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VIAB

Viacom

$30.43

1.8 (6.29%)

, VIA

Viacom

$35.25

1.85 (5.54%)

12:53
08/09/18
08/09
12:53
08/09/18
12:53

Imperial keeps Underperform rating on Viacom with $25 target

Viacom (VIAB) in Q3 missed on revenue due to a 3% decline in domestic affiliate fees and 3% decline in U.S. advertising, but earnings beat on "very nice cost containment," Imperial Capital analyst David Miller tells investors in a research note. The analyst keeps an Underperform rating on the shares with a $25 price target. The analyst has a "tough time" applying anything north of a 6.0 times enterprise value to EBITDA multiple on fiscal 2019, which a implies $25 per share, given Viacom's lack of appointment programming, lack of sports, and lack of any franchise presence in film with the exception of Mission Impossible and Transformers. Miller admits, though, that an acquisition of Viacom by CBS (CBS) could prove his call wrong.

VIAB

Viacom

$30.43

1.8 (6.29%)

VIA

Viacom

$35.25

1.85 (5.54%)

CBS

CBS

$54.63

1.465 (2.76%)

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VIAB Viacom
$30.43

1.8 (6.29%)

08/03/18
JPMS
08/03/18
NO CHANGE
Target $75
JPMS
Overweight
CBS fundamentals are 'clearly not the issue,' says JPMorgan
Fundamentals are "clearly not the issue" for CBS (CBS) shares as the company continues to deliver or exceed expectations on comp growth, content sales, and over-the-top offerings, JPMorgan analyst Alexia Quadrani tells investors in a post-earnings research note titled "Another Beat and Favorable Outlook But That is Not the Near-Term Story." Unfortunately, the near term focus will remain on potential management changes, a court battle to determine who really controls the strategic direction of the company and how well CBS is positioned longer-term as a standalone or combined with Viacom (VIAB), the analyst adds. As such, the analyst sees CBS shares as range-bound in the near-term. However, over the longer-term, Quadrani believes "it is hard to ignore the obvious disconnect between valuation and the ongoing healthy earnings growth profile for the next few years." She reiterates an Overweight rating on CBS with a $75 price target.
08/06/18
LOOP
08/06/18
NO CHANGE
Target $33
LOOP
Hold
Viacom affiliate revenue to come down, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Alan Gould kept his Hold rating and $33 price target on Viacom (VIAB) ahead of its Q3 results but lowered his EPS estimate by 5c to $1.05 and his FY19 EPS view to $4.50 from $4.75. The analyst cites a more cautious outlook on future affiliate negotiations and a reduced TV revenue with no major affiliate renewal deals expected until the second half of 2019. Though Gould notes that valuation on the stock is inexpensive, he also expects any potential CBS (CBS) tie-up not to yield a premium paid by either side.
08/07/18
ARGS
08/07/18
DOWNGRADE
ARGS
Hold
CBS downgraded to Hold at Argus
As reported earlier, Argus analyst Joseph Bonner downgraded CBS (CBS) to Hold, noting significant downside risks for the company from both the sexual harassment allegations against CEO Moonves and the board's attempts to prevent the Viacom (VIAB) merger. Bonner notes that if the Moonves allegations are proven true, he would be immediately dismissed, which could end the board's bid to remain independent and thereby inflict damage on the shareholders. As part of his research note discussing the "mounting risks", Bonner also lowers his CBS FY18 EPS estimate to $5.25 from $5.29.
08/07/18
08/07/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. BOFA CUTS ZILLOW TO NEUTRAL: BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Nat Schindler downgraded Zillow (Z, ZG) to Neutral from Buy and cut its price target to $60 from $70 following the Q2 report and reduction in guidance. Schindler said the quarter indicated Zillow is taking longer than expected to ramp up the Homes business, Rentals revenue missed and the outlook was cut, and other revenue also missed, indicating the new construction opportunity is also taking longer to materialize. Zillow Class A shares are down about 17% in late morning trading. MORGAN STANLEY SAYS WAYMO COULD BE WORTH $175B: Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak increased his enterprise value estimate for Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Waymo unit from $75B for ride sharing only to $175B given his analyses for two other emerging business models, logistics and licensing. He believes Waymo remains on track to launch an autonomous ride hailing service in Phoenix this year and believes this business could be worth about $80B over the long-term. Given his view of Waymo being a key part of Alphabet's long-term value, Nowak raised his sum of the parts valuation to $1,550 from $1,400. He has an Overweight rating and $1,325 price target on Alphabet shares. GOLDMAN RAISES NVIDIA TARGET AHEAD OF EARNINGS: Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari raised his price target for Nvidia (NVDA) to $324 from $310 ahead of quarterly results. Unlike the past 10 quarters where the company handily beat Street estimates and raised guidance, the analyst expects a "noisy" quarter with the focal points being the upcoming product transition in Gaming, the current product transition in Datacenter, weakness in cryptocurrency mining, and potential disruption from the virus attack at TSMC (TSM). That said, Hari noted that his long-term bull thesis on Nvidia remains intact and reiterated a Buy rating on the shares. ARGUS CUTS CBS TO HOLD: Argus analyst Joseph Bonner downgraded CBS (CBS) to Hold from Buy, noting significant downside risks for the company from both the sexual harassment allegations against CEO Moonves and the board's attempts to prevent the Viacom (VIA, VIAB) merger. Bonner noted that if the Moonves allegations are proven true, he would be immediately dismissed, which could end the board's bid to remain independent and thereby inflict damage on the shareholders.
VIA Viacom
$35.25

1.85 (5.54%)

06/28/18
IMPC
06/28/18
INITIATION
Target $26
IMPC
Underperform
Viacom initiated with an Underperform at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst David Miller started Viacom (VIAB) with an Underperform rating and $26 price target. Unless there is a measurable change in paradigm, Viacom is "essentially a value trap," and should trade in line with its mean earnings growth rate over the last three years, Miller tells investors in a research note. He believes poor programming choices are finally catching up to management.
07/31/18
07/31/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $50

Market Perform
Cowen worried about 'unquantifiable variables,' downgrades CBS to Market Perform
As previously reported, Cowen analyst Doug Creutz downgraded CBS (CBS) to Market Perform from Outperform, stating that the combination of the legal fight with National Amusements, the potential for a recombination with Viacom (VIAB) and the allegations of sexual harassment against CEO Les Moonves create "too many unquantifiable variables." He noted that his downgrade is not based on any evaluation of the claims made against Moonves, but reflects the added overhang of an investigation of uncertain length with an uncertain outcome, which Creutz sees making share outperformance difficult. He lowered his price target on CBS shares to $50 from $69.
CBS CBS
$54.63

1.465 (2.76%)

08/07/18
ARGS
08/07/18
DOWNGRADE
ARGS
Hold
CBS downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
08/07/18
08/07/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Zillow (Z, ZG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Nat Schindler saying the quarter indicated Zillow is taking longer than expected to ramp up the Homes business, Rentals revenue missed and the outlook cut, and other revenue also missed, indicating new construction opportunity is also taking longer to materialize. 2. CBS (CBS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus with analyst Joseph Bonner citing significant downside risks for the company from both the sexual harassment allegations against CEO Moonves and the board's attempts to prevent the Viacom (VIAB) merger. 3. Extraction Oil & Gas (XOG) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie with analyst Paul Grigel citing increased risk from Colorado Initiative 97. 4. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus with analyst John Staszak citing its Q2 earnings miss, saying the gross gaming revenue in Macau has now missed consensus forecasts for the months of June and July. 5. Dentsply Sirona (XRAY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

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