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VIAB

Viacom

$24.57

-0.64 (-2.54%)

11:40
10/13/17
10/13
11:40
10/13/17
11:40

Second day of active trading in Viacom calls

Second day of active trading in Viacom calls. Thursday's bullish flow created notable open interest in Oct 24, Nov 25, and Nov 27.5 calls. Total OI saw an increase of 55K and that included 43K calls/12K puts. Shares rallying $1.33 to $25.90 Friday and one player bought 5K Nov 27.5 calls for $1 and 10K Nov 30 calls for 45c, untied. Nov 25, Oct 24, and Oct 26 calls are also seeing interest. Total volume is 4X daily average at 30K calls and 1K puts. Earnings due 11/16.

VIAB Viacom
$24.57

-0.64 (-2.54%)

10/12/17
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $105

Neutral
Disney downgraded to Neutral on increased pay-TV caution at Guggenheim
As previously reported, Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded Disney (DIS) to Neutral from Buy, citing his increased caution toward pay-TV trends and concern that expectations for the contribution from its content cycle are too high. While he is optimistic about the company's proposed direct-to-consumer streaming products, he expects the initial investment and long lead time into the launch to weigh on sentiment over the next 12 months, Morris tells investors. The analyst, who lowered his price target on Disney to $105 from $122, also downgraded Viacom (VIAB) and AMC Networks (AMCX) this morning.
10/12/17
GUGG
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $25
GUGG
Neutral
Guggenheim sees downward fee revisions, cuts Viacom to Neutral
Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded Viacom (VIAB) to Neutral from Buy and cut his price target for the shares to $25 from $37. The analyst has "increased caution" on the company's ability to meet investor expectations for affiliate and advertising revenue growth in the coming years. Viacom's networks are at risk of downward fee revisions or carriage loss as distributors seek to mitigate cost pressures, Morris tells investors in a research note. The analyst expects total revenue for the pay-TV ecosystem to come under pressure.
10/12/17
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wal-Mart (WMT) downgraded to Buy from Conviction Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst Matthew Fassler saying shares have achieved in three months what he had expected in a year on an improvement in sentiment, but not on higher earnings estimates. 2. Monro (MNRO) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with analyst Bret Jordan citing expectations the company's earnings growth will slow in 2018 as its focus shifts from acquisitions to improving store-level execution. 3. Diamond Offshore (DO) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi with analyst Scott Gruber saying that if an upturn is forthcoming, Transocean should outperform given a "diminution" of concern toward its balance sheet and more new contract catalysts. 4. Cummins (CMI) downgraded to Neutral following dealer checks at Longbow with analyst Faheem Sabeiha citing a recent truck dealer survey that suggests initial 2018 sales growth is below current industry forecasts, partly due to driver shortage concerns. 5. Disney (DIS), AMC Networks (AMCX), and Viacom (VIA, VIAB) were downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/13/17
MSCO
10/13/17
NO CHANGE
Target $38
MSCO
Overweight
Viacom could be pushed back above $30 by Charter pact, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne noted press reports suggesting a negotiation going on between Viacom (VIAB) and Charter (CHTR) on a carriage agreement renewal and he is now modeling a nearly 15% one-time decline in blended affiliate fee pricing across Charter's footprint in exchange for broad distribution. If Viacom's networks get continued carriage on Charter, even with reduced fees, this could drive Viacom shares back above $30, contends Swinburne. He lowered his price target on Viacom to $38 from $42, but keeps an Overweight rating on the stock, noting that in any case the Charter relationship overhang will likely be removed by month end.

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