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Fly News Breaks for July 16, 2018
GNRC, DE, CAT, MTW
Jul 16, 2018 | 20:00 EDT
As reported earlier, Goldman Sachs analyst Jerry Revich downgraded Manitowoc (MTW) to Sell from Neutral and lowered his price target to $22 from $30 as part of his broader note on the machinery cycle. The analyst also downgraded Generac (GNRC) to Sell from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $45 and removed Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE) from Conviction Buy lists. The analyst says the update on the latter two reflects more "mixed macro points", including "weaker crop prices, risk of further input cost inflation, slowing bearing orders, and a risk of further trade war escalation". Revich notes that the risk-reward on Caterpillar and Deere remains attractive, but he is more wary of rising cyclical risks. The analyst's downgrade of Manitowoc is attributed to expectations of a peak in crane organic growth in the current quarter, followed by tougher comps in Europe and the decline in U.S. rig count along with an overall "structural decline in crane content in US drilling sites and rising competitive intensity". Revich says his downgrade of Generac is driven by expectations of slower organic sales growth amid "a normalization in portable generator demand against storm period comps, a declining US rig count, tough comps on shipments into the US rental industry, and flat private non-residential construction outlook."
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