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COST

Costco

$167.11

-12.95 (-7.19%)

, KR

Kroger

$22.36

0.065 (0.29%)

10:38
06/19/17
06/19
10:38
06/19/17
10:38

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades

Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Costco (COST) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Paul Trussell saying positive pipeline catalysts have played out while competition is intensifying with Amazon.com (AMZN) and Wal-Mart (WMT) accelerating in-store and online efforts. The analyst lowered his price target for the shares to $172 from $187. 2. Kroger (KR) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley with analyst Vincent Sinisi saying there is increased structural margin risk within the Food Retail sector following Amazon's (AMZN) acquisition of Whole Foods (WFM) and said stocks are now appropriately pricing in flat medium-term growth. 3. Wayfair (W) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Maxim with analyst Tom Forte saying he views the current share price as fully reflecting its revenue growth opportunity over the next three years and his expectation that the company can meet the top-end of its long-term adjusted EBITDA margin target of 8%-10%. 4. Travelers (TRV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Jay Cohen citing valuation. 5. TripAdvisor (TRIP) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse with analyst Paul Bieber citing raised expectations for TV ad spending in 2018 paired with uncertainty regarding the return on TV advertising investment given the crowded ad market for online travel. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

COST

Costco

$167.11

-12.95 (-7.19%)

KR

Kroger

$22.36

0.065 (0.29%)

W

Wayfair

$74.72

-1.45 (-1.90%)

TRV

Travelers

$128.93

-0.51 (-0.39%)

TRIP

TripAdvisor

  • 20

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    Jun

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COST Costco
$167.11

-12.95 (-7.19%)

06/16/17
06/16/17
DOWNGRADE

Neutral
Costco downgraded to Neutral from Conviction Buy at Goldman Sachs
As previously reported, Goldman downgraded Costco (COST) to Neutral from Conviction Buy and lowered its price target to $176 from $197. Analyst Matthew Fassler believes Costco's valuation will be capped due to Amazon's (AMZN) ongoing moves into consumables, online investments by Wal-Mart (WMT) and fading fundamental catalysts. He believes Amazon will offer superior pricing and delivery competency versus incumbents but does not anticipate meaningful erosion in warehouse business trends any time soon.
06/19/17
DBAB
06/19/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $172
DBAB
Hold
Costco downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Paul Trussell downgraded Costco (COST) to Hold and lowered his price target for the shares to $172 from $187. Positive pipeline catalysts have played out while competition is intensifying with Amazon.com (AMZN) and Wal-Mart (WMT) accelerating in-store and online efforts, Trussell tells investors in a research note titled "Past Its Prime? Downgrade to Hold." He believes Amazon's acquisition of Whole Foods (WFM) is a "game changer" for Costco's "competitive moat in grocery."
06/19/17
COWN
06/19/17
NO CHANGE
Target $1125
COWN
Outperform
Amazon Prime the long-term driver of retail business, says Cowen
Cowen analyst John Blackledge said Amazon's (AMZN) Prime service is the long-term driver of its retail business and as they continuously improve their value proposition, it will drive higher Prime subscriptions and further market share gains. Those gains may have a negative impact on Costco (COST) and Sam's Club (WMT) as the warehouse clubs have seen opposite trends as Prime has increased subscriptions, added Blackledge, who reiterated his Outperform rating and $1,125 price target on Amazon.com shares.
06/19/17
RBCM
06/19/17
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Wal-Mart, Costco could be hurt by Whole Foods deal, says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Scot Ciccarelli warns that Wal-Mart (WMT) and Costco (COST) could be hurt by the Whole Foods deal. The analyst says that "combining Whole Foods' high-end reputation with a logistics juggernaut like Amazon is clearly a danger" to Costco and Walmart. He thinks that Whole Foods could extend the hours in which it allows customers to buy products online and pick them up in stores, and he thinks that food delivery could become much more popular in the wake of the deal. He notes that Wal-Mart has spent a great deal of time and money on "improving its fresh and omni-channel offerings." The analyst says that Costco will be more protected due to what he sees as its "differentiated retail experience."
KR Kroger
$22.36

0.065 (0.29%)

