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VZ

Verizon

$54.98

0.09 (0.16%)

, T

AT&T

$32.71

-0.15 (-0.46%)

12:28
10/22/18
10/22
12:28
10/22/18
12:28

Fly Intel: What to watch in telecom sector earnings reports

Verizon (VZ) is scheduled to report quarterly results before the market opens on October 23, while AT&T (T) is scheduled to report after the market closes On October 24. 1. OUTLOOK: When Verizon reported its second quarter results on July 24, the company said it sees FY18 consolidated revenue growth at low-to-mid single-digit percentage rates on a GAAP reported basis. This update to full year guidance is due to better-than-expected equipment revenue trends. Consensus at the time was $129.56B. The impact of revenue recognition on EPS for FY18 will be between 27c and 31c. The accretive benefit to FY18 consolidated operating income is expected to moderate in 2019 and become insignificant in 2020, as the timing impacts to revenues and commission costs converge. Low single-digit percentage growth in adjusted EPS in 2018, before the net impact of tax reform and the revenue recognition standard. Capital spending for 2018 to be closer to the lower end of the range of $17B-$17.8B, including the commercial launch of 5G. When AT&T reported its second quarter results on July 24, the company raised its FY18 adjusted EPS guidance to the high end of $3.50 range. Consensus estimates at that time were $3.40. 2. NET NEUTRALITY: On October 17, the New York Times reported that New York attorney general Barbara Underwood subpoenaed over a dozen telecommunications trade groups, lobbying contracts and Washington advocacy organizations looking to examine whether the groups submitted millions of fraudulent public comments to influence a key federal decision on internet regulation. Some of the groups played a highly public role in last year's battle when the FCC voted to revoke regulations that classified internet service providers as public utilities and Underwood is investigating the source of over 22M public comments submitted to the agency, millions of which were provided using temporary or duplicate email addresses, while others recycled identical phrases. On October 1, the Washington Post reported that the Trump administration is planning to sue California in a move to block what some experts have described as the toughest net neutrality law ever enacted. California adopted its own rules requiring internet providers to treat all web traffic equally on Sunday and hours later, DoJ officials said they would take the state to court on the grounds that the federal government, not state leaders, has the exclusive power to regulate net neutrality. 3. SPRINT ADMITS NETWORK IS SUBPAR: On September 28, the Verge reported that BTIG analyst Walt Piecyk tweeted a recent filing that Sprint (S) admitted that its LTE network is much worse than all of its competitors, including AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile (TMUS). The Verge noted that Sprint is in the process of seeking to show regulators that its pending merger with T-Mobile is good for the industry, instead of a harmful contraction of a limited market that badly needs competition.

VZ

Verizon

$54.98

0.09 (0.16%)

T

AT&T

$32.71

-0.15 (-0.46%)

S

Sprint

$6.46

-0.005 (-0.08%)

TMUS

T-Mobile

$69.67

-0.09 (-0.13%)

  • 23

    Oct

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    Oct

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    Nov

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    Nov

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    Nov

VZ Verizon
$54.98

0.09 (0.16%)

