Cowen analyst Novid Rassouli believes the U.S. Department of Commerce AD and CVD investigations will likely benefit common alloy aluminum sheet prices even though he also believes the void left by China will be filled by other countries. The analyst also sees the potential for more cases to come. Rassouli has an Outperform rating on Constellium (CSTM) and sees exposure to the investigations but little exposure for Kaiser Aluminum (KALU), which are the two aluminum names he covers.

The company said, "Kaiser remains well positioned in the current demand environment as a key supplier in diverse end markets with multi-year contracts with strategic partners. The Company expects demand will improve across the majority of its end markets throughout 2024. In aerospace/high strength applications, a more cautious outlook is warranted on expected build rates for domestic large commercial jet production in the near-term resulting in anticipated flat conversion revenue in 2024 following a strong 2023. The long-term demand outlook for these platforms remains unchanged. The Company believes demand for other aerospace/high strength applications remains strong. Now that destocking is complete, the Company expects the rest of its end markets to perform consistent with the prior outlook. As a result, the Company continues to expect conversion revenue for the full year 2024 to improve 2% - 3% and adjusted EBITDA margins to improve 70 - 170 basis points over 2023 as it implements cost reduction measures in operations, increases manufacturing efficiencies and pursues its strategic growth initiatives."