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ATVI

Activision Blizzard

$77.00

3.14 (4.25%)

, EA

Electronic Arts

$104.87

1.25 (1.21%)

12:46
10/12/18
10/12
12:46
10/12/18
12:46

Piper says Twitch viewership of Activision titles offers upside potential

Shares of the "big three" video game publishers were in focus after Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson told investors in a research note that the firm's analysis of video game viewership data is most positive for Activision Blizzard (ATVI), while more in-line for Electronic Arts (EA) and Take-Two (TTWO). 'TWITCHADVISER' TAKEAWAYS: According to Piper Jaffray's TwitchAdviser, a monthly analysis of viewership data on video game streaming platform Twitch (AMZN), cumulative viewership of Activision titles increased 37% quarter-over-quarter in the third quarter, while Take-Two minutes viewed rose 44% and EA's minutes fell 17%. Olson added that the data also shows Activision and Take-Two's share of top 25 viewership was up quarter-over-quarter at 20.5% and 2.8%, from 16.2% and 2.1%, respectively. The analyst said he believes that the jump in Activision viewership offers upside potential, while Take-Two's viewership increase is in-line with the firm's expectations. As far as EA goes, the decline in Twitch viewing minutes was also essentially in line with Piper's expectations, Olson said. The analyst maintained Overweight ratings on all three major publishers. Meanwhile, Olson noted that the TwitchAdviser data showed the first quarterly decline for "Fortnite" viewership, which fell 4% quarter-over-quarter. Epic Games, the creator of "Fortnite," is 40% owned by Tencent (TCEHY) and is part of Disney's (DIS) Accelerator Program. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Last month, Olson said that Piper's TwitchAdviser analysis for the month of August showed a 48% month-on-month increase in viewership of Activision titles, driven at the time by "World of Warcraft" and "Destiny 2." PRICE ACTION: In early afternoon trading, Activision Blizzard rose 3.7% to $76.60, Take-Two gained about 3.6% to $126.73 and EA was up 1% to $104.56.

ATVI

Activision Blizzard

$77.00

3.14 (4.25%)

EA

Electronic Arts

$104.87

1.25 (1.21%)

TTWO

Take-Two

$127.57

5.28 (4.32%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,757.12

38 (2.21%)

TCEHY

Tencent

$0.00

(0.00%)

DIS

Disney

$111.75

0.58 (0.52%)

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ATVI Activision Blizzard
$77.00

3.14 (4.25%)

10/10/18
KEYB
10/10/18
NO CHANGE
Target $90
KEYB
Overweight
Call of Duty launch should be positive for Activision Blizzard, says KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Evan Wingren continues to recommend buying Activision Blizzard. The analyst expects the first weekend of Call of Duty sales to be a positive initial catalyst for the company. PC distribution and Blackout has potential to drive upside above his expectations, Wingren contended. He reiterates an Overweight rating and $90 price target on the shares.
10/08/18
BARD
10/08/18
NO CHANGE
BARD
Outperform
Microsoft Project xCloud mostly positive for game publishers, says Baird
After Microsoft (MSFT) announced details of its game-streaming initiative, Project xCloud, Baird analyst Colin Sebastian said he does not expect beta user trials until 2019, with a full launch likely 1-2 years later. The analyst, who sees the news as mostly positive for game publishers Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Electronic Arts (EA) and Take-Two (TTWO), believes that streaming represents an opportunity to convert a portion of the remaining casual gamer market by providing console-quality full streaming games with the cross-platform social features of current consoles. Baird has Outperform ratings on all three game publishers mentioned.
10/05/18
BREN
10/05/18
INITIATION
Target $80
BREN
Hold
Activision Blizzard initiated with a Hold at Berenberg
Berenberg initiated Activision Blizzard with a Hold and $80 price target.
10/12/18
PIPR
10/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $88
PIPR
Overweight
Activision's new Call of Duty launched to strong reviews, says Piper Jaffray
Activision Blizzard's Call of Duty: Black ops III launched at midnight and has received strong early reviews, Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson tells investors in a research note. The analyst says that while investors have cited concerns around free to play battle royale title Fortnite taking market share, he believes the latest Call of Duty is "loudly staking its claim as the top shooter title." Olson thinks his sales estimate of 23.5M units for 2018 could prove conservative given the solid reviews for the game. He maintains an Overweight rating on Activision Blizzard with an $88 price target.
EA Electronic Arts
$104.87

