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PHM

PulteGroup

$28.40

-1.56 (-5.21%)

, DHI

D.R. Horton

$43.40

-2.16 (-4.74%)

13:37
04/19/18
04/19
13:37
04/19/18
13:37

Home builder stocks crevice after mortgage rates spike to year high

According to weekly data put out by FreddieMac, mortgage rates are popping to yearly highs. According to a statement put out by FreddieMac, "Treasury yields rose ahead of the release of the Fed's Beige Book and speeches from New York Fed President William Dudley and Fed Governor Randal Quarles. According to the Beige Book, economic activity in March and early April continued to expand at a moderate pace, however, there is concern from various industries surrounding tariffs. Following Treasury yields, mortgage rates soared. The U.S. weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose 5 basis points to 4.47% in this week's survey, its highest level since January of 2014 and the largest weekly increase since February of this year." HOUSING STARTS: In a report out on April 17 from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.Permits for single-family homes were at a rate of 840,000, a decrease of 5.5% compared with a revised 889,000 in February. NAHB Chairman Randy Noel noted, "Single-family starts dropped slightly this month, but single-family permits year-to-date are up 5% from their level over this same period in 2017." LUMBER COSTS AND LABOR SHORTAGE: According to various reports out recently, the national labor shortage is making it increasingly difficult and expensive to find construction workers. With that, the price of lumber, an integral part of the cost of building a home, is skyrocketing. According to a recent statement from an industry research group, Wood Markets, the continuation of U.S. duties on Canadian lumber exports to the U.S., are expected to cause more short-term market and price volatility in softwood lumber. "The preliminary duties launched earlier in 2017 rocked the U.S. market and more of the same is expected in 2018." According to the Wall Street Journal, the lumber issue is being exacerbated by a shortage of railcars and trucks to ship the product. Stinson Dean, a broker in Kansas City, Mo., who ships wood from sawmills to lumber yards, said, according to the WSJ. "None of us have experienced a market like this. We are in a lumber supply crisis." PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading, shares of companies in the home-building group, including PulteGroup (PHM), D.R. Horton (DHI), Lennar (LEN), KB Home (KBH), Toll Brothers (TOL), Meritage Homes (MTH), and Beazer Homes (BZH), are all lower.

PHM

PulteGroup

$28.40

-1.56 (-5.21%)

DHI

D.R. Horton

$43.40

-2.16 (-4.74%)

LEN

Lennar

$54.43

-3.22 (-5.59%)

KBH

KB Home

$26.78

-2.28 (-7.85%)

TOL

Toll Brothers

$40.93

-2.34 (-5.41%)

MTH

Meritage Homes

$43.40

-2.5 (-5.45%)

BZH

Beazer Homes

$15.40

-1.12 (-6.78%)

  • 24

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    May

PHM PulteGroup
$28.40

-1.56 (-5.21%)

01/03/18
RILY
01/03/18
DOWNGRADE
RILY
Neutral
PulteGroup downgraded to Neutral at B. Riley FBR
As previously reported, B. Riley FBR analyst Alex Rygiel downgraded PulteGroup to Neutral from Buy citing the stock's 56% rally since last February. While he believes the lower federal corporate tax is good for homebuilders, including Pulte, he notes that the stock is now only 8% from his upwardly revised price target.
01/18/18
MZHO
01/18/18
UPGRADE
MZHO
Buy
PulteGroup at Mizuhoupgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho
01/18/18
MZHO
01/18/18
UPGRADE
Target $39
MZHO
Buy
PulteGroup upgraded to Buy at Mizuho
As previously reported, Mizuho upgraded PulteGroup to Buy from Neutral and raised its price target to $39 from $31. Analyst Haendel St. Juste believes PulteGroup is well positioned to generate FY18 high-teens earnings growth and mid-teens ROE helped by $1B of buybacks in FY17 and views valuation as "compelling."
01/22/18
FBCO
01/22/18
NO CHANGE
Target $38
FBCO
Outperform
PulteGroup price target raised to $38 from $32 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Susan Maklari raised her price target for PulteGroup to $38 from $32 on valuation. The analyst reiterates an Outperform rating on the shares.
DHI D.R. Horton
$43.40

