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Fly News Breaks for September 29, 2015
AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, AGN
Sep 29, 2015 | 08:57 EDT
Cowen analyst Ken Cacciatore noted that the price agreed for Allergan's (AGN) generic divestiture to Teva (TEVA) is fixed and that the cash value from this deal has not depreciated in any way while the corresponding valuations of potential targets have corrected, increasing the potential value creation available for Allergan as it decides how to deploy its capital. To illustrate the value creation that Allergan's capital deployment could generate, Cacciatore estimates the type of accretion potential that might be seen if the company were to buy Vertex with an acquisition price of $36.5B, if it were to acquire Biogen (BIIB) at a price of $91B or if it were to purchase Amgen (AMGN) with an acquisition price of $140B. Although the market correction has lowered Allergan's stock, the decline could be viewed as a near-term positive, given that a key component of its strategy and business model is to seek to aggressively deploy its capital, Cacciatore argues in a note to investors. The analyst keeps an Outperform rating and $400 price target on Allergan shares.
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