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ORCL

Oracle

$46.18

-0.36 (-0.77%)

, MSFT

Microsoft

$100.35

-0.53 (-0.53%)

13:23
06/19/18
06/19
13:23
06/19/18
13:23

On The Fly: What to watch for in Oracle's earnings report

Oracle (ORCL) is scheduled to report results of its fiscal fourth quarter after the market close on June 19, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. What to watch for: 1. Q EPS CONSENSUS HIGHER: On its third quarter conference call, Oracle guided for Q4 adjusted earnings per share of 92c-95c on revenue growth of 1%-3%. At the time, analysts expected the company to report Q4 EPS of 90c on revenue of $11.21B, but those figures have since changed to 94c and $11.19B, respectively. 2. PENTAGON CONTRACT: On April 13, Bloomberg reported that Oracle was leading a "loose coalition of technology companies" that included Microsoft (MSFT), IBM (IBM), HP Enterprise (HPE), and Dell in a campaign to prevent Amazon (AMZN) from being the sole-source provider on the U.S. Department of Defense's Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure contract, which could potentially be a $10B deal. A few days later, Bloomberg reported that Oracle co-CEO Safra Catz told U.S. president Donald Trump that the contract makes "no sense" as the Pentagon's plan is to find just one provider. On May 31, Bloomberg said that the Penatgon had delayed indefinitely its final request for proposals that will spell out requirements for the JEDI contract. 3. M&A: Oracle has been actively pursuing acquisitions over the past couple of months, starting with its agreement to acquire Grapeshot that was announced on April 24. Grapeshot is a provider of brand safety and pre-bid contextual solutions to over 5,000 of the world's leading marketers, according to Oracle. A week later, Oracle said it completed the acquisition of Vocado, which provides a student-centric, cloud-based financial aid solution for higher education institutions. In mid-May Oracle said it had signed an agreement to acquire DataScience.com, whose platform centralizes data science tools, projects and infrastructure in a fully-governed workspace. Financial terms were not disclosed for any of these transactions. 4. JPMORGAN DOWNGRADE: Last week, JPMorgan analyst Mark Murphy downgraded Oracle to Neutral from Overweight and cut his price target for the shares to $53 from $55. The analyst said that, while the shares have risen from the $30s into the high $40s over the last two years, the company's fundamental performance has remained inconsistent. In addition, Murphy noted that in his firm's recent survey of 154 chief investment officers, Oracle received the largest number of indications for planned spending contraction this year, materially more than the second-worst company. The analyst noted that the results of his firm's CIO surveys over the years "have been highly predictive."

ORCL

Oracle

$46.18

-0.36 (-0.77%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$100.35

-0.53 (-0.53%)

IBM

IBM

$143.49

-0.96 (-0.66%)

HPE

HP Enterprise

$15.78

-0.14 (-0.88%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,712.48

-11.58 (-0.67%)

  • 19

    Jun

  • 10

    Jul

ORCL Oracle
$46.18

-0.36 (-0.77%)

