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AEO

American Eagle

$16.39

-2.52 (-13.33%)

, ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch

$14.63

-0.26 (-1.75%)

11:29
11/30/16
11/30
11:29
11/30/16
11:29

American Eagle plunges after giving cautious holiday forecast

Shares of American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) plunged in morning trading after the apparel retailer reported quarterly comparable sales that fell below the same period a year-ago amid a "tough" retail environment. The owner of the American Eagle and Aerie brands also offered a weak forecast for its holiday quarter. IN-LINE QUARTERLY EARNINGS: American Eagle reported this morning that earnings per share for the third quarter were 41c on revenue of $940.61M, in line with analysts' estimates calling for 41c and $940.94M, respectively. At the same time, the retailer said same-store sales increased 2% for the quarter, well below last year's 9% increase. Total SSS were up 0.4% at AE's namesake brand, while SSS at the Aerie brand increased 21%. WEAK FORECAST: Looking to the critical holiday season, American Eagle forecast fourth quarter EPS of 37c-39c and expects SSS to be flat to up in the low single digits. Prior to the report, analysts expected American Eagle would report Q4 EPS of 45c. In the year-ago period, American Eagle reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 35c. EXECUTIVE COMMENTARY: On its earnings call discussing the quarter, American Eagle management noted that the retail climate, particularly in malls, is "tough," adding that the "pace of traffic is choppy." "We're therefore taking a cautious view" for Q4, Chief Financial Officer Bob Madore said. At the same time, Madore noted that American Eagle is "ready to compete" for the holiday season and said the retailer saw an improvement in traffic trends over the Thanksgiving weekend. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Mall-based retailers like American Eagle have been hurt by the increasing popularity of fast-fashion retailers like Zara, Forever 21 and H&M, as well as an increase in online shopping. Peer Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) said last week that it expects "challenging" Q4 SSS, while Gap (GPS) earlier this month reported its seventh straight quarter of declining sales and said it would close more stores than previously forecast. Madore, the former CFO of Ralph Lauren (RL), was named CFO of American Eagle in September. ANALYST COMMENTARY: Stifel analyst Richard Jaffe said in a note to clients that investors expected the company to have issued a better outlook for the holiday season. While American Eagle's Q4 guidance is below his estimate, he still believes the retailer's momentum is "sustainable," as there are several initiatives in place to drive sales and margin expansion. The analyst maintained a Buy rating and $22 price target on the stock. Prior to American Eagle's earnings report, Wolfe Research analyst Adrienne Yih said the company was "one of the strongest" Black Friday check-ins in the teen space, but noted deeper promotions and said the competitive backdrop "remains intense." PRICE ACTION: American Eagle plunged nearly 14% to $16.29 in morning trading, though shares are still up over 5% year-to-date. OTHERS TO WATCH: Peers Abercrombie & Fitch and Urban Outfitters (URBN) are trading lower this morning, while Gap is higher.

AEO

American Eagle

$16.39

-2.52 (-13.33%)

ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch

$14.63

-0.26 (-1.75%)

GPS

Gap

$25.66

0.42 (1.66%)

URBN

Urban Outfitters

$32.42

0.01 (0.03%)

  • 30

    Nov

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    Dec

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    Jan

AEO American Eagle
$16.39

-2.52 (-13.33%)

