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NFLX

Netflix

$190.12

0.56 (0.30%)

, DIS

Disney

$111.27

0.7 (0.63%)

10:19
12/16/17
12/16
10:19
12/16/17
10:19

More consolidation to come after Disney/Fox deal, Barron's says

Netflix (NFLX) success and its high valuation is forcing the rest of the TV work to scramble, Alex Eule writes in this week's edition of Barron's. In the wake of Disney's (DIS) 21st Century Fox (FOXA; FOX) purchase, investors should expect more consolidation to come, he adds. Given that FOX RSN business looks very similar to MSG Networks (MSGN) and with Disney's deal spurring a new wave of RSN interest, 208 could be the year that MSG gets sold, Barron's says. Other potential attractive targets include AMC (AMCX) and Viacom (VIAB), Eule contends. Reference Link

NFLX

Netflix

$190.12

0.56 (0.30%)

DIS

Disney

$111.27

0.7 (0.63%)

FOXA

21st Century Fox

$34.99

0.11 (0.32%)

FOX

21st Century Fox

MSGN

MSG Networks

$19.80

0.05 (0.25%)

AMCX

AMC Networks

$55.33

1.16 (2.14%)

VIAB

Viacom

$30.24

0.53 (1.78%)

  • 08

    Feb

NFLX Netflix
$190.12

0.56 (0.30%)

12/15/17
LOOP
12/15/17
NO CHANGE
Target $106
LOOP
Hold
Disney's Star Wars opening weekend estimated remains $225M, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst David Miller keeps his Hold rating and $106 price target on Disney (DIS), forecasting the opening weekend box office for Star Wars: The Last Jedi at $225M, the ultimate domestic take of $850M, and global revenue of $1.7B. The analyst says the film was "awesome" - as good, if not better than The Force Awakens which cleared $2.07B in global box office. Miller also notes that Disney discussed the implications of the company taking managerial control over Hulu, saying CEO Bob Iger appeared non-committal on whether to use Hulu as the head-to-head competitor with Netflix (NFLX) or await its Direct-To-Consumer product to be launched in mid-2019.
12/13/17
BTIG
12/13/17
NO CHANGE
BTIG
Disney, Fox deal may be a near-term positive for Netflix, BTIG says
Commenting on Disney's (DIS) deal with Fox (FOX; FOXA) and its potential implications, BTIG's Richard Greenfield notes that the knee jerk reaction he hears across the investment world is the former is buying the later to build their "Netflix killer." Greenfield "strongly disagrees" with this viewpoint, saying that if Disney wanted to build a Netflix competitor it should be eliminating its stock buyback and aggressively investing in content that has no legacy media strings attached. Further, the Disney/Fox transaction is likely a near-to-intermediate term positive for Netflix, he argues, adding that both companies will be tied up in a 12 month or more regulatory review process with thousands of executives in limbo pending the closing of the transaction.
12/06/17
12/06/17
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Alibaba (BABA) initiated with a Positive at Susquehanna. 2. WWE (WWE) initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan. 3. Facebook (FB), Alphabet Class A (GOOGL), and Amazon.com (AMZN) were initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI, while Netflix (NFLX) was initiated with an In Line. 4. Applied Materials (AMAT) initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo. 5. Delphi Technologies (DLPH) was initiated with an Overweight at Barclays while being initiated with a Neutral at BofA/Merrill and UBS. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
12/06/17
PIPR
12/06/17
NO CHANGE
Target $240
PIPR
Overweight
Piper sees high likelihood of Q4 subscriber upside for Netflix
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says his analysis of Netflix search trends suggests upside potential for both international and domestic subscriber in Q4. The analyst models 9.3% year-over-year domestic sub growth in Q4 while his search index points to 14.8% growth. For international, Olson models 38.7% year-over-year sub growth while his index points to 54.5% growth. The index is directionally positive and shows a high likelihood of Q4 subscriber upside for Netflix, Olson tells investors in a research note. He maintains an Overweight rating on the shares with a $240 price target.
DIS Disney
$111.27

