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11:55
06/20/18
06/20
11:55
06/20/18
11:55

Treasury Action: the 7s-10s spread is modestly wider at 4.1 bps

Treasury Action: the 7s-10s spread is modestly wider at 4.1 bps as the long end of the curve underperforms. But, next week's supply, along with month- and quarter-end next week could see the curve invert. The spread dropped to 2.9 bps last week, which was the smallest going back to 2009 when the 7-year maturity was reintroduced on the Treasury's financing schedule. The year's wide is 10 bps. Meanwhile, the Treasury will auction 2-, 5-, and 7-year notes next week, and any auction set up, and/or tepid demand could see yields rise. Additionally, it's month- and quarter-end next week and that augers for some demand for duration. Barclays estimates its July 1 Treasury index extends out 0.06 years, fractionally below the 0.07 year versus July 2017, but is in line with the 10-year average. There's concern that this spread will be the harbinger of further tightening and eventual inversion in the 2s-10s and/or 5s-30s spreads, which are currently trading in the 34 bp and 26 bp regions, respectively. The FOMC has clearly noted the narrowing curve trends, but most have cautioned against reading too much into a possible inversion, which last time it occurred presaged the financial crisis and the Great Recession.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line

$50.01

2.43 (5.11%)

15:40
07/18/18
07/18
15:40
07/18/18
15:40
Options
Norwegian Cruise Lines options volume is 27X daily average as shares rally »

Norwegian Cruise Lines…

03/08/13
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KMI

Kinder Morgan

$17.77

0.08 (0.45%)

15:34
07/18/18
07/18
15:34
07/18/18
15:34
Options
Kinder Morgan options imply 4.4% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 18

    Jul

MDR

McDermott

$17.99

-0.05 (-0.28%)

15:30
07/18/18
07/18
15:30
07/18/18
15:30
Options
McDermott option volume is 6X daily average and puts lead calls 30:1 »

McDermott option volume…

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  • 31

    Jul

OMC

Omnicom

$70.32

-0.37 (-0.52%)

15:20
07/18/18
07/18
15:20
07/18/18
15:20
Options
Heavy Omnicom option volume likely adjusts open positions »

Heavy Omnicom option…

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  • 09

    Aug

AXP

American Express

$102.70

1.56 (1.54%)

15:19
07/18/18
07/18
15:19
07/18/18
15:19
Options
American Express options imply 5.3% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

BPL

Buckeye Partners

$33.37

-1.58 (-4.52%)

15:17
07/18/18
07/18
15:17
07/18/18
15:17
Hot Stocks
Moody's changes Buckeye Partners' outlook to negative from stable »

Moody's Investors…

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  • 03

    Aug

$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

15:17
07/18/18
07/18
15:17
07/18/18
15:17
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ market internals summary »

Volume is average for…

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

15:16
07/18/18
07/18
15:16
07/18/18
15:16
Technical Analysis
NYSE market internals summary »

Volume is below average…

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PZZA

Papa John's

$50.98

-0.56 (-1.09%)

, WEN

Wendy's

$17.53

0.105 (0.60%)

15:13
07/18/18
07/18
15:13
07/18/18
15:13
Periodicals
Papa John's founder held merger discussions with Wendy's, WSJ reports »

Papa John's…

PZZA

Papa John's

$50.98

-0.56 (-1.09%)

WEN

Wendy's

$17.53

0.105 (0.60%)

03/08/13
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  • 18

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

  • 15

    Aug

CCK

Crown Holdings

$45.16

-0.22 (-0.48%)

15:10
07/18/18
07/18
15:10
07/18/18
15:10
Options
Third day of call buying in Crown Holdings ahead of earnings »

Third day of call buying…

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  • 19

    Jul

BIIB

Biogen

$356.40

1.46 (0.41%)

15:06
07/18/18
07/18
15:06
07/18/18
15:06
Periodicals
Biogen presented as best idea by Alex Denner, CNBC says »

Alex Denner of Sarissa…

03/08/13
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  • 24

    Jul

  • 30

    Jul

  • 31

    Jul

PZZA

Papa John's

$51.02

-0.52 (-1.01%)

, WEN

Wendy's

$17.52

0.1 (0.57%)

15:05
07/18/18
07/18
15:05
07/18/18
15:05
Periodicals
Breaking Periodicals news story on Papa John's, Wendy's »

Papa John's founder…

PZZA

Papa John's

$51.02

-0.52 (-1.01%)

WEN

Wendy's

$17.52

0.1 (0.57%)

