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KR

Kroger

$23.54

0.095 (0.41%)

, SFM

Sprouts Farmers Market

$23.82

-0.07 (-0.29%)

11:31
08/11/17
08/11
11:31
08/11/17
11:31

Sell Kroger given challenges facing conventional grocers, says Stephens

Research firm Stephens started coverage of grocery store chain Kroger (KR) with an Underweight rating, its equivalent of a sell rating. The firm initiated coverage of Kroger's competitor Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) with a neutral equivalent and also began coverage of a retailer and supplier to the space, United Natural Foods (UNFI). KROGER: The company has "one of the best management team in...food retail," and its operations are "best-in-class," wrote Stephens analyst Ben Bienvenu. However, its status as a price competitive conventional grocer will weigh on its financial results in the near-term, the analyst stated. Increasing price competition and higher labor costs could also hurt its results, Bienvenu believes. He placed a $20 price target on the shares. UNITED NATURAL: The increasingly widespread availability of natural and organic food at "numerous grocery channels" will weigh on United Natural Foods' results, warned Bienvenu. Whole Foods' (WFM) struggles will also hurt United Natural's results, he stated, adding that Amazon's (AMZN) purchase of Whole Foods increases the risk facing United. He set a $40 price target on the shares. SPROUTS: The chain's products and "price position" are among the best in the market, Bienvenu stated. However, the stock's valuation reflects the company's strengths as well as a possible takeover, contends the analyst, who set a $25 price target on the name. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Kroger rose fractionally to $23.50, United Natural was down fractionally at $36, and Sprouts gained 0.5% to about $24 per share.

KR

Kroger

$23.54

0.095 (0.41%)

SFM

Sprouts Farmers Market

$23.82

-0.07 (-0.29%)

UNFI

United Natural Foods

$36.25

-0.16 (-0.44%)

WFM

Bought by AMZN

$41.83

-0.02 (-0.05%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$956.92

-25.09 (-2.56%)

  • 15

    Aug

  • 16

    Aug

  • 18

    Aug

  • 23

    Aug

KR Kroger
$23.54

0.095 (0.41%)

06/26/17
PIVT
06/26/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $20
PIVT
Sell
SpartanNash downgraded to Sell from Hold at Pivotal Research
Pivotal Research analyst Ajay Jain downgraded SpartanNash (SPTN) to Sell and cut his price target for the shares to $20 from $35. Setbacks at the company's Military Distribution Segment suggest revenue trends for the military commissary business are unlikely to stabilize soon, Jain tells investors in a research note. He believes the stock's valuation premium to Kroger (KR) and Supervalu (SVU) is not warranted.
06/23/17
LEHM
06/23/17
NO CHANGE
Target $48
LEHM
Overweight
Competing Whole Foods bid of $50 or higher 'not unrealistic,' says Barclays
Barclays analyst Karen Short said a potential strategic bidders for Whole Foods (WFM) can "rationally outbid" Amazon (AMZN) based on the roughly $750M in synergies she estimates for a buyer such as Kroger (KR) or Wal-Mart (WMT). For Kroger, she estimates that a 100% debt-financed bid at $50 could be about 6% accretive, and a Whole Foods bid up to $60 would still be accretive. For Wal-Mart, a 100% debt-financed bid at $50 could be about 2% accretive, though a could still be accretive bid up to $70 per share, she tells investors. Whole Foods was not "shopped," based on public documents, and the math indicates a superior, competing bid is "feasible," said Short, who also notes that Amazon could then outbid any other offer. Short has an Overweight rating and $48 price target on Whole Foods shares.
07/26/17
CLVD
07/26/17
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Kroger sales likely above Q2 consensus expectatoins, says Cleveland Research
Cleveland Research analyst Scott Bender said checks indicate Kroger's sales trends improved Q2-to-date versus Q1 driven by reduced fresh food deflation and aggressive promotions increasing tonnage performance. The analyst is forecasting Q2 earnings of 40c, versus consensus of 39c, and maintains a Neutral rating.
08/11/17
SPHN
08/11/17
INITIATION
SPHN
Underweight
Kroger initiated with an Underweight at Stephens
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
$23.82

-0.07 (-0.29%)

