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SBUX

Starbucks

$57.15

0.48 (0.85%)

, MCD

McDonald's

$162.84

-0.26 (-0.16%)

08:12
05/17/18
05/17
08:12
05/17/18
08:12

Starbucks appears expensive in U.S. restaurant space, says Bernstein

Bernstein analyst Sara Senatore told investors in a research note that in the U.S. restaurant space, Starbucks (SBUX) appears expensive. She views the relatively large valuation as "surprising" given that she believes the risk to growth is more likely to the downside than the upside, and thinks Starbucks is confronting an increasingly mature U.S. market, lower marginal returns and slower growth. She expects fundamental upside from peers McDonald's (MCD), Darden (DRI), Chipotle (CMG) and Yum! (YUM). Senatore has a Market Perform rating and $64 price target on Starbucks.

SBUX

Starbucks

$57.15

0.48 (0.85%)

MCD

McDonald's

$162.84

-0.26 (-0.16%)

DRI

Darden

$87.22

-0.08 (-0.09%)

CMG

Chipotle

$444.68

18.12 (4.25%)

YUM

Yum! Brands

$83.56

0.24 (0.29%)

  • 24

    May

  • 30

    May

SBUX Starbucks
$57.15

0.48 (0.85%)

04/13/18
04/13/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Starbucks (SBUX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen with analyst Andrew Charles saying his optimism about a comparable sales rebound in the Americas region is diminished as he sees intensified craft coffee competition along with expressing uncertainty on the timeline and magnitude of success with its loyalty efforts. 2. Diamond Offshore (DO) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse. 3. Zillow (Z, ZG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Craig-Hallum with analyst Brad Berning citing the company's announcement that it is expanding its Instant Offers program to Phoenix in addition to Las Vegas and Orlando. 4. Nu Skin (NUS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Steve Powers saying with the valuation at multi-year highs, the market is pricing in a "material acceleration" in sales and earnings trends. 5. Tenneco (TEN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst David Tamberrino saying he sees the strategic rationale in the Federal-Mogul acquisition, but highlights near-term challenges from input costs. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
04/27/18
OPCO
04/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $66
OPCO
Outperform
Oppenheimer reiterates Outperform rating on Starbucks with $66 price target
Oppenheimer analyst Brian Bittner reiterated an Outperform rating and $66 price target on Starbucks following the company's in-line Q2 results. In a research note to investors, Bittner said the drivers discussed to elevate comparable sales are more likely to impact 2019 performance than 2018. Despite this, he sees limited downside risk to 2018 EPS estimates if comps stay at about 2% in the second half of the year and sees an improving risk/reward into fiscal 2019.
05/08/18
MSCO
05/08/18
NO CHANGE
Target $72
MSCO
Overweight
Starbucks packaged deal with Nestle a long-term positive, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst John Glass called Starbucks' (SBUX) packaged coffee deal with Nestle (NSRGY) a long-term positive, noting that it opens up previously untapped markets and improves the business' growth profile. The deal should be dilutive in FY19 and accretive by FY21, added Glass, who has an Overweight rating and $72 price target on Starbucks shares.
04/27/18
PIPR
04/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $70
PIPR
Overweight
Piper reiterates Overweight rating on Starbucks with $70 price target
Starbucks' fiscal Q2 results, while a "lackluster performance on the surface," is more reflective of what is being done versus the prior-year period, Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan tells investors in a research note. The up 2% Americas comp was a highlight, while store-level margins down 220 basis points to 20% of sales is concerning to most investors, the analyst adds. She believes the May 16-17 analyst day should serve as a positive catalyst, but cautions that domestic comps "likely overshadow this from a near-term stock perspective." Regan's bull case model suggests 14% earnings growth is sustainable. She reiterates an Overweight rating on Starbucks with a $70 price target.
MCD McDonald's
$162.84

-0.26 (-0.16%)

