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SPOT

Spotify

$186.34

-1.52 (-0.81%)

, AAPL

Apple

$192.96

(0.00%)

11:34
07/25/18
07/25
11:34
07/25/18
11:34

Street Fight: Pivotal cuts Spotify rating after BTIG says buy

Spotify (SPOT) is slipping after Pivotal Research analyst Jeffrey Wlodarczak downgraded the stock to Hold, citing valuation and the potential for weaker than expected Monthly Active User trends. This comes a day after BTIG analyst Rich Greenfield initiated coverage of the stock with a Buy rating, saying he believes Spotify will be a "long-term winner" in the subscription music category that remains in its infancy. MOVING TO THE SIDELINES: In a research note to investors this morning, Pivotal Research's Wlodarczak downgraded Spotify to Hold from Buy, with an unchanged price target of $200, citing valuation and to a lesser extent what he increasingly views as too aggressive consensus 2018 premium MAU growth expectations. The analyst also tweaked his second quarter premium subscriber MAU lower from 6M to 5.5M, versus 7M consensus. The decision to reduce subscriber forecasts was primarily based on what Wlodarczak views as "credible weakening global Google Spotify search trends data," he said. Overall, the analyst pointed out that while he believes the stock's current valuation is "fair" it does not leave a lot of room for "hiccups." More bearish on Spotify, Loop Capital analyst Alan Gould initiated coverage of the stock with a Sell rating and $120 target back in May, saying the company's comparison to Netflix (NFLX) based on its status as a streaming music leader is not justified. Gould said that Spotify does not have a similar competitive lead as Netflix does, and noted that the "music oligopoly will make it difficult for music streaming to achieve the same margin as video". BTIG SAYS BUY SPOTIFY: Yesterday, BTIG's Greenfield started Spotify with a Buy rating and a $230 price target, as awaiting a better entry on the stock price "has not worked." The analyst argued that the company's platform is "simply too powerful" to wait any longer to embrace Spotify. Greenfield contended that the company will be a "long-term winner" in the subscription music category that remains in its infancy and will "grow significantly for years to come". He attributes Spotify's advantages to the "magic six" features of its platform, namely the ubiquity of its platform across mobile OS, its global reach relative to Pandora's (P) U.S.-only presence, easy access of Spotify app from the mobile home screen, high engagement, favorable credit card billing relationships with its 57M account holders, and customer loyalty. Also bullish on the stock, Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne told investors in a research note of his own that Android's global lead over iOS suggests the threat to Spotify, the global leader in music streaming, from Apple Music (AAPL) is "manageable." The analyst reiterated an Overweight rating and $190 price target on Spotify, though he sees a "bull case" for the stock reaching $300 per share. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, shares of Spotify have dropped about 1% to $186.34.

SPOT

Spotify

$186.34

-1.52 (-0.81%)

AAPL

Apple

$192.96

(0.00%)

NFLX

Netflix

$356.80

-0.47 (-0.13%)

P

Pandora

$8.19

0.11 (1.36%)

  • 26

    Jul

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    Jul

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    Aug

SPOT Spotify
$186.34

-1.52 (-0.81%)

