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CMG

Chipotle

$414.48

19.42 (4.92%)

07:13
01/11/17
01/11
07:13
01/11/17
07:13

Chipotle may need to lower 2017 guidance, says Jefferies

Jefferies analyst Andy Barish notes that Chipotle Mexican Grill yesterday gave no update on its 2017 guidance after reporting weaker than expected preliminary results for Q4. In a research note titled "4Q Downside Pre-Report Not Surprising; 2017 Guide May Need to Be Revised Too!," Barish reiterates an Underperform rating on Chipotle with a $300 price target. The analyst points out that his 2017 estimates for the company remain below consensus.

  • 02

    Feb

CMG Chipotle
$414.48

19.42 (4.92%)

01/06/17
UBSW
01/06/17
NO CHANGE
Target $410
UBSW
Neutral
Chipotle sales recovery remains elusive, says UBS
UBS analyst Dennis Geiger noted Chipotle implemented an enhanced food safety program and robust marketing and promotions and other traffic enhancing efforts but the sales recovery remains elusive. The analyst said without a more accelerated sales recovery, margins are likely to remain depressed. Geiger maintained his Neutral rating and $410 price target on Chipotle shares.
01/10/17
STFL
01/10/17
NO CHANGE
Target $215
STFL
Sell
Chipotle likley to miss current, unchanged 2017 guidance, says Stifel
Stifel analyst Paul Westra continues to believe that Chipotle's disappointing comp/store-margin trends significantly increases the likelihood that the company fails to achieve management's currently unchanged 2017 comp/earnings guidance of "high single digits" or approximately $10.00. As a result, Westra reduced his 2017 comp/earnings outlook to +4%/$8.50 from +6%/$9.50. The analyst rates Chipotle a Sell with a $215 price target.
01/10/17
RAJA
01/10/17
NO CHANGE
RAJA
Underperform
Chipotle weak trends reflect permanent change in consumers, says Raymond James
Raymond James analyst Brian Vaccaro said Chipotle's pre-announced Q4 comparable sales decline of 4.8% was below his estimate for a decline of 2% and consensus forecast for comps to be down 3.5%. The strength in shares may be attributable to short covering and perhaps a "surface level" read of a 14.7% comp gain in December, said Vaccaro, but he believes the "two-year stacked trend" of down 15% in December reflects a permanent change in consumer behavior. The analyst, who thinks the company's guidance seems aggressive, keeps an Underperform rating on Chipotle shares.
01/10/17
LEHM
01/10/17
NO CHANGE
Target $405
LEHM
Equal Weight
Chipotle standing by 2017 'stretch' goals, says Barclays
After speaking with Chipotle management at the ICR Conference, Barclays analyst Jeffrey Bernstein noted they are standing by their 2017 guidance, which he said has always been viewed as a "stretch." For January month-to-date, the company pointed to a 16.4% comp sales gain in week one, lapping a 32% decline last year, adding up to a "similar" two-year trend to December, added Bernstein, who keeps an Equal Weight rating and $405 price target on Chipotle shares.

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