06/19/17
06/19/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $23

Equal Weight
Kroger downgraded to Equal Weight on margin pressures at Morgan Stanley
As previously reported, Morgan Stanley downgraded Kroger (KR) to Equal Weight from Overweight and lowered its price target to $23 from $32. Analyst Vincent Sinisi said there is increased structural margin risk within the Food Retail sector following Amazon's (AMZN) acquisition of Whole Foods (WFM) and said stocks are now appropriately pricing in flat medium-term growth.
06/19/17
RBCM
06/19/17
NO CHANGE
RBCM
Food retailers, distributors weakness overdone, says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Bill Kirk says that the weakness in food retailers and distributors in reaction to Amazon's (AMZN) acquisition of Whole Foods (WFM) was overdone. The analyst says he doesn't expect Amazon to "drastically change" the prices in Whole Foods' physical stores. Instead, he expects it to exploit the company's brand through Prime and its "high-population density real estate." Other food retailers include Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) and Kroger (KR), while Smart & Final Stores (SFS) and Supervalu (SVU) are food distributors.
06/19/17
BERN
06/19/17
NO CHANGE
BERN
Kroger could acquire Ahold, says Bernstein
Bernstein analyst Bruno Monteyne says that consolidation could pick up in the U.S. food grocery market in the wake of the Whole Foods deal. The analyst thinks that Kroger (KR) could buy Ahold's U.S. business, which includes the Food Lion and Stop & Shop brands. He says that the deal could create $1.2B in synergies, while Ahold's low leverage could facilitate the deal.
06/19/17
ARGS
06/19/17
NO CHANGE
ARGS
Kroger price target lowered to $30 from $40 at Argus
Argus analyst Chris Graja cut his price target on Kroger after the company reported a decline in identical supermarket sales and Amazon (AMZN) bought Whole Foods (WFM). However, the analyst says that the company is "winning more customers and increasing the number of loyal customers," while it has committed to cutting costs and the sales of its organic brand are increasing rapidly. He keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
W Wayfair
$74.72

-1.45 (-1.90%)

06/14/17
PIPR
06/14/17
NO CHANGE
Target $87
PIPR
Overweight
Wayfair price target raised to $87 from $70 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Peter Keith raised his price target for Wayfair to $87 following a fireside chat with CEO Niraj Shah at his firm's Consumer Conference. Management's "positive tone" around the company's logistics and exclusive brands initiatives indicates that sales growth is leveling out at a 30%-40% growth rate, Keith tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes Wayfair in coming quarters will show "strong top-line growth and improved visibility to long-term profitability." Keith reiterates an Overweight rating on the shares. The online retailer closed yesterday up 1c to $70.56.
06/19/17
MAXM
06/19/17
DOWNGRADE
MAXM
Hold
Wayfair downgraded to Hold from Buy at Maxim
06/19/17
06/19/17
DOWNGRADE

Hold
Wayfair downgraded to Hold on valuation at Maxim
As previously reported, Maxim analyst Tom Forte downgraded Wayfair to Hold from Buy, stating that he views the current share price as fully reflecting its revenue growth opportunity over the next three years and his expectation that the company can meet the top-end of its long-term adj. EBITDA margin target of 8%-10%. While downgrading the stock based on fundamentals, Forte did note that he believes Wayfair could be a strategic acquisition target.
06/02/17
06/02/17
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wayfair (W) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer with analyst Brian Nagel saying the company's sales growth has been reaccelerating lately and its "inventory-light" business model is both powerful and underappreciated. 2. Estee Lauder (EL) and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) were upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies. 3. Deere (DE) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan with analyst Ann Duignan saying she likes the strategic fit of the Wirtgen Group acquisition and believes it will open up new markets for growth. 4. Jack in the Box (JACK) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo with analyst Jeff Farmer saying the potential sale of the Qdoba concept is not being fully reflected in the shares. 5. Fastenal (FAST) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow with analyst Chris Dankert saying distribution checks are at the highest level to date trending at 5.3% growth, an acceleration from 4.3% growth reported during March checks. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
TRV Travelers
$128.93

-0.51 (-0.39%)

02/13/17
FBRC
02/13/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $119
FBRC
Market Perform
Travelers downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital
FBR Capital analyst Randy Binner downgraded Travelers to Market Perform citing valuation and pricing challenges in the auto segment and broader commercial lines. The analyst has a $119 price target for the shares.
04/24/17
04/24/17
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Michael Rehaut saying the company's "solid" organic growth provides room for additional share upside. The analyst raised his price target for the shares to $152 from $140 following Stanley's first quarter results. 2. KeyCorp (KEY) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Kevin Barker saying momentum is building following the company's "solid beat" this quarter and "very optimistic" guidance regarding loan growth and credit performance. The analyst raised his price target for the shares to $21 from $19. 3. Sonic (SONC) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens with analyst Will Slabaugh saying he believes it now presents an attractive buying opportunity on what he sees as a same-store sales inflection point in the third quarter, with comps likely turning positive intra-quarter, an underlying valuation that is over 20% below peers with a similar franchise percentage, and lowered expectations from recent sales softness providing for a favorable risk/ reward. The analyst also raised his price target on the shares to $32 from $26. 4. Travelers (TRV) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst Jacob Kilstein telling investors he expects underwriting margins to expand further following three straight quarters of expansion as the company raises prices on auto insurance and expands its data analytics and digital initiatives. Kilstein also expects Travelers to generate higher return on capital, noting its recent 7% dividend hike and additional $5B buyback, and views valuation as attractive following the pullback. 5. Wingstop (WING) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens with analyst Will Slabaugh upgraded Wingstop (WING) to Overweight from Equal Weight, with a $32 price target, as he believes it presents an attractive, multi-year opportunity for likely reaccelerating same-store sales growth that should widen its gap to the industry while benefiting from national advertising, and a likely one time dividend in the next 12-18 months that could yield a double-digit return. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
06/19/17
BOFA
06/19/17
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Neutral
Travelers downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill analyst Jay Cohen downgraded Travelers to Neutral from Buy based on valuation with a Street high $134 price target.
04/24/17
ARGS
04/24/17
UPGRADE
Target $132
ARGS
Buy
Travelers upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus
Argus analyst Jacob Kilstein upgraded Travelers to Buy with a $132 price target telling investors he expects underwriting margins to expand further following three straight quarters of expansion as the cmpany raies prices on auto insurance and expands its data analytics and digital initiatives. Kilstein also expects Travelers to generate higher return on capital, noting its recent 7% dividend hike and additional $5B buyback, and views valuation as attractive following the pullback.
TRIP TripAdvisor