09/21/18
UBSW
09/21/18
UPGRADE
Target $38
UBSW
Buy
AT&T upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS
UBS analyst John Hodulik upgraded AT&T (T) to Buy and raised his price target for the shares to $38 from $33. The shares closed yesterday up 7c to $33.44. The stock is trading near all-time low valuations, and at its widest valuation gap to Verizon Communicators (VZ), given a mix of EBITDA declines, concerns over the debt load and secular issues impacting the space, Hodulik tells investors in a research note. Further, the Time Warner transaction and accounting changes "have compounded these issues, leading to a loss of visibility for investors," the analyst adds. However, his work indicates that AT&T will return to EBITDA growth in the second half of 2018, after a 6% decline in the first half, due to growth in Wireless and WarnerMedia as well as slower declines in Entertainment.
09/21/18
09/21/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. UBS SAYS BUY AT&T: UBS analyst John Hodulik upgraded AT&T (T) to Buy and raised his price target for the shares to $38 from $33, noting that the stock is trading near all-time low valuations and at its widest valuation gap to Verizon (VZ). The Time Warner transaction and accounting changes "have compounded [other] issues, leading to a loss of visibility for investors," but his work indicates that AT&T will return to EBITDA growth in the second half of 2018, after a 6% decline in the first half, due to growth in Wireless and WarnerMedia as well as slower declines in Entertainment. JPMORGAN GOES TO BULL FROM BEAR ON NOVAVAX: JPMorgan analyst Eric Joseph double upgraded Novavax (NVAX) to Overweight from Underweight saying the risk/reward is favorable into the report of Prepare trial data in Q1 of 2019. The trial is assessing the efficacy of the company's RSV F Vaccine for infants via maternal immunization and the analyst believes the shares can hit a range of $2.00 to $2.25, he told investors. JPMORGAN SUGGESTS BEING SHORT COPART, LONG KAR: JPMorgan analyst Ryan Brinkman downgraded Copart (CPRT) to Underweight and lowered his price target for the shares to $47 from $48. The company reported softer than expected Q4 results this week but trades at "near record multiples" of earnings and EBITDA, Brinkman told investors. The analyst sees a potential pair trade in going long KAR Auction (KAR) shares, and short Copart shares, to capitalize on the "valuation disconnect." LOOP SETS $8.25 TARGET ON HARMONIC: Loop Capital analyst James Kisner initiated Harmonic (HLIT) with a Buy rating and $8.25 price target, saying he believes Harmonic can "drive robust revenue growth on its Cable Edge business as cable operators like Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) adopt its virtual CCAP/CMTS solution," and that the company's video business with stabilize. 'DON'T PANIC' OVER DOD PROPOSAL: Morgan Stanley analyst Rajeev Lalwani attributes the underperformance in Defense stocks over the last two days compared to the broader market to heightened concerns around a month old proposal from the Department of Defense to adjust progress and performance payments down to 50% from 80% of cost, which would effectively slow the timing of cash flow receipts closer to when a project is complete. He sees a number of reasons not to panic, mainly because he believes that the Administration will not move forward with a proposal industry-players will paint as being anti-business and anti-defense spending. Publicly-traded defense contractors include General Dynamics (GD), Huntington Ingalls (HII), L3 Technologies (LLL), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Northrop Grumman (NOC) and Raytheon (RTN).
10/01/18
UBSW
10/01/18
NO CHANGE
Target $59
UBSW
Buy
UBS 'constructive' on Verizon given improving wireless trends
UBS analyst John Hodulik reiterated a Buy rating and $59 price target on Verizon Communications after meeting with CEO Hans Vestberg, outgoing CEO Lowell McAdam and CFO Matt Ellis. The primary focus was 5G and 4 pillars of the investment case, Hodulik tells investors in a research note, adding that management expects 5G mobile devices as early as next year, potentially keeping a lid on near-term industry volumes which is generally beneficial for churn and margins. Hodulik says he remains constructive on shares given improving wireless trends.
10/19/18
ROTH
10/19/18
NO CHANGE
Target $3
ROTH
Buy
Roth Capital sees Digital Turbine powering Verizon pre-installs of Netflix app
Roth Capital analyst Darren Aftahi said he believes Digital Turbine's (APPS) software is powering Verizon's (VZ) pre-installations of the Netflix (NFLX) app on Android phones, which he noted the streaming service partially attributed for its solid domestic subscriber add performance in Q3. The success Netflix has seen has the potential to expand to other carriers and markets and provide a tailwind for Digital Turbine, said Aftahi, who keeps a Buy rating and $3 price target on the shares.
T AT&T
$32.71

-0.15 (-0.46%)