06/15/18
KEYB
06/15/18
NO CHANGE
KEYB
Sector Weight
Oracle should report 'in-line' cloud growth for Q4, says KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Monika Garg reiterated a Sector Weight rating on Oracle ahead of its June 19 earnings report, telling investors that she believes the company will post "in-line" Q4 cloud growth. While Oracle has "interesting" growth opportunities, she says the company's progress towards cloud is taking longer than expected, and as cloud peers have higher cloud growth from larger bases, additional pressure is placed on Oracle.
06/14/18
06/14/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Oracle (ORCL) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Mark Murphy saying the shares have risen from the $30s into the high $40s over the last two years, but the company's fundamental performance has remained inconsistent. 2. Kohl's (KSS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi with analyst Paul Lejuez citing valuation. 3. Toll Brothers (TOL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Zelman. 4. PGT, Inc. (PGTI) downgraded to Hold on valuation at Gabelli with analyst Alvaro Lacayo citing valuation. 5. XPO Logistics (XPO) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Ariel Rosa citing limited upside following the recent gain in shares. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
06/14/18
NOMU
06/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $60
NOMU
Buy
Oracle price target lowered to $60 from $64 at Nomura Instinet
Nomura Instinet analyst Christopher Eberle lowered his price target for Oracle to $60 ahead of the company's Q4 results on June 19. The analyst trimmed his estimates to account for currency and expectations for more modest revenue acceleration in fiscal 2019. He remains optimistic, however, on Oracle's transition and model growth reacceleration as the year progresses. Eberle keeps a Buy rating on the shares, which JPMorgan this morning downgraded to Neutral.
06/14/18
JPMS
06/14/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $53
JPMS
Neutral
JPMorgan downgrades Oracle after CIO survey shows spending contraction
JPMorgan analyst Mark Murphy downgraded Oracle (ORCL) to Neutral from Overweight and lowered his price target for the shares to $53 from $55. The stock closed yesterday down 18c to $48.27. The shares have risen from the $30s into the high $40s over the last two years, but the company's fundamental performance has remained inconsistent, Murphy tells investors in a research note. Further, the analyst notes that in his firm's recent survey of 154 chief investment officers, Oracle received the largest number of indications for planned spending contraction this year, materially more than the second-worst company. The CIOs indicate contraction in Oracle spending this year, placing the company alongside IBM (IBM), Checkpoint (CHKP), and CA (CA), Murphy contends. He notes the results of his firm's CIO surveys over the years "have been highly predictive."
MSFT Microsoft
$100.35

-0.53 (-0.53%)

06/13/18
UBSW
06/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $114
UBSW
Buy
Microsoft trading at discount to peers, says UBS
UBS analyst Jennifer Swanson Lowe believes Microsoft's current price undervalues both the emerging Cloud story and the durable on-premise legacy businesses. The analyst said Microsoft content is taking center stage as it acquired four game studios and formed a fifth. She also believes the strength of the Azure platform can be a differentiator for the company. Lowe reiterated her Buy rating and $114 price target on Microsoft shares.
06/06/18
ARGS
06/06/18
NO CHANGE
Target $116
ARGS
Buy
Microsoft price target raised to $116 from $107 at Argus
Argus analyst Joseph Bonner maintained a Buy rating on Focus List choice Microsoft and raised his price target by $9 to $116 following the company's plans to acquire GitHub for $7.5B in stock, the second-largest acquisition in Microsoft's history. In a research note to investors, Bonner says the purchase is the biggest sign yet of the monumental shift in Microsoft's strategy and orientation under Satya Nadella, its CEO, and that Nadella has sought to shift the company to an open-source ethos that dovetails with its Azure cloud services business rather than seeking to protect Windows software at any cost. Bonner maintained his FY18 EPS forecast of $3.84 and FY19 forecast of $3.92.
06/11/18
BERN
06/11/18
NO CHANGE
Target $123
BERN
Outperform
Microsoft kicks game up a notch, says Bernstein
Bernstein analyst Mark Moerdler notes that Microsoft is, "not surprisingly," increasing its investments in gaming by adding 5 new creative teams to Microsoft Studios, launching a brand-new gaming Studio - The Initiative, acquiring Playground Games, and announcing letters of intent to acquire Ninja Theory, Undead Labs and Compulsion Games. Microsoft is making numerous small acquisitions and launching significant new game development capability, he points out, adding that it is unlikely that Microsoft will make any large content creation acquisition after these announcements. The analyst reiterates an Outperform rating and $123 price target on the shares.
06/12/18
MSCO
06/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $130
MSCO
Overweight
Microsoft gaming model moving 'from Gillette to Netflix,' says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss said announcements from E3 and his meeting with Executive VP of Gaming at Microsoft (MSFT), Phil Spencer, supported his view that the company's gaming division is "moving from Gillette to Netflix," meaning that its model is being transformed from a "razor/razor blade model" built on the Xbox console base towards a subscription gaming service streaming from Azure to all types of devices. Adding five new development studios to buttress Microsoft's first-party content particularly supported this view, said Weiss, who keeps an Overweight rating and $130 price target on Microsoft shares.
IBM IBM
$143.49

-0.96 (-0.66%)

