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STX

Seagate

$51.43

-3.63 (-6.59%)

, FOXA

21st Century Fox

$45.44

-0.03 (-0.07%)

10:34
08/09/18
08/09
10:34
08/09/18
10:34

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades

Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Seagate (STX) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs by analyst Mark Delaney, who said that while Seagate has improved its product offerings in the last few years, hard disk drives remain a cyclical industry, and one "facing secular challenges in many parts of the market." 2. 21st Century Fox (FOXA) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital by analyst Steven Cahall who noted that the stock is now trading near its M&A price and that he does not see any competitive bids emerging. 3. e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies by analyst Stephanie Wissink, who said she is disappointed with the company's "sales fall off," which she says "seems more systemic than previously assumed." e.l.f.'s profit advancement will reverse in the second half of the year amid stepped up brand investment. Shares were also downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray, who said she sees a "growing risk of shelf-space cuts into 2019" if underlying sales trends do not improve, at Citi to Neutral from Buy and at DA Davidson to Neutral from Buy. 4. Southern Company (SO) downgraded to Underperform from In Line at Evercore ISI by analyst Greg Gordon, who said he believes the shares are still not discounting enough risk after the company announced a $790M after-tax charge related to an increase in the cost estimate for constructing Vogtle Nuclear Plants 3 and 4. Shares were also downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse, to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays and to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim. 5. Schneider National (SNDR) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA/Merrill by analyst Ken Hoexter, who cited "stretched" relative valuation. The analyst also downgraded Genesee & Wyoming (GWR) to Neutral from Buy, saying recent strength in shares has led to a premium multiple and sees minimal upside. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

STX

Seagate

$51.43

-3.63 (-6.59%)

FOXA

21st Century Fox

$45.44

-0.03 (-0.07%)

FOX

21st Century Fox

$44.94

-0.01 (-0.02%)

ELF

e.l.f. Beauty

$10.99

-3.91 (-26.24%)

SNDR

Schneider National

$27.05

-0.29 (-1.06%)

GWR

Genesee & Wyoming

$88.51

-0.39 (-0.44%)

SO

Southern Company

$46.45

-0.44 (-0.94%)

  • 13

    Aug

  • 26

    Aug

  • 28

    Oct

STX Seagate
$51.43

-3.63 (-6.59%)

07/27/18
MSCO
07/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $96
MSCO
Equal Weight
Western Digital relative underperformance creates potential, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore said he has believed for the last 9 months that NAND was moving into moderate oversupply and companies were overly optimistic about a recovery in the second half, as has been playing out this quarter. While noting that his 2019 estimates for Western Digital (WDC) are "well below" consensus, Moore also said the stock is inexpensive and its underperformance compared to both hardware peer Seagate (STX) and memory peer Micron (MU) creates "significant potential." Despite the material upside potential he sees from here, Moore keeps an Equal Weight rating on Western Digital with a slightly lowered price target of $96, advocating to wait for numbers to come down.
08/09/18
GSCO
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $44
GSCO
Sell
Seagate downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney downgraded Seagate Technology (STX) to Sell and lowered his price target for the shares to $44 from $50, representing 20% downside from current levels. While Seagate has improved its product offerings in the last few years, hard disk drives remain a cyclical industry, and one "facing secular challenges in many parts of the market," Delaney tells investors in a research note. He believes Seagate's fundamentals will peak in the second half of 2018 and decline in 2019. NAND is oversupplied and sold state drive prices are falling, Delaney says. Further, the analyst notes that Seagate trades at a "greater than two turn premium" on forward price-to-earnings ratio relative to peers Western Digital (WDC) and Micron (MU).
06/06/18
MSCO
06/06/18
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Overweight
Morgan Stanley prefers Seagate to Western Digital due to NAND headwinds
After comparing the valuation, portfolio positioning, pricing, and gross margin trajectories of Seagate (STX) and Western Digital (WDC), Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty concluded that both stocks "appear cheap for the long-term" given the exponential data growth in the next computing cycle, dubbed "the Data Era." In the nearer-term, however, concerns around NAND pricing lead Huberty to keep an Equal Weight rating on Western Digital and express a preference for Seagate, on which she has an Overweight rating.
06/14/18
LOOP
06/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $70
LOOP
Buy
Seagate gross margins to track higher for the rest of 2018, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Ananda Baruah kept his Buy rating and $70 price target on Seagate, saying the company should continue tracking to the upside in its gross margins for the rest of this year. The analyst cites continued growth of demand for cloud drives and absorption of costs starting with the September quarter. Baruah also anticipates Seagate to reach annual EPS of over $6 one year earlier than expected.
FOXA 21st Century Fox
$45.44