08/11/17
SPHN
08/11/17
INITIATION
SPHN
Equal Weight
Sprouts Farmers Market initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens
08/04/17
JPMS
08/04/17
UPGRADE
Target $27
JPMS
Overweight
Sprouts Farmers Market upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Ken Goldman upgraded Sprouts Farmers Market to Overweight and raised his price target for the shares to $27 from $24. The analyst found the Q2 earnings call "encouraging." Many of Sprouts' issues over the past year, namely deflation, heightened labor investments and intense competition, are beginning to abate, Goldman tells investors in a research note.
07/28/17
OPCO
07/28/17
NO CHANGE
Target $27
OPCO
Outperform
Sprouts Farmers Market risk/reward still attractive, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh noted that Sprouts Farmers Market shares tend to be erratic following its earnings reports, adding that he would take advantage of any weakness as he believe the risk/reward balance still remains attractive. The analyst, who thinks some embedded M&A speculation is already being factored into the stock, raised his price target on Sprouts shares to $27 from $24 and keeps an Outperform rating on the name.
07/27/17
JEFF
07/27/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $26
JEFF
Hold
Sprouts Farmers Market downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Christopher Mandeville downgraded Sprouts Farmers Market to Hold citing near-term valuation risk following the recent share rally and a lack of longer term upside potential to consensus estimates. The analyst raised his price target for the shares to $26 from $25.
UNFI United Natural Foods
$36.25

-0.16 (-0.44%)

08/11/17
SPHN
08/11/17
INITIATION
SPHN
Equal Weight
United Natural Foods initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens
06/16/17
JEFF
06/16/17
NO CHANGE
Target $39
JEFF
Buy
Jefferies does not expect higher bid for Whole Foods
Jefferies analyst Christopher Mandeville does not see a higher bid coming for Whole Foods (WFM) given the premium paid by Amazon.com (AMZN). The analyst believes the synergies from the deal are "unclear at this time." He also expects grocery stocks to remain under pressure following today's news. Further, United Natural Foods' (UNFI) relationship with Whole Foods is now "more questionable than ever," Mandeville tells investors in a research note.
06/29/17
OPCO
06/29/17
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Perform
Opco sees limited near-term risks to United Natural's deal with Whole Foods
After spending time with management, Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh says he continues to see limited near-term risks related to United Natural Foods' contract with Whole Foods (WFM). The company has change of control language in place to protect its interests and the contract goes through 2025, Parikh tells investors in a research note. He adds that United Natural could benefit if Whole Foods succeeds in driving more volume to stores post the Amazon (AMZN) takeover. The analyst cautions, however, that post-2025 concerns represent an overhang for now and that it is unclear whether Amazon would build its own logistics network to service Whole Foods stores. Parikh keeps a Perform rating on United Natural. He says he left the meetings with management confident in management's ability to outperform peers through stronger execution and opportunistic acquisitions.
06/19/17
PIVT
06/19/17
NO CHANGE
Target $32
PIVT
Sell
Amazon could renegotiate or terminate United Natural contract, says Pivotal
Pivotal Research analyst Ajay Jain said regardless of the change of control provisions under United Natural Foods' (UNFI) contract with Whole Foods (WFM), there is no way to characterize the acquisition by Amazon (AMZN) as a non-event. Based on Albertson's United Foods contract cancellation in 2015, the analyst believes it will not be difficult for Amazon to renegotiate or terminate the United Natural Foods contract, if it so pleases. Jain said Whole Foods has more leverage over United Natural and the ability to demand further pricing concessions and will have more control over the supply chain through Amazon, making it unlikely the current agreement is truly binding. Jain rates United Natural Foods a Sell with a $32 price target.
WFM Bought by AMZN
$41.83

-0.02 (-0.05%)

08/01/17
PIPR
08/01/17
NO CHANGE
Target $1200
PIPR
Overweight
Piper survey shows 16% plan to use grocery delivery in 2017
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says his firm's survey of 1,366 consumers suggests 16% of adult consumers expect to use a grocery delivery service in 2017. Amazon.com (AMZN) is well positioned to capture market share, through both the company's existing initiatives and the Whole Foods (WFM) acquisition, Olson tells investors in a research note. The analyst recommends buying shares of Amazon.com on the recent weakness. He believes selloffs around margin-related misses can prove to be good buying opportunities. Olson keeps an Overweight rating on Amazon with a $1,200 price target. The shares closed yesterday down 3%, or $32.26, to $987.78.
08/07/17
TIGR
08/07/17
DOWNGRADE
TIGR
Neutral
Whole Foods downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Tigress Financial
Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth downgraded Whole Foods Market (WFM) saying he sees no other takeover bids emerging to rival Amazon.com's (AMZN).
07/19/17
JEFF
07/19/17
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Jefferies lays out stocks 'overly discounting' Amazon risk
Amazon.com's (AMZN) planned purchase of Whole Foods Market (WFM) has further widened the valuation spread between consumer stocks the market views as resistant to the Aamzon threat and those viewed as vulnerable, Jefferies analysts including Andy Barish and Daniel Binder tells investors in a research note. They believe this dynamic has created opportunities. Specifically, the analysts feel shares of Wal-Mart (WMT), Hain Celestial (HAIN), Foot Locker (FL) and Advance Auto Parts (AAP) are "overly discounting" potential risk from Amazon. Jefferies also believes Casey's General Stores (CASY), Lamb Weston (LW), Murphy USA (MUSA), Monster Beverage (MNST), Starbucks (SBUX) and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) are "well insulated" from Amazon disruption.
07/11/17
WELS
07/11/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $42
WELS
Market Perform
Whole Foods downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem downgraded Whole Foods Market (WFM) to Market Perform saying a competing takeover bid to Amazon's (AMZN) is a "very low probability." The analyst lowered his price target for the shares to $42 from $45. Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is Fadem's top pick in grocery.
AMZN Amazon.com
$956.92

