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Fly News Breaks for July 10, 2018
SNBR, TPX
Jul 10, 2018 | 12:27 EDT
Following checks with retailers across the U.S., Wedbush analyst Seth Basham told investors in a research note that nationwide brick-and-mortar retail mattress sales declined in the low-single digits in the second quarter, and though sales grew early in the quarter, they declined in May and June. Based on his checks, Basham says 4th of July period sales declined low-single digits to mid-single digits for B&M retailers, driven by steepening traffic declines and ASP gains, and that Tempur Sealy (TPX) specifically is likely to be below consensus for the quarter, with sales trends weakening due to elevated cannibalization rates as customers traded down to new, lower-priced products. He believes Tempur Sealy will maintain at least the low end of of its 2018 EBITDA guidance of $450M-$500M. Additionally, Basham says Sleep Number (SNBR) may be "slightly light" of consensus for the quarter, as his checks show that sales trends remained muted for the 4th of July period. The analyst has an Outperform rating and $65 price target on Tempur Sealy and a Neutral rating and $34 price target on Sleep Number.