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DG

Dollar General

$96.89

0.62 (0.64%)

, DLTR

Dollar Tree

$98.10

-0.15 (-0.15%)

07:07
04/13/18
04/13
07:07
04/13/18
07:07

Low levels of food inflation to keep weighing on grocery names, Oppenheimer says

Following a government report this week that showed another month of soft food inflation data, Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh said he expects low food inflation to continue to weigh on grocery names, taking a "subdued" view into earnings for pure-play grocery names like Kroger (KR), National Grocers (NGVC), Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) and Smart & Final Stores (SFS). Parikh's top picks across the broader grocery/discounter space remain Dollar General (DG) and Dollar Tree (DLTR), followed by Sprouts, he said. The analyst has an Outperform rating on Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Sprouts, and a Perform rating on Kroger, Natural Grocers, Smart & Final Stores and United Natural Foods (UNFI).

DG

Dollar General

$96.89

0.62 (0.64%)

DLTR

Dollar Tree

$98.10

-0.15 (-0.15%)

SFM

Sprouts Farmers Market

$24.16

0.35 (1.47%)

KR

Kroger

$23.60

0.12 (0.51%)

NGVC

Natural Grocers

$7.22

0.02 (0.28%)

SFS

Smart & Final Stores

$5.25

-0.05 (-0.94%)

UNFI

United Natural Foods

$44.43

0.04 (0.09%)

  • 03

    May

  • 10

    May

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    Jun

DG Dollar General
$96.89

0.62 (0.64%)

03/15/18
DBAB
03/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $125
DBAB
Buy
Deutsche sees relief rally for Dollar General, ups target to $125
Deutsche Bank analyst Paul Trussell raised his price target for Dollar General to $125 from $121 following the company's Q4 results and reiterates a Buy rating on the name. Dollar General "easily cleared all hurdles" in the quarter and should "experience a relief rally today," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Trussell says "strong top-line stories with stable margins and strong FCF leading to double-digit earnings growth are hard to come by."
01/25/18
TLSY
01/25/18
UPGRADE
TLSY
Outperform
Dollar General upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Telsey Advisory
Telsey Advisory analyst Joseph Feldman upgraded Dollar General to Outperform saying fundamentals remain supportive of discounters given their value-oriented models and benefits of scale. Feldman said the improving low end consumer, value offering, store growth runway, and strong execution makes Dollar General attractive.
03/13/18
RBCM
03/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $101
RBCM
Outperform
Dollar General price target lowered to $101 from $110 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Scot Ciccarelli lowered his price target on Dollar General to $101 ahead of the earnings report this week, citing the company's commentary on higher freight and diesel costs. The analyst adds that the stock price already likely discounts lower earnings growth expectations, coming down about 17% from its recent highs. Ciccarelli keeps his Outperform rating on Dollar General, noting that the stock "can grind higher" if it can return to 10%-15% EPS growth trend.
03/15/18
LOOP
03/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $97
LOOP
Hold
Dollar General price target raised to $97 from $87 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba raised his price target for Dollar General to $97 following the company's Q4 results but keeps a Hold rating on the name. The better than expected earnings guidance for 2018 is largely a function of management front-loading investments, thus allowing for more of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act tax savings to flow to the bottom line, Chukumba tells investors in a research note. He believes current valuation levels reflect his "increasingly bullish fundamental outlook."
DLTR Dollar Tree
$98.10

-0.15 (-0.15%)