-0.03 (-0.07%)

08/08/18
BMOC
08/08/18
NO CHANGE
Target $110
BMOC
Market Perform
Disney price target raised to $110 from $100 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Daniel Salmon raised his price target on Disney (DIS) to $110 after its Q3 results, saying the company offered some positive updates on its direct-to-consumer products which "could be bundled together eventually". The analyst adds that the stock could continue to drift higher if its 21st Century Fox (FOXA) deal remains on track, but prefers a neutral stance, citing the halted buyback program and potential volatility in the TV/film licensing revenue. Salmon also believes that Disney's Consumer Licensing and Retail segments face headwinds.
08/09/18
RBCM
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $49
RBCM
Sector Perform
21st Century Fox downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC Capital on valuation
As reported earlier, RBC Capital analyst Steven Cahall downgraded 21st Century Fox to Sector Perform from Outperform but raised his price target to $49 from $45. The analyst notes that the stock is now trading near its M&A price and that he does not see any competitive bids emerging. Cahall adds that while the company is "undervalued", he awaits the separation to re-evaluate his stance.
08/09/18
RBCM
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
RBCM
Sector Perform
21st Century Fox downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital
07/20/18
JEFF
07/20/18
NO CHANGE
Target $41
JEFF
Buy
Comcast added to Franchise Pick List with $41 target at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst John Janedis added Comcast (CMCSA) to his firm's Franchise Pick List while keeping a Buy rating on the shares with a $41 price target. The analyst expects the "M&A driven volatility" to subside following Comcast's announcement to walk away from 21st Century Fox (FOXA). The stock remains attractively valued with the company's fundamentals "stable to improving," Janedis tells investors in a research note. He believes the outcome of Sky (SKYAY) "will not be a thesis changer" and that Comcast should see multiple expansion.
FOX 21st Century Fox
$44.94

-0.01 (-0.02%)

06/26/18
BUCK
06/26/18
INITIATION
BUCK
Neutral
Sky initiated with a Neutral at Buckingham
Earlier today, Buckingham analyst Michael Harrigan initiated Sky (SKYAY) with a Neutral rating and GBP14.50 price target with 3% upside, above Comcast's (CMCSA) GBP12.50 cash bid and a premium to 21st Century Fox's (FOXA) GBP10.75 bid to buy the 61% of Sky it does not already own. The analyst tells investors in a research note that a higher bid assessment could be triggered by the U.K. Takeover Panel exercising its authority to mandate a higher takeout bid if the price paid by Comcast or Disney (DIS) to buy the 21st Century Fox assets that are in play implies a higher bid.
07/13/18
07/13/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. VF CORP DOUBLE UPGRADE: BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Robert Ohmes upgraded VF Corp (VFC) to Buy from Underperform and raised his price objective to $96 from $65 ahead of the company's earnings report on July 20, telling investors in a research note that he believes Vans will be a "go-to-brand" for the back-to-school selling season. He said his channel checks indicate accelerating momentum in Vans, especially classic styles, and that the $50-$60 price point is attractive given consumers' shift to value. RAYMOND JAMES DOWNGRADES AT&T: Raymond James downgraded AT&T (T) to Market Perform from Outperform. Analyst Frank Louthan said he views the Department of Justice appeal of the Time Warner case as a negative and said it is a "frustrating delay." Louthan expects the suit to be a "significant overhang" for an extended period of time, which will limit share appreciation, but remains confident AT&T will prevail. AT&T is lower by 2% in late morning trading. STIFEL STARTS GALMED WITH A BUY: Stifel analyst Adam Walsh initiated Galmed (GLMD) with a Buy rating and $35 price target, calling it a "legitimate late-stage NASH play" after Aramchol recently proved itself in a Phase 2 trial as a clearly active and "very safe" compound for treating NASH. Galmed is trading higher by over 17% in late morning trading. MORGAN STANLEY HIKES WWE TARGET TO $100: Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne said that WWE (WWE), by securing rights fees in its new five-year agreements with NBC (CMCSA, CMCSK) and Fox (FOX, FOXA) that are 3.6 times higher than its prior five-year broadcast agreement with NBC, has gained a "massive increase" in earnings power and "extremely high" visibility into the associated revenue. Given the recently announced deals, he raised his price target on WWE shares to $100 from $58 and kept an Overweight rating on the stock. WILLIAM BLAIR CALLS KEMPER PULLBACK 'BUYING OPPORTUNITY': William Blair analyst Adam Klauber said he views shares of Kemper (KMPR) as "even more attractive" after the recent pullback, which he attributes to selling pressures from Infinity Property shareholders receiving Kemper stock. Klauber said Kemper "continues to be our top conviction idea," and kept an Outpeform rating on the name. Kemper is higher by 4.8% in late morning trading.
06/27/18
GUGG
06/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $82
GUGG
Buy
WWE price target raised to $82 from $68 at Guggenheim
After WWE announced new five year deals for RAW and SmackDown yesterday evening, Guggenheim analyst Curry Baker raised his price target on the stock to $82 from $68, noting that the combined average annual value of the deals with Comcast's (CMCSA) USA Network and Fox Sports (FOXA) of $524M was ahead of his $500M a year forecast. Beyond the renewals, Baker sees a number of opportunities remaining for WWE, including renewals in the UK and India, incremental content deals, and WWE Network tiering. He keeps a Buy rating on WWE shares.
07/13/18
BERN
07/13/18
NO CHANGE
BERN
Bernstein 'not so sure' Comcast will give up on Fox assets
Bernstein analyst Todd Juenger said that it appears that the market is starting to believe Comcast (CMCSA) will give up on its bid to buy assets from 21st Century Fox (FOXA) and focus on Sky (SKYAY), but he said he is "not so sure" that is the case after only one counter from Disney (DIS). He does not believe Comcast would put forth a $35 bid unless it was prepared to bid up to near $45 per share, Juenger tells investors. If Comcast ups its bid, it either wins Fox at a high price or Disney is forced to pay more, which both seem better than giving up to him, Juenger stated. In any case, the "winner" will be left with increased leverage on a cyclical business late in the cycle at a time when it needs to invest significantly to build its direct-to-consumer business, added Juenger.
ELF e.l.f. Beauty
$10.99