-2.16 (-4.74%)

03/07/18
03/07/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Domino's Pizza (DPZ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst John Staszak saying he believes that the company's stock price does not adequately reflect its prospects for earnings growth and rising market share based on the management's objective of 6%-8% annual store count growth. 2. Donaldson (DCI) upgraded to Buy on valuation at Gabelli with analyst Brian Sponheimer citing valuation following the quarterly report. 3. Quest Diagnostics (DGX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst Jasper Hellweg saying he has a positive view of the company's cash generation, cost controls, and share repurchases, while also pointing to its first dividend increase since the first quarter of 2016, last month. 4. D.R. Horton (DHI) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush with analyst Jay McCanless saying he believes the recent pullback appears overdone. 5. Ooma (OOMA) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA/Merrill with analyst Nikolay Beliov saying the home Telo business is showing signs of acceleration, the Office business continues to growth, and Voxter adds capabilities to target larger companies, which will improve mix. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/07/18
03/07/18
UPGRADE
Target $50

Outperform
D.R. Horton upgraded to Outperform at Wedbush
As previously reported, Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless upgraded D.R. Horton to Outperform from Neutral, with a $50 price target, as he believes the recent pullback appears overdone.
03/26/18
LEHM
03/26/18
UPGRADE
Target $52
LEHM
Overweight
D.R. Horton upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley upgraded D.R. Horton to Overweight with a $52 price target. The analyst sees the company as well positioned to absorb volume demand while maintaining gross margins. He expects new construction volumes to remain relatively unaffected as interest rates rise and thinks the recent weakness in the shares provides upside potential.
03/26/18
03/26/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Intel (INTC) and Analog Devices (ADI) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James. 2. D.R. Horton (DHI) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays with analyst Matthew Bouley saying he sees the company as well positioned to absorb volume demand while maintaining gross margins. 3. RBS (RBS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with the firm saying the recent underperformance of shares has brought an attractive entry point. 4. MetLife (MET) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities. 5. Dollar Tree (DLTR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Peter Keith saying he believes the company is making "sensible investments" with Family Dollar to drive comp growth improvement into 2019. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
LEN Lennar
$54.43

-3.22 (-5.59%)

02/23/18
02/23/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. FedEx (FDX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein with analyst David Vernon saying he expects revenue and earnings growth to be driven by a strengthening global economy and rising interest rates, the tightening domestic transportation market and demand for B2C delivery. 2. BT Group (BT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Berenberg. 3. Financial Engines (FNGN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair with analyst Robert Napoli citing the company's "strong" quarter. 4. Lennar (LEN) upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI. 5. Devon Energy (DVN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at KLR Group with analyst John Gerdes noting that the stock is down over 30% and has significantly underperformed the sector since late January, when he had previously downgraded it. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
02/23/18
EVER
02/23/18
UPGRADE
EVER
Outperform
Lennar upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI
04/05/18
MZHO
04/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $80
MZHO
Buy
Lennar valuation favorable with more earnings upside ahead, says Mizuho
Mizuho analyst Haendel St. Juste says Lennar's posted "solid" Q1 results on better than expected joint venture income and margins. The analyst sees "even more" earnings upside ahead after Lennar outlined additional fiscal 2018 synergy potential and remained optimistic on the housing backdrop. St. Juste views the current valuation as favorable and maintains a Buy rating on the shares with an $80 price target.
02/13/18
JPMS
02/13/18
UPGRADE
Target $77
JPMS
Overweight
Lennar reinstated with an Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut upgraded Lennar (LEN) to Overweight with a $77 price target following a period of restriction. The analyst previously had a Neutral rating on the shares with a $57 price target. Lennar is attractively priced ahead of becoming a "significantly stronger company" as it integrates CalAtlantic (CAA) over the next 12-18 months, Rehaut tells investors in a research note. Lennar will likely have an "uncommonly strong market share" across most of the country following the deal, the analyst contends.
KBH KB Home
$26.78