1.25 (1.21%)

09/19/18
KEYB
09/19/18
NO CHANGE
KEYB
Overweight
KeyBanc says buy shares of Take Two, Activision Blizzard into holiday season
KeyBanc analyst Evan Wingren says he remain positives on video games into what should be a strong holiday. In a research note to investors, Wingren says his favorite ways to play the holiday season are Take Two (TTWO) and Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and that he would be buying shares. Though he acknowledges that fundamentals softened in Q2 as competition impacted upside to estimates, he expects fundamentals to improve into 2019, driven by strong games, new content and new growth opportunities. The analyst expects Take Two's Red Dead Redemption 2 to be "one of the biggest releases this holiday," and Activision's Call of Duty: Black Ops III, WoW and Destiny expansions should drive earnings above consensus. He has Overweight ratings on both Take Two and Activision Blizzard, as well as EA (EA).
10/05/18
BREN
10/05/18
INITIATION
Target $145
BREN
Buy
Electronic Arts initiated with a Buy at Berenberg
Berenberg initiated Electronic Arts with a Buy and $145 price target.
10/04/18
BUCK
10/04/18
INITIATION
Target $143
BUCK
Buy
Electronic Arts assumed with a Buy at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Matthew Harrigan assumed coverage on Electronic Arts with a Buy and $143 price price target saying the recent shares correction provides favorable risk/reward.
TTWO Take-Two
$127.57

5.28 (4.32%)

10/09/18
BERN
10/09/18
INITIATION
Target $175
BERN
Outperform
Take-Two initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein
Bernstein analyst Todd Juenger initiated Take-Two with an Outperform and $175 price target.
10/10/18
10/10/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Take-Two (TTWO) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein. 2. Shake Shack (SHAK) initiated with a Hold at Stifel. 3. Nu Skin (NUS) initiated with a Buy at DA Davidson. 4. Micron (MU) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Jaffray. 5. Crispr Therapeutics (CRSP) initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
AMZN Amazon.com
$1,757.12

38 (2.21%)

10/08/18
FBCO
10/08/18
NO CHANGE
FBCO
Amazon adds fire to already-challenging retail cost inflation situation, says Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti says that Amazon's comments that it plans to lobby the government for higher minimum wages could be a catalyst for broad-based ongoing cost inflation across the U.S. retail industry. The analyst estimates that, on average, every $1 increase in wage rates could be a 30bp drag to EBIT margins and about 4%-5% drag to annualized EPS growth for U.S. retailers. The retailers with most wage-related EPS risk have a combo of low labor costs/wage rates, closest to regional minimums today and already low margins, he contends. Further, Binetti believes that Amazon's wage raise announcement timing could mean pressure to retailers' EPS guidance as early as Q4.
10/08/18
FBCO
10/08/18
NO CHANGE
FBCO
Outperform
Global brand ranking validates Microsoft rebranding efforts, says Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Brad Zelnick notes that, among top global brands, Microsoft (MSFT) ranked fourth in global brand ranking with a brand value of $92.7B, superseded only by Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG; GOOGL) and Apple (AAPL). The analyst believes this validates Microsoft's rebranding efforts in the Satya era, distinguished by a more open and flexible approach to customers, rivals as well as application developers. Zelnick reiterates an Outperform rating on Microsoft shares.
10/05/18
RHCO
10/05/18
NO CHANGE
RHCO
Buy
Amazon's Accelerator Program can 'broaden the moat' in retail, says SunTrust
SunTrust analyst Youssef Squali is positive on the CNBC-reported launch of Accelerator Program for exclusive brands at Amazon with the intention of signing up manufacturers looking to create made-for-Amazon products. The analyst notes that the program would feature "marketing support and tools that track performance and feedback" that could be applied to any retail category. Squali believes that the offering would broaden Amazon's moat in retail, serving as an "extension of its growing suite of private label brands" while contributing to the company's product selection at "great prices". Squali has a Buy rating on Amazon.
10/12/18
STFL
10/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $200
STFL
Buy
Stifel replaces Alibaba with Amazon on Select List after target drop
Stifel analyst Scott Devitt removed Alibaba (BABA) from his firm's Select List and replaced it with Amazon.com (AMZN). The analyst cites an "increasingly uncertain" China macro environment and near-term optimism for Amazon for the change. He also updated his Alibaba model, which resulted in near-term revenue growth assumptions that are 300 basis points lower versus his prior forecast. However, despite the difficult China market backdrop, Devitt continues to view Alibaba as a core long-term holding. He lowered his price target for the shares to $200 from $220 while keeping a Buy rating on the name.
TCEHY Tencent
$0.00