-3.91 (-26.24%)

08/09/18
DADA
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
DADA
Neutral
e.l.f. Beauty downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson
08/09/18
DADA
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $12.25
DADA
Neutral
e.l.f. Beauty downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser downgraded e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) to Neutral from Buy and lowered her price target to $12.25 from $23, saying that its expectations of lower growth warrants a lower target multiple. The analyst also cites her growing concerns about the company's brand health that is likely losing market share. Weiser adds that while e.l.f. Beauty added new retail customers such as Ride Aid (RAD), the shifting trends in the point-of-sale could "jeopardize shelf space with existing retailers", while noting increasing threat to mass cosmetics from consumers moving to more upscale brands.
08/09/18
BMOC
08/09/18
NO CHANGE
Target $13
BMOC
Market Perform
e.l.f. Beauty price target lowered to $13 from $19 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Shannon Coyne lowered her price target on e.l.f. Beauty to $13 after the company lowered its FY18 guidance due to expectations of "sharp deterioration of trends at tracked channels" in the second half of the year. The analyst also lowers her FY18 EPS view to 57c from 60c and FY19 view to 56c from 71c amid the "continuing headwinds from intensifying competition leading to market share losses". Coyne also keeps her Market Perform rating on e.l.f. Beauty, stating that its risk-reward is balanced in the near term.
08/09/18
SBSH
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $16
SBSH
Neutral
Citi downgrades e.l.f. Beauty to Neutral on 'bleak' 2019 outlook
Citi analyst Wendy Nicholson downgraded e.l.f. Beauty to Neutral from Buy and cut her price target for the shares to $16 from $24. The company reduced its guidance for 2018 and the outlook for 2019 is "bleak," Nicholson tells investors in a research note. She says her "confidence in the story has evaporated." Piper Jaffray and Jefferies also downgraded e.l.f. Beauty this morning.
SNDR Schneider National
$27.05

-0.29 (-1.06%)