0.7 (0.63%)

12/15/17
WELS
12/15/17
NO CHANGE
Target $135
WELS
Outperform
Disney price target raised to $135 from $116 at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Marci Ryvicker raised her price target for Disney (DIS) shares to $135 following the company's acquisition of 21st Century Fox (FOXA) assets. The analyst is positive on the deal and sees "significant potential upside" for Disney. She notes, however, that the new company is more complex given the consolidation of Hulu and addition of Sky. Ryvicker keeps Outperform rating on Disney shares.
12/15/17
KEYB
12/15/17
DOWNGRADE
KEYB
Sector Weight
21st Century Fox downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Andy Hargreaves downgraded 21st Century Fox (FOXA) to Sector Weight saying that while he views the asset sale to Disney (DIS) as positive for both sides, regulatory risks are high. The analyst sees total potential value in the deal at $42 for Fox shares, but feels a discount is warranted given the regulatory risk. Hargreaves believes current fair value for Fox shares is $37.
12/15/17
EDJN
12/15/17
DOWNGRADE
EDJN
Hold
Disney downgraded to Hold from Buy at Edward Jones
Edward Jones analyst downgraded Disney (DIS) to Hold from Buy saying the acquisition of 21st Century Fox (FOXA) increase Disney's dependency on cable networks and adds various complexities. Additionally, the firm's analyst views Disney shares as fairly valued following recent share appreciation in light of the deal.
FOXA 21st Century Fox
$34.99

0.11 (0.32%)

12/15/17
PIPR
12/15/17
NO CHANGE
Target $125
PIPR
Overweight
Piper raises price targets for both Disney and 21st Century Fox
Piper Jaffray analyst Stan Meyers raised his price target for Disney (DIS) shares to $125 from $120 and his target for 21st Century Fox (FOXA) shares to $40 from $35 following the yesterday's asset sale deal. The analyst has Overweight ratings on both names. He believes the transaction is mutually beneficial. Disney unlocks intellectual property value "better than anyone," and can extract better economics with counterparties via scale, while Fox's leaner structure allows it to rerate higher, execute on core competencies, and generate "significant" free cash flow for shareholders, Meyers tells investors in a research note.
FOX 21st Century Fox

11/10/17
BERN
11/10/17
NO CHANGE
Target $101
BERN
Market Perform
Disney deal for Fox wouldn't solve underlying problems, says Bernstein
Bernstein analyst Todd Juenger noted that Disney (DIS) has gone from a situation where reported EPS was going up but its stock price was going down to one where EPS is going down but the stock has been going up a bit driven by M&A speculation. However, he contends that the current round of renewed M&A speculation is happening because underlying fundamentals are "so bad" and even if a deal for Disney to buy Fox (FOXA) assets happens it wouldn't solve the underlying problems. He also thinks the chances of a Disney-Fox deal as currently described are "very low." Juenger maintains a Market Perform rating and $101 price target on Disney shares.
12/13/17
FBNS
12/13/17
NO CHANGE
FBNS
FBN says Fox could be worth over $42 per share with Disney deal
With multiple media report indicating that Disney (DIS) is close to finalizing a deal to buy most of 21st Century Fox's (FOX) assets and operations, FBN Securities analyst Robert Routh is estimating that Fox shares could have a "real value" of $42.46 based on what has been reported on the likely deal. This estimate is before considering taxes and taking into account that Disney shares will likely rise after a deal is confirmed, said Routh, who does not officially cover either Disney or Fox.
12/11/17
BTIG
12/11/17
NO CHANGE
BTIG
BTIG says Comcast could pay 'significantly' more for Fox assets than Disney
BTIG analyst Richard Greenfield said earlier in a note to investors that he believes Comcast (CMCSA) could pay "significantly more" for the assets that Fox (FOXA) is reportedly looking to sell than could Disney (DIS). He also believes Comcast could have a better chance of securing regulatory approval for a deal if they are willing to spin off all of the regional sports networks that a combined entity would own.
MSGN MSG Networks
$19.80