(0.00%)

08/16/18
JEFF
08/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $90
JEFF
Buy
China approval freeze creates buying opportunity in Activision, says Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Timothy O'Shea said he views China having frozen mobile game approvals as a temporary problem and "mostly a non-issue" as only the monetization approval process has been frozen, not the content approval process, and he note administrators are already implementing a fast-track approval process to alleviate the problem. Activision Blizzard's (ATVI) upcoming Call of Duty mobile game was expected to launch in China this year, but O'Shea said this is a smaller game that is not in his estimates, adding that Tencent (TCEHY) gets 70% of the revenue under its deal for the game. Activision has a pipeline of new mobile games coming that he would still expect to launch in China over time and O'Shea sees the 15% pullback in the game maker's shares in the last month as a buying opportunity, he tells investors. He maintains a Buy rating and $90 price target on Activision Blizzard shares.
09/13/18
GSCO
09/13/18
INITIATION
Target $31.9
GSCO
Buy
Pinduoduo initiated with a Buy at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Piyush Mubayi started Pinduoduo (PDD) with a Buy rating and $31.90 price target, identifying it as the "fastest-growing internet company in the world" in terms of revenue growth. He sees Pinduoduo being well positioned to benefit from continuous growth of China e-commerce based on its popular app and Tencent's (TCEHY) social networks.
08/20/18
NOMU
08/20/18
NO CHANGE
NOMU
Buy
China watchdogs said to likely restart game reviews soon, says Nomura Instinet
Nomura Instinet analyst Jialong Shi noted that over the weekend posts on Weibo said China's online game watchdogs will likely restart game reviews as early as September, adding that a few of his online gaming contacts have also heard lately from relevant watchdogs that the review of new games should restart soon. If game reviews do resume in September, Tencent's (TCEHY) PUBG Mobile and Fortnite are likely to receive licenses for monetization in Q4 at the earliest, said Shi, who believes Tencent and NetEase (NTES) would benefit from improved sentiment and outlooks if Chinese regulators restart reviews.
08/22/18
LEHM
08/22/18
NO CHANGE
Target $55
LEHM
Overweight
Tencent price target lowered to $55 from $59 at Barclays
Barclays analyst Gregory Zhao lowered his price target for Tencent Holdings to $55 following the company's Q2 results to reflect the impact from monetization approval delay to mobile gaming revenue as well as the negative efforts to interest revenue due to the deposit rate increase. The analyst keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
DIS Disney
$111.75

0.58 (0.52%)