03/26/18
03/26/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Intel (INTC) and Analog Devices (ADI) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James. 2. D.R. Horton (DHI) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays with analyst Matthew Bouley saying he sees the company as well positioned to absorb volume demand while maintaining gross margins. 3. RBS (RBS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with the firm saying the recent underperformance of shares has brought an attractive entry point. 4. MetLife (MET) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities. 5. Dollar Tree (DLTR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Peter Keith saying he believes the company is making "sensible investments" with Family Dollar to drive comp growth improvement into 2019. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/26/18
PIPR
03/26/18
UPGRADE
Target $112
PIPR
Overweight
Dollar Tree upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Peter Keith upgraded Dollar Tree Stores to Overweight and raised his price target for the shares to $112 from $102. The analyst believes the company is making "sensible investments" with Family Dollar to drive comp growth improvement into 2019. He thinks the current valuation suggests reduced expectations and notes the recent debt upgrade likely sets the stage for debt refinance.
03/08/18
03/08/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wendy's (WEN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow with analyst Alton Stump saying his conversations with U.S. Wendy's franchisees leads him to estimate that domestic franchised same-store sales are up 2%-2.5% to date in the first quarter. 2. Barclays (BCS) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs with analyst Martin Leitgeb citing the company's capital progress and less risk from financial regulation for the upgrade. 3. Eaton (ETN) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA/Merrill with analyst Andrew Orbin saying management outlined its long-term strategy for Industrial and Electrical segments growth and said a recent inflection in Electrical provides better visibility on margins. 4. Splunk (SPLK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst Joseph Bonner saying the company is in a fast-growing market, though its success will depend on the execution of a ramp in software sales along with capturing market share without pressure on margins. 5. Dollar Tree (DLTR) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays with analyst Karen Short saying she views the company's outlook as conservative and believes the recent share selloff provides an attractive entry point. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/09/18
BMOC
03/09/18
NO CHANGE
Target $97
BMOC
Market Perform
Dollar Tree price target lowered to $97 from $115 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Wayne Hood lowered his price target on Dollar Tree to $97 after the company's "disappointing" Q4 earnings and FY18 outlook. Hood states that a closer look at the financials indicated a "challenging" slope of SSS and EBIT margin recovery at Family Dollar, while the headwinds related to higher wages, freight, diesel, and distribution costs may not be transitory. The analyst keeps his Market Perform rating on Dollar Tree, adding that multiple compression may persist.
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
$24.16

0.35 (1.47%)

01/11/18
BMOC
01/11/18
NO CHANGE
Target $26
BMOC
Market Perform
Sprouts Farmers Market price target raised to $26 from $22 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Kelly Bania raised her price target on Sprouts Farmers Market to $26, citing stronger than expected Q4 comps outlook and upgraded grocery delivery options as a result of its new Instacart partnership. The analyst keeps her Market Perform rating on Sprouts, saying its current valuation is "fair in the current competitive environment".
02/13/18
OTRG
02/13/18
UPGRADE
OTRG
Mixed
Sprouts Farmers Market upgraded to Mixed from Negative at OTR Global
02/23/18
JPMS
02/23/18
NO CHANGE
Target $30
JPMS
Overweight
Sprouts remains 'under-the-radar' growth story, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Ken Goldman raised his price target for Sprouts Farmers Market to $30 from $28 citing continued strength in fundamentals following the company's Q4 results. Sprouts remains an "under-the-radar retail growth story," Goldman tells investors in a post-earnings research note. He reiterates an Overweight rating on the shares.
01/31/18
GDHS
01/31/18
UPGRADE
Target $33
GDHS
Buy
Sprouts Farmers Market upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at Gordon Haskett
Gordon Haskett analyst Chuck Grom upgraded Sprouts Farmers Market to Buy from Accumulate and raised his price target on the stock to $33 from $27, as he thinks the prospects for continued SSS improvement remains bright and notes the company has demonstrated successful expansion in new markets.
KR Kroger
$23.60

0.12 (0.51%)