07/25/18
07/25/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. VERTICAL GROUP RAISES SNAP RATING: Vertical Group analyst Phil Leggiere upgraded Snap (SNAP) to Mixed from Negative citing expectations for strong second half 2018 spending. Snap is higher by over 1% in late morning trading. PIVOTAL CUTS SPOTIFY TO HOLD: Pivotal Research analyst Jeffrey Wlodarczak downgraded Spotify (SPOT) to Hold from Buy with an unchanged price target of $200. The analyst cited valuation for the downgrade, given the "material rise" in the shares since his initiation report on May 29. Further, he increasingly views consensus 2018 premium monthly active user growth expectations as too aggressive. He lowered his Q2 premium subscriber MAU estimate from 6M to 5.5M, versus the consensus at 7M. Spotify's current valuation is fair and does not leave a lot of room for "operational/market hiccups," Wlodarczak told investors. DEUTSCHE SEES AMERITRADE/E-TRADE MERGER MAKING SENSE: Deutsche Bank analyst Brian Bedell continues to see a merger between TD Ameritrade (AMTD) and E-Trade (ETFC) as making strategic and financial sense. With TD Ameritrade's integration of recently acquired Scottrade progressing better than expectations, a merger scenario with E-Trade is "becoming more compelling," Bedell told investors. He updated his merger scenario model, raising his hypothetical merger scenario value of E-Trade from TD Ameritrade's perspective to $77 from $72, nearly a 30% premium to the current share price. Bedell raised his price target for TD Ameritrade to $77 from $72 and for E-Trade to $72 from $70. He kept Buy ratings on both stocks. GORDON HASKETT UPGRADES TARGET, DOWNGRADES WALMART: Gordon Haskett analyst Chuck Grom upgraded Target (TGT) to Accumulate from Hold and raised his price target on shares to $86 from 74 to reflect the recent acceleration in traffic. Grom said geolocation data and proprietary card data support his Q2 4.5% comp growth estimate. Grom also downgraded Walmart (WMT) to Hold from Accumulate and lowered its price target to $92 from $98. Grom thinks there are few near-term catalysts on the horizon and said the margin outlook is not as transparent following a period of improvement and stabilization. He expects Walmart shares to be range bound for the balance of the year.
07/25/18
07/25/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Spotify (SPOT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Pivotal Research with analyst Jeffrey Wlodarczak citing valuation. 2. Eli Lilly (LLY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg with analyst Laura Sutcliffe saying the company reported "very good" Q2 results and its sales growth is built on the "solid proposition" of Trulicity, but the company is in the process of re-stocking its late-stage pipeline both internally and via deals. 3. Walmart (WMT) downgraded to Hold from Accumulate at Gordon Haskett with analyst Chuck Grom saying he thinks there are few near-term catalysts on the horizon and the margin outlook is not as transparent following a period of improvement and stabilization, and expects shares to be range bound for the balance of the year. 4. Hormel Foods (HRL) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Mizuho with analyst Jeremy Scott saying "volatile and retreating" pork margins bring rising risks to Hormel's earnings. 5. BJ's Wholesale (BJ) downgraded to Accumulate from Buy at Gordon Haskett with analyst Chuck Grom citing share strength following the IPO. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
07/25/18
MSCO
07/25/18
NO CHANGE
Target $190
MSCO
Overweight
Apple Music threat to Spotify 'manageable,' says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne notes that streaming adoption is accelerating and he believes rising smartphone penetration, increased wireless network capacity, smart speaker adoption and connected cars can support a market with multiple "winners." Additionally, Android's global lead over iOS suggests the threat to Spotify (SPOT), the global leader in music streaming, from Apple Music (AAPL) is "manageable," Swinburne tells investors. He maintains an Overweight rating and $190 price target on Spotify shares, though he sees a "bull case" for the stock reaching $300 per share.
07/25/18
DBAB
07/25/18
NO CHANGE
Target $170
DBAB
Hold
Spotify price target raised to $170 from $155 at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Lloyd Walmsley raised his price target for Spotify to $170 ahead of the company's Q2 results and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The analyst expects "solid" near-term results from Spotify as the company benefits from some new country launches and enhancements to its free trial. He also sees the company's gross margins continuing to benefit from improvement in ad monetization and the benefit from the latest major label deals.
AAPL Apple
$192.96

(0.00%)

