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CUDA

Barracuda

$26.26

2.9299 (12.56%)

, FTNT

Fortinet

$34.09

-0.9 (-2.57%)

10:48
10/12/16
10/12
10:48
10/12/16
10:48

Fortinet warning weighs on Cybersecurity peers, aside from Barracuda

While Barracuda Networks (CUDA) announced last night better than expected second quarter revenue and earnings per share, Fortinet (FTNT) reported lower than expected preliminary third quarter results, sending their shares in opposite directions. Barracuda's results are buoying its shares, but the weight of Fortinet's warning is proving too much for several peers to shake off, at least in early trading. RESULTS: Last night, Barracuda reported second quarter adjusted earnings per share of 21c and second quarter revenue of $87.9M, above consensus forecasts of 13c and $85.27M, respectively. Additionally, the company said second quarter subscription revenue grew 19% to $66.9M, representing 76% of total revenue. Barracuda's gross billings were $100.3M, compared with $98.4M in the second quarter of fiscal 2016. Also yesterday after market close, Fortinet reported preliminary third quarter earnings per share of 15c-16c and revenue between $311M-$316M, below consensus of 18c and $322.44M, respectively. PIPER UPS BARRACUDA: Following "another strong quarter," Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski upgraded Barracuda to Overweight from Neutral, saying he believes the company's transition to a subscription-based cloud portfolio is nearly complete and that he expects Barracuda's billings growth to accelerate in the second half of 2017 and beyond. Stifel analyst Gur Talpaz was also upbeat on Barracuda after quarterly results, raising his price target on the shares to $32 from $26. In a note of his own, the analyst said that he believes the growth opportunity for Barracuda's email security and public cloud solutions to be large, and reiterated a Buy rating on the stock. FORTINET CUT AT STEPHENS: Stephens analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver downgraded Fortinet this morning to Equal Weight from Overweight after the company's "disappointing" preliminary results. The analyst believes that in addition to slower overall growth in the network security market, heightened competition is impacting sales growth. Meanwhile, Goldman analyst Gabriela Borges removed Fortinet from the firm's Conviction List, saying she underestimated the risks associated with the company's sales force reorganization and a slowdown in the firewall market persisting into the second half of 2016. However, the analyst maintained her Buy rating as she continues to believe Fortinet is well positioned to gain share and outgrow peers. Nonetheless, Borges expects network security stocks to remain under pressure in the near term, and noted that she is incrementally negative on Check Point's (CHKP) fundamentals. ISSUES SEEN AS COMPANY SPECIFIC: Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski, however, told investors that he believes the issues that drove Fortinet's negative third quarter preannouncement are company specific and are not a read-through to the rest of the sector. Nowinski pointed out that his firm's channel checks suggest demand has remained strong for Palo Alto Networks (PANW), with improved growth rates and lower pricing pressure. Additionally, the analyst noted modestly improved results for Check Point. He recommended adding to positions in both names following any pressure from the Fortinet miss. PRICE ACTION: In morning action, shares of Barracuda have gained over 12% to $26.20, while Fortinet's stock has dropped 11% to $30.29 per share. OTHERS TO WATCH: Shares of Palo Alto Networks are down 3%, Proofpoint (PFPT) and FireEye (FEYE) have each slid about 2%, and Check Point is fractionally lower.

CUDA

Barracuda

$26.26

2.9299 (12.56%)

FTNT

Fortinet

$34.09

-0.9 (-2.57%)

CHKP

Check Point

$76.63

-0.96 (-1.24%)

PANW

Palo Alto Networks

$150.55

-4.93 (-3.17%)

PFPT

Proofpoint

$71.02

-2.4 (-3.27%)

FEYE

FireEye

$13.30

-0.46 (-3.34%)

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CUDA Barracuda
$26.26

2.9299 (12.56%)