11/15/16
FBRC
11/15/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $19
FBRC
Market Perform
American Eagle downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital
FBR Capital analyst Susan Anderson downgraded American Eagle (AEO) to Market Perform citing heightened promotional trends. The analyst cut her price target for the shares to $19 from $22. Anderson this morning also downgraded Francesca's (FRAN) and Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to Underperform from Market Perform.
11/23/16
DBAB
11/23/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $13
DBAB
Sell
Abercrombie & Fitch downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Tiffany Kanaga downgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to Sell saying the Abercrombie brand turnaround is yet to gain traction. In a research note partially titled "Pre-Thanksgiving Rally Full of Stuffing, Not Meat," Kanaga writes that she expects a "prolonged recovery" for the Abercrombie brand. American Eagle (AEO) remains her preferred way to play the teen apparel space. The analyst cut her price target for Abercrombie shares to $13 from $14. The retailer closed yesterday up 73c to $15.49.
11/15/16
11/15/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. FedEx (FDX) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel with analyst David Ross citing valuation, as well as concerns about the "still-fragile global economic environment" and the integration of its TNT acquisition. 2. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) downgraded to Underperform at FBR Capital while the firm also downgraded American Eagle (AEO) to Market Perform from Outperform. 3. Amplify Snack Brands (BETR) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer and to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse. 4. BP (BP) downgraded to Outperform from Buy at CLSA while the firm also downgraded ConocoPhillips (COP) to Underperform from Outperform. 5. Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Maxim with analyst Stephen Anderson saying he sees the company's above-peer comps, market share gains, and solid new unit development prospects as being priced in after the 22% jump in the stock from its late October low. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/30/16
STFL
11/30/16
NO CHANGE
Target $22
STFL
Buy
American Eagle selloff a buying opportunity, says Stifel
Stifel analyst Richard Jaffe attributes the selloff in shares of American Eagle following its Q3 report to investor expectations for the company to have issued a better outlook for the Holiday season. While acknowledging the company's Q4 guidance is below his estimate and consensus, Jaffe said he still believes the company's momentum is "strong and sustainable" and there are several initiatives in place to further drive sales and margin expansion. The analyst, who views the dip as a buying opportunity, keeps a Buy rating and $22 price target on American Eagle, which is down about 14% to $16.19 in early trading.
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
$14.63

-0.26 (-1.75%)

11/21/16
11/21/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. 3M (MMM) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman with analyst Joe Ritchie saying he believes 3M's "undifferentiated" organic growth driven by Electronics and Energy weakness and margin headwinds will result in shares underperformance. 2. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, citing the company's Q3 results and a belief that it faces multiple challenges, including macro, secular, and brand perception issues. 3. BNY Mellon (BK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Buckingham. 4. Foot Locker (FL) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray with analyst Erinn Murphy saying the stock is "priced for perfection" with the company at peak operating margins. 5. Allegiant Travel (ALGT) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research with the firm citing valuation. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/21/16
BOFA
11/21/16
NO CHANGE
Target $10
BOFA
Underperform
Abercrombie on track to trigger debt prepayment penalty, says BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill analyst Stephen Albert said Abercrombie & Fitch is on track to trigger a mandatory debt prepayment penalty at year end if current business trends continue in Q4. The analyst said Abercrombie could finish 2016 with a Debt/EBITDA raitio of 1.34x, above the 1x ratio that triggers a prepayment penalty equal to 25% of its annual cash flow. The analyst is currently forecasting $47M of free cash flow and said it has cash to fund the dividend near-term, but believes the dividend could be at risk longer-term if trends continue to deteriorate. Albert rates Abercrombie an Underperform and lowered its price target to $10 from $12.
11/23/16
11/23/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. CBS (CBS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst Daniel Salmon citing valuation and his belief that the shares will soon begin to trade based on a potential deal with Viacom (VIA, VIAB). 2. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Tiffany Kanaga saying the Abercrombie brand turnaround is yet to gain traction. 3. Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global. 4. HP Inc. (HPQ) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with analyst James Kisner citing valuation and secular challenges for the downgrade. 5. First Solar (FSLR) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie with analyst Gurpreet Gujral citing a lack of catalysts after the company canceled the Series 5 product that was originally scheduled to launch in 2017. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
GPS Gap
$25.66

0.42 (1.66%)

11/28/16
PIPR
11/28/16
UPGRADE
Target $23
PIPR
Neutral
Gap upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Neely Tamminga upgraded Gap to Neutral saying the shares, are dropping 17% since the earnings report, are appropriately reflecting concerns on fundamentals. The analyst keeps a $23 price target for the stock.
11/28/16
PIPR
11/28/16
UPGRADE
Target $67
PIPR
Neutral
L Brands upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Neely Tamminga upgraded L Brands(LB) to Neutral saying the stock at current levels is already "indicating fundamental disappointment in the near-term." The analyst keeps a $67 price target for the shares. Tamminga this morning also upgraded Gap (GPS) to Neutral.
11/18/16
11/18/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wells Fargo (WFC) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital with analyst James Fotheringham saying that the shares don't reflect the impact of its "recent cross-selling issues." 2. Gap (GPS) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi with analyst Paul Lejuez citing expectations that the company's brands will continue to struggle. 3. Citi (C) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie with analyst David Konrad saying investors should shift exposure to names that have more leverage to capital markets and increased economic activity and away from global banks. 4. Torchmark (TMK) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill with analyst Seth Weiss citing relative valuation. 5. First Solar (FSLR) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS with analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith saying the recently issued 2017 guidance "is not the trough in expectations." This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/28/16
MSCO
11/28/16
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Softline Black Friday weekend sales mixed versus last year, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley said overall Softline Black Friday weekend sales were mixed verus last year saying L Brands (LB), lululemon (LULU), and Hollister were weekend winners and Gap (GPS), Broadridge (BR), Michael Kors (KORS), and Anthro were laggards.
URBN Urban Outfitters
$32.42