08/09/18
BOFA
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $27
BOFA
Underperform
Schneider National downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill analyst Ken Hoexter double downgraded Schneider National to Underperform from Buy and cut its pice target to $27 from $35 citing "stretched" relative valuation. The analyst believes Schneider National is well positioned for sustained growth but said the valuation gap versus peers is likely to shrink.
04/30/18
WOLF
04/30/18
UPGRADE
WOLF
Peer Perform
Schneider National upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research
06/29/18
06/29/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Construction Partners (ROAD) initiated with an Outperform at Imperial Capital. 2. Inovio (INO) assumed with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray. 3. GATX (GATX) initiated with a Buy at Mizuho. 4. Schneider National (SNDR) initiated with a Hold at Stifel. 5. Eloxx Pharmaceuticals (ELOX) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
06/29/18
STFL
06/29/18
INITIATION
Target $29
STFL
Hold
Schneider National initiated with a Hold at Stifel
Stifel analyst David Ross initiated Schneider National with a Hold rating, stating that it shouldn't be surprising that one of the original leaders in truckload is reaping the benefits of tight capacity and pricing momentum, but he also believes the current valuation is fair. He set a $29 price target on Schneider National shares.
GWR Genesee & Wyoming
$88.51

-0.39 (-0.44%)

06/14/18
SPHN
06/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $90
SPHN
Overweight
Genesee & Wyoming price target raised to $90 after May carload data at Stephens
Stephens analyst Justin Long raised his price target on Genesee & Wyoming shares to $90 from $85 following May carload data that he said indicates that volumes are tracking in-line with the company's quarterly guidance. He is encouraged by momentum seen in its key geography of North America and sees easy comps ahead, Long added. He maintains an Overweight rating on G&W shares.
05/24/18
STFL
05/24/18
INITIATION
Target $90
STFL
Buy
Genesee & Wyoming resumed with a Buy at Stifel
Stifel analyst Michael Baudendistel resumed coverage of Genesee & Wyoming with a Buy rating and $90 price target, contending the company has a great deal of runway on both organic and inorganic growth opportunities and deserves a premium multiple compared to the broader rail group.
07/30/18
WOLF
07/30/18
DOWNGRADE
WOLF
Peer Perform
Genesee & Wyoming downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
08/09/18
BOFA
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $94
BOFA
Neutral
Genesee & Wyoming downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill analyst Ken Hoexter downgraded Genesee & Wyoming to Neutral from Buy and raised its price target to $94 from $90. The analyst said recent strength in shares has led to a premium multiple and sees minimal upside.
SO Southern Company
$46.45

-0.44 (-0.94%)

08/09/18
FBCO
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $43
FBCO
Underperform
Southern Company downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Michael Weinstein downgraded Southern Company to Underperform from Neutral as labor crunch at Vogtle was previewed, but the costs are much higher and sooner than he anticipated. The analyst also lowered his price target on the shares to $43 from $46.
08/09/18
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $47

Neutral
Southern Company downgraded to Neutral on Vogtle risk at Guggenheim
As previously reported, Guggenheim analyst Shahriar Pourreza downgraded Southern Company to Neutral from Buy citing the increased costs and risks associated with its Vogtle nuclear project. The risk related to Vogtle is not diminishing and the situation is becoming "increasingly binary," Pourreza tells investors. Pourreza lowered the firm's price target on the stock to $47 from $50. The Fly notes that Southern Company shares have been downgraded by no less than five firms over yesterday and today.
08/09/18
EVER
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $46
EVER
Underperform
Southern Company downgraded to Underperform from In Line at Evercore ISI
Evercore ISI analyst Greg Gordon downgraded Southern Company to Underperform from In Line as he believes the shares are still not discounting enough risk after the company announced a $790M after-tax charge related to an increase in the cost estimate for constructing Vogtle Nuclear Plants 3 and 4. Total costs for Southern's 45.7% share of the Vogtle project are now $8.4B, compared to the $7.3B approved by the Georgia PSC when they approved the financial conditions for moving forward at the end of 2017, noted Gordon, who believes the risk of further cost escalations or a project cancellation are not fully reflected in Southern shares even after yesterday's pullback. He lowered his price target on Southern shares to $46 from $46.75.
08/09/18
LEHM
08/09/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $48
LEHM
Equal Weight
Barclays joins others in downgrading Southern Company on Vogtle risk
Barclays analyst Eric Beaumont downgraded Southern Company to Equal Weight from Overweight and lowered his price target for the shares to $48 from $51. The company when reported Q2 increased its cost estimate for Vogtle by $700M, established a contingency reserve of $400M, recorded a pre-tax charge of $1.1B and announced the need for $800M of additional equity, Beaumont tells investors in a research note. The analyst adjusted his estimates to reflect dilution from the additional equity and cut his price target to reflect the near-term risk profile of the Vogtle project. Vogtle risk skews to the negative in the short term on the ownership vote and VCM 19 filing, Beaumont contends. Three other firms downgraded Southern Company this morning.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

TSLA

Tesla

$376.86

10.1 (2.75%)

17:30
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JBHT

J.B. Hunt

$95.89

-2.36 (-2.40%)

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Breaking Hot Stocks news story on J.B. Hunt »

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CNP

CenterPoint Energy

$29.35

0.45 (1.56%)

17:26
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Upgrade
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ATO

Atmos Energy

$99.55

0.92 (0.93%)

17:26
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UGI

UGI Corporation

17:26
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TSLA

Tesla

$376.86

10.1 (2.75%)

17:25
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Initiation
Tesla initiated  »

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  • 13

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GMS

GMS Inc.

