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NFLX

Netflix

$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

09:17
10/12/16
10/12
09:17
10/12/16
09:17

Morgan Stanley sees 'un-grandfathering' peaking for Netflix in Q3

Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes the market expects Netflix (NFLX) to report Q3 domestic net subscriber additions that fall short of the company's 300K forecast. However, he thinks the impact of "un-grandfathering" will peak in Q3 and that the percentage of U.S. members seeing price increases will begin to fade in Q4. While acknowledging that Amazon (AMZN) continues to grow as a competitor for content and time spent, Swinburne notes that local and regional players in many markets continue to struggle. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating and $110 price target on Netflix shares.

NFLX

Netflix

$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

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    Oct

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    Nov

NFLX Netflix
$100.59

-2.74 (-2.65%)

10/10/16
DBAB
10/10/16
INITIATION
Target $90
DBAB
Sell
Deutsche sees Netflix takeover as unlikely, starts shares at Sell
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft initiated shares of Netflix (NFLX) with a Sell rating and $90 price target. The stock closed Friday down 25c to $104.82. The risk/reward is unattractive as consensus expectations reflect an "optimistic case," Kraft tells investors in a research note. Market expectations appear too high through 2020, the analyst contends. He also expresses skepticism that Netflix will be acquired. The business is "too fully formed" and valued to be acquired by Disney (DIS) and Apple (AAPL), Kraft writes. He also sees Amazon.com (AMZN) as a competitive risk to Netflix.
10/10/16
RAJA
10/10/16
NO CHANGE
Target $120
RAJA
Outperform
Netflix remains a core holding at Raymond James
Raymond James analyst Justin Patterson said his research suggests US churn peaked in Q2 and he remains comfortable with his 300k US net adds for Q3. Further, Patterson said early International cohorts generate greater than 20% contribution margin and said EBITDA and earnings upside is likely in 2017 and beyond. The analyst recommends owning shares for a profit inflection as investments peaked in 2016 and reiterates his Outperform rating and $120 price target.
10/10/16
10/10/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) initiated with a Sell at Deutsche Bank. 2. Noble Midstream (NBLX) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, a Hold at Deutsche Bank, an Overweight at JPMorgan, an Outperform at Baird, a Buy at Mizuho, a Buy at Citi, and an Overweight at MUFG. 3. AB InBev (BUD) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman. 4. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. First Solar (FSLR) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. 5. Molson Coors (TAP) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman and resumed with a Buy at BofA/Merrill. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/12/16
UBSW
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $92
UBSW
Neutral
Netflix app download showing maturity in U.S., picking up in Europe, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said the firm's Evidence Lab shows Netflix app download data as reflecting maturity in the U.S. and Canada but picking up in Europe. The analyst said his confidence in 10M subscriber addition estimates is increased but he is not prepared to increase his estimates. Mitchelson does not expect Q3 results and Q4 guidance to resolve the bull/bear debate and continues to expect the shares to trade in a range. Mitchelson reiterated his Neutral rating on Netflix shares.
AMZN Amazon.com
$831.00

-10.71 (-1.27%)

