Morgan Stanley analyst Steven Wald downgraded Paychex (PAYX) to Underweight from Equal Weight and lowered his price target for the shares to $74 from $77 as he assumed lead coverage of the stock and ADP (ADP). Small-to-mid-sized business employment is weakening and Paychex's revenue is 94% correlated to small business employment, explained Wald. Additionally, Paychex shares remain expensive compared to its Payments peers based on his EPS, revenue and margin estimates, the analyst said. Wald maintained an Equal Weight rating on ADP upon assuming coverage, setting a $174 price target on the stock, up from the firm's prior $150 target. At current levels, the market is sufficiently balancing ADP's relatively defensive market position from serving a wider array of clients than Paychex against the cyclical risks to growth if employment conditions broadly worsen, said Wald.