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HD

Home Depot

$177.73

0.68 (0.38%)

, LOW

Lowe's

$84.34

0.71 (0.85%)

17:40
04/23/18
04/23
17:40
04/23/18
17:40

Home improvement and autopart retail offers favorable pockets, says Wells Fargo

As reported earlier, Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated select names within the home improvement, auto part retail, home furnishings, and specialty hardlines. The analyst notes that the pullback in some of these stocks related to "uncertainty around margins, global trade policy, and the sustainability of recently improving results", which replaced the enthusiasm from the anticipated consumer strength, rising wages, and tax reform benefits earlier this year, has produced some "compelling" long-term investment opportunities. Fadem initiated Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) at Outperform with respective price targets of $205 and $100, saying home improvement is particularly attractive in retail today given the valuations in housing and demographics tailwinds. The analyst adds that the home improvement category has seen the most consistent growth in "consumer share of wallet" to 7.5% over the past 5 years, even though that level is still below 8.7% prior peak in 2005. Fadem's view on Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) is less upbeat with an Underperform rating and a $16 price target based on its limited growth opportunity, margin profile, differentiation, and e-commerce strategy. Similarly, the analyst profiles the auto parts retail offering some opportunity in terms of "lost share of wallet" sliding to 1.8%, below the 10-year average of 1.9%, while offering "attractive valuations" and an opportunity to regain its footing. Fadem initiates O'Reilly (ORLY) and AutoZone (AZO) with an Outperform rating and price targets of $260 and $700 respectively, adding that these two companies exceeded the industry growth even as auto parts retailers as a group trade at a 23% discount relative to the S&P500. The analyst also initiated select names in the Home Furnishings/Specialty categories, including At Home (HOME) at Outperform with a price target of $42, Tractor Supply (TSCO) at Outperform with a price target of $70, and National Vision (EYE) with an Outperform and a price target of $40. Fadem. All of these names earned a positive view based on the analysts Growth Opportunity and Concept Differentiation screens, with the last two also cited for their potential for near term improvement.

HD

Home Depot

$177.73

0.68 (0.38%)

LOW

Lowe's

$84.34

0.71 (0.85%)

TSCO

Tractor Supply

$61.64

1.33 (2.21%)

ORLY

O'Reilly Automotive

$222.54

1.06 (0.48%)

AZO

AutoZone

$599.45

3.63 (0.61%)

HOME

At Home Group

$34.69

-0.305 (-0.87%)

EYE

National Vision

$31.57

-0.02 (-0.06%)

  • 26

    Apr

  • 30

    May

  • 12

    Jun

HD Home Depot
$177.73

0.68 (0.38%)

04/04/18
STFL
04/04/18
NO CHANGE
STFL
Buy
Stifel lowers Q1 same-store sales estimates for Lowe's, Home Depot
Stifel analyst John Baugh lowered his Q1 same-store sales growth estimates for Home Depot (HD) to 6.0% from 6.5% and for Lowe's (LOW) to 4.0% from 4.7%, citing "a number of conspiring factors," including sluggish consumer spending data and bad weather. While acknowledging the opportunity for better results in April, Baugh said he would rather be somewhat conservative at this point, noting that consensus comp growth estimates are 5.9% for Home Depot and 4.4% for Lowe's. He maintains Buy ratings on both stocks.
04/13/18
ARGS
04/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $50
ARGS
Buy
Masco price target raised to $50 from $46 at Argus
Argus analyst Chris Graja raised his price target on Masco (MAS) to $50 ahead of its Q1 earnings, saying the company has beaten consensus in eight of the last 12 quarters. Graja also cites his continued optimism about the positive impact of recovery in the U.S. housing market as well as remodeling activity driving sales growth and profitability amid strong consumer demand for renovation brands like "Delta faucets, Hansgrohe faucets (internationally), Behr Paints, Milgard windows and KraftMaid cabinets". Graja further notes an increase in big ticket item spending at Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW), where customers are taking advantage of the growing professional services business. The analyst keeps his Buy rating on Masco, further noting that its valuation of 12-times trailing EBITDA is "in line or slightly below" the peer average.
04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $205
WELS
Outperform
Home Depot initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated Home Depot with an Outperform and $205 price target.
03/02/18
03/02/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), Tempur Sealy (TPX), Mohawk (MHK), Lumber Liquidators (LL) and Michaels (MIK) initiated with a Hold at Loop Capital. The firm also started Fortune Brands (FBHS) and Wayfair (W) with a Buy. 2. Aflac (AFL), Lincoln National (LNC), Brighthouse Financial (BHF), MetLife (MET) Unum (UNM), Principal Financial (PFG) and Reinsurance Group (RGA) initiated with a Neutral at UBS. The firm also initiated Voya (VOYA) and FGL Holdings (FG) with a Buy and Torchmark (TMK) and American Equity (AEL) with a Sell. 3. HP Enterprise (HPE) initiated with a Neutral at JPMorgan. 4. Caterpillar (CAT), Deere (DE), United Rentals (URI) and Wabco (WBC) initiated with an Overweight, Oshkosh (OSK), Terex (TEX), Cummins (CMI), CNH Industrial (CNHI) and REV Group (REVG) initiated with an Equal Weight and Paccar (PCAR) and Agco (AGCO) initiated with an Underweight at Morgan Stanley. 5. Conatus (CNAT) initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
LOW Lowe's
$84.34