03/26/18
LOOP
03/26/18
NO CHANGE
Target $25
LOOP
Hold
Kroger merger with Target 'could make sense', says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Andrew Wolf speculates that while "unlikely" in the near term, a merger between Kroger (KR) and Target (TGT) could make sense. Wolf notes that Kroger has been looking at digital commerce acquisitions and partnerships to maximize its delivery and merchandise, while Target has been an underperformer in the grocery segment. The analyst keeps his Hold rating and $25 price target on Kroger, but adds that its multiple could expand "modestly" as its comps improve this year.
03/12/18
JEFF
03/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $31
JEFF
Buy
Kroger 10% selloff last week overdone, says Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Christopher Mandeville views the 10% selloff last week in shares of Kroger as overdone. The company is making the right moves by pulling forward Restock investment post tax reform to better position it for long-term success, Mandeville tells investors in a research note. The analyst sees an attractive risk/reward for Kroger shares and keeps a Buy rating on the name. He trimmed his price target for the stock to $31 from $33.
03/12/18
BMOC
03/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $27
BMOC
Market Perform
Kroger price target lowered to $27 from $31 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Kelly Bania lowered her price target on Kroger to $27, citing the company's weaker Q4 gross margins amid a more constructive overall retail environment in the quarter. Bania adds that incremental investments by the company are small and "primarily pulled forward", which offsets the positive impact of tax changes. The analyst keeps her Market Perform rating on Kroger, noting that the stock remains faced with a "risk of heightened volatility and weak earnings during this investment phase".
04/09/18
RHCO
04/09/18
NO CHANGE
Target $50
RHCO
Buy
Central Garden & Pet price target raised to $50 from $45 at SunTrust
SunTrust analyst William Chappell raised his price target on Central Garden & Pet (CENT) to $50, saying the company is "better positioned in the pet and garden segments than it has ever been". Chappell attributes his expectations of strong business momentum for the next few years to the margin expansion trends from the operating initiatives taken by the new management, the company's increasing focus on private label distribution growth, the expansion into Live Pets segment, and February's launch of a partnership with Kroger (KR). The analyst keeps his Buy rating on Central Garden & Pet.
NGVC Natural Grocers
$7.22

0.02 (0.28%)

02/12/18
LEHM
02/12/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $7
LEHM
Underweight
Natural Grocers downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Karen Short downgraded Natural Grocers to Underweight with an unchanged price target of $7. The analyst believes upside can only be generated should comps rise to positive low single digits with stable margins, an activist emerges, or if the company were to be viewed as a potential takeout candidate. She believes these scenarios are unlikely, "at least for now." Short also sees further downside to estimates amid "persistent" competitive pressures, "increasingly difficult" comparisons and "unstable" gross margins.
01/31/18
RBCM
01/31/18
UPGRADE
RBCM
Outperform
Natural Grocers upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital
01/31/18
RBCM
01/31/18
UPGRADE
Target $11
RBCM
Outperform
Natural Grocers upgraded to Outperform at RBC Capital on survey data and trends
As reported earlier, RBC Capital analyst Bill Kirk upgraded Natural Grocers (NGVC) to Outperform from Sector Perform with an $11 price target going into Q1 earnings. Kirk cites the disclosed positive quarter-to-date trends, acceleration shown in survey data, easy prior year comparisons, and positive commentary from Unified Natural Foods (UNFI).
02/12/18
02/12/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. La Jolla (LJPC) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Jefferies by analyst Eun Yang, who said her critical care physician and Pharmacy & Therapeutics committee member polls on Giapreza point to a "likely modest" sales opportunity relative to consensus expectations. In the absence of a potential buyout, downside risks in the stock are greater relative to upside potential in the next two-to-three years. 2. Natural Grocers (NGVC) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays by analyst Karen Short, who believes upside can only be generated should comps rise to positive low single digits with stable margins, an activist emerges, or if the company were to be viewed as a potential takeout candidate. She believes these scenarios are unlikely, "at least for now." 3. EQT Midstream (EQM) and EQT GP (EQGP) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital by analyst TJ Schultz, who derived his rating from his probability scale around the midstream business, assigning a 65% chance that EQT GP is the surviving entity post midstream simplification and a 30% chance that EQT Midstream Partners is the surviving entity. 4. Tallgrass Energy GP (TEGP) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays by analyst Christine Cho, who said her analysis suggests a Tallgrass Energy GP acquisition of Tallgrass Energy Partners (TEP) is the most likely scenario. She valued Tallgrass Energy GP at $25 in this scenario. 5. Unisys (UIS) downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
SFS Smart & Final Stores
$5.25

-0.05 (-0.94%)