07/24/18
ARGS
07/24/18
NO CHANGE
Target $225
ARGS
Buy
Apple to post 'modest' Q2 earnings beat, says Argus
Argus analyst Jim Kelleher kept his Buy rating and $225 price target on Apple ahead of its Q3 results, saying the company is is likely to post "solid" sales and profit growth with a "modest" beat relative to consensus expectations. Kelleher anticipates a single-digit growth rate in iPhone unit sales but "double digit" iPhone revenue growth, driven by higher average selling prices. The analyst also forecasts a "strong" mid- to high-teens growth in the high-margin services business, which is Apple's second-largest category by revenue.
07/24/18
07/24/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. MOSAIC DOUBLE UPGRADED: BofA Merrill Lynch double upgraded Mosaic (MOS) to Buy from Underperform and raised its price target to $35 from $24. Analyst Steve Byrne said he believes 2018 will mark a bottom in global phosphate utilization rates and now believes there is more upside risk to consensus estimates as the cycle improves. Mosiac was higher by 3.5% approaching midday. BTIG SAYS BUY LIVE NATION: BTIG analyst Brandon Ross upgraded Live Nation (LYV) to Buy from Neutral with a $60 price target, saying he is now more convinced that the company will outperform expectations amid inflecting growth with an added possibility of M&A. Despite the tough comparisons, Ross notes that Live Nation should "handily" top operating income consensus in FY18 and going forward, having built an "insurmountable" competitive float in U.S. markets, and that its mid-teens EBITDA growth is "the new normal". WHIRLPOOL CUT AFTER EARNINGS: Longbow analyst David MacGregor downgraded Whirlpool (WHR) to Neutral from Buy after the company reported Q2 earnings that missed the firm's "Street low" estimate of $3.55, calling its quarter "disappointing across most dimensions of the business." Expectations for a recovery in the EMEA region are being pushed out to beyond 2020, noted MacGregor, who is waiting for after the company's earnings call to reassess his view of its earnings prospects. MIZUHO CALLS EOG 'THE APPLE OF OIL': Mizuho analyst Paul Sankey started EOG Resources (EOG) with a Buy rating and $173 price target, calling EOG -- his top pick in the group -- the Apple (AAPL) of oil. EOG has been a pioneer in unconventional oil development in the U.S. and its technology-driven, innovation-focused approach will continue to drive peer-leading rates of return and oil growth, the analyst contended. EOG was up 2.6% near midday. SUSQUEHANNA RAISES ALPHABET TARGET TO $1,500: After Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Q2 earnings report on Monday night, many analyst firms raised their price targets on the name. The highest of those targets was from Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil, who raised his price target on Alphabet to $1,500 from $1,250. The analyst cited the "impressive" sites revenue growth acceleration, which he sees as evidence that the secular momentum for the ads business remains in place. Patil reiterated his Positive rating on Alphabet shares. Class A shares of Google's parent were up over 4% to $1,260.80 at time of writing.
07/25/18
OTRG
07/25/18
NO CHANGE
OTRG
Cirrus Logic, Knowles benefiting from design wins in AirPods, says OTR Global
OTR Global's Asian supply chain checks indicate Cirrus (CRUS) and Knowles (KN) are benefiting from design wins in Apple's (AAPL) second generation AirPods, which should have a significant increase in shipment volumes versus the current model.
NFLX Netflix
$356.80

-0.47 (-0.13%)

