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Fly News Breaks for August 29, 2019
AMC, CNK, NFLX
Aug 29, 2019 | 05:08 EDT
Imperial Capital analyst David Miller lowered his price target for Netflix (NFLX) to $451 from $458 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the shares. The analyst reduced his fiscal 2019 EBITDA and earnings slightly due to higher marketing expense and higher technology costs overseas. His fiscal 2020 estimates also decline modestly to account for higher production expenses in Europe. Various trade publications on Tuesday reported that Netflix was unable to strike a wide-release theatrical arrangement for its upcoming organized crime drama, The Irishman, Miller points out. Even by Netflix standards, the film is "extraordinarily expensive," costing as much as $200M in total production expense, adds the analyst. The market responded by sending shares of Netflix down 1.3%, and shares of Cinemark (CNK) and AMC Entertainment (AMC) down 1.1% and 3.8%, respectively, he notes. Miller believes the exhibitors simply want Netflix to play by the same rules that every other studio uses in the theatrical window, and that is, at least a 90-day exclusive window before the film hits the various ancillary frames used by the studio system.
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