0.05 (0.25%)

08/30/17
FBNS
08/30/17
UPGRADE
Target $26.92
FBNS
Outperform
MSG Networks upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at FBN Securities
FBN Securities analyst Robert Rougth upgraded MSG Networks to Outperform with a price target of $26.92 saying shares now trade at 7.4x 2018 estimated AOI compared with his last note when equity was at 8.5x the same metric.
10/31/17
MSCO
10/31/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $20
MSCO
Underweight
MSG Networks downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne downgraded MSG Networks to Underweight from Equal Weight, stating that breaking up cable bundles may weigh on sports networks and he believes consensus expectations for EBITDA growth in FY19 and beyond look optimistic. The analyst, who assumes MSG Networks' long-term EBITDA declines, lowered his estimates and cut his price target on the stock to $20 from $24.
09/11/17
BTIG
09/11/17
NO CHANGE
Target $260
BTIG
Buy
Knicks sale would not be surprising after Rockets deal, says BTIG
BTIG analyst Brandon Ross noted that James Dolan and family have been actively unwinding their ties to the legacy TV bundle, both by splitting Madison Square Garden (MSG) from MSG Networks (MSGN) and via the sale of Cablevision to Altice (ATCEY). He also notes that Dolan is on record that he believes sports rights are in a bubble. Given all of this, and the recent big-ticket sale of the Houston Rockets, Ross would not be surprised to see Dolan consider a sale of the Knicks and/or Rangers, adding that selling one team or both could pave the way for an eventual "go-private" deal for the rest of MSG and its remaining live entertainment business. Ross keeps a Buy rating and $260 price target on Madison Square Garden shares.
10/11/17
LOOP
10/11/17
UPGRADE
Target $25
LOOP
Buy
MSG Networks upgraded to Buy from Hold at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst David Miller upgraded MSG Networks to Buy and raised his price target for the shares to $25 from $19. The company's free cash flow generation, both in the upcoming quarter and for all of fiscal year 2018, "will finally supercharge" its net debt/AOI ratio down to below 3.0 times by the end of the fiscal year, Miller tells investors in a research note. He believes the market is "underestimating the pace at which that will happen."
AMCX AMC Networks
$55.33

1.16 (2.14%)

10/12/17
GUGG
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE
GUGG
Neutral
AMC Networks downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
10/12/17
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $105

Neutral
Disney downgraded to Neutral on increased pay-TV caution at Guggenheim
As previously reported, Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded Disney (DIS) to Neutral from Buy, citing his increased caution toward pay-TV trends and concern that expectations for the contribution from its content cycle are too high. While he is optimistic about the company's proposed direct-to-consumer streaming products, he expects the initial investment and long lead time into the launch to weigh on sentiment over the next 12 months, Morris tells investors. The analyst, who lowered his price target on Disney to $105 from $122, also downgraded Viacom (VIAB) and AMC Networks (AMCX) this morning.
10/12/17
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE
Target $60

Neutral
AMC Networks downgraded to Neutral on ad growth concerns at Guggenheim
As previously reported, Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded AMC Networks to Neutral from Buy, citing his concern about advertising growth trends and increased pressure from digital video competitors. He now forecasts 2018 domestic advertising revenue will decline by 2.3%, with a 6.2% decline at flagship AMC, as The Walking Dead continues to mature and potentially lose audience, he tells investors. Morris lowered his price target on AMC Networks to $60 from $73.
10/12/17
10/12/17
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wal-Mart (WMT) downgraded to Buy from Conviction Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst Matthew Fassler saying shares have achieved in three months what he had expected in a year on an improvement in sentiment, but not on higher earnings estimates. 2. Monro (MNRO) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with analyst Bret Jordan citing expectations the company's earnings growth will slow in 2018 as its focus shifts from acquisitions to improving store-level execution. 3. Diamond Offshore (DO) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi with analyst Scott Gruber saying that if an upturn is forthcoming, Transocean should outperform given a "diminution" of concern toward its balance sheet and more new contract catalysts. 4. Cummins (CMI) downgraded to Neutral following dealer checks at Longbow with analyst Faheem Sabeiha citing a recent truck dealer survey that suggests initial 2018 sales growth is below current industry forecasts, partly due to driver shortage concerns. 5. Disney (DIS), AMC Networks (AMCX), and Viacom (VIA, VIAB) were downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
VIAB Viacom
$30.24