0.71 (0.85%)

04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $100
WELS
Outperform
Lowe's initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated Lowe's with an Outperform and $100 price target.
04/03/18
BOFA
04/03/18
NO CHANGE
BOFA
BofA/Merrill's Top 10 US Ideas for Q2 2018
BofA/Merrill introduced its Top 10 Ideas for Q2 2018. They are Buy rated Abbott (ABT), ADP (ADP),Coca-Cola European Partners (CCE), Discovery (DISCA), Dover (DOV), Lowe's (LOW), MGM Resorts (MGM), and Qualcomm (QCOM), and Underperform rated Ralph Lauren (RL) and BlackBerry (BB).
TSCO Tractor Supply
$61.64

1.33 (2.21%)

04/16/18
GSCO
04/16/18
UPGRADE
Target $72
GSCO
Buy
Tractor Supply upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Matthew Fassler upgraded Tractor Supply to Buy while lowering his price target for the shares to $72 from $79. While concerns about weather, costs, and competition are "depressing sentiment," these factors are already reflected in the company's guidance and consensus estimates, Fassler tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes current valuation levels offer an opportunity to buy into a well positioned franchise.
04/23/18
BARD
04/23/18
NO CHANGE
Target $80
BARD
Outperform
Tractor Supply has seasonal risk to Q1 results, says Baird
Baird analyst Peter Benedict trimmed his estimates on Tractor Supply ahead of the company's Q1 report, as he sees seasonal risk to Q1 results. The analyst said the weather has already tempered expectations, putting the stock at an attractive discount to valuation. Benedict reiterated his Outperform rating and lowered his price target to $80 from $85 on Tractor Supply shares.
04/20/18
PIPR
04/20/18
UPGRADE
Target $72
PIPR
Overweight
Tractor Supply upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Peter Keith upgraded Tractor Supply Co. to Overweight and raised his price target for the shares to $72 from $71. The analyst views the valuation as attractive amid an improving farm and ranch industry backdrop. He expects Tractor Supply's sales trends to accelerate in the near-term and 2018.
04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $70
WELS
Outperform
Tractor Supply initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated Tractor Supply with an Outperform and $70 price target.
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive
$222.54

1.06 (0.48%)