09/24/18
BERN
09/24/18
NO CHANGE
BERN
Sky's bidding war outcome 'best possible result' for Disney, says Bernstein
Bernstein analyst Todd Juenger says this weekend's outcome of the bidding war for Sky (SKYAY) was "the best possible result" for Disney (DIS). The analyst argues that he never understood why Disney would want to operate a European DBS business, and never understood how Sky would contribute to Disney's DTC strategy. Rather than pay such a premium like Comcast (CMCSA), Disney can now get "paid" that premium, assuming Fox (FOXA) agrees to sell and deliver the proceeds to Disney in lieu of the shares they had promised, the analyst contends.
09/24/18
LOOP
09/24/18
NO CHANGE
Target $51
LOOP
Buy
21st Century Fox favored over Disney on on Comcast-Sky deal, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Alan Gould kept his Buy rating and $51 price target on 21st Century Fox (FOXA), saying that while Disney (DIS) should also rise on the latest news of Comcast (CMCSA) buy Sky (SKYAY), "asymmetrical returns" favor Fox as Disney stock price "approaches the high end of the collared range for the Fox transaction". The analyst notes that he is positive on Fox "as an attractive way to buy Disney and create shares in the spinoff New Fox". Gould adds that while missing on Sky "complicates Disney's direct-to-consumer" Europe strategy, he believes investors will reward its stronger balance sheet and its independent efforts of launching a global streaming business.
10/10/18
RBCM
10/10/18
NO CHANGE
Target $140
RBCM
Top Pick
RBC Capital nudges down its EPS view on Disney on higher park expense
RBC Capital analyst Steven Cahall lowered his Q4 EPS view on Disney (DIS) by 4% to $1.35 and FY19 EPS view by 2% to $7.04 to reflect the company's recent pay raises in its Parks segment as well as the losses at Hulu from its recent announcement of tendering Sky (SKYAY) shares and investing more heavily in content. The analyst also keeps his Top Pick rating and $140 price target, noting that his investment thesis remains intact as the stock generally trades on the sentiment around "direct to consumer", or DTC, success.
10/02/18
LOOP
10/02/18
NO CHANGE
Target $365
LOOP
Hold
Netflix to beat its subscriber forecasts in Q3, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Alan Gould kept his Hold rating and $365 price target on Netflix (NFLX) ahead of its Q3 results. The analyst expects the company to beat on subscriber adds domestically and internationally while also offering a "conservative" outlook for Q4 along with another debt offering likely to be offset by another $1 per month increase in rates. Gould adds that while the Street has consistently underestimated international subscriber additions at Netflix, he also warns that further detail from Disney (DIS) about its upcoming streaming services could weigh on Netflix shares.

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CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs

$10.92

-0.55 (-4.80%)

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$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

$0.00

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AcelRx

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-0.38 (-9.16%)

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CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs

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-0.58 (-5.06%)

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

$0.00

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SHOP

Shopify

$127.73

-6.91 (-5.13%)

, STMP

Stamps.com

$194.61

-3.18 (-1.61%)

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SHOP

Shopify

$127.73

-6.91 (-5.13%)

STMP

Stamps.com

$194.61

-3.18 (-1.61%)

BLK

BlackRock

$402.46

2.59 (0.65%)

BX

Blackstone

$34.82

-0.45 (-1.28%)

JPM

JPMorgan

$108.18

0.05 (0.05%)

F

Ford

$8.45

-0.055 (-0.65%)

GS

Goldman Sachs

$227.49

2.55 (1.13%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,104.29

7.06 (0.64%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,095.63

7.73 (0.71%)

03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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ET

Energy Transfer LP

$17.01

0.19 (1.13%)

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HAL

Halliburton

$37.87

-0.12 (-0.32%)

15:00
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Options
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  • 22

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FXI

iShares China Large-Cap ETF

$39.39

0.7 (1.81%)

14:50
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Options
32K iShares Large Cap China Fund Dec 42 - 44 call spreads trade for 40c »

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GEVO

Gevo

$3.61

-0.08 (-2.17%)

, GPRE

Green Plains

$17.97

-0.38 (-2.07%)

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GEVO

Gevo

$3.61

-0.08 (-2.17%)