10/12/16
10/12/16
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Apple (AAPL) upgraded to Positive from Negative at OTR Global with the firm saying its checks indicate iPhone 7 launch orders are above last year's model launch, with fourth quarter order gains and stable inventories. 2. Procter & Gamble (PG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst John Staszak citing the company's plans to accelerate Research & Development and advertising spending, as well as recent positive earnings surprises. 3. Barracuda (CUDA) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Andrew Nowinski saying the company reported "another strong quarter" and its transition to a subscription-based cloud portfolio is nearly complete. 4. AMD (AMD) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse with analyst John Pitzer saying near-term momentum will continue to offset longer-term concerns around lack of scale. 5. Motorola Solutions (MSI) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital with analyst Tim Long saying he expects organic revenue growth to return later this year and sees the company's investment in smart public safety software to help expansion beyond hardware. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/12/16
SPHN
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $24
SPHN
Equal Weight
Barracuda price target raised to $24 from $18 at Stephens
Stephens analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver raised his price target for Barracuda to $24 from $18 after the company reported Q2 results that "meaningfully" beat on revenue, earnings, and gross billings. The analyst reiterates an Equal Weight rating on the stock.
10/12/16
STFL
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $32
STFL
Buy
Barracuda price target raised to $32 from $26 at Stifel
Stifel analyst Gur Talpaz raised Barracuda's price target to $32 from $26 following the Q2 beat and raised FY17 guidance. The analyst said Barracuda had meaningful traction in core products and continues to achieve with its email security and public cloud solutions with both new and existing customers. Additionally, the initial demand for the company's core product line not only translates to growth in core billings but in core subscription ARR, which increased 50% year-over-year to $146mn during the period, the analyst wrote. Talpaz believes the growth opportunity for Barracuda's email security and public cloud solutions to be large and reiterates his Buy rating.
10/12/16
WEDB
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
WEDB
Outperform
Proofpoint selloff brings good entry point, says Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Steve Koenig believes today's selloff in shares of Proofpoint (PFPT) presents a good entry opportunity. The analyst does not view Fortinet (FTNT), which last night preannounced weaker than expected results, as a bellwether for the network security space. Koenig adds Barracuda Networks (CUDA) last night attributed its earnings beat to traction with new cloud-based offerings. The analyst keeps an Outperform rating on Proofpoint.
FTNT Fortinet
$34.09

-0.9 (-2.57%)

10/12/16
10/12/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $32

Equal Weight
Fortinet downgraded to Equal Weight at Stephens
As previously reported, Stephens analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver downgraded Fortinet to Equal Weight from Overweight after the company announced "disappointing" preliminary Q3 results with an expected billings range of $343M-$348M versus consensus of $375M. The analyst believes that in addition to slower overall growth in the network security market, heightened competition is impacting sales growth. He also lowered his price target on the shares to $32 from $43.
10/12/16
10/12/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Norfolk Southern (NSC) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Avondale with Donald Broughton saying he continues to believe volumes will continue to decline, yields will continue to disappoint, cost savings will be increasingly harder to achieve, return on invested capital will continue to deteriorate, and the combination of those factors should result in fiscal 2017 earnings below fiscal 2016, pressuring valuation. 2. Fortinet (FTNT) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens with analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver saying he believes that in addition to slower overall growth in the network security market, heightened competition is impacting sales growth. 3. Alcoa (AA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Timna Tanners saying she believes Alcoa's aerospace-focused downstream segment will continue to struggle with execution issues and delays over the next several quarters. 4. Emerson (EMR) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS with analyst Shannon O'Callaghan saying analysts need to lower estimates to reflect Emerson's portfolio transformation, pension headwinds and end market pressures. 5. Nanometrics (NANO) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest with analyst Weston Twigg saying 3D NAND equipment demand is likely to peak in 2017. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/12/16
SPHN
10/12/16
DOWNGRADE
SPHN
Equal Weight
Fortinet downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens
CHKP Check Point
$76.63

-0.96 (-1.24%)

10/12/16
PIPR
10/12/16
NO CHANGE
Target $30
PIPR
Neutral
Piper sees Fortinet issues as company specific
Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski believes the issues that drove Fortinet's (FTNT) negative Q3 preannouncement are company specific. He lowered his price target for the shares to $30 from $33 and keeps a Neutral rating on the name. Nowinski points out that his firm's channel checks suggest demand has remained strong for both Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Check Point (CHKP). The analyst recommends adding to positions in both names following any pressure from the Fortinet miss.
09/28/16
PIPR
09/28/16
INITIATION
Target $95
PIPR
Overweight
Check Point initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski started Check Point Software with an Overweight rating and $95 price target. The company can meet and potentially exceed consensus estimates in FY17 "simply by maintaining its current market share," Nowinski tells investors in a research note.
09/19/16
IMPC
09/19/16
NO CHANGE
Target $190
IMPC
Outperform
Palo Alto win rates strong, can keep gaining share, says Imperial Capital
After meeting with Palo Alto Networks (PANW) management, Imperial Capital analyst Michael Kim noted that they highlighted their strong win rates when customers conduct head-to-head evaluations. Kim, who believes the company is gaining share in the network security market at the cost of Cisco (CSCO) and Check Point (CHKP), keeps an Outperform rating and $190 price target on Palo Alto shares.
09/28/16
09/28/16
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Amazon.com (AMZN) reinitiated with a Buy at Nomura. 2. Cabot Oil & Gas (COG) coverage assumed with a Buy at GMP Securities. 3. Johnson Controls (JCI) initiated with an Outperform at Cowen. 4. Check Point (CHKP) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray. 5. Duke Realty (DRE) initiated with a Neutral at Mizuho. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
PANW Palo Alto Networks
$150.55