03/15/18
LOOP
03/15/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $8
LOOP
Hold
Smart & Final Stores downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Andrew Wolf downgraded Smart & Final Stores to Hold after the company's 2018 sales and earnings guidance disappointed, which he blames on unanticipated incremental spending to drive digital engagement and home delivery, lowered inflation expectations and a heightened promotional environment. He lowered his price target on Smart & Final shares to $8 from $11.
03/16/18
LEHM
03/16/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $6
LEHM
Equal Weight
Smart & Final Stores downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Karen Short downgraded Smart & Final Stores to Equal Weight and halved her price target for the shares to $6 from $12. The analyst sees a less compelling investment case with 2018 set to be the company's third consecutive investment year. Short reduced her estimates to reflect Smart & Final's fiscal 2018 guidance.
12/26/17
SBSH
12/26/17
NO CHANGE
Target $33
SBSH
Buy
Citi ups targets for food retailers on tax reform benefits
To reflect multiple expansion by the group, less promotional activity and increased potential for tax reform benefits, which he thinks can benefit earnings by up to 25% on average, Citi analyst Alvin Concepcion on Friday raised his price targets names in the Food Retailer space. The analyst upped his price target for Buy-rated Kroger (KR) to $33 from $30, for Buy-rated Natural Grocers (NVGC) to $10.50 from $7.50, for Buy-rated Sprouts Farmers Market to $29 from $25 and for Hold-rated Smart & Final Stores (SFS) to $9.50 from $8.50.
01/16/18
LEHM
01/16/18
UPGRADE
Target $12
LEHM
Overweight
Smart & Final Stores upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Karen Short upgraded Smart & Final Stores to Overweight and raised her price target for the shares to $12 from $8. The company's fundamentals should continue to gain momentum, especially in the first half of 2018 as compares are easy, Short tells investors in a research note. The analyst also expects tax reform to significantly improve Smart & Final's cash generation.
UNFI United Natural Foods
$44.43

0.04 (0.09%)

03/12/18
BMOC
03/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $50
BMOC
Market Perform
United Natural Foods price target lowered to $50 from $57 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Kelly Bania lowered her price target on United Natural Foods (UNFI) to $50, saying that while the company's Q2 revenue accelerated, EPS flow through was constrained by freight and labor costs. Bania adds that while she expects the freight headwinds to moderate, labor pressures may remain through the second half of the year. The analyst keeps her Market Perform rating on United Natural Foods, noting that the uncertainty around the company's relationship with Amazon's Whole Foods (AMZN) potentially adds to the overhang for long-term investors.
03/14/18
ARGS
03/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $56
ARGS
Buy
United Natural Foods pullback 'offers buying opportunity', says Argus
Argus analyst John Eade is keeping his Buy rating and a $56 price target on United Natural Foods, stating that the recent 10% slide in the stock price offers a buying opportunity for investors. Eade notes the company's position as the top distributor in the natural/organic/specialty food industry, with growth coming from accretive acquisitions that are expected to continue this year. The analyst adds that the stock trades at a discount to its peer group on forward PE, price-to-sales, and price-to-book valuation metrics.
03/09/18
LOOP
03/09/18
NO CHANGE
Target $61
LOOP
Buy
United Natural Foods price target raised to $61 from $56 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Andrew Wolf raised his price target on United Natural Foods to $61 after the company's Q2 earnings beat, saying "fundamental momentum accelerated" as operating margins expanded for the first time since 2015 thanks to the company's strategic changes. The analyst adds that valuation on United Natural Foods is attractive and continued operational leverage is "likely", keeping his Buy rating on the stock.
03/07/18
PIVT
03/07/18
NO CHANGE
Target $34
PIVT
Sell
Pivotal Research sees United Natural Foods' challenges persisting
Pivotal Research analyst Robert Altman lowered his price target on United Natural Foods (UNFI) to $34 from $38 ahead of the company's upcoming Q2 earnings report, contending that management has "telegraphed" that recent cost pressures are expected to continue. Although Amazon (AMZN) is generating a surge in online demand, this has been disruptive and is coming at a cost to United Natural's margins, said Altman, who keeps a Sell rating on the shares.