0.53 (1.78%)

11/20/17
11/20/17
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Verizon (VZ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo with analyst Jennifer Fritzsche saying after dropping 16% since mid-January, "much of the bad news is behind the stock" in terms of wireless service revenue declines. 2. 3D Systems (DDD) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Piper Jaffray with analyst Troy Jensen saying he sees limited downside from current share levels. 3. Viacom (VIAB, VIA) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank with analyst Bryan Kraft saying he sees limited room for further multiple compression. 4. Maxwell (MXWL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Roth Capital with analyst Craig Irwin saying he sees consensus estimates as achievable for 2018, and merger synergies with NessCap should start making a more material contribution over the next few quarters. 5. National Beverage (FIZZ) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna with analyst Pablo Zuanic citing his increased conviction on the sales and bottom-line upside of the company. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/29/17
KEYB
11/29/17
NO CHANGE
KEYB
Q3 results, analysis of Q4 viewership trends show some bright spots, says KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Andy Hargreaves notes that the Department of Justice's decision to sue to block AT&T (T)/Time Warner (TWX) seems likely to halt additional M&A until a resolution is reached. Additionally, the analyst points out that Q4 viewership trends appear most positive for Discovery (DISCA), Viacom (VIAB) so far, and 21st Century Fox (FOXA) remains his favorite long among TV network stocks.
11/20/17
DBAB
11/20/17
UPGRADE
Target $25
DBAB
Hold
Viacom upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft upgraded Viacom to Hold saying he sees limited room for further multiple compression. The analyst believes reports of merger speculation in the media space should provide valuation support and he keeps a $25 price target for Viacom shares.
11/17/17
RBCM
11/17/17
NO CHANGE
Target $23
RBCM
Underperform
Viacom price target lowered to $23 from $30 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Steven Cahall lowered his price target on Viacom to $23 following Q4 results. Cahall says that despite the EPS beat, weaker domestic affiliate revenue growth was the latest surprising development as part of a trend of negative estimate revisions. The analyst keeps his Underperform rating, saying that investors are cautious on exposure to Media amid a "gravitational pull toward more visible growth stories", particularly as Viacom undergoes a period of strategic restructuring.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

SPCB

SuperCom

$3.66

-0.03 (-0.81%)

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EIGR

Eiger BioPharmaceuticals

$16.00

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KBH

KB Home

$36.03

-0.95 (-2.57%)

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JKHY

Jack Henry

$123.38

0.7 (0.57%)

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Wolfe Research utilities analyst to hold a luncheon meeting »

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ECL

Ecolab

$137.42

-0.26 (-0.19%)

10:44
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CXP

Columbia Property

$21.93

0.08 (0.37%)

10:43
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TWTR

Twitter

$24.96

-0.45 (-1.77%)

, FB

Facebook

$179.37

-8.4 (-4.47%)

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Hot Stocks
Former bear says buy Twitter as growth returns, takeover potential rises »

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TWTR

Twitter

$24.96

-0.45 (-1.77%)

FB

Facebook

$179.37

-8.4 (-4.47%)

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FB

Facebook

$179.37

-8.4 (-4.47%)

, SNAP

Snap

$13.53

-0.585 (-4.15%)

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Conference/Events
FBN Securities media analysts to hold a group luncheon »

Analysts host a Group…

FB

Facebook

$179.37

-8.4 (-4.47%)