0.01 (0.03%)

11/23/16
STFL
11/23/16
NO CHANGE
STFL
Urban Outfitters long-term outlook still positive, says Stifel
After Urban Outfitters reported lower than expected Q3 EPS, Stifel analyst Richard Jaffe says that weakness at the company's Anthrolopolgie unit hindered the company's results. He thinks that Anthrolopologie's offerings continue to be "weak." Jaffe expects the stock to be pressured in the near-term, but he remains upbeat on the company's outlook, partly due to what he sees as its "strong brand equity" and "significant growth opportunities." He keeps a $40 price target and a Buy rating on the shares.
11/23/16
WDLK
11/23/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $32
WDLK
Hold
Wunderlich downgrades Urban Outfitters on 'anemic' Q3 results
Wunderlich analyst Eric Beder downgraded Urban Outfitters to Hold from Buy saying the retailer's "anemic" Q3 results disproved his entire investment thesis. Sales momentum at Free People and Anthropologie continued to weaken and gross margins remained challenged despite easy comparisons, Beder tells investors in a post-earnings research note. He cut his price target for the shares to $32 from $40. Urban Outfitters is down 11%, or $4.14, to $34.87 in pre-market trading.
11/23/16
BARD
11/23/16
NO CHANGE
Target $38
BARD
Outperform
Urban Outfitters margin outlook murkier than anticipated, says Baird
Baird analyst Mark Altschwager noted Urban Outfitters reported weaker than expected Q3 results as sluggish apparel demand at Anthropologie weighed on consolidated comps and margins. The analyst said the apparel market remains choppy and the margin picture is murkier than anticipated and recommends investors wait for opportunities to build or add to positions in the low $30's and look to trim positions in the high $30's. Altschwager maintained his Outperform rating on Urban Outfitters shares.
11/23/16
JEFF
11/23/16
NO CHANGE
Target $45
JEFF
Buy
Jefferies reiterates Buy on Urban Outfitters after Q3 miss
Jefferies analyst Randal Konik reiterates a Buy rating on Urban Outfitters with a $45 price target following the company's Q3 miss. The analyst remains "encouraged" by the momentum at the Urban Outfitters brand, which he notes is bucking the industry trend with higher store traffic. He sees Anthropologie "finding its way" over the next several quarters.

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SMBK

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$22.31

0.61 (2.81%)

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  • 26

    Apr

ZIXI

ZixCorp

$5.21

-0.14 (-2.62%)

17:41
04/25/17
04/25
17:41
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17:41
Hot Stocks
ZixCorp announces up to $10M share repurchase program »

Zix Corporation announced…

03/08/13
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UMBF

UMB Financial

$77.08

0.195 (0.25%)

17:35
04/25/17
04/25
17:35
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17:35
Hot Stocks
UMB Financial approves 2M shares repurchase plan »

UMB Financial approved…

03/08/13
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  • 25

    Apr

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MSA

MSA Safety

$73.25

0.9 (1.24%)

17:35
04/25/17
04/25
17:35
04/25/17
17:35
Earnings
MSA Safety reports Q1 cont ops EPS 37c, consensus 50c »

Reports Q1 revenue $266M,…

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OESX

Orion Energy

$1.79

-0.04 (-2.19%)

17:32
04/25/17
04/25
17:32
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17:32
Earnings
Orion Energy sees Q4 revenue $15.1-$15.5M, consensus $20.72M »

The company said,…

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  • 26

    Apr

RCII

Rent-A-Center

$10.86

-0.15 (-1.36%)

17:29
04/25/17
04/25
17:29
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17:29
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Engaged Capital responds to Rent-A-Center »

Engaged Capital issued a…

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  • 02

    May

LMT

Lockheed Martin

$270.02

-6.19 (-2.24%)

17:28
04/25/17
04/25
17:28
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17:28
Hot Stocks
Lockheed Martin awarded $109.5M government contract »

Lockheed Martin Corp.,…

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  • 25

    Apr

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