-4.93 (-3.17%)

09/22/16
FANA
09/22/16
NO CHANGE
Target $175
FANA
Overweight
Palo Alto Networks price target raised to $175 from $160 at First Analysis
First Analysis analyst Howard Smith said that after speaking with Palo Alto Networks CFO and CTO that he is more encouraged about the company's product pipeline strength and focused product approach. Smith, who expects the company's shift toward a greater proportion of subscription business to result in fast growth and improved free cash flow, raised his price target on Palo Alto shares to $175 from $160 and keeps an Overweight rating on the stock.
09/15/16
JMPS
09/15/16
NO CHANGE
JMPS
Palo Alto Networks outlook has improved, says JMP Securities
After meeting with Palo Alto's CFO, JMP SDecurities analyst Erik Suppiger says that the company's customers are keeping their hardware products longer but spending more on support and subscription services. The analyst thinks that the latter trend will "help offset" the deceleration in product revenue expected to occur in fiscal 2017. He raised his price target on the stock to $180 from $165 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
PFPT Proofpoint
$71.02

-2.4 (-3.27%)

07/26/16
IMPC
07/26/16
NO CHANGE
Target $83
IMPC
Outperform
Proofpoint price target raised to $83 from $69 at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Kim raised his price target for Proofpoint to $83 citing a higher outlook following the company's Q2 results. The analyst thinks management's initial FY17 revenue guidance appears relatively conservative and he keeps an Outperform rating on the name.
08/01/16
NEED
08/01/16
INITIATION
Target $88
NEED
Buy
Proofpoint initiated with a Buy at Needham
Target $88.
10/04/16
DADA
10/04/16
INITIATION
Target $80
DADA
Neutral
Proofpoint initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Kevin Reevey initiated Proofpoint with a Neutral and an $80 price target due to premium valuation.
FEYE FireEye
$13.30

-0.46 (-3.34%)

08/18/16
JMPS
08/18/16
NO CHANGE
JMPS
Few IT security names have negative read through from Cisco, say JMP Securities
JMP Securities analyst Erik Suppger noted that Cisco's (CSCO) advanced threat security solution grew 80% year-over-year. The analyst thinks that the system is taking share, and he believes that this bodes badly for FireEye (FEYE) and, to a more limited extent, vendors such as Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Check Point Software (CHKP), and Fortinet (FTNT). The analyst keeps an Outperform rating on Palo Alto and Fortinet and Market Perform ratings on Check Point and FireEye.
08/09/16
08/09/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Apache (APA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi with analyst Robert Morris citing limited upside to his slightly reduced price target of $53. 2. FireEye (FEYE) downgraded to In-Line from Outperform at Imperial Capital with analyst Michael Kim citing a weaker billings outlook following the company's second quarter results. 3. Infosys (INFY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC. 4. Waste Management (WM) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays. 5. Patterson-UTI (PTEN) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie with analyst Walt Chancellor citing concerns about significant excess capacity persisting across the land drilling space. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
08/09/16
IMPC
08/09/16
DOWNGRADE
Target $15
IMPC
In-Line
FireEye downgraded to In-Line from Outperform at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Kim downgraded FireEye to In-Line citing a weaker billings outlook following the company's Q2 results. The analyst cut his price target for the shares to $15 from $25.
08/05/16
08/05/16
DOWNGRADE

Hold
Follow-up: FireEye downgraded to Hold at Wunderlich
As previously reported, Wunderlich downgraded FireEye to Hold and lowered its price target to $15 from $21. Analyst Ryan MacDonald said FireEye revenues and billings for Q2 came below expectations, resulting in another guidance down by management. The analyst said FireEye is clearly experiencing issues as a result of shifting dynamics in the security marketplace, combined with internal sales execution issues, creating too much uncertainty.

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Technical Analysis
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures: Pivot points, pivot high broken »

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