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CENX

Century Aluminum

$9.50

0.51 (5.67%)

15:04
10/25/18
10/25
15:04
10/25/18
15:04

Century Aluminum options imply 15.2% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move

Pre-earnings options volume in Century Aluminum is normal with calls leading puts 9:5. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 15.2%, or $1.45, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 3.8%.

  • 25

    Oct

CENX Century Aluminum
$9.50

0.51 (5.67%)

10/02/18
DBAB
10/02/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $15
DBAB
Hold
Century Aluminum downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Terry downgraded Century Aluminum to Hold and lowered his price target for the shares to $15 from $20. The analyst sees growing risks and reduced upside potential at current share levels.
10/02/18
DBAB
10/02/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $15
DBAB
Hold
Deutsche downgrades Century Aluminum on growing risks, reduced upside
Deutsche Bank analyst Jeremy Kliewer downgraded Century Aluminum to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $15 from $20. Century's margins could remain pressured for longer due to alumina supply disruptions, Kliewer tells investors in a research note. Further, the analyst feels little progress has been made with Santee Cooper, the electrical supplier at the company's Mt. Holly smelter, and that support for import tariffs may decline further following the November mid-term elections. As such, the analyst sees reduced upside potential and growing risk for Century Aluminum shares.
10/02/18
10/02/18
NO CHANGE

Fly Intel: Today's top analyst calls on Wall Street
Check out today's top analyst calls from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. GE UPGRADED AT RBC, WOLFE: RBC Capital analyst Deane Dray upgraded General Electric (GE) to Outperform from Sector Perform and raised his price target for the shares to $15 from $13. The analyst believes a floor has been put in the shares following news of Larry Culp being named Chairman and CEO. Additionally, GE was upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research. DEUTSCHE SEES HEIGHTENED RISKS TO FACEBOOK ESTIMATES: After attending the first day of AdWeek, Deutsche Bank analyst Lloyd Walmsley sees heightened risk to the Q3, Q4 and 2019 consensus estimates for Facebook (FB). The analyst said he's starting to hear more cautious feedback and that Facebook seems on the defensive, particularly following last week's data breach disclosure. Walmsley, however, continues to view Facebook as attractively valued and kept a Buy rating on the shares with a $205 price target. JPMORGAN ADDS WEIGHT WATCHERS TO FOCUS LIST: JPMorgan analyst Christina Brathwaite added Weight Watchers (WTW) to her firm's America's Analyst Focus while keeping an Overweight rating on the shares with a $120 price target. The stock's 30% pullback from its peak on June 20 presents a "compelling entry point for investors who missed the stock's appreciation the first time around," Brathwaite said. Despite the post-earnings selloff, the analyst believes the Q2 print was actually indicative that Weight Watchers' growth story remains on track. Further, she believes the changes announced last week, including its new rewards program, as well as the company's Invite a Friend program, will help drive member recruitment and retention going forward. AMBEV DOUBLE DOWNGRADED BY UBS: UBS analyst Alan Alanis double downgraded Ambev (ABEV) to Sell from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to R$17 from R$23. AmBev trades at a 25% higher valuation than parent company AB InBev (BUD), which is unwarranted, Alanis believes. He believes Ambev shares at current levels are more than pricing in the company's favorable outlook. Further, he expects consensus estimates to come down due to a tougher competitive environment, a "tepid" Brazilian economic recovery and currency headwinds. DEUTSCHE DOWNGRADES METAL STOCKS: Deutsche Bank analyst Jeremy Kliewer downgraded Century Aluminum to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $15 from $20, stating that Century's margins could remain pressured for longer due to alumina supply disruptions. Meanwhile, Deutsche's Chris Terry downgraded Reliance Steel (RS) to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $90 from $100, and downgraded U.S. Steel (X) to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $35 from $47. The analyst said his view on the steel sector is "moderating post peak pricing." Most positive data points and catalysts have now largely played out, Terry believes.
10/04/18
RILY
10/04/18
NO CHANGE
Target $20
RILY
Buy
Century Aluminum price target lowered to $20 from $23 at B. Riley FBR
B. Riley FBR analyst Lucas Pipes lowered his price target for Century Aluminum to $20 after adjusting his estimates for the company and Aloca (AA) to reflect expected Q3 price realizations and his firm's upgraded long-term price deck. The analyst keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

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