-25.09 (-2.56%)

08/11/17
JPMS
08/11/17
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Overweight
Live Nation selloff on Amazon story overdone, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst David Karnovsky views the selloff yesterday in Live Nation (LYV) shares after Reuters reported that Amazon (AMZN) was looking to potentially enter the U.S. ticketing market as overdone. Amazon showing interest in the ticketing business is not a surprise, Karnovsky tells investors in a research note. Amazon Tickets "represents more headline risk than actual risk" to Ticketmaster for now, the analyst writes. He believes Amazon "will face several headwinds" to gaining share in the primary market. Karnovsky keeps an Overweight rating on Live Nation shares.
08/11/17
SBSH
08/11/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $5.5
SBSH
Neutral
Blue Apron downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi
Citi analyst Mark May downgraded Blue Apron (APRN) to Neutral and cut his price target for the shares to $5.50 from $10 saying the first quarter as a public company was "disappointing." Execution issues not only introduce new risks to the outlook, but also potentially create an opening for the competition, May tells investors in a post-earnings research note. He sees the biggest risk to his downgrade as being an acquisition of Blue Apron by a "large retailer looking to compete with Amazon" (AMZN). Blue Apron closed yesterday down 18% to $5.14.
08/10/17
OPCO
08/10/17
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Outperform
Market continues to underappreciate meaningfully Wayfair, says Oppenheimer
Following a meeting with management, Oppenheimer analyst Brian Nagel says the market continues to underappreciate "meaningfully" the underlying financial and operational prowess of Wayfair (W). Wedding registry represents a potentially substantial, so far untapped, opportunity for Wayfair, particularly given a current concentration of sales within legacy chains, largely lacking online prowess, he notes, adding that the company continues to differentiate from Amazon (AMZN) and other online operators with a strategy designed to allow customers to browse the home furnishings category on its website. Nagel reiterates an Outperform rating on the shares.
08/08/17
08/08/17
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Amazon.com (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), and Facebook (FB) were reinstated with a Buy at Mizuho, while eBay (EBAY) and Twitter (TWTR) were reinstated with an Underperform. 2. Broadridge (BR) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson. 3. Brighthouse Financial (BHF) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays. 4. Akcea Therapeutics (AKCA) WAS initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital and Cowen, an Outperform at Wells Fargo, as well as a Buy at Stifel. 5. Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Raytheon (RTN) were initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley, while Northrop Grumman (NOC) was initiated with an Equal Weight, and General Dynamics (GD) was initiated with an Underweight at the firm. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

MGLN

Magellan Health

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-0.2 (-0.38%)

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M

Macy's

$21.07

0.44 (2.13%)

, WMT

Wal-Mart

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0.21 (0.22%)

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SPIL

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AFL

Aflac

$85.00

-0.05 (-0.06%)

13:26
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  • 01

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GBL

GAMCO Investors

, WTS

Watts Water

$72.65

0.15 (0.21%)

13:26
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GBL

GAMCO Investors

WTS

Watts Water

$72.65

0.15 (0.21%)

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CC

Chemours

$53.31

0.45 (0.85%)

13:23
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  • 01

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$NSD

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

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AIMT

Aimmune

$35.74

0.16 (0.45%)

13:09
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Aimmune to hold an investor symposium »

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PN

Patriot National

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CMCM

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$12.02

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GM

General Motors

$44.47

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EBAY

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EEM

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12:30
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NEPT

Neptune Technologies

$1.18

-0.0101 (-0.85%)

12:29
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XLK

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, XLY

Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR

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XLK

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XLY

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XLP

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XLB

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XLI

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XLU

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SPY

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IWM

iShares Trust Russell 2000 Index Fund

$150.99

0.1 (0.07%)

, RUT

Russell 2000 Index

12:26
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IWM

iShares Trust Russell 2000 Index Fund

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$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

12:17
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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

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