10/05/16
MKMP
10/05/16
NO CHANGE
MKMP
Buy
Reported VMware pact with Amazon a positive, says MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Kevin Buttigieg noted the Fortune report claiming that VMware (VMW) will soon announce a cloud partnership with Amazon Web Services (AMZN). Such an agreement with Amazon would be positive for VMware, as it will signal their confidence in their ability to sell software for use on-premise and underscore a belief that public cloud is unlikely to assume all workloads. The firm has a Buy rating on VMware shares.
10/06/16
OPCO
10/06/16
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Microsoft, Amazon well positioned to enable cloud, AI trends, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes that machine learning and artificial intelligence have been use to improve applications and acceleration of infrastructure builds, with "intelligent software" designed to make lives easier and more productive. Further, the analyst sees communications and cloud services continuing to converge, with infrastructure and data as key components to AI. Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) Web Service are well positioned to enable these trends, he contends, adding that he see colocation providers, such as Equinix (EQIX) and Interxion (INXN), and networking companies like Zayo Group (ZAYO) GTT Communications (GTT) as beneficiaries.
10/12/16
CANT
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $1000
CANT
Buy
Amazon.com price target raised to $1,000 from $835 at Cantor
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Youssef Squali raised his price target for Amazon.com to $1,000 from $835 citing continued strength in core retail and sustained momentum in Web Services. The stock closed yesterday down $10.71 to $831.00. We're reaching a tipping point in e-commerce, with revenue growth in the U.S. accelerating year-over-year in the first nine months of 2016, Squali tells investors in a research note. This trend is "playing into the hands of market leader Amazon," the analyst contends. He points out that Prime's user base is growing and that Amazon's share of retail searches online is growing. The analyst expects Amazon Web Services' "strong economics" to continue to fund growth initiatives at Amazon. Squali sees the stock as continuing to "grind higher." He keeps a Buy rating on the name.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

BAMXY

BMW Group

12:26
01/16/18
01/16
12:26
01/16/18
12:26
Periodicals
BMW plans to bring wireless charging pad to the U.S., Verge reports »

BMW intends to expand the…

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12:25
01/16/18
01/16
12:25
01/16/18
12:25
General news
Treasury Action: short yields continued to back higher »

Treasury Action: short…

BAMXY

BMW Group

12:24
01/16/18
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12:24
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12:24
Hot Stocks
BMW acquires Parkmobile, terms not disclosed »

The BMW Group has…

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HAWK

Blackhawk

$36.50

-0.5 (-1.35%)

12:23
01/16/18
01/16
12:23
01/16/18
12:23
Downgrade
Blackhawk rating change  »

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SHOO

Steven Madden

$48.20

-0.1 (-0.21%)

12:21
01/16/18
01/16
12:21
01/16/18
12:21
Hot Stocks
Steve Madden reports 7.52% stake in Steven Madden »

Steven Madden…

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TER

Teradyne

$45.45

0.8494 (1.90%)

12:20
01/16/18
01/16
12:20
01/16/18
12:20
Options
Notable call buying in Teradyne ahead of earnings »

Notable call buying in…

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  • 25

    Jan

MRK

Merck

$62.74

4.081 (6.96%)

, GE

General Electric

$18.09

-0.67 (-3.57%)

12:18
01/16/18
01/16
12:18
01/16/18
12:18
General news
On The Fly: Top stock stories at midday »

Stocks opened sharply…

MRK

Merck

$62.74

4.081 (6.96%)

GE

General Electric

$18.09

-0.67 (-3.57%)

UNH

UnitedHealth

$234.15

5.51 (2.41%)

QCOM

Qualcomm

$65.38

-0.05 (-0.08%)

AVGO

Broadcom

$264.29

0.79 (0.30%)

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors

$119.58

0.33 (0.28%)

GM

General Motors

$45.03

0.955 (2.17%)

UA

Under Armour; also tag UAA

$13.12

-1.025 (-7.25%)

UAA

Under Armour; also tag UA

$14.21

-0.915 (-6.05%)

SCOR

comScore

$29.10

0.305 (1.06%)

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    Jan

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    Feb

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    Feb

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    Feb

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    Mar

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    Mar

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    Oct

$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

12:17
01/16/18
01/16
12:17
01/16/18
12:17
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ market internals summary »

Volume is above average…

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

12:16
01/16/18
01/16
12:16
01/16/18
12:16
Technical Analysis
NYSE market internals summary »

Volume is above average…

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NOV

National Oilwell

$38.90

-0.24 (-0.61%)

12:15
01/16/18
01/16
12:15
01/16/18
12:15
Options
National Oilwell put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

Bearish flow noted in…

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  • 06

    Feb

DPW

DPW Holdings

$2.41

-0.325 (-11.90%)

12:12
01/16/18
01/16
12:12
01/16/18
12:12
Hot Stocks
DPW Holdings falls almost 12% after announcing conversion of notes »

