BMO Capital lowered the firm's price target on Nucor to $200 from $210 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares after its Q1 earnings miss. Following nine consecutive quarters of beating expectations, Nucor's results and outlook disappointed, while its Q2 results are also expected to moderate sequentially, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Nucor remains well-positioned to benefit from positive longer-term demand tailwinds, but its capex spending elevated, BMO adds.
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JPMorgan US Clean Tech/Metals & Mining Analyst Peterson and CFO Laxton hold a 1Q24 earnings follow-up conference call to be held on April 23 at 2 pm hosted by JPMorgan. Webcast Link
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"We expect earnings in the second quarter of 2024 to decrease compared to the first quarter of 2024. The largest driver for the expected decrease in earnings in the second quarter of 2024 is the decreased earnings of the steel mills segment, primarily due to lower average selling prices partially offset by modestly increased volumes. The steel products segment is expected to have moderately decreased earnings in the second quarter of 2024 as compared to the first quarter of 2024 due to lower average selling prices, partially offset by increased volumes. Earnings in the raw materials segment are expected to be higher in the second quarter of 2024 as compared to the first quarter of 2024 due to the increased profitability of our direct reduced iron facilities and scrap processing operations."
Pre-earnings options volume in Nucor is 4.3x normal with puts leading calls 19:5. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 4.1%, or $7.84, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 5.5%.