06/19/17
FBCO
06/19/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $34
FBCO
Underperform
TripAdvisor downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Paul Bieber downgraded TripAdvisor (TRIP) to Underperform from Neutral citing raised expectations for TV ad spending in 2018 paired with uncertainty regarding the return on TV advertising investment given the crowded ad market for online travel. Also, the stock has a premium valuation despite inferior growth compared to Priceline (PCLN) and Expedia (EXPE), said Bieber, who lowered his price target on TripAdvisor to $34 from $40.
05/26/17
05/26/17
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Ulta Beauty (ULTA) downgraded to Neutral on balanced risk/reward at Buckingham with the firm citing more balanced risk/reward at current levels and raised its price target to $330 from $325. 2. JinkoSolar (JKS) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi and to Underweight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley. 3. Signet Jewelers (SIG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at CL King with the firm citing lack of catalysts. 4. TripAdvisor (TRIP) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie with analyst Matthew Brooks saying the "best days" may be over for TripAdvisor and believes Google (GOOGL) is at the "top of the travel funnel." 5. Shire (SHPG) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein with analyst Aaron Gal saying he believes risks to longer term earnings from competition and slowing Vyvanse sales are not being factored into consensus estimates. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
05/26/17
05/26/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $33

Underperform
TripAdvisor downgraded to Underperform on future competition at Macquarie
As previously reported, Macquarie downgraded TripAdvisor (TRIP) to Underperform from Neutral with a $33 price target, down from $52. Coverage was transferred to analyst Matthew Brooks who said the "best days" may be over for TripAdvisor and believes Google (GOOGL) is at the "top of the travel funnel." The analyst sees the future of travel search starting with travel queries addressed to AI assistants like Siri, or home devices like Amazon Echo, and expects TripAdvisor's hotel business economics to be more challenged in a world of voice and rationalization. Brooks said TripAdvisor's 500M reviews are largely text based and doesn't believe it has enough contextual information on reviewers to make the information relevant for users looking at the same travel product in the future.
05/26/17
MACQ
05/26/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $33
MACQ
Underperform
TripAdvisor downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie

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Genocea

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Delta Air Lines

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Spirit Airlines

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JetBlue

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ALGT

Allegiant Travel

$133.95

3.85 (2.96%)

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AAL

American Airlines

$47.70

0.64 (1.36%)

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UAL

United Continental

$59.44

0.64 (1.09%)

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LUV

Southwest

$55.12

0.19 (0.35%)

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AMPH

Amphastar

$16.27

0.17 (1.06%)

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$9.45

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Amphastar

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Avadel Pharmaceuticals

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Accenture

$138.16

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Spirit AeroSystems

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Molina Healthcare

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CATM

Cardtronics

$26.10

-3.17 (-10.83%)

18:13
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IVTY

Invuity

$7.80

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18:10
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Molina Healthcare

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CI

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ANTM

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GPC

Genuine Parts

$93.22

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AA

Alcoa

$45.29

-0.09 (-0.20%)

, FCX

Freeport McMoRan

$13.89

-0.17 (-1.21%)

17:55
09/25/17
09/25
17:55
09/25/17
17:55
Recommendations
Alcoa, Freeport McMoRan, Teck Resources, Newmont Mining, Warrior Met Coal, Cleveland-Cliffs analyst commentary at Morgan Stanley »

Morgan Stanley raising…

AA

Alcoa

$45.29

-0.09 (-0.20%)

FCX

Freeport McMoRan

$13.89

-0.17 (-1.21%)

TECK

Teck Resources

$21.24

-0.72 (-3.28%)

NEM

Newmont Mining

$38.63

0.74 (1.95%)

HCC

Warrior Met Coal

$24.11

0.76 (3.25%)

CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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17:55
09/25/17
09/25
17:55
09/25/17
17:55
Conference/Events
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President participates in a discussion »

Minneapolis Federal…

FTK

Flotek

$5.40

0.04 (0.75%)

17:49
09/25/17
09/25
17:49
09/25/17
17:49
Earnings
Flotek cuts Q3 revenue view by $5M, consensus $90.9M »

Flotek announced impacts…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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