04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $260
WELS
Outperform
O'Reilly Automotive initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated O'Reilly Automotives with an Outperform and $260 price target.
04/18/18
UBSW
04/18/18
NO CHANGE
Target $300
UBSW
Buy
O'Reilly Automotive demand stymied by weather, says UBS
UBS analyst Michael Lasser noted he is modeling a 2.5% decline in comps for O'Reilly Automotive, which is below consensus. He believes the early winter weather was supportive of auto parts sales but the coldest and snowiest March in years may have stymied the demand that sets in with the spring. Despite the weather, he still believes there were positive developments during the quarter. Lasser maintained his Buy rating and $300 price target on O'Reilly shares.
04/17/18
GUGG
04/17/18
DOWNGRADE
GUGG
Neutral
O'Reilly Automotive downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
Guggenheim analyst Ali Faghri assumed coverage on O'Reilly Automotive with a Neutral rating, from Buy, saying tailwinds driving outperformance are fading, EBIT growth slowing, and expects margins to remain under pressure in the intermediate term.
04/12/18
FBCO
04/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $246
FBCO
Neutral
O'Reilly Automotive price target lowered to $246 from $264 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Seth Sigman lowered his price target for O'Reilly Automotive to $246 from $264 as he expects a lackluster Q1. The analyst reiterates a Neutral rating on the shares.
AZO AutoZone
$599.45

3.63 (0.61%)

04/17/18
GUGG
04/17/18
INITIATION
GUGG
Neutral
AutoZone assumed with a Neutral at Guggenheim
Guggenheim analyst Ali Faghri assumed coverage on Autozone with a Neutral saying EBIT growth is slowing as sales remain under pressure and investment headwinds build.
04/05/18
04/05/18
UPGRADE
Target $750

Outperform
AutoZone upgraded to Outperform at Wedbush
As previously reported, Wedbush analyst Seth Basham upgraded AutoZone (AZO) to Outperform from Neutral on the basis of more reasonable investor margin expectations, continued relative comp outperformance due to solid execution and appropriate investments, an improving industry outlook for spring/summer, a more benign near-term Amazon (AMZN) threat and attractive valuation. The analyst also raised his price target on AutoZone's shares to $750 from $670.
04/05/18
WEDB
04/05/18
UPGRADE
WEDB
Outperform
AutoZone upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush
04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $700
WELS
Outperform
AutoZone initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated AutoZone with an Outperform and $700 price target.
HOME At Home Group
$34.69

-0.305 (-0.87%)

04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $42
WELS
Outperform
At Home Group initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated At Home Group with an Outperform and $42 price target.
02/16/18
02/16/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Azul (AZUL) initiated with a Buy at UBS. 2. Acer Therapeutics (ACER) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair. 3. iRobot (IRBT) initiated with an Outperform at Northland. 4. At Home Group (HOME) initiated with a Buy at Buckingham. 5. Casey's General Stores (CASY) initiated with a Buy at Gabelli. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
02/16/18
BUCK
02/16/18
INITIATION
Target $43
BUCK
Buy
At Home Group initiated with a Buy at Buckingham
Buckingham initiated At Home Group with a Buy and $43 price target.
01/25/18
01/25/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. At Home Group (HOME) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays. 2. Amyris (AMRS) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley FBR. 3. Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank. 4. Flex Pharma (FLKS) initiated with a Buy at Ladenburg. 5. CME Group (CME) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
EYE National Vision
$31.57

-0.02 (-0.06%)

11/20/17
11/20/17
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Innoviva (INVA) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank. 2. National Vision (EYE) was initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley, an Outperform at Wells Fargo, a Buy at Jefferies and Citi, as well as a Neutral at Goldman Sachs, UBS, and BofA/Merrill. 3. Ablynx (ABLX) was initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan, an Outperform at Baird, and a Buy at Ladenburg. 4. Blue Apron (APRN) initiated with a Sector Weight at KeyBanc. 5. BP Midstream (BPMP) was initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan, a Buy at UBS and Citi, an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley and Barclays, as well as a Neutral at Goldman Sachs. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
01/18/18
WELS
01/18/18
NO CHANGE
Target $45
WELS
Outperform
National Vision price target raised to $45 from $37 at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem raised his price target for National Vision to $45 from $37 to reflect tax reform. The analyst reiterates an Outperform rating on the shares.
11/21/17
GUGG
11/21/17
INITIATION
GUGG
Buy
National Vision initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim
04/23/18
WELS
04/23/18
INITIATION
Target $40
WELS
Outperform
National Vision initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem initiated National Vision with an Outperform and $40 price target.

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AbbVie

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Vipshop

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