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Fly News Breaks for June 11, 2018
ALDR, TEVA, LLY, NVS, AMGN, AGN
Jun 11, 2018 | 12:07 EDT
Wells Fargo analyst David Maris says his initial review suggests Allergan's (AGN) atogepant's Phase IIb data are "relatively in-line but on the lower end of the efficacy" demonstrated by the calcitonin gene-related peptide migraine treatments in Phase III trials. Atogepant is expected to face competition from Amgen (AMGN)/Novartis (NVS), Eli Lilly (LLY) and Teva (TEVA), which are all developing injectable anti-CGRP treatments, as well as Alder Biopharmaceuticals (ALDR), which has an infusion-administered anti-CGRP in development, Maris tells investors in a research note. He notes that while Allergan will be following these competitors to the market, atogepant will be differentiated in that it is the only oral prophylactic anti-CGRP therapy. The analyst forecasts $75M in sales for atogepant in 2022. He does not believe many investors are giving Allergan credit for atogepant, meaning the "risk to the downside looks limited." Maris keeps an Outperform rating on Allergan shares.