-2.28 (-7.85%)

03/27/18
UBSW
03/27/18
UPGRADE
Target $32
UBSW
Neutral
KB Home upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS
UBS analyst Daniel Oppenheim upgraded KB Home to Neutral and raised his price target for the shares to $32 from $30. The analyst sees "strong" housing fundamentals and a "more attractive" for KB shares following the recent selloff. Scarce for-sale inventory in KB's markets should lead to higher prices and new home absorption, Oppenheim tells investors in a research note. He raised his 2018 earnings per share estimate for the company to $2.72 from $2.57 and 2019 estimate to $3.15 from $2.96.
03/23/18
03/23/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) and Wynn Macau (WYNMF) were upgraded to Buy from Hold at Union Gaming. 2. Cisco (CSCO) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst Rod Hall saying as market volatility increases, Cisco provides a "relatively defensive" name in the sector. 3. General Mills (GIS) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna. 4. MPLX (MPLX) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight and Dominion Midstream (DM) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley. 5. KB Home (KBH) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo with analyst Stephen East saying the shares have fallen 25% since January 11, the worst in the group, while estimates "must rise." This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/23/18
WELS
03/23/18
UPGRADE
Target $35
WELS
Outperform
KB Home upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Stephen East upgraded KB Home to Outperform while trimming his price target for the shares to $35 from $37. The shares have fallen 25% since January 11, the worst in the group, while estimates "must rise," East tells investors in a research note following the company's Q1 results. KB continues its pivot toward its most profitable region, the West Coast, which should lead to continued leverage despite growth investment initiatives, the analyst contends.
01/26/18
01/26/18
UPGRADE
Target $34

Neutral
KB Home upgraded to Neutral on valuation at Buckingham
As previously reported, Buckingham upgraded KB Home to Neutral from Underperform with a $34 price target. Analyst Mark Weintraub said shares have substantially underperform peers over the last two weeks and now trades at levels where risk/reward is more balanced.
TOL Toll Brothers
$40.93

-2.34 (-5.41%)

12/18/17
RBCM
12/18/17
NO CHANGE
Target $57
RBCM
Outperform
Toll Brothers price target raised to $57 from $54 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Robert Wetenhall raised his price target on Toll Brothers to $57, citing "increased confidence in demand for luxury housing" after meeting with the company management last week. Wetenhall keeps his Outperform rating, also noting expectations of "sustained demand, a stable pricing environment, strong execution, and improving ROE performance" for the company.
01/22/18
FBCO
01/22/18
NO CHANGE
Target $56
FBCO
Neutral
Toll Brothers price target raised to $56 from $45 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Susan Maklari raised her price target for Toll Brothers to $56 from $45 on valuation and tax reform. The analyst reiterates a Neutral rating on the shares.
12/29/17
WEDB
12/29/17
NO CHANGE
WEDB
Wedbush raises homebuilder price targets due to new tax bill
Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless increased his price targets on homebuilders by an average of 13.6% to reflect the potential impacts from the new tax bill, though he noted that his estimates and targets could need to be adjusted as companies begin reporting earnings giving specific tax guidance. He made the largest target increases to PulteGroup (PHM), Century Communities (CCS) and Taylor Morrison (TMHC), he noted. Other publicly traded companies in the space include Beazer Homes (BZH), CalAtlantic (CAA), D.R. Horton (DHI), Hovnanian (HOV), KB Home (KBH), Lennar (LEN), M.D.C. Holdings (MDC) and Toll Brothers (TOL).
12/20/17
ARGS
12/20/17
NO CHANGE
Target $55
ARGS
Buy
Toll Brothers price target raised to $55 from $45 at Argus
Argus analyst Christopher Graja remains upbeat on the housing recovery and on Toll Brothers' leading position in the luxury market, stating that he does not see the reduced threshold for mortgage deductibility in the new tax code as particularly concerning. He raised his price target on Toll shares to $55 from $45 and keeps a Buy rating on the stock.
MTH Meritage Homes
$43.40

