Citi downgraded Allstate (ALL) to Sell after performing a head-to-head analysis versus Progressive (PGR). Citi is concerned about near-term pricing and cut its price target for shares to $63 from $74. It keeps a Buy rating on Progressive with a $32 price target.

The Allstate Corporation announced estimated catastrophe losses for the month of March of $328M or $259M, after-tax. March month catastrophe losses include six events estimated at $343M or $271M, after-tax, with approximately 80% of the losses related to one hail event, partially offset by favorable reserve reestimates for prior events. Total catastrophe losses for the first quarter were $731M, pre-tax. Rate increases for Allstate brand auto insurance resulted in a premium impact of 0.9% for the month of March and 2.4% year-to-date. Rate increases for Allstate brand homeowners insurance have resulted in a premium impact of 0.7% for the month of March and 3.4% year-to-date. Implemented rate increases and inflation in insured home replacement costs resulted in a 11.9% increase in homeowners insurance average gross written premium in March 2024 compared to the prior year. Our implemented rate exhibit for auto and homeowners insurance has been posted on www.allstateinvestors.com.