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ELLI

Ellie Mae

$79.41

-0.44 (-0.55%)

15:34
10/25/18
10/25
15:34
10/25/18
15:34

Ellie Mae options imply 12.2% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move

Pre-earnings options volume in Ellie Mae is 5.6x normal with calls leading puts 2:1. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 12.2%, or $9.72, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 6.8%.

  • 25

    Oct

ELLI Ellie Mae
$79.41

-0.44 (-0.55%)

07/27/18
ROTH
07/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $100
ROTH
Neutral
Ellie Mae price target raised to $100 from $85 at Roth Capital
Roth Capital analyst Richard Baldry reiterated a Neutral rating on Elli Mae but raised his price target to $100 from $85 after the company reported "moderate" upside to Q2 EPS and revenue, but tells investors in a research note that the company's guidance left his Q3 revenue forecast cut. With weak Q2 active user adds, Baldry believes Elli Mae's valuation strength reflects broader SaaS sector strength rather than its execution.
09/10/18
OPCO
09/10/18
NO CHANGE
Target $125
OPCO
Outperform
Sentiment around Ellie Mae 'overly' negative, set-up favorable, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Brian Schwartz sees an attractive stock set-up since Ellie Mae has recently become a "crowded short," and thinks odds look favorable for management to achieve and/or beat consensus estimates and raise the annual outlook in the Q3 results. Consistency in the reported results and/or a new CFO announcement could lower estimate risks and trigger a higher valuation, he adds. The analyst reiterates an Outperform rating and $125 price target on the shares.
10/05/18
RBCM
10/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $109
RBCM
Outperform
Ellie Mae price target lowered to $109 from $125 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Ross MacMillan lowered his price target on Ellie Mae to $109 and also lowered his FY19 EPS view to $2.18 from $2.59 and FY20 view to $2.78 from $3.44. The analyst cites "weaker loan volumes and lower net seat add assumptions" while he also sees "consistent revenue per loan growth". MacMillan keeps his Outperform rating on Ellie Mae however, pointing to its "intrinsic downside valuation support and recent share price underperformance". The analyst adds that his current forecasts anticipates the company returning to modest volume growth in the second half of 2019.
10/10/18
ROTH
10/10/18
UPGRADE
Target $100
ROTH
Buy
Ellie Mae upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Roth Capital
Roth Capital analyst Richard Baldry upgraded Ellie Mae to Buy with an unchanged price target of $100. The 30% selloff in the shares since July 2017 has created a better risk/reward and improved entry point, Baldry tells investors in a research note. The analyst admits that higher interest rates and housing prices are likely to "inhibit" mortgage origination volume growth in the near-term. However, he believes "soft metrics" and "moderated" near-term earnings power are now well-reflected in Ellie Mae's valuation. Further, he believes the company's Q3 results could begin to bolster investor sentiment.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

JCOM

j2 Global

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NVS

Novartis

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EADSY

Airbus

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AGRO

Adecogro

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HAIN

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NTDOY

Nintendo

$0.00

(0.00%)

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URBN

Urban Outfitters

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0.05 (0.19%)

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GLD

SPDR Gold Shares

$120.34

-0.31 (-0.26%)

17:42
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ASCMA

Ascent Capital

$0.91

0.0502 (5.87%)

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TRS

TriMas

$30.33

0.39 (1.30%)

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TriMas VP Joshua Sherbin sells over $646K in company shares »

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SUNW

Sunworks

$0.71

-0.1024 (-12.65%)

17:33
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LFUS

Littelfuse

$170.78

1.7 (1.01%)

, SMTC

Semtech

$44.74

0.36 (0.81%)

17:32
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Initiation
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Littelfuse

$170.78

1.7 (1.01%)

SMTC

Semtech

$44.74

0.36 (0.81%)

CTS

CTS Corporation

$27.91

0.33 (1.20%)

VSH

Vishay

$16.43

0.37 (2.30%)

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GVA

Granite Construction

$41.46

0.5 (1.22%)

17:31
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Granite Construction awarded $505M high speed rail contract »

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  • 06

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OMC

Omnicom

$80.09

0.69 (0.87%)

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Breaking Syndicate news story on Omnicom »

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TTEC

TTEC Holdings

$38.68

0.51 (1.34%)

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TTEC Holdings EVP DeGhetto sells 35K shares of common stock »

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TDW

Tidewater

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PTCT

PTC Therapeutics

$40.07

2.67 (7.14%)

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DRIO

DarioHealth

$0.72

-0.0095 (-1.30%)

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RL

Ralph Lauren

$113.97

2.08 (1.86%)

, PVH

PVH Corp.

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RL

Ralph Lauren

$113.97

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PVH

PVH Corp.

$108.53

2.5075 (2.37%)

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RICK

RCI Hospitality

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LPLA

LPL Financial

$83.85

2.06 (2.52%)

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SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

, SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$286.50

2.55 (0.90%)

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General news
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$0.00

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CAH

Cardinal Health

$46.90

0.91 (1.98%)

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GOOG

Alphabet

$1,149.14

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MSFT

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HD

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KSS

Kohl's

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JCP

J.C. Penney

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CR

Crane

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CIR

Circor

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AAPL

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3.52 (1.92%)

INTC

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ARWR

Arrowhead

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ARRY

Array BioPharma

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BCRX

BioCryst

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MNK

Mallinckrodt

$9.87

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