06/14/18
RBCM
06/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $180
RBCM
Outperform
IBM positioned for gross margin stabilization, says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Amit Daryanani kept his Outperform rating and $180 price target on IBM, saying that it has underperformed in 2018 on investor concerns around its gross margin trajectory and sustainability of revenue growth. The analyst contends however that IBM is positioned for more stable gross margins for the rest of the year and a potential stabilization, "if not growth", in revenues, citing an expected recovery in its Global Business Services segment and a sustained growth in Cognitive and Technology Services & Cloud Platforms. Daryanani believes that the risk-reward on IBM is "attractive".
06/15/18
MSCO
06/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $198
MSCO
Overweight
IBM positioned to take share in security market, says Morgan Stanley
After attending an IBM-hosted webcast on its Security capabilities, Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty stated in a note to investors that she believes the company's integrated portfolio strengthened by AI, cloud and collaboration capabilities positions IBM to take share in a market that represents a total opportunity of $120B. IBM is "uniquely capable" to deliver fully integrated security solutions that allow customers to consolidate vendors, connect solutions, run centralized analytics and automate responses, said Huberty, who keeps an Overweight rating and $198 price target on IBM shares.
05/31/18
MSCO
05/31/18
NO CHANGE
Target $198
MSCO
Overweight
Morgan Stanley says report on 'mass layoffs' in IBM's Watson Health 'misleading'
Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty said a report from The Register blog that implies "mass layoffs" in IBM's Watson Health unit are "misleading," stating that any such layoffs come after IBM reported $613M in restructuring with its April 17 earnings call and detailed about $100M of that was related to the Cognitive business division. The timing of the March restructuring charge aligns with fully integrating businesses such as Truven Health Analytics and Merge Healthcare into Watson Health, she added. As recently as its March investor day, IBM discussed aggressive hiring in strategic areas like oncology within Watson Health, suggesting any layoffs are gross reductions though its net headcount in Watson Health is likely still expanding, added Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and $198 price target on IBM shares.
HPE HP Enterprise
$15.78

-0.14 (-0.88%)

05/23/18
LOOP
05/23/18
NO CHANGE
Target $23
LOOP
Buy
HP Enterprise has multiple catalysts over the next 2-3 years, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Ananda Baruah kept his Buy rating and $23 price target on HP Enterprise (HPE) after its Q2 earnings, saying he continues to expect the company to approach $2.00 EPS by FY20. The analyst states that HP's Tier 1 cloud business with Microsoft (MSFT) is no longer declining, while all of its other businesses are flat or growing. Baruah also expects the company to pass on about 30c to the bottom line in FY19-FY20 related to the cost savings from its NEXT initiative.
05/21/18
LOOP
05/21/18
NO CHANGE
Target $23
LOOP
Buy
HP Enterprise has multiple catalysts for next 2-3 years, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Ananda Baruah kept his Buy rating and $23 price target on HP Enterprise (HPE), saying the company has multiple catalysts for the next 8-12 quarters while generating "incremental earnings" relative to its FY18 guidance. Baruah adds that the company's Tier 1 Cloud computing business with Microsoft (MSFT) is no longer on the decline, while all of its other segments are either flat or growing. The analyst states that these trends are not "well appreciated" by investors, and that the company could "handily" beat on earnings when it reports results tomorrow.
05/17/18
OTRG
05/17/18
UPGRADE
OTRG
Positive
HP Enterprise upgraded to Positive from Mixed at OTR Global
OTR Global upgraded HP Enterprises to Positive from Mixed following channel checks that indicate a Q2 improvement in business trends in servers and networking, combined with improving win rates and pipeline forecasts, and opportunities from new products.
05/08/18
BERN
05/08/18
NO CHANGE
BERN
Apple, HP Enterprise buybacks offer potential support for stocks, says Bernstein
Bernstein analyst A.M. Sacconaghi, Jr. notes that Apple (AAPL) and HP Enterprise (HPE) have announced large buyback programs with repatriated cash. The analyst sees two impacts from strong repurchases, namely a significant boost EPS to FY18 and FY19 EPS, and potential support for the stock. Overall, Sacconaghi is incrementally positive on Apple following earnings, and continue to see risk-reward on HP Enterprise as favorable.
AMZN Amazon.com
$1,712.48

-11.58 (-0.67%)