05/07/18
GSCO
05/07/18
UPGRADE
GSCO
Conviction Buy
McDonald's upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Matthew Fassler added McDonald's to the Conviction Buy List following the pullback in shares driven by US comp trajectory concerns into and following the Q1 report. Fassler is confident in a re-acceleration in comps as the company moves past January disruptions related to the transition to national value, and a normalizing competitive environment. Fassler notes McDonald's February share of advertising voice grew 3% year-over-year, versus a January decline of 24%, addressed traffic weakness by adding back regional value, and should benefit from remodel spending.
05/07/18
05/07/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. McDonald's (MCD) and AutoZone (AZO) were upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman Sachs. 2. Eaton (ETN), Deere (DE), and Terex (TEX) were upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI. 3. LendingTree (TREE) and Santander Consumer (SC) were upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS, while Discover (DFS) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell. 4. First Industrial Realty (FR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho with analyst Richard Anderson saying he sees a "path for outperformance from here" with the valuation at "floor" levels. 5. Illumina (ILMN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays with analyst Jack Meehan saying he believes his firm's NovaSeq customer survey indicates "substantial elasticity of demand." This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
05/01/18
RBCM
05/01/18
NO CHANGE
Target $175
RBCM
Outperform
McDonald's price target raised to $175 from $170 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst David Palmer raised his price target on McDonald's to $175 and kept his Outperform rating after the company's Q1 earnings beat. Palmer says McDonald's "credible" growth story is becoming more apparent as the company brings its refranchising and asset upgrade programs to completion while optimizing its cost structure and preparing for new initiatives. The analyst adds that although the Q1 comps were much higher than expected, the soft start in April is leading him to maintain his FY18 U.S. SSS view of 2.5% while raising his FY18 EPS view to $7.63 from $7.47.
05/01/18
BMOC
05/01/18
NO CHANGE
Target $195
BMOC
Outperform
McDonald's price target raised to $195 from $190 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik raised his price target on McDonald's to $195 after its Q1 earnings beat that was driven by high "comps, franchised margins, and refranchising gains". The analyst is also increasing his forecasts for FY18 and FY19 EBITDA and EPS on expectations of stronger comp trends and refranchising momentum, keeping his Outperform rating.
DRI Darden
$87.22

-0.08 (-0.09%)

04/02/18
RBCM
04/02/18
UPGRADE
Target $97
RBCM
Outperform
Darden upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst David Palmer upgraded Darden to Outperform from Sector Perform and raised his price target to $97 from $93. Palmer cites the company's performance in restaurant operations, with "world-class digital capabilities, marketing, consumer insights, and R&D" as well as its prudent labor investments and "promotion rationalization". The analyst is also positive on Darden's compelling valuation following the recent pullback in its stock price considering the company's outlook for mid-single-digit revenue growth. Looking ahead, Palmer also sees positive industry macros from tax refund tailwinds and rising wage growth.
04/20/18
04/20/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Twitter (TWTR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at MKM Partners with analyst Rob Sanderson telling investors that the service is "here to stay," citing its rebounding user growth and continued turnaround progress. 2. Macerich (MAC) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital and to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho. 3. Home Bancshares (HOMB) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill and to Outperform from Market Perform at Fig Partners. 4. UGI Corporation (UGI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS with analyst Shneur Gershuni saying the company offers above average earnings growth potential and strong financial metrics. 5. Darden (DRI) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
04/19/18
BERN
04/19/18
UPGRADE
BERN
Outperform
Darden upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein
04/02/18
04/02/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Tesla (TSLA) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies with analyst Philippe Houchois saying Tesla shares are down 32% from their September 2017 peak and he sees a "high probability" that management and the board, when releasing first quarter unit data this week, take "more drastic action" on guidance and funding to "restore credibility." 2. Allstate (ALL) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Keefe Bruyette with analyst Meyer Shields expecting strong first quarter results from the company. 3. Discovery (DISCA) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo with analyst Marci Ryvicker saying she believes the stock offers a "compelling" risk/reward profile at current share levels. 4. Darden (DRI) was upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital and to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James. 5. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Roth Capital with analyst David Bain saying he views regulatory and other risks as diminished, with Massachusetts likely remaining as the largest one still outstanding. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
CMG Chipotle
$444.68

