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TAL

TAL Education

$27.26

-1.45 (-5.05%)

, EDU

New Oriental Education

$57.36

-3.22 (-5.32%)

08:43
11/12/18
11/12
08:43
11/12/18
08:43

Chinese education sector selloff unwarranted, says JPMorgan

The results reported mid-year in the Chinese education sector have not deteriorated sufficiently to warrant the share price performance, JPMorgan analyst Leon Chik tells investors in a research note. The analyst points out that the average education company under his coverage is down 25%-30% since the end of May. He believes this may be due to greater uncertainty over the future due to a slowing economy and an increase in government regulations. New regulations provide short term challenges but help speed up market consolidation as larger operators can cope with changes better, Chik tells investors in a research note. The analyst's top after school tutorial picks are TAL Education (TAL) and New Oriental Education (EDU). He also has an Overweight rating on Bright Scholar Education (BEDU). Chik lowered his price target for TAL to $48 from $58, for New Oriental to $85 from $98 and for Bright Scholar to $15 from $20.

TAL

TAL Education

$27.26

-1.45 (-5.05%)

EDU

New Oriental Education

$57.36

-3.22 (-5.32%)

BEDU

Bright Scholar

$12.62

-0.26 (-2.02%)

  • 13

    Nov

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    Nov

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    Nov

  • 16

    Nov

TAL TAL Education
$27.26

-1.45 (-5.05%)

07/25/18
07/25/18
NO CHANGE

Muddy Waters claims TAL Education is misleading investors about Peiyou business
Muddy Waters states: "TAL's core Peiyou business appears to be in decline. We believe that Peiyou offline Q3 revenue YoY growth was likely negative, despite TAL CFO Rong Luo stating the growth rate was "healthy" and implying it was in line with small class revenue growth of 52.4%. We also suspect that Peiyou online is not doing well. Peiyou online Q4 sequential growth seems to have been at best high single digit, and quite possibly negative."
08/22/18
DAIW
08/22/18
NO CHANGE
DAIW
Daiwa remains positive on TAL, New Oriental after new tutoring regulations
Shares of TAL Education (TAL) and New Oriental Education (EDU) traded lower yesterday on speculation that the Chinese government was about to release new regulations for the K-12 tutoring industry, Daiwa John Choi tells investors in a research note. Today, China's State Council published a directive in relation to regulations for after-school training institutions, the analyst adds. He believes some of the major regulations that could potentially disrupt the daily operations of TAL and New Oriental include legal compliance of institutions in areas of licensing and staff teaching qualifications, academic course details being submitted to the regional education department and publicly disclosed, tutorial sessions not overlapping with school time and having to end no later than 8pm, and institutions not being able to collect no more than three months of tuition prepayments. Choi expects the measures to reduce the financial visibility on the affected deferred revenue balances for TAL and New Oriental, but views China's new directive as favorable for scalable tutoring companies in China that have high compliance standards. He remains long-term positive on the sector and optimistic of the growth prospects of TAL and New Oriental "given their high teaching standards."
09/13/18
SBSH
09/13/18
DOWNGRADE
SBSH
Neutral
TAL Education downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi
Citi downgraded TAL Education to Neutral citing China's increased regulation on after-school tutoring.
10/15/18
MACQ
10/15/18
UPGRADE
MACQ
Outperform
TAL Education upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie
EDU New Oriental Education
$57.36

-3.22 (-5.32%)

11/01/18
11/01/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Pfizer (PFE) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst Alex Arfaei saying he maintains a positive view on the company longer-term but sees valuation at current levels reflecting its risk-reward profile. 2. Encana (ECA) downgraded to Underperformer from Neutral at CIBC. 3. New Oriental Education (EDU) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Tallan Zhou saying he expects "lingering margin pressure" following Q1 results. 4. Autoliv (ALV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Longbow with analyst Anthony Deem saying he sees the company's revenue growth being "very solid" through 2020 in mid-to-high single digit percentage territory, but he is less confident in positive operating leverage due to incremental cost overruns associated with new launches. 5. Aegion (AEGN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord with analyst Chip Moore saying the company is a well positioned pipeline infrastructure play that is poised to benefit from attractive secular drivers longer-term, but the risk/reward is balanced at current levels. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/01/18
DBAB
11/01/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $55
DBAB
Hold
New Oriental Education downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Tallan Zhou downgraded New Oriental Education to Hold and lowered his price target for the shares to $55 from $105. The analyst expects "lingering margin pressure" following last week's Q1 results.
10/24/18
BNCH
10/24/18
NO CHANGE
Target $80
BNCH
Buy
New Oriental Education price target lowered to $80 from $105 at Benchmark
Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang noted New Oriental Education reported mixed Q1, with better than expected revenue and an earnings shortfall caused mainly by higher operating expenses and online investments. She anticipates New Oriental will likely face near-term margin pressure due to costs associated with regulatory changes and ongoing investments and lowered her price target to $80 from $105, but keeps a Buy rating on the shares as Jiang remains positive on its top-line growth.
10/23/18
10/23/18
DOWNGRADE

Outperform
Follow-up: New Oriental Education downgraded to Outperform at CLSA
As previously reported, CLSA downgraded New Oriental Education to Outperform from Buy and downgraded its price target to $68.80 from $74.80. Analyst Martin Kou said New Oriental's 1Q results beat on revenue, but margins missed due to heavier online investments and larger-scale summer promotions. Kou expects the company will accelerate online investments to maintain its competitive position and reduced his rating on shares.
BEDU Bright Scholar
$12.62

-0.26 (-2.02%)

10/02/18
MSCO
10/02/18
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley ups RYB, cuts New Oriental in China education rating shake-up
As previously reported, Morgan Stanley made three rating changes, including one upgrade and two downgrades, as analyst Sheng Zhong evaluated the impact of new regulations in the sector. While the impact of the new rules are "largely priced in," higher requirements on infrastructure and teacher qualifications could raise costs, there will likely be more supervision on curriculum, extended hours could reduce students' tutoring time; shortened prepayment time will impact cash flow and new employee benefits could increase labor costs for some, Zhong said. The analyst downgraded New Oriental Education (EDU) to Equal Weight from Overweight and cut its earnings forecast by 9-25% for F19-21. Zhong also downgraded Bright Scholar (BEDU) to Equal Weight as part of the sector reshuffling. Zhong upgraded RYB Education (RYB) to Overweight from Equal Weight, stating that it could benefit from the high growth in newborn population and fewer regulation impacts.
10/02/18
MSCO
10/02/18
DOWNGRADE
MSCO
Equal Weight
Bright Scholar downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley
06/29/18
06/29/18
NO CHANGE

Morgan Stanley shakes up China Education ratings, ups Bright Scholar, cuts TAL
As previously reported, Morgan Stanley analyst Sheng Zhong upgraded Bright Scholar (BEDU) to Overweight from Equal Weight and downgraded TAL Education (TAL) to Equal Weight from Overweight, telling investors in a note on the China Education sector that she now prefer stocks with a balanced growth outlook and valuation given China's regulatory and operational uncertainties. The analyst, who still prefers companies focused on after-school tutoring, called Rise Education (REDU) and New Oriental Education (EDU) her top picks in the space. Zhong also downgraded Four Seasons Education (FEDU) to Equal Weight and cut her rating on OneSmart Education (ONE) to Equal Weight from Overweight.
06/29/18
MSCO
06/29/18
UPGRADE
MSCO
Overweight
Bright Scholar upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

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NVRO

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GOOG

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GOOG

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LGIH

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FDX

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LYFT

Lyft

$0.00

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