As previously reported, Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck double downgraded State Street (STT) and BNY Mellon (BK), each to Underweight from Overweight, and downgraded her industry view for large cap banks to In-Line from Attractive. The group is up 23% year-to-date, but the next 6-18 months look tougher as global GDP is slowing, inflation expectations are dimming and the Fed is expected to cut rates in 2019 and 2020, which will make it "much harder for bank stocks to deliver positive surprises in operating leverage," Graseck tells investors. While she is not double downgrading the group to Cautious, because credit remains strong, Graseck sees trust banks as most exposed to the yield curve ahead of what she foresees as "18 months of rate cuts," the analyst added. She lowered her price targets on a number of large cap banks and cut her target on State Street to $55 from $69 while dropping her target for BNY to $41 from $50.