18.12 (4.25%)

05/14/18
PIPR
05/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $530
PIPR
Overweight
Chipotle price target raised to $530 from $420 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan raised her price target on Chipotle Mexican Grill to $530 from $420 following domestic checks for April which suggest limited-service trends were fairly steady sequentially from a broadly better March. In a research note to investors, the analyst said channel checks for the chain suggest a positive low single digit comp in April was driven in part by its continued focus on execution as well as "buzz" from the appointment of a new CFO. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating on shares.
05/16/18
ARGS
05/16/18
UPGRADE
ARGS
Buy
Chipotle upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus
05/16/18
ARGS
05/16/18
UPGRADE
Target $540
ARGS
Buy
Chipotle upgraded to Buy at Argus on accelerating comps potential
As reported earlier, Argus analyst John Staszak upgraded Chipotle to Buy from Hold with a $540 price target, saying the current valuation does not adequately "reflect prospects for accelerating same-store sales and earnings growth as the company continues its multiyear recovery". The analyst anticipates the new CEO Brian Niccol to boost Chipotle's menu offerings and marketing while the company works through the food safety issues while also improving consumer experience with its online ordering and mobile payment initiatives. Staszak adds that the company's current valuation multiple of 40.9-times expected FY19 earnings is below its 10-year midpoint in the 16-76-times range, even as the growth potential for the stock warrants a multiple in the upper half of that range.
05/16/18
05/16/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Urban Outfitters (URBN) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at MKM Partners with analyst Roxanne Meyer citing her expectations of a sales and margin recovery in the second half, with fourth quarter commentary suggesting improving trends after the company's worse than expected performance in 2017. 2. AMD (AMD) upgraded to Neutral from Negative at Susquehanna with analyst Christopher Rolland saying Ethereum prices have doubled in the last month, driving a "modest" reacceleration in GPU purchases, while price hikes have "destroyed value proposition" of a rival Ethereum ASIC. 3. TripAdvisor (TRIP) upgraded two notches to Outperform from Underperform at Macquarie with analyst Matthew Brooks saying TripAdvisor raised their EBITDA forecast to up from flat, and now believes it could grow above 20% in 2018, with a margin rise for the first time since 2011. 4. KKR (KKR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi with analyst William Katz saying he believes the company's C-Corp conversion will increase relevance of the sector and raise the absolute upside for KKR. 5. Chipotle (CMG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst John Staszak saying the current valuation does not adequately "reflect prospects for accelerating same-store sales and earnings growth as the company continues its multiyear recovery." This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
YUM Yum! Brands
$83.56

0.24 (0.29%)

05/02/18
STFL
05/02/18
NO CHANGE
Target $94
STFL
Buy
Yum! Brands selling off despite solid report, says Stifel
Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull says that despite the post-earnings selloff, he would argue Yum! Brands posted solid Q1 results. He notes the company reaffirmed its 2018 EBIT guidance and continues to express comfort with 2019 targets. The analyst reiterates a Buy rating on the shares with a $94 price target. Yum! Brands in afternoon trading is down 6% to $81.58.
05/03/18
05/03/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Tableau (DATA) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at MUFG with analyst Stephen Bersey saying the company made "material progress" in its subscription transition during the first quarter, which depressed revenue and earnings in the quarter. 2. XO Group (XOXO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley FBR with analyst Sameet Sinha saying the company's "solid" Q1 results indicate an acceleration in revenue growth. 3. Square (SQ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel with analyst Scott Devitt saying he views last night's Q1 results as "impressive," highlighting the 31% gross payment volume growth versus last year. 4. Yum! Brands (YUM) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird. 5. 3M (MMM) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with analyst Deane Dray saying the 4-month decline in the stock price has taken its valuation to its historical relative PE support level. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
05/03/18
BARD
05/03/18
UPGRADE
BARD
Outperform
Yum! Brands upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird
04/26/18
OTRG
04/26/18
UPGRADE
OTRG
Positive
Yum! Brands upgraded to Positive from Mixed at OTR Global
OTR Global's read on Yum! Brands' KFC and Taco Bell in the U.S. improved to Positive from Mixed.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