10/22/18
10/22/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Intel (INTC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Nomura Instinet with analyst Romit Shah saying he believes Intel is a buy at current share levels. 2. AT&T (T) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Tigress Financial with analyst Ivan Feinseth saying the upcoming launch of its high-speed 5G wireless communication network and the integration of Time Warner's content "creates a significant investment opportunity." 3. M&T Bank (MTB) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Kevin Barker saying this quarter, M&T's deposit base remained steady, its loan/deposit ratio declined and management felt confident the ratio would remain in the 95%-100% range for the foreseeable future. 4. Chipotle (CMG) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with analyst David Palmer saying while Q3 earnings may be "lackluster," he expects comps to improve from 4% to 6% through the second half of FY19 and raises his FY20 EPS vie to $16.30 from $15.86 on implied 3-turn multiple increase to 31-times forward earnings. 5. SAP (SAP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS with analyst Michael Briest saying the company deserves credit for sustaining 6%-10% underlying sales growth over the past 12 quarters, with "impressive" cloud growth at scale. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/22/18
TIGR
10/22/18
UPGRADE
TIGR
Buy
AT&T upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Tigress Financial
Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth upgraded AT&T to Buy saying the upcoming launch of its high-speed 5G wireless communication network and the integration of Time Warner's content "creates a significant investment opportunity." AT&T will "significantly benefit from its merger with Time Warner creating one of the media industry's largest and most dynamic companies," Feinseth tells investors in a research note.
10/18/18
NEED
10/18/18
NO CHANGE
Target $17
NEED
Buy
Adtran price target lowered to $17 at Needham on Q3 revenue slip
Needham analyst Richard Valera nudged his price target on Adtran (ADTN) lower to $17 from $18 and also lowered his FY19 EPS view to 15c from 42c after its Q3 revenues came in "light due to an explainable slip out of shipments to NBN". The analyst also notes the management's more downbeat view of its G.Fast program with AT&T (T), along with a generally more muted outlook for next year. Valera keeps a Buy on Adtran however, stating that although the stock is setting new 52-week lows on a series of disappointments, its valuation multiple of 1.1-times enterprise value to expected 2018 sales is supportive of the rating.
10/05/18
NOMU
10/05/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $31
NOMU
Neutral
Nomura Instinet downgrades CommScope to Neutral with $31 price target
Nomura Instinet analyst Jeffrey Kvaal downgraded CommScope (COMM) to Neutral from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $31 from $35. The analyst continues to view CommScope as a long-term beneficiary of both mobile and fiber spending growth. However, he believes that current tailwinds "appear less muscular than hoped." While CommScope and AT&T (T) initially planned to reach 15,000 towers with its FirstNet build by September 2018, that plan has softened to 15,000 by March 2019, Kvaal tells investors in a research note. He expects Q2 to prove the peak of FirstNet spending until mid-2019.
S Sprint
$6.46

-0.005 (-0.08%)

10/15/18
CHLM
10/15/18
INITIATION
Target $62
CHLM
Buy
pdvWireless initiated with a Buy at Craig-Hallum
Craig-Hallum analyst George Sutton started pdvWireless (PDVW) with a Buy rating and $62 price target. The analyst believes upcoming FCC action is set to "dramatically" increase the value o its spectrum assets. Sutton notes that in 2014 the company made a $100M bet, namely they acquired largely dormant 900 MHz spectrum assets from Sprint (S). Following years of behind the scenes actions by pdvWireless, this bet is finally set to pay off in a big way because the FCC appears ready to reallocate a portion of the 900 MHz band from narrow-band to broadband use, he contends.
10/19/18
WELS
10/19/18
NO CHANGE
WELS
Outperform
Wells Fargo raises odds of T-Mobile-Sprint deal closing to 65%-70%
After meeting with some of her regulatory contacts in DC, Wells Fargo analyst Jennifer Fritzsche said her checks indicate that the regulatory review for T-Mobile's (TMUS) planned merger with Sprint (S) "remains fairly drama free thus far." The FCC review appears to be continuing to proceed as expected, while most contacts she spoke with indicated there does not seem to be any "chatter" coming out of DOJ, Fritzsche tells investors. Following the talks, she is increasing her view of the odds of the deal closing to 65%-70%. Fritzsche has an Outperform rating on T-Mobile and Market Perform rating on Sprint.
09/25/18
OPCO
09/25/18
NO CHANGE
Target $24
OPCO
Outperform
CenturyLink CFO departure raises concerns, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes CenturyLink (CTL) has announced that CFO Sunit Patel will depart as of September 28th to join T-Mobile (TMUS) to lead the Sprint (S)/T-Mobile merger and integration efforts. The analyst expects weakness in CenturyLink's stock, as investors will likely be concerned with synergy realization after Patel's departure. While Horan says his departure is disappointing, he believes CenturyLink has a deep management bench, and Jeff Storey, CEO, will continue to be the driving force behind restructuring and expense reductions at the company. He reiterates an Outperform rating and $24 price target on the shares.
09/13/18
RILY
09/13/18
INITIATION
Target $46
RILY
Buy
Shenandoah initiated with a Buy at B. Riley FBR
B. Riley FBR analyst Zack Silver started Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN) with a Buy rating and $46 price target. The analyst sees the company benefiting from the merger between Sprint (S) and T-Mobile (TMUS).
TMUS T-Mobile
$69.67