07/19/18
LOOP
07/19/18
NO CHANGE
Target $365
LOOP
Hold
Netflix streaming liabilities to become more costly, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Alan Gould kept his Hold rating and $365 price target on Netflix after its Q2 results, noting that the increase in content in development costs has resulted in the "bulk of the negative free cash flows for the quarter". Gould adds that the increase in streaming liabilities will switch its contribution to "use of cash" from "source of cash", as the costs associated with content from outside parties "will remain in the $13-14 billion range over the next few years, which implies the payment of past liabilities should become greater than the buildup of new liabilities."
07/17/18
BTIG
07/17/18
NO CHANGE
Target $420
BTIG
Buy
Netflix price target raised to $420 from $330 at BTIG
BTIG analyst Rich Greenfield, in a note to investors partially titled "Deja Vu All Over Again...Again," noted that Netflix reported disappointing subscriber growth relative to guidance two years ago, in Q2 2016, and then subsequently significantly outperformed Q3 2016 guidance and consensus. While the latest subscriber miss is "certainly disappointing," Greenfield believes that Netflix's tailwinds are gaining strength and he has increased confidence in its future subscriber and earnings growth, he tells investors. He has raised his estimates for 2018 and two following years, leading him to increase his price target on the stock to $420 from $330. Greenfield keeps a Buy rating on Netflix shares.
07/17/18
07/17/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. ANALYSTS SPLIT ON NETFLIX AFTER EARNINGS: Despite continuing to like Netflix's story, Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft downgraded Netflix (NFLX) to Hold from Buy as he believes that the "slowdown in growth" requires a "reevaluation of value." Meanwhile, both BMO Capital and Stifel upgraded the stock to Buy-equivalent ratings as they see the post-earnings weakness in the shares as a buying opportunity. BMO analyst Daniel Salmon raised Netflix to Outperform, with a $400 price target, saying the decline in the stock price following quarterly results offers investors an attractive level to build positions. Stifel also upgraded Netflix to Buy from Hold, with a $406 price target. Analyst Scott Devitt cited the potential for near-term subscription add expectations to reset, a strong second half of the year content slate, and a domestic and international runway, which supports a doubling of the company's subscriber base in the next five to ten years. STEPHENS SEES OPPORTUNITY IN TRIBUNE SELLOFF: Stephens analyst Kyle Evans upgraded Tribune Media (TRCO) to Overweight from Equal Weight while lowering his price target for the shares to $41 from $45. Statements from the FCC and reports by Reuters on Monday created investor concern around whether Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI) will be able to close its proposed acquisition of Tribune, Evans told investors. The analyst said he believes the FCC will allow Sinclair to remedy its concerns about proposed divestiture buyers and that Sinclair will comply with all requirements in an effort to close the deal. He believes a combination of the two companies "remains the best possible outcome for both parties." GOLDMAN SACHS DOWNGRADES MACHINERY MAKERS: Goldman Sachs analyst Jerry Revich downgraded Manitowoc (MTW) to Sell from Neutral and lowered his price target to $22 from $30 as part of his broader note on the machinery cycle. The analyst also downgraded Generac (GNRC) to Sell from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $45 and removed Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE) from the firm's Conviction Buy lists. GOLDMAN ALSO DOWNGRADES GOODYEAR: Goldman Sachs analyst David Tamberrino downgraded Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) to Sell from Neutral and lowered his price target for the shares to $18 from $25. The analyst said he sees the "tough backdrop" for the company continuing amid raw material price increases. Further, Goodyear's pricing power "remains elusive," Tamberrino told investors in a research note.
07/23/18
NEED
07/23/18
NO CHANGE
Target $60
NEED
Buy
Roku price target raised to $60 from $50 at Needham
Needham analyst Laura Martin raised her price target on Roku (ROKU) to $60 and kept her Buy rating, citing the upside earnings potential from the company's "strong U.S. viewing trends" toward the Over-The-Top viewing generally and "connected TVs specifically". The analyst also notes the rapid adoption of connected TVs for streaming view viewing in and out of home, adding that the company's Rock Channel addresses its total addressable market and potentially doubles the ad revenue per hour streamed. Martin further states that valuation for Roku is "inexpensive" relative to Netflix (NFLX) and expects the company to be "sold before it triples again".
P Pandora
$8.19

0.11 (1.36%)