$14.88

-0.6 (-3.88%)

17:25
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GMS Inc.'s Ross acquires 100,000 common shares »

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WM

Waste Management

$91.37

0.43 (0.47%)

17:25
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Waste Management boosts dividend, plans $1.5B buyback »

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CIEN

Ciena

$34.90

2.765 (8.60%)

17:20
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  • 13

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TROX

Tronox

$7.77

0.05 (0.65%)

17:14
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Tronox CFO Timothy Carlson buys 21,000 shares of company stock »

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STX

Seagate

$39.39

-0.61 (-1.53%)

, WDC

Western Digital

$39.95

-1.01 (-2.47%)

17:13
12/13/18
12/13
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17:13
Initiation
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STX

Seagate

$39.39

-0.61 (-1.53%)

WDC

Western Digital

$39.95

-1.01 (-2.47%)

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  • 07

    Jan

UHS

Universal Health

$132.00

0.765 (0.58%)

17:12
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12/13
17:12
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17:12
Downgrade
Universal Health rating change  »

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WCG

WellCare

$244.34

-0.42 (-0.17%)

17:09
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17:09
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ACIA

Acacia Communications

$42.25

-0.62 (-1.45%)

17:08
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IMAX

Imax

$19.35

-0.2 (-1.02%)

17:07
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Imax to close remaining VR locations, sees one-time charges of $6.9M in Q4 »

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TIK

Tel-Instrument

$3.05

(0.00%)

17:06
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Tel-Instrument receives $615K test set order »

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CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics

$14.87

-0.13 (-0.87%)

17:04
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QDEL

Quidel

$50.74

-0.67 (-1.30%)

17:03
12/13/18
12/13
17:03
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17:03
Hot Stocks
Quidel announces availability of Triage PLGF assay »

Quidel announced that the…

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JBHT

J.B. Hunt

$95.89

-2.36 (-2.40%)

17:02
12/13/18
12/13
17:02
12/13/18
17:02
Hot Stocks
J.B. Hunt announces arbitration update with BNSF Railway Company »

J.B. Hunt Transport…

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CWT

California Water Service

$48.57

0.77 (1.61%)

17:02
12/13/18
12/13
17:02
12/13/18
17:02
Hot Stocks
CPUC approves Cal Water provision of water service to Travis Air Force Base »

The California Public…

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NEU

NewMarket

$393.05

-6.78 (-1.70%)

17:02
12/13/18
12/13
17:02
12/13/18
17:02
Hot Stocks
NewMarket approves new $500M stock repurchase program »

NewMarket approved a new…

03/08/13
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CMT

Core Molding

$7.90

-0.4 (-4.82%)

17:01
12/13/18
12/13
17:01
12/13/18
17:01
Hot Stocks
Core Molding names Tom Cellitti vice chairman »

Core Molding Technologies…

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ADXS

Advaxis

$0.36

-0.0071 (-1.93%)

, AMGN

Amgen

$197.47

1.06 (0.54%)

17:00
12/13/18
12/13
17:00
12/13/18
17:00
Hot Stocks
Advaxis receives notice of termination from Amgen relating to ADXS-NEO program »

On December 10, Advaxis…

ADXS

Advaxis

$0.36

-0.0071 (-1.93%)

AMGN

Amgen

$197.47

1.06 (0.54%)

03/08/13
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  • 16

    Jan

GLNCY

Glencore

$0.00

(0.00%)

16:58
12/13/18
12/13
16:58
12/13/18
16:58
Periodicals
China's GEM halts buying cobalt from Glencore, Reuters reports »

Chinese battery firm GEM…

03/08/13
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RH

RH

$130.06

-6.15 (-4.52%)

16:58
12/13/18
12/13
16:58
12/13/18
16:58
Syndicate
RH says no longer exploring $300M convertible notes offering »

RH announced that it has…

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