09:20
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General news
The U.S. current account gap narrowed »

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HIL

Hill International

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09:19
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MUSA

Murphy USA

$82.81

0.78 (0.95%)

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Murphy USA management to meet with Stephens »

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SPX

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EXLS

ExlService

$65.57

0.56 (0.86%)

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ExlService management to meet with Barrington »

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RILY

B. Riley Financial

$22.05

0.4 (1.85%)

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B. Riley Financial subsidiary serves as placement agent in $96.9M capital raise »

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VET

Vermilion Energy

$32.10

0.73 (2.33%)

09:13
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HURN

Huron

$49.95

1.05 (2.15%)

09:12
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NFLX

Netflix

$367.85

17.61 (5.03%)

, SKYAY

Sky

$0.00

(0.00%)

09:12
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Hot Stocks
Netflix to be added to new Sky service bundle in November »

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Netflix

$367.85

17.61 (5.03%)

SKYAY

Sky

$0.00

(0.00%)

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  • 24

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DPZ

Domino's Pizza

$281.76

7.4 (2.70%)

09:11
09/19/18
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09:11
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09:11
Conference/Events
Domino's Pizza management to meet with Oppenheimer »

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  • 21

    Sep

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  • 05

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TGEN

Tecogen

$3.08

-0.09 (-2.84%)

09:10
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Tecogen adds new Florida service center »

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CPRT

Copart

$64.18

0.47 (0.74%)

09:10
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Earnings
Copart reports Q4 EPS 412c, consensus 48c »

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  • 19

    Sep

CBRL

Cracker Barrel

$143.77

-6.93 (-4.60%)

09:10
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  • 26

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ADRO

Aduro Biotech

$6.70

0.5 (8.06%)

09:08
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Aduro Biotech CMO Natalie Sacks to resign »

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  • 01

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LLNW

Limelight Networks

$5.10

0.08 (1.59%)

09:08
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Conference/Events
Limelight Networks to hold a conference call »

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  • 27

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MPSYF

Morphosys AG

$0.00

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09:07
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Morphosys AG has a conference call hosted by JPMorgan »

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EVI

EnviroStar

$42.25

0.05 (0.12%)

09:06
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EnviroStar to acquire laundry distribution and service business »

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XLRN

Acceleron

$54.03

2.03 (3.90%)

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Acceleron management to meet with UBS »

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ABBV

AbbVie

$92.60

-2.77 (-2.90%)

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FIT

Fitbit

$5.80

0.35 (6.42%)

, HUM

Humana

$335.84

1.93 (0.58%)

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Fitbit, Humana expand strategic partnership »

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Fitbit

$5.80

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HUM

Humana

$335.84

1.93 (0.58%)

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VIRT

Virtu Financial

$22.05

0.2 (0.92%)

09:04
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MGM

MGM Resorts

$27.59

0.17 (0.62%)

, MGP

MGM Growth

$30.03

-0.01 (-0.03%)

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MGM Resorts, MGM Growth sign agreement for Northfield,Ohio Hard Rock Rocksino »

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MGM

MGM Resorts

$27.59

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MGP

MGM Growth

$30.03

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DISCA

Discovery

$31.58

-0.43 (-1.34%)

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TLRY

Tilray

$154.99

34.79 (28.94%)

, MOC

Command Security

$1.90

0.08 (4.40%)

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Fly Intel: Pre-market Movers »

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TLRY

Tilray

$154.99

34.79 (28.94%)

MOC

Command Security

$1.90

0.08 (4.40%)

SPWR

SunPower

$7.55

0.97 (14.74%)

JNPR

Juniper

$28.60

0.6 (2.14%)

ARPO

Aerpio Pharmaceuticals

$3.77

0.155 (4.29%)

MGM

MGM Resorts

$27.59

0.17 (0.62%)

LYB

LyondellBasell

$102.16

-1.3 (-1.26%)

GTHX

G1 Therapeutics

$62.94

-3.41 (-5.14%)

RFP

Resolute Forest

$14.65

0.125 (0.86%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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