After Allstate reported stronger than expected Q1 results but divulged potentially negative trends in its auto segment, Argus says the increase in claims in Q1 was likely due to bad weather. The firm expects the company to take steps to restore its profitability and grow policies in force. It keeps a Buy rating on the shares. .

The Allstate Corporation announced estimated catastrophe losses for the month of March of $328M or $259M, after-tax. March month catastrophe losses include six events estimated at $343M or $271M, after-tax, with approximately 80% of the losses related to one hail event, partially offset by favorable reserve reestimates for prior events. Total catastrophe losses for the first quarter were $731M, pre-tax. Rate increases for Allstate brand auto insurance resulted in a premium impact of 0.9% for the month of March and 2.4% year-to-date. Rate increases for Allstate brand homeowners insurance have resulted in a premium impact of 0.7% for the month of March and 3.4% year-to-date. Implemented rate increases and inflation in insured home replacement costs resulted in a 11.9% increase in homeowners insurance average gross written premium in March 2024 compared to the prior year. Our implemented rate exhibit for auto and homeowners insurance has been posted on www.allstateinvestors.com.