Fly News Breaks for February 20, 2019
VLKAY, PCAR, NAV
Feb 20, 2019 | 09:51 EDT
Buckingham analyst Neil Frohnapple says his recently completed quarterly Navistar (NAV) dealer survey came in "noticeably more upbeat" than his recent conversations with Paccar (PCAR) dealers. Expectation for further Class 8 market share gains in 2019 along with bullishness for the new Class 4-5 vehicle are two factors contributing to a relatively more positive outlook on Navistar, Frohnapple tells investors in a research note. The analyst, who does not suggest Navistar will raise guidance when it reports this quarter as it remains early in the fiscal year, thinks there is a "high probability" of upside to the consensus EBITDA estimate of $876M based on stronger than expected market share gains, incremental synergies from the Traton alliance, and potential tailwinds in the second half of 2019 from lower raw material costs. Further, Frohnapple still sees a "high probability" that Navistar will be purchased this year as he thinks the Traton alliance will lead to a complete takeover by Volkswagen (VLKAY). The analyst says Navistar's risk/reward profile is still attractive despite the stock's 41% year-to-date rally. He keeps a Buy rating on the name with a $48 price target. Navistar in early trading is up 74c to $37.28.
News For NAV;PCAR;VLKAY From the Last 2 Days
PCAR
Mar 26, 2024 | 04:50 EDT
RBC Capital analyst Nick Housden initiated coverage of Paccar with a Sector Perform rating and $123 price target. The shares have rallied 77% year-over-year and on RBC's estimates, trade at a slight premium to the 10-year average, the analyst tells investors in a research note. At a time when truck demand is moving down and consensus margin expectations "appear optimistic, we do not think that now is the time to increase exposure," contends RBC.