) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... Anchor BanCorp Wisconsin (ABCW) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Sandler O'Neill... ArcelorMittal (MT) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Jefferies... Aspen Technology (AZPN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Benchmark... BOK Financial (BOKF) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Bunzl (BZLFY) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... CST Brands (CST) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens... Charles Schwab (SCHW) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill... Church & Dwight (CHD) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Cimpress (CMPR) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Conn's (CONN) downgraded on multiple headwinds at Stifel... Cullen/Frost (CFR) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Dialog Semiconductor (DLGNF) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... Dover (DOV) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS... Dr Pepper Snapple (DPS) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... First American (FAF) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Goldcorp (GG) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Intelsat (I) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Janus Capital (JNS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... LVMH (LVMUY) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Landstar System (LSTR) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Lincoln National (LNC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... Lloyds Banking (LYG) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Exane BNP Paribas... National Grid (NGG) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS... PennyMac Financial (PFSI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Plains All American (PAA) downgraded to Equalweight from Overweight at Capital One... Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel... Roadrunner (RRTS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Starwood Property (STWD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... TimkenSteel (TMST) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies... Ultra Petroleum (UPL) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS... Under Armour (UA) downgraded to Mixed from Positive at OTR Global... Whiting Petroleum (WLL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS.
08/11/16
COWN
08/11/16
UPGRADE
Target $15
COWN
Outperform
TimkenSteel upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen
Cowen analsyt Novid Rassouli upgraded TimkenSteel to Outperform based on cost initiatives, an energy cycle trough, a stronger balance sheet following the convert, and discounted valuation to asset value. The analyst said the selloff in shares following Q2 results is overdone and provides a buying opportunity. Rassouli raised TimkenSteel's price target to $15 from $13.
WOR Worthington
$58.46

-1.85 (-3.07%)

01/13/16
JEFF
01/13/16
INITIATION
Target $30
JEFF
Hold
Worthington assumed with a Hold at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Seth Rosenfeld assumed Worthington with a Hold rating and lowered his price target for the shares to $30 from $31.
11/29/16
MACQ
11/29/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $40
MACQ
Underperform
Worthington downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Aldo Mazzaferro downgraded Worthington to Underperform and raised its price target to $40 from $35 saying the recent rally and unsustainable multiple.

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Basic Energy

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FNV

Franco-Nevada

$79.32

0.4 (0.51%)

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PTN

Palatin

$0.66

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Apple

$151.89

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General Electric

$24.87

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McDermott

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Allergan

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Encana

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EXAS

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NTDOY

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EGO

Eldorado Gold

$2.26

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APRN

Blue Apron

$5.19

-0.04 (-0.76%)

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TMO

Thermo Fisher

$188.30

0.39 (0.21%)

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CUB

Cubic

$51.60

4.8 (10.26%)

07:27
09/25/17
09/25
07:27
09/25/17
07:27
Recommendations
Cubic analyst commentary  »

Cubic price target raised…

03/08/13
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03/06/13
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GLW

Corning

$30.05

-0.05 (-0.17%)

07:26
09/25/17
09/25
07:26
09/25/17
07:26
Periodicals
Corning looks to expand Gorilla presence in auto glass market, DigiTimes says »

Corning is looking to…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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07:26
09/25/17
09/25
07:26
09/25/17
07:26
General news
Futures pointing to slightly lower open »

Stock futures are trading…

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