06/13/18
MSCO
06/13/18
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley says AT&T ruling may help narrow public/private media value gap
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne said the court approval of AT&T's (T) acquisition of Time Warner (TWX) without conditions recognized the reality of new competition in the form of content investments from players such as Netflix (NFLX), Google's (GOOGL) YouTube, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL) and Facebook (FB). This ruling sends a "clear message to other industry players" and market uncertainty on deal prospects could fall, which could mean that equity values will likely rise accordingly, Swinburne tells investors. He notes there remains a large gap, which may now narrow, between private market valuations and public multiples in many parts of media and cable, pointing to Discovery Inc. (DISCK) as an example illustrating that point.
06/11/18
BARD
06/11/18
NO CHANGE
Target $90
BARD
Outperform
Target price target raised to $90 from $85 at Baird
Baird analyst Peter Benedict raised his price target on Target (TGT) to $90 and kept his Outperfom rating, saying 2018 marks the year of "aggressive scaling" of same-day and next-day fulfillment option that rivals "any retailer in the market", including Amazon (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT). The analyst further contends that given the improving profitability trends, "Target remains a stock to own".
06/14/18
DADA
06/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $2100
DADA
Buy
Amazon.com price target raised to $2,100 from $1,900 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Tom Forte raised his price on Amazon.com to $2,100 and kept his Buy rating, citing his updated model projecting incremental revenue generated by the company's private-label and ad efforts relative to his prior forecasts. Forte says he is raising his sales growth projections by 1% for the forward years and still expects longer-term adjusted EBITDA margin to reach 20% vs. 11.1% in 2017.
06/15/18
MSCO
06/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $23
MSCO
Underweight
Etsy fee increase made from position of strength, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak said Etsy's (ETSY) planned fee increase is a "smart strategic move from a position of strength" that will bring it into closer alignment with third-party commission rates charged by eBay (EBAY), Amazon (AMZN) and JD.com (JD). While the higher fees will help Etsy invest to attract new buyers, increase marketing and enhance support, Nowak believes the stock's current valuation relative to growth is already pricing in execution and return on these investments, he tells investors. Nowak is reviewing his estimates for Etsy, but currently has an Underweight rating on the stock.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

EGAN

eGain

$13.18

-0.725 (-5.22%)

16:13
07/18/18
07/18
16:13
07/18/18
16:13
Initiation
eGain initiated  »

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CLX

Clorox

$129.46

-5.54 (-4.10%)

16:12
07/18/18
07/18
16:12
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16:12
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Clorox initiated  »

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  • 02

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AA

Alcoa

$47.85

-0.155 (-0.32%)

16:12
07/18/18
07/18
16:12
07/18/18
16:12
Hot Stocks
Alcoa cuts FY18 adjusted EBITDA view to $3B-$3.2B from $3.5B-$3.7B »

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  • 18

    Jul

TBK

Triumph Bancorp

$41.15

0.45 (1.11%)

16:12
07/18/18
07/18
16:12
07/18/18
16:12
Earnings
Triumph Bancorp reports Q2 adj. EPS 50c, consensus 50c »

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AXP

American Express

$102.98

1.84 (1.82%)

16:12
07/18/18
07/18
16:12
07/18/18
16:12
Hot Stocks
American Express says resuming buybacks this quarter »

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  • 18

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  • 08

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ON

ON Semiconductor

$24.24

0.34 (1.42%)

16:12
07/18/18
07/18
16:12
07/18/18
16:12
Initiation
ON Semiconductor initiated  »

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  • 30

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  • 07

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BMCH

BMC Stock Holdings

$21.70

0.1 (0.46%)

16:11
07/18/18
07/18
16:11
07/18/18
16:11
Initiation
BMC Stock Holdings initiated  »

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  • 30

    Jul

AA

Alcoa

$47.94

-0.065 (-0.14%)

16:10
07/18/18
07/18
16:10
07/18/18
16:10
Earnings
Alcoa reports Q2 EPS ex-items $1.52, consensus $1.34 »

Reports Q2 revenue $3.6B,…

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  • 18

    Jul

AXP

American Express

$102.96

1.82 (1.80%)

16:10
07/18/18
07/18
16:10
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16:10
Hot Stocks
American Express reaffirms FY18 EPS view at high-end of $6.90-$7.30 view »