GPRE

Green Plains

$17.97

-0.38 (-2.07%)

PEIX

Pacific Ethanol

$2.03

-0.12 (-5.58%)

MPC

Marathon Petroleum

$74.24

-4.6 (-5.83%)

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CMCSA

Comcast

$35.94

-0.01 (-0.03%)

, CMCSK

Comcast

$0.00

(0.00%)

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CMCSA

Comcast

$35.94

-0.01 (-0.03%)

CMCSK

Comcast

$0.00

(0.00%)

SNE

Sony

$55.76

-0.28 (-0.50%)

T

AT&T

$32.84

0.34 (1.05%)

FOX

21st Century Fox

$45.33

-0.13 (-0.29%)

FOXA

21st Century Fox

$45.62

-0.19 (-0.41%)

DIS

Disney

$118.42

2.16 (1.86%)

LGF.A

Lionsgate

$22.17

-0.03 (-0.14%)

LGF.B

Lionsgate

$20.72

-0.06 (-0.29%)

VIA

Viacom

$36.75

-0.48 (-1.29%)

VIAB

Viacom

$33.30

-0.43 (-1.27%)

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FOSL

Fossil

$19.00

-0.13 (-0.68%)

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FB

Facebook

$153.67

-1.28 (-0.83%)

, GOOG

Alphabet

$1,090.00

2.1 (0.19%)

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FB

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$153.67

-1.28 (-0.83%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,090.00

2.1 (0.19%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,098.63

1.4 (0.13%)

TWTR

Twitter

$28.71

-0.58 (-1.98%)

SNAP

Snap

$6.75

-0.06 (-0.88%)

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ABBV

AbbVie

$88.84

-1.1 (-1.22%)

14:22
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AbbVie analyst commentary  »

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$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

14:17
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10/19
14:17
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NASDAQ market internals summary »

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

14:16
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14:16
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NYSE market internals summary »

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MPC

Marathon Petroleum

$74.58

-4.26 (-5.40%)

, PEIX

Pacific Ethanol

$1.98

-0.17 (-7.91%)

14:15
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10/19
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10/19/18
14:15
Periodicals
Marathon weighs sale of high-ethanol gas in Minnesota, Bloomberg says »

Companies levered to…

MPC

Marathon Petroleum

$74.58

-4.26 (-5.40%)

PEIX

Pacific Ethanol

$1.98

-0.17 (-7.91%)

GPRE

Green Plains

$17.91

-0.44 (-2.40%)

GEVO

Gevo

$3.61

-0.08 (-2.17%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 01

    Nov

  • 06

    Nov

DHI

D.R. Horton

$35.98

-1.41 (-3.77%)

14:15
10/19/18
10/19
14:15
10/19/18
14:15
Options
D R Horton put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

Bearish flow noted in D R…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 08

    Nov

ABBV

AbbVie

$89.28

-0.66 (-0.73%)

14:11
10/19/18
10/19
14:11
10/19/18
14:11
Hot Stocks
AbbVie CFO to retire in mid-2019 »

In a regulatory filing…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 19

    Oct

  • 19

    Oct

  • 02

    Nov

CP

Canadian Pacific

$200.85

1.58 (0.79%)

14:06
10/19/18
10/19
14:06
10/19/18
14:06
Hot Stocks
Canadian Pacific reports Toronto Stock Exchange acceptance of buyback plan »

Canadian Pacific…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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ESPR

Esperion

$47.68

-0.53 (-1.10%)

13:55
10/19/18
10/19
13:55
10/19/18
13:55
Options
Esperion put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

Bearish flow noted in…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 11

    Nov

13:55
10/19/18
10/19
13:55
10/19/18
13:55
General news
More from Kaplan: 2 or 3 additional rate hikes »

More from Kaplan: 2 or 3…

13:55
10/19/18
10/19
13:55
10/19/18
13:55
General news
Action Economics Survey results »

Action Economics Survey…

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