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CB

Chubb

$142.55

0.36 (0.25%)

08:12
10/02/17
10/02
08:12
10/02/17
08:12

Chubb estimates net insurance, reinsurance losses from hurricanes, earthquakes

Chubb announced estimated maximum net insurance and net reinsurance losses for the third quarter of 2017 attributable to Hurricane Maria, which primarily impacted the Caribbean region including Puerto Rico, of $220 million pre-tax, or approximately $200 million after tax. The estimated maximum net loss for Hurricane Maria for the company's commercial and personal property and casualty insurance businesses is $152 million pre-tax, or $135 million after tax, and for the company's reinsurance businesses is $53 million pre-tax and after tax. These figures are net of reinsurance. Estimated reinstatement premiums are an additional $15 million pre-tax. The company also reported its net loss estimates attributable to the two Mexican earthquakes, which struck the state of Chiapas on September 7 and the state of Puebla and the greater Mexico City area on September 19. Insured losses for the earthquakes are currently estimated at $25 million pre-tax, or $24 million after tax. These estimates are net of reinsurance and include reinstatement premiums. Lastly, the company reported that all other natural catastrophe net insured losses in the third quarter, other than those previously announced for Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, are estimated at approximately $107 million pre-tax, or $86 million after tax.

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CB Chubb
$142.55

0.36 (0.25%)

09/11/17
JPMS
09/11/17
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Irma losses could be lower than expected, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Sarah DeWitt believes losses from Hurricane Irma could be at the lower end of the $20B-$60B expected range since the storm weakened faster than expected. The analyst estimates the impact to book values for the companies she covers should be a "manageable" 1%-2%. Among the property casualty insurers, the analyst views Validus (VR), Everest Re (RE) and XL Group (XL) as the most oversold. She lists those three along with RenaissanceRe (RNR), Travelers (TRV), Arch Capital (ACGL), Chubb (CB), Allstate (ALL) and Progressive (PGR) as the P&C insurers with the most exposure to U.S. hurricanes.
09/11/17
JMPS
09/11/17
UPGRADE
Target $625
JMPS
Outperform
Alleghany upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities
JMP Securities analyst Matthew Carletti said Hurricane Irma still has the potential to be the largest insured natural catastrophe event in U.S. insurance industry history, though he believes that the property catastrophe market will see a market turn at the coming January 1 renewal. He recommends investors focus near-term on insurers that have lower-than-peer exposure to the event, such as Chubb (CB) and Alleghany (Y), which he upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform with a $625 price target. He also pointed to Amerisafe (AMSF) and ProAssurance (PRA) as insurers with no exposure to Irma losses that have been caught up in the pre-Irma selloff in the space.
09/11/17
LEHM
09/11/17
NO CHANGE
LEHM
Irma and Harvey insured losses expected to top $100B, says Barclays
Barclays analyst Jay Gelb notes initial indications are Hurricane Irma's impact on Florida could result in insured losses of up to $60B. Irma will likely be the largest storm to ever impact the U.S., although not as bad as if Miami suffered a direct hit, Gelb tells investors in a research note on the insurance space titled "Devastating Irma Impact on Insurers, But It Could Have Been Worse." All in, Irma and Harvey insured losses are expected to exceed $100B, Gelb points out. He believes the re/insurance stocks could suffer from near-term uncertainty regarding the extent of losses. Of the names he covers, the analyst expects Everest Re (RE), XL Group (XL), RenaissanceRe (RNR), Validus (VR) and Aspen Insurance (AHL) "to take the brunt of Irma losses." Book value declines of more than 20% could require equity capital raises, Gelb contends. He says Chubb (CB), Travelers (TRV) and Hartford Financial (HIG) have relatively less exposure while AIG (AIG) could have greater losses among the primary insurers.
09/01/17
MSCO
09/01/17
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Harvey loss uncertainty to remain overhang on P&C stocks, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Kai Pan currently estimates $15B-$40B in total insured losses from Harvey, including $5B-$15B in National Flood Insurance Program, or NFIP, claims. P&C stocks the firm covers have declined 2.7% on average since August 23, noted Pan, who thinks the uncertainty of losses will remain a near-term overhang on the group. If the ultimate losses are contained within quarterly earnings, the stocks could rebound, added Pan. Stocks in the P&C insurance space include Allstate (ALL), Travelers (TRV), Progressive (PGR), Chubb (CB), AIG (AIG).

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