-2.5 (-5.45%)

03/07/18
JPMS
03/07/18
UPGRADE
Target $58
JPMS
Overweight
Meritage Homes upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut upgraded Meritage Homes to Overweight with an unchanged price target of $58. The analyst views the current valuation as attractive and expects "continued solid improvement" in the company's Southeast operations following challenges over the last 12-18 months.
02/02/18
LEHM
02/02/18
UPGRADE
Target $50
LEHM
Equal Weight
Meritage Homes upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Michael Dahl upgraded Meritage Homes to Equal Weight and raised his price target for the shares to $50 from $49. The shift toward entry-level and increased spec building is driving a greater acceleration in sales pace than expected, Dahl tells investors in a research note. He believes this overcomes the near-term lack of community count growth.
03/20/18
WEDB
03/20/18
INITIATION
Target $55
WEDB
Outperform
Meritage Homes initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless started Meritage Homes with an Outperform rating and $55 price target, noting that it is transforming itself into a company focused on the lower price bands instead of higher price bands.
02/14/18
BOFA
02/14/18
UPGRADE
Target $55
BOFA
Neutral
Meritage Homes upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill analyst John Lovallo upgraded Meritage Homes to Neutral and maintained a $55 price target due to the recent pullback in shares and improving execution.
BZH Beazer Homes
$15.40

-1.12 (-6.78%)

02/12/18
JMPS
02/12/18
UPGRADE
JMPS
Market Perform
Beazer Homes upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at JMP Securities
02/12/18
02/12/18
UPGRADE

Market Perform
Beazer Homes upgraded to Market Perform at JMP Securities
As previously reported, JMP Securities analyst Peter Martin upgraded Beazer Homes to Market Perform from Underperform, as he sees limited upside due to leverage and the company's land, labor, and material cost headwinds. Martin maintained his FY18 and FY19 estimates for Beazer, saying he believes the Orlando Gathering project will experience lower than average absorptions following two recent visits to the community.
02/13/18
WEDB
02/13/18
UPGRADE
WEDB
Outperform
Beazer Homes upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush
02/13/18
02/13/18
UPGRADE
Target $22

Outperform
Beazer Homes upgraded to Outperform at Wedbush
As previously reported, Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless upgraded Beazer Homes to Outperform from Neutral with a $22 price target. Noting the stock price has declined about 17% year to date, the analyst argues that the magnitude of this decline is overdone since demand is rising for Beazer Homes' core entry-level product, and the company has essentially achieved its longer-term growth targets.

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Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 09

    Oct

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,908.70

-32.5 (-1.67%)

, SFIX

Stitch Fix

$45.19

-5.295 (-10.49%)

12:55
09/19/18
09/19
12:55
09/19/18
12:55
Hot Stocks
Online retailers slide as Amazon reportedly testing recommendation service »

Shares of several…

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,908.70

-32.5 (-1.67%)

SFIX

Stitch Fix

$45.19

-5.295 (-10.49%)

WMT

Walmart

$95.58

0.15 (0.16%)

FB

Facebook

$161.05

0.74 (0.46%)

W

Wayfair

$136.31

-6.92 (-4.83%)

WSM

Williams-Sonoma

$66.04

-1.3 (-1.93%)

SHOO

Steven Madden

$57.00

-0.7 (-1.21%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 19

    Sep

  • 01

    Oct

  • 28

    Oct

  • 15

    Nov

  • 03

    Mar

W

Wayfair

$136.17

-7.06 (-4.93%)

12:50
09/19/18
09/19
12:50
09/19/18
12:50
Options
Unfortunate timing for bullish ratio spread in Wayfair »

Unfortunate timing for…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 19

    Sep

  • 03

    Mar

12:50
09/19/18
09/19
12:50
09/19/18
12:50
General news
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