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 18

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

  • 15

    Aug

IBM

IBM

$144.11

0.65 (0.45%)

, GRPN

Groupon

$4.70

0.07 (1.51%)

15:04
07/18/18
07/18
15:04
07/18/18
15:04
Earnings
On The Fly: What to watch for in IBM's earnings report »

IBM (IBM) is scheduled to…

IBM

IBM

$144.11

0.65 (0.45%)

GRPN

Groupon

$4.70

0.07 (1.51%)

03/08/13
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  • 18

    Jul

  • 06

    Aug

EBAY

eBay

$38.08

0.26 (0.69%)

15:04
07/18/18
07/18
15:04
07/18/18
15:04
Options
EBay options imply 10.0% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 18

    Jul

15:00
07/18/18
07/18
15:00
07/18/18
15:00
General news
Treasury Closing Summary: »

Treasury Closing Summary:…

ABUS

Arbutus Biopharma

$11.30

-0.05 (-0.44%)

14:58
07/18/18
07/18
14:58
07/18/18
14:58
Conference/Events
Arbutus Biopharma management to meet with Jefferies »

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 19

    Jul

MSEX

Middlesex Water

$44.59

-0.04 (-0.09%)

14:56
07/18/18
07/18
14:56
07/18/18
14:56
Hot Stocks
Middlesex Water unit awarded City of Perth Amboy contract »

Utility Service…

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PSXP

Phillips 66 Partners

$51.48

1.51 (3.02%)

14:53
07/18/18
07/18
14:53
07/18/18
14:53
Hot Stocks
Phillips 66 Partners announces 5.3% increase in quarterly distribution »

Phillips 66 Partners…

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  • 27

    Jul

TTWO

Take-Two

$126.13

-0.6 (-0.47%)

14:50
07/18/18
07/18
14:50
07/18/18
14:50
Periodicals
Greenberg presents Take-Two as best idea at 'Delivering Alpha' »

Samantha Greenberg,…

03/08/13
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  • 02

    Aug

  • 06

    Sep

GOGO

Gogo

$3.96

0.2 (5.32%)

14:50
07/18/18
07/18
14:50
07/18/18
14:50
Options
Rebound in shares of GOGO Wireless draws opening put seller »

Rebound in shares of GOGO…

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IBM

IBM

$143.99

0.53 (0.37%)

14:49
07/18/18
07/18
14:49
07/18/18
14:49
Options
IBM options imply 6.6% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 06

    Aug

OMED

OncoMed

$2.40

0.04 (1.69%)

14:48
07/18/18
07/18
14:48
07/18/18
14:48
Conference/Events
OncoMed management to meet with Jefferies »

Meetings to be held in…

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  • 18

    Jul

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,200.98

2.17 (0.18%)

, GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,217.97

4.32 (0.36%)

14:42
07/18/18
07/18
14:42
07/18/18
14:42
Periodicals
FTC chairman to look 'closely' at EU's move to fine Google, Reuters says »

U.S. Federal Trade…

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,200.98

2.17 (0.18%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,217.97

4.32 (0.36%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
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03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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  • 23

    Jul

  • 23

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

  • 18

    Sep

  • 28

    Oct

PHM

PulteGroup

$30.91

-0.02 (-0.06%)

, DHI

D.R. Horton

$43.21

-0.02 (-0.05%)

14:42
07/18/18
07/18
14:42
07/18/18
14:42
Hot Stocks
Homebuilders fall as housing starts crevice to nine-month low »

Shares of U.S. home…

PHM

PulteGroup

$30.91

-0.02 (-0.06%)

DHI

D.R. Horton

$43.21

-0.02 (-0.05%)

LEN

Lennar

$54.96

-0.59 (-1.06%)

KBH

KB Home

$27.02

-0.46 (-1.67%)

MTH

Meritage Homes

$46.05

-0.9 (-1.92%)

BZH

Beazer Homes

$15.51

-0.13 (-0.83%)

TOL

Toll Brothers

$37.73

-0.31 (-0.81%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
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03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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  • 26

    Jul

  • 26

    Jul

  • 26

    Jul

  • 26

    Jul

ADTN

Adtran

$16.05

(0.00%)

, CTL

CenturyLink

$19.54

-0.085 (-0.43%)

14:34
07/18/18
07/18
14:34
07/18/18
14:34
Downgrade
Adtran, CenturyLink rating change  »

Adtran downgraded to…

ADTN

Adtran

$16.05

(0.00%)

CTL

CenturyLink

$19.54

-0.085 (-0.43%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 18

    Jul

  • 08

    Aug

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