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YUMC

Yum China

$36.00

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MRSN

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Intuitive Surgical

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Cadence Design

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Avista

$50.40

0.06 (0.12%)

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CRK

Comstock Resources

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GRPN

Groupon

$4.76

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$149.25

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Western Digital

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BG

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PEG

PSEG

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WEC

WEC Energy

$65.23

0.51 (0.79%)

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AEP

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07/19/18
18:41
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American Electric rating change at Goldman Sachs »

American Electric…

03/08/13
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  • 25

    Jul

ETR

Entergy

$80.97

0.465 (0.58%)

18:40
07/19/18
07/19
18:40
07/19/18
18:40
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Entergy rating change at Goldman Sachs »

Entergy upgraded to Buy…

03/08/13
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LLY

Eli Lilly

$89.45

-0.6 (-0.67%)

, INCY

Incyte

$70.10

-0.3 (-0.43%)

18:33
07/19/18
07/19
18:33
07/19/18
18:33
Hot Stocks
Lancet study shows benefit of Baricitinib 4 mg for treatment of SLE »

Eli Lilly (LLY) and…

LLY

Eli Lilly

$89.45

-0.6 (-0.67%)

INCY

Incyte

$70.10

-0.3 (-0.43%)

03/08/13
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  • 24

    Jul

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T

AT&T

$31.27

-0.46 (-1.45%)

18:20
07/19/18
07/19
18:20
07/19/18
18:20
Periodicals
U.S. court clears expedited appeal of AT&T-Time Warner deal, Reuters says »

A federal appeals court…

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  • 24

    Jul

  • 09

    Aug

VLKAY

Volkswagen

$0.00

(0.00%)

18:17
07/19/18
07/19
18:17
07/19/18
18:17
Periodicals
VW to furlough roughly 1,000 workers at biggest factory in Brazil, Reuters says »

Volkswagen intends to…

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GOOG

Alphabet

$1,187.14

-8.67 (-0.73%)

, GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,199.26

-13.38 (-1.10%)

18:09
07/19/18
07/19
18:09
07/19/18
18:09
Periodicals
Google faces uphill but not insurmountable fight to appeal EU fine, WSJ says »

Google (GOOG) parent…

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,187.14

-8.67 (-0.73%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,199.26

-13.38 (-1.10%)

INTC

Intel

$52.01

0.3 (0.58%)

03/08/13
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  • 23

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    Oct

NWE

NorthWestern

$58.29

0.56 (0.97%)

18:03
07/19/18
07/19
18:03
07/19/18
18:03
Earnings
Breaking Earnings news story on NorthWestern »

NorthWestern reaffirms…

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  • 20

    Jul

MSFT

Microsoft

$104.70

-0.38 (-0.36%)

18:03
07/19/18
07/19
18:03
07/19/18
18:03
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Microsoft »

Microsoft up 4.4%…

03/08/13
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  • 19

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

  • 08

    Aug

  • 04

    Sep

NWE

NorthWestern

$58.29

0.56 (0.97%)

18:03
07/19/18
07/19
18:03
07/19/18
18:03
Earnings
NorthWestern reports Q2 EPS 87c, consensus 47c »

Reports Q2 revenue…

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  • 20

    Jul

MSFT

Microsoft

$104.70

-0.38 (-0.36%)

18:02
07/19/18
07/19
18:02
07/19/18
18:02
Hot Stocks
Microsoft sees Q1 effective tax rate slightly lower »

Sees Q1…

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  • 19

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  • 08

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  • 08

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  • 04

    Sep

CVX

Chevron

$121.72

0.17 (0.14%)

, BP

BP

$44.44

0.2 (0.45%)

17:58
07/19/18
07/19
17:58
07/19/18
17:58
Periodicals
Judge dismisses NYC climate lawsuit against oil majors, Reuters reports »

U.S. District Judge John…

CVX

Chevron

$121.72

0.17 (0.14%)

BP

BP

$44.44

0.2 (0.45%)

COP

ConocoPhillips

$69.70

-0.65 (-0.92%)

XOM

Exxon Mobil

$82.01

-0.22 (-0.27%)

RDS.A

Royal Dutch Shell

$69.17

0.27 (0.39%)

RDS.B

Royal Dutch Shell

$72.44

0.14 (0.19%)

03/08/13
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  • 26

    Jul

  • 27

    Jul

MSFT

Microsoft

$104.70

-0.38 (-0.36%)

17:58
07/19/18
07/19
17:58
07/19/18
17:58
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Microsoft »

Microsoft sees FY19 tax…

03/08/13
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  • 19

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

  • 08

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  • 04

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