SNAP

Snap

$13.53

-0.585 (-4.15%)

TWTR

Twitter

$24.96

-0.455 (-1.79%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,122.26

16.74 (1.51%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,130.65

18.6 (1.67%)

LNKD

Acquired by MSFT

03/08/13
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  • 01

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  • 18

    Mar

GE

General Electric

$18.14

-0.625 (-3.33%)

10:40
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Periodicals
GE seen as likely to embrace company breakup, CNBC reports »

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  • 16

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  • 24

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HMNY

Helios and Matheson

$7.64

-0.42 (-5.21%)

10:40
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MoviePass names Natasha Mulla CMO »

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EEM

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

$49.79

0.275 (0.56%)

10:40
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Options
Notable interest in iShares Emerging Markets Fund options »

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C

Citi

$77.54

0.695 (0.90%)

10:38
01/16/18
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Citi CFO says U.S. Retail Services growing slightly above outlook »

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  • 16

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VPG

Vishay Precision

$27.30

0.55 (2.06%)

10:38
01/16/18
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Vishay Precision management to meet with Sidoti »

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SITE

SiteOne Landscape

$71.28

-0.2 (-0.28%)

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IWM

iShares Trust Russell 2000 Index Fund

$159.21

1.05 (0.66%)

, RUT

Russell 2000 Index

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IWM

iShares Trust Russell 2000 Index Fund

$159.21

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LPTH

LightPath

$2.42

0.09 (3.86%)

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  • 16

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LOW

Lowe's

$104.00

3.14 (3.11%)

10:35
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Conference/Events
Lowe's management to meet with UBS »

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  • 18

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GE

General Electric

$18.17

-0.595 (-3.17%)

10:35
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Periodicals
GE breakup likely, announcement may come this Spring, CNBC reports »

CNBC's David Faber…

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C

Citi

$77.56

0.715 (0.93%)

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  • 16

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10:33
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Conference/Events
UBS leisure analyst holds an analyst/industry conference call »

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ITRN

Ituran

$35.30

1.25 (3.67%)

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Ituran management to meet with Jefferies »

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    Jan

C

Citi

$77.50

0.66 (0.86%)

10:33
01/16/18
01/16
10:33
01/16/18
10:33
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Citi »

Citi sees core accrual…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 16

    Jan

  • 24

    Jan

AXTA

Axalta Coating

$31.99

-0.45 (-1.39%)

, UBS

UBS

$19.62

0.03 (0.15%)

10:32
01/16/18
01/16
10:32
01/16/18
10:32
Initiation
On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations »

Catch up on today's…click here.

AXTA

Axalta Coating

$31.99

-0.45 (-1.39%)

UBS

UBS

$19.62

0.03 (0.15%)

CS

Credit Suisse

$19.04

0.08 (0.42%)

NTR

Nutrien

$53.31

-0.12 (-0.22%)

CBM

Cambrex

$52.80

1.15 (2.23%)

DRNA

Dicerna

$8.42

-0.01 (-0.12%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 24

    Jan

UA

Under Armour; also tag UAA

$13.13

-1.01 (-7.14%)

, UAA

Under Armour; also tag UA

$14.21

-0.91 (-6.02%)

10:32
01/16/18
01/16
10:32
01/16/18
10:32
Downgrade
On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades »

Catch up on today's…click here.

UA

Under Armour; also tag UAA

$13.13

-1.01 (-7.14%)

UAA

Under Armour; also tag UA

$14.21

-0.91 (-6.02%)

VZ

Verizon

$51.84

-0.023 (-0.04%)

LMT

Lockheed Martin

$336.31

0.06 (0.02%)

COL

Rockwell Collins

$138.14

0.31 (0.22%)

SAVE

Spirit Airlines

$47.19

-1.07 (-2.22%)

FNSR

Finisar

$22.74

0.48 (2.16%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 23

    Jan

  • 01

    Feb

  • 21

    Feb

  • 07

    Mar

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