Morgan Stanley analysts Kai Pan and Stephen Byrd estimate $2B-$4B in insured losses from the Camp Fire, adding that total economic losses will be higher but insurance penetration is very high as fire losses are covered under standard homeowners polices. Given the incident report issued by PG&E (PCG) and other reports, the focus currently appears to be on PG&E equipment, the analysts added. In a bearish case, damage from the Camp Fire spreads and PG&E shareholders are fully liable for all damages, fully liable for 2017 wildfires, and there is a permanent 30% discount to peers, in which case Pan and Byrd believe PG&E stock would be valued at $37 per share. In a "moderate" case, they assign a 75% probability of full shareholder liability for Camp Fire damages, damages grow by 25% from the current level, and the stock trades at a permanent 15% discount to peers, in which case they believe PG&E would be valued at $59 per share. Pan and Byrd believe PG&E shares now reflect $17B for 2017-18 fires plus a permanent 25% discount to peers. In terms of Edison International (EIX), the analyst sees $5B for 2017-18 fires plus a permanent 20% discount to peers being reflected in the stock. In the bearish case, they see Edison being valued at $57 per share and in the moderate case they see it valued at $70 per share.

"Our focus on safety and reducing wildfire risk continues every day as we deliver for our customers and our hometowns here in California. We remain committed to building a clean, climate-resilient energy system to meet our customers' future needs at the lowest price for them," said PG&E Corporation CEO Patti Poppe.