FY18 EPS consensus $7.24.…

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

KMI

Kinder Morgan

$17.77

0.075 (0.42%)

16:09
07/18/18
07/18
16:09
07/18/18
16:09
Earnings
Kinder Morgan backs FY18 adjusted EBITDA view of roughly $7.5B »

For 2018, KMI's…

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  • 18

    Jul

FBNK

First Connecticut

$30.95

(0.00%)

16:09
07/18/18
07/18
16:09
07/18/18
16:09
Earnings
First Connecticut reports Q2 EPS 42c, consensus 40c »

Net interest income…

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AXP

American Express

$102.93

1.79 (1.77%)

16:08
07/18/18
07/18
16:08
07/18/18
16:08
Earnings
American Express reports Q2 EPS $1.84, consensus $1.82 »

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

KMI

Kinder Morgan

$17.80

0.11 (0.62%)

16:08
07/18/18
07/18
16:08
07/18/18
16:08
Earnings
Kinder Morgan reports Q2 adjusted EPS 21c, consensus 19c »

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  • 18

    Jul

GBNK

Guaranty Bancorp

$30.70

0.25 (0.82%)

16:08
07/18/18
07/18
16:08
07/18/18
16:08
Earnings
Breaking Earnings news story on Guaranty Bancorp »

Guaranty Bancorp reports…

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PTC

PTC

$98.27

-0.64 (-0.65%)

16:08
07/18/18
07/18
16:08
07/18/18
16:08
Hot Stocks
PTC advances transition to subscription business model »

PTC announced a milestone…

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  • 18

    Jul

GBX

Greenbrier

$55.10

0.25 (0.46%)

16:08
07/18/18
07/18
16:08
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16:08
Initiation
Greenbrier initiated  »

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UFPI

Universal Forest

$38.35

-0.205 (-0.53%)

16:07
07/18/18
07/18
16:07
07/18/18
16:07
Earnings
Universal Forest reports Q2 EPS 71c, consensus 73c »

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SLG

SL Green Realty

$100.51

0.29 (0.29%)

16:07
07/18/18
07/18
16:07
07/18/18
16:07
Earnings
SL Green Realty reports Q2 FFO $1.69, consensus $1.68 »

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  • 19

    Jul

ICFI

ICF International

$72.50

-0.5 (-0.68%)

16:07
07/18/18
07/18
16:07
07/18/18
16:07
Hot Stocks
ICF International awarded infrastructure contract by LA County Public Works »

ICF has been selected by…

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  • 02

    Aug

TCBI

Texas Capital

$94.00

2.2 (2.40%)

16:06
07/18/18
07/18
16:06
07/18/18
16:06
Earnings
Texas Capital reports Q2 EPS $1.38, consensus $1.39 »

Net interest income was…

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  • 18

    Jul

IBM

IBM

$144.32

0.86 (0.60%)

16:06
07/18/18
07/18
16:06
07/18/18
16:06
Earnings
IBM reports Q2 cognitive solutions revenue $4.6B, flat y/y »

Reports Q2 global…

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 06

    Aug

IBM

IBM

$144.32

0.86 (0.60%)

16:05
07/18/18
07/18
16:05
07/18/18
16:05
Hot Stocks
IBM says strategic imperatives revenue was $39B over last 12 months »

Strategic imperatives…

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 06

    Aug

PTC

PTC

$98.13

-0.78 (-0.79%)

16:05
07/18/18
07/18
16:05
07/18/18
16:05
Earnings
PTC sees FY18 EPS $1.41-$1.46, consensus $1.39 »

Sees FY18 revenue…

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  • 18

    Jul

DWCH

Datawatch

$11.30

-0.3 (-2.59%)

16:04
07/18/18
07/18
16:04
07/18/18
16:04
Earnings
Datawatch reports Q3 EPS 7c, consensus (5c) »

Reports Q3 revenue…

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 15

    Aug

  • 16

    Aug

PFBC

Preferred Bank

$63.93

0.18 (0.28%)

16:04
07/18/18
07/18
16:04
07/18/18
16:04
Earnings
Preferred Bank reports Q2 EPS $1.14, consensus $1.09 »

Q2 net interest margin…

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  • 19

    Jul

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