Sandstone Diagnostics…

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SBOW

SilverBow Resources

$31.88

-0.9386 (-2.86%)

12:10
01/16/18
01/16
12:10
01/16/18
12:10
Conference/Events
SilverBow Resources management to meet with Stephens »

Meetings to be held in…

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TCEHY

Tencent

$56.92

1.565 (2.83%)

12:07
01/16/18
01/16
12:07
01/16/18
12:07
Hot Stocks
LEGO Group, Tencent form partnership in China »

The LEGO Group announced…

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AXP

American Express

$101.32

0.35 (0.35%)

12:06
01/16/18
01/16
12:06
01/16/18
12:06
Hot Stocks
American Express reports December net write-off rate 2.0% vs. 1.9% last month »

Reports December 30-plus…

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  • 18

    Jan

BX

Blackstone

$35.81

0.42 (1.19%)

12:05
01/16/18
01/16
12:05
01/16/18
12:05
Options
Blackstone call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

Bullish option flow…

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  • 01

    Feb

ICBK

County Bancorp

$30.16

0.38 (1.28%)

, MTW

Manitowoc

$40.09

0.73 (1.85%)

12:04
01/16/18
01/16
12:04
01/16/18
12:04
Hot Stocks
ICB to purchase Manitowoc Company headquarters »

Investors Community Bank,…

ICBK

County Bancorp

$30.16

0.38 (1.28%)

MTW

Manitowoc

$40.09

0.73 (1.85%)

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RHHBY

Roche

$31.78

0.405 (1.29%)

12:02
01/16/18
01/16
12:02
01/16/18
12:02
Hot Stocks
Roche launches CE-marked VENTANA MMR IHC Panel »

Roche announced the…

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  • 01

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NSRGY

Nestle

$85.10

0.58 (0.69%)

12:02
01/16/18
01/16
12:02
01/16/18
12:02
Hot Stocks
Nestle agrees to sell U.S. confectionery business to Ferrero »

Nestle announced that it…

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HES

Hess Corp.

$54.16

-0.38 (-0.70%)

12:00
01/16/18
01/16
12:00
01/16/18
12:00
Periodicals
Hess to cut hundreds of jobs as it battles activist shareholder, Reuters says »

Hess plans to lay off…

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  • 05

    Feb

CECE

CECO Environmental

$5.22

-0.07 (-1.32%)

12:00
01/16/18
01/16
12:00
01/16/18
12:00
Hot Stocks
CECO Environmental reports award of 'large contract' to energy business »

CECO Environmental…

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  • 16

    Jan

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    Jan

INFO

IHS Markit

$47.85

0.39 (0.82%)

11:55
01/16/18
01/16
11:55
01/16/18
11:55
Conference/Events
IHS Markit management to meet with RBC Capital »

Group Luncheon Meeting…

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  • 16

    Jan

  • 16

    Jan

GSK

GlaxoSmithKline

$37.74

0.24 (0.64%)

11:54
01/16/18
01/16
11:54
01/16/18
11:54
Upgrade
GlaxoSmithKline rating change  »

GlaxoSmithKline upgraded…

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  • 07

    Feb

  • 25

    Mar

GSK

GlaxoSmithKline

$37.76

0.2646 (0.71%)

11:51
01/16/18
01/16
11:51
01/16/18
11:51
Upgrade
GlaxoSmithKline rating change  »

GlaxoSmithKline upgraded…

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  • 07

    Feb

  • 25

    Mar

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$278.99

1.07 (0.39%)

, SPX

S&P 500

11:50
01/16/18
01/16
11:50
01/16/18
11:50
Periodicals
Steve Bannon subpoenaed before grand jury by Mueller, NY Time says »

Special counsel Robert…

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$278.99

1.07 (0.39%)

SPX

S&P 500

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PBR

Petrobras

$11.67

0.1978 (1.72%)

11:50
01/16/18
01/16
11:50
01/16/18
11:50
Options
Large spreads in Petrobras as shares reach 52-week highs »

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