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Fly News Breaks for July 26, 2017
LHCG, AMED, AFAM
Jul 26, 2017 | 10:02 EDT
As investors feared, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services proposed to restructure its reimbursement system in 2019, which could translate to a home nursing rate cut of up to 6% in 2019, Jefferies analyst Brian Tanquilut says in a research note. He adds that CMS has noted openness to a longer phase-in of this cut. He believes the net rate cuts, assuming a two-year phase in of the Home Health Groupings Model, would amount to less than 50 basis points in 2019. It is also noteworthy that fee-for-service Medicare home nursing only represents 51% of Almost Family's (AFAM) sales, 55% of Amedisys', and 59% of LHC Group's (LHCG), the analyst writes. Tanquilut believes the three week delay in the home health proposal's release drove the stocks down and "somewhat" baked the news into valuations.
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