07/10/18
NOMU
07/10/18
INITIATION
Target $8
NOMU
Neutral
Pandora initiated with a Neutral at Nomura Instinet
Nomura initiated Pandora with a Neutral and $8 price target.
07/10/18
NOMU
07/10/18
INITIATION
NOMU
Nomura Instinet initiates coverage on Americas Internet
Nomura Instinet initiated coverage on nine names within the Americas Internet sector. The firm believes, overall, that there is "still some room for growth in digital advertising for the foreseeable future" and believes it will be led primarily by digital video and social, and primarily on mobile devices. The firm added that, as a result of slowing user growth and already high internet penetration, the growth will likely be led by pricing, rather than volume, and the consistent shift away from offline to online media. Nomura Instinet forecast the global digital advertising market "will grow at a 15% five-year CAGR through 2020 as digital ads work toward constituting half of total advertising spend," which the firm expects to occur in 2020. Nomura Instinet initiated Alphabet Class A (GOOGL), Facebook (FB), and Spotify (SPOT) with Buy ratings, and added that Alphabet and Facebook were the best positioned in this newly regulated industry. It initiated Netflix (NFLX), Snap (SNAP), Trade Desk (TTD), Criteo (CRTO), and Pandora (P) with Neutral ratings. It initiated Twitter (TWTR) with a Reduce rating, saying that while it is a "stable long-term asset that has something for everyone," the firm believes the market is pricing in "a significant advertising reacceleration that implies a shift in ad spend," while the firm expects "stability instead of a reacceleration of growth."
07/23/18
BTIG
07/23/18
INITIATION
Target $230
BTIG
Buy
Spotify initiated with a Buy at BTIG
BTIG analyst Rich Greenfield initiated Spotify (SPOT) with a Buy rating and a price target of $230, saying that awaiting a better entry on the stock price "has not worked". The analyst contends that the company will be a "long-term winner" in the subscription music category that remains in its infancy and will "grow significantly for years to come". Greenfield attributes Spotify's advantages to the "magic six" features of its platform, namely the ubiquity of its platform across mobile OS, its global reach relative to Pandora's (P) U.S.-only presence, easy access of Spotify app from the mobile homescreen, high engagement of 44% monthly active users reporting daily use, favorable credit card billing relationships with its 57M account holders, and customer loyalty.
07/03/18
MSCO
07/03/18
NO CHANGE
Target $8
MSCO
Equal Weight
Despite good steps, too early to declare victory at Pandora, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne said Pandora management is taking clear steps in the right direction and pushing out much of its 2020 debt maturity has helped reduce downside risk, but he thinks it is still too early to declare victory. The analyst, who thinks the path to ad revenue growth and sustained free cash flow is still unclear, raised his price target on Pandora shares to $8 from $6 but keeps an Equal Weight rating on the stock.

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KKR

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12:25
07/18/19
07/18
12:25
07/18/19
12:25
Conference/Events
William Blair enterprise & cloud infrastructure analyst to hold a group luncheon »

Enterprise & Cloud…

BA

Boeing

$363.39

-6.06 (-1.64%)

12:24
07/18/19
07/18
12:24
07/18/19
12:24
Periodicals
Some Boeing planes may be prone to cell phone interference, Bloomberg says »

According to a story from…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 24

    Jul

MBUU

Malibu Boats

$35.98

-0.7 (-1.91%)

12:23
07/18/19
07/18
12:23
07/18/19
12:23
Hot Stocks
Malibu Boats licenses wakesurfing patent portfolio to Sanger Boats »

Malibu Boats announced…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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SBPH

Spring Bank Pharmaceuticals

$5.59

0.48 (9.39%)

, ARWR

Arrowhead

$29.53

0.99 (3.47%)

12:22
07/18/19
07/18
12:22
07/18/19
12:22
Recommendations
Spring Bank Pharmaceuticals, Arrowhead, Johnson & Johnson, Gilead analyst commentary at Piper Jaffray »

Spring Bank research…

SBPH

Spring Bank Pharmaceuticals

$5.59

0.48 (9.39%)

ARWR

Arrowhead

$29.53

0.99 (3.47%)

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

$131.79

-0.03 (-0.02%)

GILD

Gilead

$66.86

-0.05 (-0.07%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 22

    Jul

  • 30

    Jul

  • 07

    Aug

  • 09

    Sep

  • 16

    Sep

  • 15

    Oct

AKZOY

AkzoNobel

$0.00

(0.00%)

, PPG

PPG

$116.71

0.105 (0.09%)

12:19
07/18/19
07/18
12:19
07/18/19
12:19
Periodicals
Axalta has drawn interest from suitors, wants deal by fall, Bloomberg reports »

Axalta Coating Systems…

AKZOY

AkzoNobel

$0.00

(0.00%)

PPG

PPG

$116.71

0.105 (0.09%)

AXTA

Axalta Coating

$30.40

0.18 (0.60%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 18

    Jul

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    Jul

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    Jul

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    Aug

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