-0.09 (-0.13%)

09/20/18
OPCO
09/20/18
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Outperform
T-Mobile, AT&T 'top large-cap picks' in telecom, says Oppenheimer
Oppenehimer analyst Timothy Horan previewed the telecom outlook for 2H18, telling investors in a research note that he believes the communications sector has bottomed relative to the market and expects to see stronger 2H performance. Horan says T-Mobile (TMUS) and AT&T (T) are his top large-cap picks, and Boingo Wireless (WIFI) and Zayo Group (ZAYO) will also benefit as carriers invest in their networks in preparation for 5G. Horan also expects T-Mobile to outperform as it continues to take share and see margin improvement.
09/27/18
GUGG
09/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $85
GUGG
Buy
T-Mobile price target raised to $85 from $80 at Guggenheim
Guggenheim analyst Mike McCormack raised his price target for T-Mobile to $85 from $80 as he believes it remains well positioned for growth with both a valuation and merger overlay. The analyst believes consensus expectations remain too low for subscriber growth, and expects another strong performance in Q3. In the longer-term, McCormack also thinks the cash and earnings generation power of the fastest growing carrier is underappreciated. He reiterates a Buy rating on the shares.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

HYMTF

Hyundai Motor

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LGF.B

Lionsgate

$15.17

0.4 (2.71%)

, NFLX

Netflix

$378.09

2.94 (0.78%)

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SPOT

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ROKU

Roku

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TSLA

Tesla

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0.6 (0.22%)

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HSBC

$41.07

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BlackRock

$430.32

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BlackRock

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UBER

Uber

$0.00

(0.00%)

, ICE

IntercontinentalExchange

$73.36

0.15 (0.20%)

19:21
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Periodicals
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UBER

Uber

$0.00

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IntercontinentalExchange

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PIN

Pinterest

$25.63

-0.07 (-0.27%)

19:18
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TAP

Molson Coors

$60.80

1.04 (1.74%)

, BUD

AB InBev

$83.94

0.52 (0.62%)

18:57
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Periodicals
MillerCoors sues AB InBev over corn syrup claims, WSJ reports »

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TAP

Molson Coors

$60.80

1.04 (1.74%)

BUD

AB InBev

$83.94

0.52 (0.62%)

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  • 07

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OSS

One Stop Systems

$2.52

(0.00%)

, AMRN

Amarin

$18.77

-0.24 (-1.26%)

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$2.52

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AMRN

Amarin

$18.77

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GME

GameStop

$10.54

0.06 (0.57%)

DLNG

Dynagas LNG

$2.61

0.025 (0.97%)

ZUO

Zuora

$24.34

0.62 (2.61%)

CAL

Caleres

$25.75

-0.08 (-0.31%)

