Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Terry believes the current fundamentals of Steel companies are not priced into the shares at current levels. He sees further earnings upgrades as companies report Q1 results and provide updated guidance. Terry thinks the correction in the shares appears overdone and keeps Buy ratings on Commercial Metals (CMC), US Steel (X), Reliance Steel (RS), AK Steel (AKS) and Ryerson (RYI). The analyst raised his price target for US Steel to $50 from $44.

Reliance expects a better than normal seasonal recovery in demand in the second quarter of 2024 despite prevailing macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical matters. Accordingly, the company estimates its tons sold will be up 2.5% to 4.5% in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the first quarter of 2024, with approximately 2% of the sequential growth coming from recently completed acquisitions on April 1, 2024. In addition, Reliance expects its average selling price per ton sold for the second quarter of 2024 to be down 1% to 3% compared to the first quarter of 2024. The company also anticipates short term gross profit margin pressure in the second quarter of 2024 as it works through higher cost inventory on hand. Based on these expectations, the company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per diluted share in the range of $4.70 to $4.90 for the second quarter of 2024.