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GES

Guess

$15.32

-0.24 (-1.54%)

15:34
11/30/16
11/30
15:34
11/30/16
15:34

Guess options imply 14.8% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move

Pre-earnings options volume in Guess is 8.7x normal with calls leading puts 9:4. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 14.8%, or $2.26, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 8.1%.

  • 30

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  • 09

    Jan

GES Guess
$15.32

-0.24 (-1.54%)

07/19/16
07/19/16
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel and to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson. DA Davidson downgraded the stock saying the company's miss is its fourth in the last six quarters and its second in a row. The firm is concerned by the deterioration in the company's profitability. 2. Crown Castle (CCI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG with the firm citing valuation. 3. Michaels (MIK) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Christopher Horvers saying he views the current valuation as full relative to the company's expected pace of earnings growth. The analyst removed the shares from his firm's Analyst Focus List. 4. Hyatt (H) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel with the firm cited valuation, decelerating U.S. RevPAR, and a lack of catalysts for the lodging sector. 5. Guess (GES) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Erinn Murphy saying she's "incrementally wary" on the company's turnaround plan to get to 7.5% in EBIT by 2018. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
08/25/16
RILY
08/25/16
UPGRADE
Target $21
RILY
Buy
Guess upgraded to Buy with sale seen as eventual 'end game' at B. Riley
B. Riley analyst Jeff Van Sinderen upgraded Guess to Buy from Neutral following the company's Q2 earnings report and raised his price target on the shares to $21 from $16, noting that the company raised the low end of its earnings guidance for this fiscal year. Van Sinderen believes the "end game" for Guess will be a sale of the company, he tells investors in his post-earnings research note.
08/25/16
PIPR
08/25/16
NO CHANGE
PIPR
Underweight
Piper stays Underweight on Guess after 'other income' drives earnings beat
Piper Jaffray analyst Erinn Murphy reiterates her Underweight rating on Guess despite its better than expected second quarter report, noting that much of its earnings beat came from "other income." While acknowledging the shares will likely rise following the "less worse" than feared results and guidance, Murphy says she is still concerned by the execution risk of adding 55 new stores in Europe and 65 new stores in Asia, the company's heightened inventory compared to its sales and the fact that she thinks management's guidance still seems aggressive. Murphy keeps a $12 price target on Guess shares.
08/25/16
08/25/16
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair with analysts led by Ralph Schackart citing its belief the long term risk/reward is favorable. 2. L-3 Communications (LLL) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Seth Seifman saying L-3's turnaround is already underway but sees further free-cash-flow growth and further valuation upside. 3. Guess (GES) upgraded to Buy from Neutral with analyst Jeff Van Sinderen saying he believes the "end game" for Guess will be a sale of the company. 4. Transocean (RIG) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citi with analyst Scott Gruber saying the company has exceeded cost reductions while the backlog remains superior to peers. 5. Primoris (PRIM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Global with analyst Ryan Cassil saying there are fairly low expectations assumed in management's guidance of 90c-$1.10 and the possibility of project starts ahead of management's internal forecast. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

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