OPNT

Opiant Pharmaceuticals

$14.00

0.5 (3.70%)

NKE

Nike

$88.05

1.3597 (1.57%)

CTAS

Cintas

$208.00

2.78 (1.35%)

CNAT

Conatus

$2.91

0.02 (0.69%)

GG

Goldcorp

$11.17

0.13 (1.18%)

NEM

Newmont Mining

$34.32

0.44 (1.30%)

03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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UBER

Uber

$0.00

(0.00%)

, ICE

IntercontinentalExchange

$73.36

0.15 (0.20%)

18:40
03/21/19
03/21
18:40
03/21/19
18:40
Periodicals
Uber selects NYSE for 2019 IPO, Bloomberg reports »

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Uber

$0.00

(0.00%)

ICE

IntercontinentalExchange

$73.36

0.15 (0.20%)

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CVS

CVS Health

$57.40

1.23 (2.19%)

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SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$284.63

3.19 (1.13%)

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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NOK

Nokia

$6.26

-0.03 (-0.48%)

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  • 20

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DNR

Denbury Resources

$1.95

0.06 (3.17%)

, PVAC

Penn Virginia

$54.29

1.74 (3.31%)

18:17
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DNR

Denbury Resources

$1.95

0.06 (3.17%)

PVAC

Penn Virginia

$54.29

1.74 (3.31%)

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  • 07

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IMMP

Immutep

$2.40

-0.095 (-3.82%)

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PVAC

Penn Virginia

$54.29

1.74 (3.31%)

, DNR

Denbury Resources

$1.95

0.06 (3.17%)

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Penn Virginia, Denbury Resources mutually agree to terminate merger pact »

Penn Virginia (PVAC)…

PVAC

Penn Virginia

$54.29

1.74 (3.31%)

DNR

Denbury Resources

$1.95

0.06 (3.17%)

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  • 07

    May

LLL

L3 Technologies

$208.75

1.535 (0.74%)

17:44
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L3 Technologies awarded $131.78M Air Force contract »

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  • 04

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GM

General Motors

$37.35

0.35 (0.95%)

17:42
03/21/19
03/21
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17:42
Periodicals
GM to invest $300M in Orion EV/AV factory, Reuters reports »

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GD

General Dynamics

$169.81

1.21 (0.72%)

17:42
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General Dynamics awarded $465.15M Navy contract for CVN shipyard availabilities »

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  • 28

    May

NKE

Nike

$88.05

1.3597 (1.57%)

17:41
03/21/19
03/21
17:41
03/21/19
17:41
Earnings
Breaking Earnings news story on Nike »

Nike sees FY20 revenue…

03/08/13
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    Apr

NKE

Nike

$88.05

1.3597 (1.57%)

17:39
03/21/19
03/21
17:39
03/21/19
17:39
Earnings
Nike sees Q4 revenue growth in high single-digit range, consensus $10.38B »

Sees Q4 gross margin…

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  • 21

    Mar

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  • 04

    Apr

NKE

Nike

$88.05

1.3597 (1.57%)

17:36
03/21/19
03/21
17:36
03/21/19
17:36
Hot Stocks
Nike says it is not taking China momentum for granted »

Says leveraging the power…

03/08/13
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    Apr

LOV

Spark Networks

$11.29

(0.00%)

17:34
03/21/19
03/21
17:34
03/21/19
17:34
Hot Stocks
Spark Networks to acquire Zoosk, sees adjusted EBITDA to exceed $50M in 2020 »

Spark Networks announced…

03/08/13
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ACA

Arcosa

$29.74

-0.16 (-0.54%)

17:29
03/21/19
03/21
17:29
03/21/19
17:29
Initiation
Arcosa initiated at DA Davidson »

Arcosa initiated with a…

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JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

$138.09

0.86 (0.63%)

17:24
03/21/19
03/21
17:24
03/21/19
17:24
Hot Stocks
Johnson & Johnson sees Q1 charge of about $700M related to AL-8176 »

On March 21, Johnson…

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  • 16

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